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United States Senate election in Florida, 2024 (August 20 Republican primary)

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2022
U.S. Senate, Florida
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 26, 2024
Primary: August 20, 2024
General: November 5, 2024

Pre-election incumbent:
Rick Scott (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Florida
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Likely Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
U.S. Senate, Florida
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th
Florida elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

A Republican Party primary took place on August 20, 2024, in Florida to determine which Republican candidate would run in the state's general election on November 5, 2024.

Incumbent Rick Scott advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Florida.

Thirty-four of 100 seats in the U.S. Senate were up for election in 2024, including one special election. At the time of the election, Democrats had a 51-49 majority.[1] Of the seats up for election in 2024, Democrats held 19, Republicans held 11, and independents held four. As of May 2024, eight members of the U.S. Senate had announced they were not running for re-election.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 26, 2024
August 20, 2024
November 5, 2024


Heading into the election, the incumbent was Rick Scott (Republican), who was first elected in 2018.

A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Florida utilizes a closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[2][3]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Florida's United States Senate Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Florida

Incumbent Rick Scott defeated Keith Gross and John Columbus in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Florida on August 20, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rick Scott
Rick Scott
 
84.4
 
1,283,904
Image of Keith Gross
Keith Gross Candidate Connection
 
9.4
 
142,392
Image of John Columbus
John Columbus Candidate Connection
 
6.3
 
95,342

Total votes: 1,521,638
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Rick Scott

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

Biography:  Scott received his bachelor's degree in business administration from the University of Missouri-Kansas City and his J.D. from Southern Methodist University. Scott previously served in the Navy. He worked as a lawyer and owned various businesses including health care companies and an insurance company.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Scott's campaign website said he was running for re-election to "continue fighting for Florida families, hold the Washington establishment and Democrats accountable and rescue America from the destruction caused by Joe Biden and the Democrats."


Scott's campaign website said he wanted to "shrink the federal government, reduce the government work force by 25% in 5 years, sell government buildings and assets, and get rid of the old, slow, closed, top-down, government-run-everything system we have today."


Scott's website said, "President Trump’s plan to build a wall was right. We welcome those who want to join us in building the American dream...We are a stronger nation because we are a nation of immigrants; but immigration without assimilation makes us weaker. Politicians from both parties talk big about border security and do nothing. We are done with that."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Florida in 2024.

Image of John Columbus

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am a 40-year-old millennial who would like to see positive change happen in Washington DC. My whole life I’ve been a theatre professional and understand that on one ego is more important than the product the audience deserves. This is why I decided to get into politics. As of late the audience (American Citizens) have been manipulated by bad actors, bad writers, and terrible narratives while inequities continue to proliferate onto the next generation. One of my favorite albums, Incubus’s Make Yourself states it perfectly, “I feel emphatic about not being static, and not eating the BS that’s being fed to me… cause now I’m full.” I’m here as an admittedly flawed Millennial who is ready for Washington DC to keep up with the needs of the people. I attended New York University and obtained a BFA in Theatre. I love to read, I love to write, and above all I know how to collaborate with others. Henry Clay urged for more mutual concessions as to create better legislation, but at present as we face The Great Perception, we are having trouble distinguishing what are Facts and what are Fictions. Because of the echo chambers caused by social media, the division will keep getting worse unless more people like me stand up and tell the status quo we have had enough. In this gig economy, I need the work, and I think Rick Scott will enjoy spending time with his grandkids in retirement."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Conservation is only possible if conservatives jump onboard the green train. I know Floridians love their beaches, parks and waterways, and I believe we as a State can be leaders in the effort to fight for the environment. We should protect the flora and fauna, plant more trees, and begin to implement clean, renewable energy.


Education is key to the intellectual development of our population. We need to pay teachers more, make sure schools have the funds they need, and make literacy more important than standardized tests. I want to encourage a movement where students spend more time reading books than they spend on their electronic devices. Right now our electronics are learning from us, and as AI continues to develop, we need to be able to read and write better than the computers. This is not a partisan issue, the fate of humanity literally depends on us continuing and advancing our educational system. I want to Make America Read Again!


We live in an era I’ve coined as “The Great Perception.” This is an abstract idea that relates to how ultimately people believe what they want to believe regardless of facts and evidence. In my opinion the problem is that the leaders harboring power have tapped into this manipulation of messaging at the detriment of the American people. We need more transparency, honesty, and integrity in regard to our leaders. We need leaders who will admit when they are wrong, empathize with differences of opinion, and tell the truth to the people instead of propitiating lies for personal benefit. I don’t want to see this fractured perception of reality continue to metastasize; facts are facts, math is math, science is real, and the Earth is a sphere.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Florida in 2024.

Image of Keith Gross

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Keith Gross is a conservative businessman and attorney from Panama City, Florida. Keith and his sister watched their single mother work her way through college to become an educator. His grandmother was a gas station clerk and his grandfather was a veteran working at a local chemical plant who was disabled during an industrial incident. From a young age, Keith began working alongside his grandmother, including in the early morning hours and late nights to work around his school schedule. With this strong work ethic and example, he quickly became a successful businessman, starting and investing in businesses across the country. A graduate of Florida State University, Keith continued his education earning a law degree at the University of Montana. After law school, Keith returned to his home state of Florida to continue working in and expanding his businesses. "


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Smaller Government & Reduced Spending - Our Federal government should do fewer things and do those things well. This means eliminiating the Adminstrative State and restoring power to the people.


Immigration - Our immigration laws haven't been updated since 1986. Congress has been kicking the can down the road for decades. We must reform our laws and SECURE OUR BORDER.


Individual Accountability - Our nation was founded on the idea of individual liberty. With those liberties must come accountability. When we give endless handouts to people, or allow the woke socialist ideas continue, the incentive to make good decisions is eliminated.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Florida in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Florida

Election information in Florida: Aug. 20, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: July 22, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 22, 2024
  • Online: July 22, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Aug. 8, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Aug. 8, 2024
  • Online: Aug. 8, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Aug. 20, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Aug. 20, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Aug. 10, 2024 to Aug. 17, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (EST)


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Rick Scott Republican Party $46,570,584 $47,232,824 $798,364 As of December 31, 2024
John Columbus Republican Party $25,900 $25,900 $0 As of September 30, 2024
Keith Gross Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Quarterly campaign finance analysis

Fourth quarter, 2023

Incumbent Rick Scott (R) raised the most money in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Florida, taking in $18.76 million since the start of the campaign cycle. 

Scott raised $4.70 million in the fourth quarter of 2023. Keith Gross (R) raised the next most in the primary, with $1.38 million since the start of the campaign and $372,726 in quarter four.

The primary was scheduled for August 20, 2024. Seven candidates raised a combined $20.15 million through Dec. 31, 2023. Looking at all 125 congressional battlegrounds we tracked, this was more than the average of $3.41 million. 

In battlegrounds with incumbents running, Scott raised more than the average of $1.41 million. Scott raised $85.23 million during the 2018 election cycle.

Twenty-three candidates raised a combined $132.75 million running for U.S. Senate in Florida in 2022, while 13 raised $119.39 million in 2018.

Below is how much each Republican candidate raised and spent during the 2023-2024 election cycle:

Looking at Scott and Gross alone: 

  • 5,874 donors donated to Scott's campaign in quarter four.
  • Of those 5,874, the largest share, 1,963 (33%), donated between $5 and $24.
  • Four donors donated to Gross' campaign in quarter four. 
  • Of those four, the largest share, three (75%), donated between $100 and $499.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Florida in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Florida U.S. Senate Ballot-qualified party 145,040[4] $10,440.00 4/26/2024 Source
Florida U.S. Senate Unaffiliated 145,040[5] $6,960.00 4/26/2024 Source

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.


See also: Presidential voting trends in Florida and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Florida, 2024
District Incumbent Party PVI
Florida's 1st Matt Gaetz Ends.png Republican R+19
Florida's 2nd Neal Dunn Ends.png Republican R+8
Florida's 3rd Kat Cammack Ends.png Republican R+9
Florida's 4th Aaron Bean Ends.png Republican R+6
Florida's 5th John Rutherford Ends.png Republican R+11
Florida's 6th Michael Waltz Ends.png Republican R+14
Florida's 7th Cory Mills Ends.png Republican R+5
Florida's 8th Bill Posey Ends.png Republican R+11
Florida's 9th Darren Soto Electiondot.png Democratic D+8
Florida's 10th Maxwell Alejandro Frost Electiondot.png Democratic D+14
Florida's 11th Dan Webster Ends.png Republican R+8
Florida's 12th Gus Bilirakis Ends.png Republican R+17
Florida's 13th Anna Paulina Luna Ends.png Republican R+6
Florida's 14th Kathy Castor Electiondot.png Democratic D+8
Florida's 15th Laurel Lee Ends.png Republican R+4
Florida's 16th Vern Buchanan Ends.png Republican R+7
Florida's 17th Greg Steube Ends.png Republican R+10
Florida's 18th Scott Franklin Ends.png Republican R+13
Florida's 19th Byron Donalds Ends.png Republican R+13
Florida's 20th Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick Electiondot.png Democratic D+25
Florida's 21st Brian Mast Ends.png Republican R+7
Florida's 22nd Lois Frankel Electiondot.png Democratic D+7
Florida's 23rd Jared Moskowitz Electiondot.png Democratic D+5
Florida's 24th Frederica Wilson Electiondot.png Democratic D+25
Florida's 25th Debbie Wasserman Schultz Electiondot.png Democratic D+9
Florida's 26th Mario Diaz-Balart Ends.png Republican R+8
Florida's 27th Maria Elvira Salazar Ends.png Republican Even
Florida's 28th Carlos Gimenez Ends.png Republican R+2

2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Florida[6]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Florida's 1st 33.0% 65.3%
Florida's 2nd 44.0% 55.0%
Florida's 3rd 42.4% 56.5%
Florida's 4th 46.0% 52.7%
Florida's 5th 41.5% 57.3%
Florida's 6th 37.7% 61.4%
Florida's 7th 46.7% 52.2%
Florida's 8th 40.6% 58.3%
Florida's 9th 58.2% 40.8%
Florida's 10th 65.3% 33.5%
Florida's 11th 44.1% 55.0%
Florida's 12th 35.1% 63.9%
Florida's 13th 46.1% 52.9%
Florida's 14th 59.0% 39.8%
Florida's 15th 47.9% 51.0%
Florida's 16th 45.1% 54.0%
Florida's 17th 41.6% 57.6%
Florida's 18th 38.1% 60.9%
Florida's 19th 39.1% 60.2%
Florida's 20th 75.9% 23.5%
Florida's 21st 45.0% 54.4%
Florida's 22nd 58.5% 40.9%
Florida's 23rd 56.3% 43.1%
Florida's 24th 74.3% 25.2%
Florida's 25th 59.7% 39.7%
Florida's 26th 40.6% 58.9%
Florida's 27th 49.6% 49.9%
Florida's 28th 46.5% 52.9%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 46.6% of Floridians lived in one of the state's nine Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 40.2% lived in one of 52 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Florida was Trending Republican, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Florida following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Florida presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 17 Democratic wins
  • 14 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R R D R R D R R R R D R R D D R R

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Florida

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Florida.

U.S. Senate election results in Florida
Race Winner Runner up
2022 57.7%Republican Party 41.3%Democratic Party
2018 50.1%Republican Party 49.9%Democratic Party
2016 52.0%Republican Party 44.3%Democratic Party
2012 55.2%Democratic Party 42.2%Republican Party
2010 48.9%Republican Party 29.7%Grey.png (Independent)
Average 53.3 40.8

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Florida

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Florida.

Gubernatorial election results in Florida
Race Winner Runner up
2022 59.4%Republican Party 40.0%Democratic Party
2018 49.6%Republican Party 49.2%Democratic Party
2014 48.1%Republican Party 47.1%Democratic Party
2010 48.9%Republican Party 47.7%Democratic Party
2006 52.2%Republican Party 45.1%Democratic Party
Average 51.0 46.5
See also: Party control of Florida state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Florida's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Florida
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 8 8
Republican 2 20 22
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 28 30

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Florida's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Florida, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Ron DeSantis
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Jeanette Nuñez
Secretary of State Republican Party Cord Byrd
Attorney General Republican Party Ashley B. Moody

State legislature

Florida State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 12
     Republican Party 28
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 40

Florida House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 36
     Republican Party 84
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twenty-five years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R I R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

The table below details demographic data in Florida and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.

Demographic Data for Florida
Florida United States
Population 21,538,187 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 53,653 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 63.8% 65.9%
Black/African American 15.5% 12.5%
Asian 2.8% 5.8%
Native American 0.3% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 4.8% 6%
Multiple 12.7% 8.8%
Hispanic/Latino 26.5% 18.7%
Education
High school graduation rate 89.3% 89.1%
College graduation rate 32.3% 34.3%
Income
Median household income $67,917 $75,149
Persons below poverty level 9.1% 8.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Two Independents caucused with the Democratic Party. Another independent, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, counted toward the Democratic majority for committee purposes.
  2. National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed July 23, 2024
  3. Florida Division of Elections, "Closed Primary Election," accessed July 23, 2024
  4. Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee.
  5. Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee.
  6. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Neal Dunn (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Anna Luna (R)
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
Republican Party (22)
Democratic Party (8)