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Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2024

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2026
2022
Florida's 16th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 26, 2024
Primary: August 20, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Florida
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Florida's 16th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th
Florida elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 16th Congressional District of Florida, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was August 20, 2024. The filing deadline was April 26, 2024.

This race was one of 75 races in 2024 that was a rematch of the 2022 election. In 2024, Democrats won 39 of these matches, while Republicans won 36 of them. Democrats won 38 of those districts in 2022, and Republicans won 37. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 62.1%-37.8%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 54.0%-45.1%.[3]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Jan Schneider in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 16 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan (R)
 
59.5
 
247,516
Image of Jan Schneider
Jan Schneider (D) Candidate Connection
 
40.5
 
168,625

Total votes: 416,141
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

Jan Schneider defeated Trent Miller in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 20, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jan Schneider
Jan Schneider Candidate Connection
 
65.7
 
23,701
Image of Trent Miller
Trent Miller Candidate Connection
 
34.3
 
12,395

Total votes: 36,096
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Eddie Speir in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 20, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan
 
60.9
 
38,789
Image of Eddie Speir
Eddie Speir Candidate Connection
 
39.1
 
24,868

Total votes: 63,657
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Vern Buchanan

WebsiteFacebook

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 


Biography:  Buchanan served six years in the Air National Guard and graduated from Cleary University with a B.B.A. in 1975. He received his M.B.A. from the University of Detroit in 1986. Before entering elected office, Buchanan ran an automobile dealership.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Buchanan said, “America’s economic strength flows from its entrepreneurial spirit and pro-growth, free-market policies.” At the time of the election, he sat on the Joint Committee on Taxation, where he said he “played a key role in passage of a sweeping tax cut bill.”


Buchanan stated he had a “strong record of fighting for veterans and military families” and referenced his previous pieces of legislation that he said helped veterans retain their G.I. Bill credits, reduced training accidents, and provided veterans free official identification cards.


Buchanan said the Lugar Center and the Center for Effective Lawmaking ranked him as one of the most bipartisan and effective members of Congress. “Nothing is impossible when you work together,” Buchanan said. “People are tired of partisan gridlock — they want action and solutions to the challenges facing our country.”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 16 in 2024.

Image of Jan Schneider

WebsiteFacebookYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Being socially liberal but fiscally conservative does not necessarily make one a walking oxymoron. I believe in the famous statement by Vice President Hubert Humphrey: “The moral test of government is how that government treats those who are in the dawn of life, the children; those who are in the twilight of life, the elderly; and those who are in the shadows of life, the sick, the needy and the handicapped.” This requires difficult choices to avoid incurring huge deficits and burdening future generations with excessive debt. One should be well informed to guide such balanced efforts. I have the education: BA summa cum laude from Brown University, MIA (International Affairs) from Columbia, and JD and PhD (Political Science) from Yale. Long involvement in politics has also afforded me useful background. Besides practicing law, I authored a book and numerous articles on contemporary issues. Board memberships have included: nationally, American Society of International Law, Council on Ocean Law, Foundation for Art and Preservation in Embassies, International Law Association, Law of the Sea Institute and Roshan Cultural Heritage Institute; and locally, Disabled American Veterans Auxiliary, First Responders for Democracy, Gulf Coast Marine Institute South, Henry Lawrence Youth Foundation, Lemon Bay Conservancy, Protect Our Waters, Suncoast Commission on the Status of Women and Sarasota-Manatee National Organization for Women. Called a wonk, I am a wonk with heart."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH. A fervent advocate for women’s rights, I believe Congress should pass legislation restoring Roe v. Wade standards nationwide. Congress should also eliminate the Hyde Amendment prohibiting use of federal funds for abortions, which discriminates against those dependent on Medicaid and other government health insurance programs. In contrast, our opponent espouses the anti-choice mantra “every American, born and unborn, has the God-given right to life.” He has consistently voted against not only access to abortion, but also to contraception and other choice measures. Recently he has taken up the line that reproductive issues must be left to the states, but Arizona showed how disastrous that can be.


SECURITY FOR SENIORS. Florida CD16 is distinctive in consistently rating so high in proportion of senior citizens. Sustaining Medicare is crucial to our district and to seniors nationwide. Our campaign supports maintaining and enhancing coverage. In contrast, our opponent has repeatedly voted to privatize Medicare by converting to a “premium support”/voucher system. We are also fighting to save Social Security. We oppose decreasing benefits or further elevating the retirement age, but support sustainability measures such as raising the taxable maximum or “cap”. In contrast, our opponent has embraced proposals that would make drastic cuts to Social Security, partially privatize it and gradually increase the normal retirement age to 70.


DEMOCRACY. Our Constitution and democratic republic are threatened. We abhor racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic notions and violence they provoke. Rejecting cooperation and civility, many politicians now indulge in hyper-partisanship. We support equality for all, including in employment, marriage, housing, justice and credit. Accordingly, we oppose voter suppression, gerrymandering and election lies. Big‐money interests are also corrupting our elections. Congress should strive to counteract the Supreme Court decision in the Citizens United case, reversing longstanding campaign finance restrictions. As the dissent observed in a related case, “[w]here enough money calls the tune, the general public will not be heard."

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Florida District 16 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Florida

Election information in Florida: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 24, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 24, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 24, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 26, 2024 to Nov. 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (EST/CST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH. A fervent advocate for women’s rights, I believe Congress should pass legislation restoring Roe v. Wade standards nationwide. Congress should also eliminate the Hyde Amendment prohibiting use of federal funds for abortions, which discriminates against those dependent on Medicaid and other government health insurance programs.

In contrast, our opponent espouses the anti-choice mantra “every American, born and unborn, has the God-given right to life.” He has consistently voted against not only access to abortion, but also to contraception and other choice measures. Recently he has taken up the line that reproductive issues must be left to the states, but Arizona showed how disastrous that can be.

SECURITY FOR SENIORS. Florida CD16 is distinctive in consistently rating so high in proportion of senior citizens.

Sustaining Medicare is crucial to our district and to seniors nationwide. Our campaign supports maintaining and enhancing coverage. In contrast, our opponent has repeatedly voted to privatize Medicare by converting to a “premium support”/voucher system.

We are also fighting to save Social Security. We oppose decreasing benefits or further elevating the retirement age, but support sustainability measures such as raising the taxable maximum or “cap”. In contrast, our opponent has embraced proposals that would make drastic cuts to Social Security, partially privatize it and gradually increase the normal retirement age to 70.

DEMOCRACY. Our Constitution and democratic republic are threatened.

We abhor racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic notions and violence they provoke. Rejecting cooperation and civility, many politicians now indulge in hyper-partisanship.

We support equality for all, including in employment, marriage, housing, justice and credit. Accordingly, we oppose voter suppression, gerrymandering and election lies.

Big‐money interests are also corrupting our elections. Congress should strive to counteract the Supreme Court decision in the Citizens United case, reversing longstanding campaign finance restrictions. As the dissent observed in a related case, “[w]here enough money calls the tune, the general public will not be heard."
Other areas of public policy about which I feel passionately:

BORDER/IMMIGRATION controls, including additional funding for border protection, better processing of asylum claims, strengthened bans on drug and human trafficking and humane treatment of asylum seekers

CLIMATE CHANGE, including increased tax credits for clean energy development and technology

ECONOMY prosperous for ALL, including fair taxes and trade

GUN SAFETY, including banning automatic weapons

HEALTH, including sustaining the Affordable Care Act

JOBS, including living wages

NATIONAL SECURITY, including aid to Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan.

SPACE program, including enhancing research and defense.

VETERANS, including fighting for healthcare and benefits.
Why would anyone want to be a member of a do-nothing, contentious, highly-politicized body with historically low approval ratings? And in the circumstances, what characteristics or principles are most important for an elected official, in particular a member of Congress, to help improve this deplorable situation?

Several qualifications are obvious, albeit somewhat rare these days. Dedication, integrity and truthfulness first come to mind, contrary to the contemporary success of the “big lie.” Seeking public office should be about desire to serve, not about personal power, selfish interests or financial gain.

One must also have an understanding of the basic nature of our representative democracy. This includes deep familiarity with the characteristics and needs of constituents, the structure and functioning of the federal government and major issues before Congress. Leadership, communication and negotiation skills are essential to achieving compromise and building consensus.

Further, compassion and civility are surely highly desirable traits, although too little practiced in contemporary government. In these divisive and troubled times, one should probably add a thick skin relatively impervious to lies, manipulations and insults.
If con is the opposite of pro, is Congress the opposite of progress? (Actually, I no longer find this "joke" funny.)


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Vern Buchanan Republican Party $1,824,539 $2,158,676 $1,049,213 As of December 31, 2024
Trent Miller Democratic Party $76,862 $79,100 $-2,238 As of December 31, 2024
Jan Schneider Democratic Party $32,723 $23,979 $40,894 As of December 31, 2024
Eddie Speir Republican Party $548,654 $542,647 $6,007 As of September 30, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Noteworthy ballot measures

See also: Florida 2024 ballot measures

Two notable ballot measures were on the November 5, 2024, ballot in Florida. One would legalize marijuana possession under three ounces (Amendment 3), and the other would establish a constitutional right to abortion before fetal viability (Amendment 4). A 60% supermajority vote is required for the approval of both amendments.

Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would increase turnout statewide.

  • Wendy Sartory Link, the Supervisor of Elections for Palm Beach County, said: “A presidential election gets people excited and brings people out. But you might have folks who may not have cared as much or been as motivated to get out to vote for a president or all of the other races. Now, these amendments might just drive them out.”[8]
  • Brad Coker, the CEO of the Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy firm, said of Amendment 4: "It'll bring out younger voters of all kinds and more white, female voters, both groups which lean heavy Democratic... It’ll definitely help turn out voters in what for many was looking like a lackluster choice in the presidential race between Biden and Trump.”[9]
  • Florida House Minority Leader Fentrice Driskell (D) said: “With voters paying more attention to down-ballot races, I’m optimistic we can have a reverse coattails effect where we start to drive turnout and help improve the numbers at the presidential level.”[10]
  • Republican pollster Ryan Tyson disputed the idea that the amendments would increase turnout for Democrats, saying of Amendment 4: "Nobody is trying to say that abortion doesn’t animate their base to turn out — we’ve seen that everywhere... However, we haven’t seen them turn out voters that wouldn’t have already turned out, like in a presidential year."[11]
  • Sen. Marco Rubio (R) said of Amendment 4: “People are going to vote, they’re going to come out and vote and I don’t think [the abortion rights measure] is going to change any turnout patterns.”[12]

Amendment 3

See also: Florida Amendment 3, Marijuana Legalization Initiative (2024)

A "yes" vote supported legalizing marijuana for adults 21 years old and older and allowing individuals to possess up to three ounces of marijuana.

A "no" vote opposed legalizing marijuana for adult use in Florida.

To read more about supporters and opponents of Amendment 3, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Amendment 4

See also: Florida Amendment 4, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024)

A "yes" vote supported adding the following language to the Florida Constitution’s Declaration of Rights: “… no law shall prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider.” Amendment 4 maintained the existing constitutional provision that permitted a law requiring parents to be notified before a minor can receive an abortion.

A "no" vote opposed amending the Florida Constitution's Declaration of Rights to provide that the state cannot "... prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s health, as determined by the patient’s healthcare provider."


To read more about supporters and opponents of Amendment 4, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Florida in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Florida, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Florida U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 5,181[15] $10,440.00 4/26/2024 Source
Florida U.S. House Unaffiliated 5,181[16] $6,960.00 4/26/2024 Source

==District analysis==

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_fl_congressional_district_016.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Florida.

Florida U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 28 28 1 101 56 9 21 53.6% 15 55.6%
2022 28 28 6 151 56 14 24 67.9% 17 73.9%
2020 27 27 2 114 54 10 19 53.7% 10 40.0%
2018 27 27 4 104 54 19 12 57.4% 11 47.8%
2016 27 27 7 100 54 11 13 44.4% 9 47.4%
2014 27 27 0 75 54 5 10 27.8% 8 29.6%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Florida in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

One hundred three candidates ran for Florida’s 28 U.S. House districts, including 42 Democrats and 61 Republicans. That’s 3.68 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.43 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.86 in 2018.

The 8th Congressional District was the only open district, meaning no incumbents filed to run. That’s the fewest open seats in Florida since 2014 when no seats were open. Incumbent Rep. Bill Posey (R-8th) did not run for re-election because he is retired from public office.

Seven candidates—incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-23rd) and six Republicans—ran for the 23rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.

Thirty primaries—nine Democratic and 21 Republican—were contested in 2024. Thirty-eight primaries were contested in 2022, 29 primaries were contested in 2020, and 31 primaries were contested in 2018.

Fifteen incumbents—two Democrats and 13 Republicans—were in contested primaries in Florida in 2024. That’s less than the 17 incumbents in contested primaries in 2022 but more than the 10 incumbents in contested primaries in 2020.

The 20th Congressional District is guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans will appear on the ballot. Democrats filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none are guaranteed to Republicans.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Florida's 16th the 177th most Republican district nationally.[17]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Florida's 16th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
45.1% 54.0%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[18] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
40.8 57.9 R+17.0

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Florida, 2020

Florida presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 17 Democratic wins
  • 14 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R R D R R D R R R R D R R D D R R
See also: Party control of Florida state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Florida's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Florida
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 8 8
Republican 2 20 22
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 28 30

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Florida's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Florida, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Ron DeSantis
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Jeanette Nuñez
Secretary of State Republican Party Cord Byrd
Attorney General Republican Party Ashley B. Moody

State legislature

Florida State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 12
     Republican Party 28
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 40

Florida House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 36
     Republican Party 84
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Florida Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twenty-five years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R I R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Jan Schneider and Ralph E. Hartman in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 16 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan (R)
 
62.1
 
189,762
Image of Jan Schneider
Jan Schneider (D)
 
37.8
 
115,575
Image of Ralph E. Hartman
Ralph E. Hartman (No Party Affiliation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
21

Total votes: 305,358
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Jan Schneider advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Martin Hyde in the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 23, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan
 
86.2
 
64,028
Image of Martin Hyde
Martin Hyde
 
13.8
 
10,219

Total votes: 74,247
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated Margaret Good in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 16 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan (R)
 
55.5
 
269,001
Image of Margaret Good
Margaret Good (D)
 
44.5
 
215,683

Total votes: 484,684
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Margaret Good advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Vern Buchanan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Florida's 16th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan defeated David Shapiro in the general election for U.S. House Florida District 16 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan (R)
 
54.6
 
197,483
Image of David Shapiro
David Shapiro (D)
 
45.4
 
164,463

Total votes: 361,946
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

David Shapiro defeated Jan Schneider in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of David Shapiro
David Shapiro
 
54.7
 
34,807
Image of Jan Schneider
Jan Schneider
 
45.3
 
28,834

Total votes: 63,641
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16

Incumbent Vern Buchanan advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Florida District 16 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Vern Buchanan
Vern Buchanan

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates



See also

Florida 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. ABC 33/40, "Abortion, marijuana ballot measures may boost Florida voter turnout" accessed June 17, 2024
  9. USA Today, "Abortion, marijuana measures raise hope for Democrats in Trump's home state" accessed June 17, 2024
  10. WCJB, "Florida Democrats optimistic about election with abortion measure on November ballot" accessed June 17, 2024
  11. The New York Times, "Democrats See Glimmers of Hope in Florida. Are They Seeing Things?" accessed June 17, 2024
  12. NOTUS, "Republicans Think Abortion Rights Supporters Will Vote for Them Too" accessed June 21, 2024
  13. Floridians Protecting Freedom, "Home," accessed May 17, 2023
  14. Florida Voice for the Unborn, "Home," accessed December 21, 2023
  15. Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  16. Average number of signatures required for all congressional districts. Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
  17. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  18. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


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