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Texas' 31st Congressional District election, 2026: Difference between revisions

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m (Text replacement - "<div style="border:solid 2px #f0a236; background-color:white; padding:10px;text-align:center">↵A three-judge panel struck down Texas' 2025 congressional map and ordered the state to use the 2021 map in the 2026 elections. Texas appealed the case to the U.S. Supreme Court, which temporarily stayed the ruling on Nov. 21, 2025. '''Click here to read more about mid-de...)
m (Text replacement - "<div style="border:solid 2px #f0a236; background-color:white; padding:10px;text-align:center">↵The U.S. Supreme Court ruled on Dec. 4, 2025, that Texas could use its 2025 congressional map in the 2026 elections, reversing a decision by a three-judge panel that ordered the state to return to the 2021 map. '''Click here to read more about mid-decade redistricting ah...)
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The U.S. Supreme Court ruled on Dec. 4, 2025, that Texas could use its 2025 congressional map in the 2026 elections, reversing a decision by a three-judge panel that ordered the state to return to the 2021 map. '''[[Redistricting ahead of the 2026 elections#States considering redistricting before the 2026 elections|Click here]] to read more about mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 elections.'''</div>
Texas redrew its congressional district boundaries in August 2025. Voters will elect representatives under the new map in 2026. '''[[Redistricting ahead of the 2026 elections#States considering redistricting before the 2026 elections|Click here]] to read more about mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 elections.'''</div>
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{{Txelectbanner26}}{{Congress election VNT
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Revision as of 20:05, 18 December 2025

Texas redrew its congressional district boundaries in August 2025. Voters will elect representatives under the new map in 2026. Click here to read more about mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 elections.
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2024
Texas' 31st Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 8, 2025
Primary: March 3, 2026
Primary runoff: May 26, 2026
General: November 3, 2026
How to vote
Poll times:

7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas

Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026
See also
Texas' 31st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th29th30th31st32nd33rd34th35th36th37th38th
Texas elections, 2026
U.S. Congress elections, 2026
U.S. Senate elections, 2026
U.S. House elections, 2026

All U.S. House districts, including the 31st Congressional District of Texas, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is March 3, 2026, and a primary runoff is May 26, 2026. The filing deadline was December 8, 2025. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list of candidates is unofficial. The filing deadline for this election has passed, and Ballotpedia is working to update this page with the official candidate list. This note will be removed once the official candidate list has been added.

General election

The primary will occur on March 3, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. Additional general election candidates will be added here following the primary.

General election for U.S. House Texas District 31

Greg Stoker is running in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 31 on November 3, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 31

Justin Early, Brian Trautner, and Stuart Whitlow are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 3, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 31

The following candidates are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 3, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Candidate profiles

There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Texas

Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
John Carter Republican Party $631,635 $254,526 $418,548 As of September 30, 2025
Justin Early Democratic Party $48,161 $43,507 $4,654 As of September 30, 2025
Brian Trautner Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Stuart Whitlow Democratic Party $32,055 $20,706 $15,000 As of September 30, 2025
William Abel Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
David Berry Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Steven Dowell Republican Party $14,744 $4,669 $10,075 As of September 30, 2025
Ed Ewald Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Abhiram Garapati Republican Party $55,000 $16,000 $39,000 As of December 31, 2025
Valentina Gomez Noriega Republican Party $27,757 $9,451 $12,406 As of September 30, 2025
Raymond Hamden Republican Party $128,296 $7,250 $120,696 As of September 30, 2025
Elvis Lossa Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Jack McConnell Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Offer Shlomi Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Mike Williams Republican Party $0 $0 $68,408 As of September 30, 2025
Greg Stoker Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Texas' 31st Congressional District election, 2026
Race trackerRace ratings
12/23/202512/16/202512/9/202512/2/2025
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillPendingPendingPendingPending
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Texas U.S. House Democratic or Republican 2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less $3,125 12/8/2025 Source
Texas U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less N/A 2/13/2026 Source


District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 31

Incumbent John Carter (R) defeated Stuart Whitlow (D) in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 31 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Carter
John Carter (R)
 
64.4
 
229,087
Image of Stuart Whitlow
Stuart Whitlow (D)  Candidate Connection
 
35.6
 
126,470

Total votes: 355,557
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary runoff

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 31

Stuart Whitlow (D) defeated Brian Walbridge (D) in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 31 on May 28, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Stuart Whitlow
Stuart Whitlow  Candidate Connection
 
68.5
 
3,512
Image of Brian Walbridge
Brian Walbridge  Candidate Connection
 
31.5
 
1,614

Total votes: 5,126
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 31

Stuart Whitlow (D) and Brian Walbridge (D) advanced to a runoff. They defeated Rick Von Pfeil (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Stuart Whitlow
Stuart Whitlow  Candidate Connection
 
48.4
 
10,023
Image of Brian Walbridge
Brian Walbridge  Candidate Connection
 
25.8
 
5,346
Image of Rick Von Pfeil
Rick Von Pfeil  Candidate Connection
 
25.8
 
5,332

Total votes: 20,701
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 31

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Carter
John Carter
 
65.3
 
55,092
Image of Mike Williams
Mike Williams
 
11.1
 
9,355
Image of Mack Latimer
Mack Latimer  Candidate Connection
 
7.8
 
6,593
Image of Abhiram Garapati
Abhiram Garapati
 
7.4
 
6,256
Image of William Abel
William Abel  Candidate Connection
 
5.2
 
4,362
Image of John Anderson
John Anderson
 
3.2
 
2,732

Total votes: 84,390
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian Party convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 31

Caleb Ferrell (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party convention for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 23, 2024.

Candidate
Image of Caleb Ferrell
Caleb Ferrell  Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 31

Incumbent John Carter (R) won election in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 31 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Carter
John Carter (R)
 
100.0
 
183,185

Total votes: 183,185
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

The Democratic primary scheduled for March 1, 2022, was canceled.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 31

Incumbent John Carter (R) defeated Mike Williams (R) and Abhiram Garapati (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 1, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Carter
John Carter
 
71.1
 
50,887
Image of Mike Williams
Mike Williams
 
19.7
 
14,115
Image of Abhiram Garapati
Abhiram Garapati  Candidate Connection
 
9.2
 
6,590

Total votes: 71,592
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 31

Incumbent John Carter (R) defeated Donna Imam (D), Clark Patterson (L), and Jonathan Scott (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 31 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Carter
John Carter (R)
 
53.4
 
212,695
Image of Donna Imam
Donna Imam (D)
 
44.3
 
176,293
Image of Clark Patterson
Clark Patterson (L)  Candidate Connection
 
2.2
 
8,922
Image of Jonathan Scott
Jonathan Scott (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
147

Total votes: 398,057
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary runoff

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 31

Donna Imam (D) defeated Christine Eady Mann (D) in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 31 on July 14, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Donna Imam
Donna Imam
 
56.6
 
21,026
Image of Christine Eady Mann
Christine Eady Mann
 
43.4
 
16,109

Total votes: 37,135
(100% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 31

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Christine Eady Mann
Christine Eady Mann
 
34.7
 
24,145
Image of Donna Imam
Donna Imam
 
30.7
 
21,352
Image of Tammy Young
Tammy Young
 
14.3
 
9,956
Michael Grimes (Withdrew, appeared on ballot)
 
10.8
 
7,542
Image of Eric Hanke
Eric Hanke  Candidate Connection
 
5.9
 
4,117
Image of Dan Janjigian
Dan Janjigian  Candidate Connection
 
3.6
 
2,471

Total votes: 69,583
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 31

Incumbent John Carter (R) defeated Mike Williams (R), Christopher Wall (R), and Abhiram Garapati (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Carter
John Carter
 
82.3
 
53,070
Image of Mike Williams
Mike Williams  Candidate Connection
 
8.6
 
5,560
Image of Christopher Wall
Christopher Wall  Candidate Connection
 
4.9
 
3,155
Image of Abhiram Garapati
Abhiram Garapati  Candidate Connection
 
4.2
 
2,717

Total votes: 64,502
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian Party convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 31

Clark Patterson (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party convention for U.S. House Texas District 31 on March 21, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Clark Patterson
Clark Patterson  Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2026 election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map used in the 2024 election next to the map in place for the 2026 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.

2024

2023_01_03_tx_congressional_district_031.jpg

2026

2027_01_03_tx_congressional_district_031.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2026
Information about competitiveness will be added here as it becomes available.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+11. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 31st the 105th most Republican district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.

2024 presidential results in Texas' 31st Congressional District
Kamala Harris Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
37.7% 59.7%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2024

Texas presidential election results (1900-2024)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R D D D R D R R R R R R R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Texas state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of October 2025.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 12 12
Republican 2 25 27
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 1 1
Total 2 38 40

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of October 2025.

State executive officials in Texas, October 2025
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Greg Abbott
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Dan Patrick
Secretary of State Republican Party Jane Nelson
Attorney General Republican Party Ken Paxton

State legislature

Texas State Senate

Party As of October 2025
     Democratic Party 11
     Republican Party 18
     Other 0
     Vacancies 2
Total 31

Texas House of Representatives

Party As of October 2025
     Democratic Party 62
     Republican Party 88
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 150

Trifecta control

Texas Party Control: 1992-2025
Three years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

See also

Texas 2026 primaries 2026 U.S. Congress elections
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Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
Vacant
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
Republican Party (27)
Democratic Party (12)
Vacancies (1)