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Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 2
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 20, 2018 |
Primary: May 15, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Pennsylvania |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican Inside Elections: Likely Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 7th (special) • 15th (special) • 18th (special) Pennsylvania elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
State Sen. Guy Reschenthaler (R) defeated businesswoman Bibiana Boerio (D) in the general election on November 6, 2018, to represent Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
The new 14th District was made up of a plurality of the old 18th District, which was won in a March 2018 special election by Conor Lamb (D).[1] However, Lamb ran for re-election in the 17th District.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Results of 2018 redistricting
On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Candidates on this page were listed under Pennsylvania’s new districts, which were used in the 2018 congressional elections. Click here for more information about the ruling.
The chart below compares this new district with the old district that was the most geographically similar to it.
Old district[2] | Prior incumbent | Prior 2016 presidential result | New 2016 presidential result |
---|---|---|---|
18th District | Conor Lamb (D) | R+19.6 | R+29.0 |
Not sure which district you're in? Find out here.
Click the box below to see how the new congressional districts compare to the ones in place before the redrawing.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 14
Guy Reschenthaler defeated Bibiana Boerio in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 14 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Guy Reschenthaler (R) | 57.9 | 151,386 |
![]() | Bibiana Boerio (D) | 42.1 | 110,051 |
Total votes: 261,437 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 14
Bibiana Boerio defeated Adam Sedlock, Bob Solomon, and Tom Prigg in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 14 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bibiana Boerio | 43.2 | 18,308 |
![]() | Adam Sedlock ![]() | 23.9 | 10,119 | |
![]() | Bob Solomon | 19.0 | 8,068 | |
![]() | Tom Prigg ![]() | 13.9 | 5,888 |
Total votes: 42,383 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 14
Guy Reschenthaler defeated Rick Saccone in the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 14 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Guy Reschenthaler | 55.2 | 23,737 |
![]() | Rick Saccone | 44.8 | 19,274 |
Total votes: 43,011 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: After graduating from Seton Hill University with a degree in textiles and design in 1975, Boerio attended the University of Pittsburgh's graduate business school, receiving an MBA in accounting and finance in 1976. Boerio then joined the Ford Motor Company's finance division, becoming chief financial officer of the company's financing subsidiary in 2000. In 2003, Boerio left Ford, joining Jaguar as managing director in 2004. In 2007, Boerio left the company, joining the staff of Rep. Joe Sestak (D) as his chief of staff until 2011, when she took up an advisory role with the Detroit Regional Chamber of Commerce. She served as interim president of Seton Hill for one year beginning in 2013.
- Boerio said that her experience in the private sector and in government "has involved working with teams to solve complex problems" and that she was not afraid of the hard work necessary to achieve solutions.[8]
- Boerio stated that she was a native of the district who left and later chose to return, saying that she is committed to the area and was determined to "make sure that we strengthen our economy AND build a quality of life for our neighbors."[8]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: No
Political office: Pennsylvania State Senate (Assumed office: 2015), Allegheny County Magesterial District Court (2013-2015)
Biography: After graduating from Pennsylvania State University and obtaining a law degree from Duquesne University, Reschenthaler joined the U.S. Navy Judge Advocate General Corps, serving in Iraq. During his time in the Navy, Reschenthaler prosecuted nearly 100 terrorists and successfully defended three SEALs.
- Reschenthaler said that he would provide conservative leadership for the 14th district. Reschenthaler's campaign kickoff video said that he was running "to stop Beltway liberals from doing more damage" and highlights his introduction of a bill in the state senate prohibiting sanctuary cities.[9]
- Reschenthaler said that he was a tested leader, pointing to his time in the Judge Advocate General Corps, during which he said he prosecuted nearly 100 terrorists and cross-examined the Butcher of Fallujah.[10]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
If you are aware of polls conducted in this race, please email us.
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bibiana Boerio | Democratic Party | $690,534 | $666,897 | $23,637 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Guy Reschenthaler | Republican Party | $1,090,673 | $1,072,888 | $17,785 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[11]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[12][13][14]
Race ratings: Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District the 94th most Republican nationally.[15]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.08. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.08 points toward that party.[16]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Bibiana Boerio
Support
Guy Reschenthaler
Support
|
Campaign themes
Bibiana Boerio
Boerio's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Bibiana Boerio knows the people of Southwestern Pennsylvania want government to work for them. Bibie grew up in Mr. Rogers’ Neighborhood in Latrobe. She will fight to make our neighborhoods better places. She will fight to make sure that we strengthen our economy AND build a quality of life for our neighbors. She will work with people who can get things done. Strengthen Our Economy – Now and for the Future
Build a Quality of Life for our Neighbors
|
” |
—Boerio for Congress[18] |
Guy Reschenthaler
Reschenthaler's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
National Security In Congress, I will fight to protect the people of southwestern PA and keep them safe. Jobs & the Economy In Congress, I’ll fight to create jobs by cutting red tape and unshackling job creators to get the people of southwestern Pennsylvania working again. Immigration In Congress, I will fight to secure our border and reform our outdated immigration system to stop the flow of drugs and opioids, crackdown on child sex trafficking, end sanctuary cities nationwide, and protect the jobs and wages of American workers. Tax Cuts & Job Acts In Congress, I will fight to make these tax cuts permanent and stop extreme liberals from raising your taxes.[17] |
” |
—Guy for Congress[19] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Bibiana Boerio Tweets by Guy Reschenthaler
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Democratic district won by Donald Trump
This district was one of 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election.[20] Some were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
2018 election results in Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | 2018 winner | 2018 margin | 2016 presidential margin | 2012 presidential margin |
Arizona's 1st | ![]() |
![]() |
D+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 |
Iowa's 2nd | ![]() |
![]() |
D+12.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 |
Illinois' 17th | ![]() |
![]() |
D+23.6 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17.0 |
Minnesota's 1st | ![]() |
![]() |
R+0.4 | Trump+14.9 | Obama+1.4 |
Minnesota's 7th | ![]() |
![]() |
D+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 |
Minnesota's 8th | ![]() |
![]() |
R+5.5 | Trump+15.6 | Obama+5.5 |
New Hampshire's 1st | ![]() |
![]() |
D+11.7 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 |
New Jersey's 5th | ![]() |
![]() |
D+11.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.1 |
Nevada's 3rd | ![]() |
![]() |
D+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 |
New York's 18th | ![]() |
![]() |
D+10.2 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 |
Pennsylvania's 8th | ![]() |
![]() |
D+9.2 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 |
Pennsylvania's 14th | ![]() |
![]() |
R+15.9 | Trump+29.0 | Romney+17.7 |
Wisconsin's 3rd | ![]() |
![]() |
D+19.4 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11.0 |
Click here to see the 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Three of 67 Pennsylvania counties—4.5 percent—are pivot counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Erie County, Pennsylvania | 1.56% | 16.03% | 19.88% | ||||
Luzerne County, Pennsylvania | 19.31% | 4.81% | 8.41% | ||||
Northampton County, Pennsylvania | 3.78% | 4.71% | 12.30% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Pennsylvania with 48.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Pennsylvania cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Pennsylvania supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 53.3 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every presidential election between 2000 and 2012, but voted Republican in 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Pennsylvania. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[23][24]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 89 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 84 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.3 points. Clinton won 19 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 114 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 20 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 119 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 28.2 points. Trump won 17 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 Presidential Results by state House District ' | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 74.23% | 24.51% | D+49.7 | 62.96% | 33.11% | D+29.8 | D |
2 | 64.16% | 34.60% | D+29.6 | 54.43% | 40.91% | D+13.5 | D |
3 | 52.42% | 46.30% | D+6.1 | 45.74% | 49.76% | R+4 | D |
4 | 47.98% | 50.56% | R+2.6 | 34.90% | 60.52% | R+25.6 | R |
5 | 39.20% | 59.23% | R+20 | 30.95% | 64.64% | R+33.7 | R |
6 | 41.46% | 56.84% | R+15.4 | 33.98% | 61.68% | R+27.7 | R |
7 | 58.14% | 40.56% | D+17.6 | 44.84% | 51.68% | R+6.8 | D |
8 | 31.90% | 66.60% | R+34.7 | 24.28% | 71.25% | R+47 | R |
9 | 47.63% | 51.12% | R+3.5 | 36.69% | 60.36% | R+23.7 | D |
10 | 45.01% | 53.45% | R+8.4 | 35.93% | 59.86% | R+23.9 | R |
11 | 34.69% | 63.96% | R+29.3 | 28.50% | 66.88% | R+38.4 | R |
12 | 29.48% | 69.55% | R+40.1 | 31.88% | 64.41% | R+32.5 | R |
13 | 43.63% | 55.27% | R+11.6 | 42.73% | 53.04% | R+10.3 | R |
14 | 38.01% | 60.67% | R+22.7 | 32.28% | 64.15% | R+31.9 | R |
15 | 37.23% | 61.54% | R+24.3 | 31.00% | 65.48% | R+34.5 | R |
16 | 53.92% | 44.73% | D+9.2 | 46.00% | 50.52% | R+4.5 | D |
17 | 42.32% | 56.30% | R+14 | 29.47% | 66.56% | R+37.1 | R |
18 | 57.88% | 40.91% | D+17 | 52.85% | 44.12% | D+8.7 | R |
19 | 86.11% | 12.84% | D+73.3 | 83.38% | 13.65% | D+69.7 | D |
20 | 61.01% | 37.46% | D+23.6 | 60.52% | 34.84% | D+25.7 | D |
21 | 57.83% | 40.46% | D+17.4 | 59.05% | 36.62% | D+22.4 | D |
22 | 76.43% | 22.64% | D+53.8 | 72.60% | 24.54% | D+48.1 | D |
23 | 73.62% | 24.04% | D+49.6 | 80.06% | 16.36% | D+63.7 | D |
24 | 90.72% | 8.31% | D+82.4 | 90.51% | 7.00% | D+83.5 | D |
25 | 51.85% | 47.12% | D+4.7 | 50.07% | 46.87% | D+3.2 | D |
26 | 45.47% | 53.34% | R+7.9 | 43.50% | 52.49% | R+9 | R |
27 | 63.70% | 34.87% | D+28.8 | 60.79% | 35.34% | D+25.5 | D |
28 | 36.63% | 62.52% | R+25.9 | 43.46% | 52.61% | R+9.2 | R |
29 | 45.87% | 53.06% | R+7.2 | 46.10% | 50.52% | R+4.4 | R |
30 | 40.91% | 58.24% | R+17.3 | 44.48% | 51.61% | R+7.1 | R |
31 | 50.76% | 48.04% | D+2.7 | 55.20% | 41.17% | D+14 | D |
32 | 60.05% | 38.99% | D+21.1 | 59.16% | 37.83% | D+21.3 | D |
33 | 49.03% | 49.75% | R+0.7 | 45.55% | 50.80% | R+5.3 | D |
34 | 68.62% | 30.16% | D+38.5 | 68.78% | 28.17% | D+40.6 | D |
35 | 63.94% | 35.20% | D+28.7 | 57.89% | 39.41% | D+18.5 | D |
36 | 60.88% | 37.46% | D+23.4 | 56.42% | 39.30% | D+17.1 | D |
37 | 28.95% | 69.66% | R+40.7 | 26.19% | 69.00% | R+42.8 | R |
38 | 50.42% | 48.41% | D+2 | 46.28% | 50.58% | R+4.3 | D |
39 | 40.59% | 58.52% | R+17.9 | 36.49% | 60.37% | R+23.9 | R |
40 | 36.83% | 62.34% | R+25.5 | 41.12% | 55.57% | R+14.4 | R |
41 | 42.46% | 56.09% | R+13.6 | 41.74% | 53.32% | R+11.6 | R |
42 | 55.31% | 43.47% | D+11.8 | 60.20% | 35.63% | D+24.6 | D |
43 | 36.53% | 62.17% | R+25.6 | 36.27% | 58.57% | R+22.3 | R |
44 | 41.51% | 57.51% | R+16 | 43.16% | 53.29% | R+10.1 | R |
45 | 51.33% | 47.58% | D+3.7 | 49.81% | 46.66% | D+3.2 | D |
46 | 44.33% | 54.63% | R+10.3 | 39.68% | 56.72% | R+17 | R |
47 | 40.06% | 58.68% | R+18.6 | 34.74% | 60.75% | R+26 | R |
48 | 45.49% | 53.23% | R+7.7 | 40.70% | 55.39% | R+14.7 | D |
49 | 49.95% | 48.61% | D+1.3 | 37.74% | 58.75% | R+21 | R |
50 | 46.33% | 52.50% | R+6.2 | 33.66% | 63.80% | R+30.1 | D |
51 | 41.10% | 57.87% | R+16.8 | 30.84% | 66.70% | R+35.9 | R |
52 | 40.85% | 57.93% | R+17.1 | 30.15% | 67.36% | R+37.2 | R |
53 | 48.81% | 49.75% | R+0.9 | 48.69% | 46.74% | D+2 | R |
54 | 36.11% | 62.89% | R+26.8 | 34.91% | 61.80% | R+26.9 | R |
55 | 39.89% | 58.83% | R+18.9 | 31.43% | 65.24% | R+33.8 | D |
56 | 34.08% | 64.90% | R+30.8 | 31.32% | 65.45% | R+34.1 | R |
57 | 36.37% | 62.35% | R+26 | 33.60% | 62.73% | R+29.1 | R |
58 | 43.41% | 55.41% | R+12 | 34.02% | 63.22% | R+29.2 | R |
59 | 31.93% | 66.81% | R+34.9 | 26.42% | 70.50% | R+44.1 | R |
60 | 30.82% | 67.77% | R+37 | 24.08% | 72.85% | R+48.8 | R |
61 | 51.45% | 47.61% | D+3.8 | 56.68% | 39.73% | D+16.9 | R |
62 | 43.10% | 55.21% | R+12.1 | 34.47% | 61.69% | R+27.2 | R |
63 | 29.59% | 68.69% | R+39.1 | 22.17% | 74.25% | R+52.1 | R |
64 | 34.96% | 63.20% | R+28.2 | 26.01% | 69.72% | R+43.7 | R |
65 | 39.55% | 58.80% | R+19.3 | 27.22% | 68.57% | R+41.4 | R |
66 | 27.05% | 71.53% | R+44.5 | 18.49% | 78.42% | R+59.9 | R |
67 | 32.35% | 65.98% | R+33.6 | 22.32% | 74.12% | R+51.8 | R |
68 | 31.27% | 66.99% | R+35.7 | 20.98% | 74.62% | R+53.6 | R |
69 | 25.99% | 72.68% | R+46.7 | 18.90% | 78.57% | R+59.7 | R |
70 | 63.08% | 35.97% | D+27.1 | 63.15% | 33.72% | D+29.4 | D |
71 | 42.84% | 55.39% | R+12.5 | 34.58% | 62.24% | R+27.7 | D |
72 | 37.01% | 61.10% | R+24.1 | 26.49% | 70.36% | R+43.9 | D |
73 | 38.10% | 60.27% | R+22.2 | 24.79% | 72.19% | R+47.4 | R |
74 | 62.76% | 36.10% | D+26.7 | 60.37% | 35.55% | D+24.8 | R |
75 | 36.38% | 62.06% | R+25.7 | 24.79% | 71.59% | R+46.8 | R |
76 | 39.88% | 58.53% | R+18.6 | 29.08% | 67.03% | R+37.9 | D |
77 | 59.83% | 37.36% | D+22.5 | 60.78% | 33.56% | D+27.2 | D |
78 | 22.54% | 76.40% | R+53.9 | 16.03% | 81.71% | R+65.7 | R |
79 | 39.22% | 59.27% | R+20 | 30.70% | 65.55% | R+34.9 | R |
80 | 26.47% | 72.45% | R+46 | 20.96% | 76.10% | R+55.1 | R |
81 | 35.33% | 63.30% | R+28 | 30.25% | 66.04% | R+35.8 | R |
82 | 26.74% | 72.05% | R+45.3 | 19.62% | 77.01% | R+57.4 | R |
83 | 38.82% | 59.70% | R+20.9 | 32.82% | 62.88% | R+30.1 | R |
84 | 26.66% | 72.04% | R+45.4 | 18.99% | 77.66% | R+58.7 | R |
85 | 35.45% | 62.97% | R+27.5 | 31.55% | 64.64% | R+33.1 | R |
86 | 33.17% | 65.18% | R+32 | 25.57% | 69.93% | R+44.4 | R |
87 | 41.20% | 57.38% | R+16.2 | 41.82% | 53.91% | R+12.1 | R |
88 | 41.23% | 57.13% | R+15.9 | 41.39% | 53.53% | R+12.1 | R |
89 | 34.19% | 64.52% | R+30.3 | 29.92% | 66.31% | R+36.4 | R |
90 | 28.09% | 70.61% | R+42.5 | 22.85% | 73.48% | R+50.6 | R |
91 | 37.65% | 60.93% | R+23.3 | 32.20% | 63.86% | R+31.7 | R |
92 | 31.91% | 66.77% | R+34.9 | 28.03% | 67.52% | R+39.5 | R |
93 | 34.53% | 63.91% | R+29.4 | 31.05% | 64.67% | R+33.6 | R |
94 | 35.78% | 62.70% | R+26.9 | 28.86% | 66.88% | R+38 | R |
95 | 65.14% | 33.21% | D+31.9 | 61.43% | 33.92% | D+27.5 | D |
96 | 74.86% | 23.26% | D+51.6 | 73.28% | 21.55% | D+51.7 | D |
97 | 40.15% | 58.50% | R+18.4 | 42.36% | 52.82% | R+10.5 | R |
98 | 37.73% | 60.63% | R+22.9 | 32.52% | 61.78% | R+29.3 | R |
99 | 28.97% | 69.60% | R+40.6 | 25.97% | 68.75% | R+42.8 | R |
100 | 34.03% | 64.51% | R+30.5 | 28.29% | 67.35% | R+39.1 | R |
101 | 39.74% | 58.92% | R+19.2 | 37.40% | 58.74% | R+21.3 | R |
102 | 31.56% | 66.91% | R+35.3 | 24.88% | 71.23% | R+46.3 | R |
103 | 81.25% | 17.74% | D+63.5 | 78.28% | 18.44% | D+59.8 | D |
104 | 46.98% | 51.71% | R+4.7 | 42.83% | 53.30% | R+10.5 | R |
105 | 45.32% | 53.34% | R+8 | 44.00% | 51.91% | R+7.9 | R |
106 | 43.98% | 54.60% | R+10.6 | 43.80% | 51.46% | R+7.7 | R |
107 | 42.37% | 55.71% | R+13.3 | 28.98% | 66.96% | R+38 | R |
108 | 34.84% | 63.47% | R+28.6 | 26.52% | 69.44% | R+42.9 | R |
109 | 42.93% | 55.31% | R+12.4 | 32.18% | 63.26% | R+31.1 | R |
110 | 38.40% | 59.80% | R+21.4 | 25.85% | 69.59% | R+43.7 | R |
111 | 39.36% | 59.14% | R+19.8 | 28.62% | 67.57% | R+39 | R |
112 | 69.10% | 29.74% | D+39.4 | 55.53% | 41.46% | D+14.1 | D |
113 | 67.49% | 31.46% | D+36 | 56.83% | 40.31% | D+16.5 | D |
114 | 58.64% | 40.26% | D+18.4 | 44.66% | 52.39% | R+7.7 | D |
115 | 64.27% | 34.56% | D+29.7 | 58.15% | 38.28% | D+19.9 | D |
116 | 40.79% | 57.87% | R+17.1 | 31.33% | 66.07% | R+34.7 | R |
117 | 41.83% | 56.50% | R+14.7 | 30.66% | 66.00% | R+35.3 | R |
118 | 55.83% | 43.08% | D+12.8 | 40.74% | 56.46% | R+15.7 | D |
119 | 51.23% | 47.10% | D+4.1 | 35.40% | 61.77% | R+26.4 | D |
120 | 53.79% | 44.76% | D+9 | 42.55% | 54.62% | R+12.1 | R |
121 | 61.17% | 37.18% | D+24 | 47.71% | 48.91% | R+1.2 | D |
122 | 44.86% | 53.22% | R+8.4 | 30.76% | 65.46% | R+34.7 | R |
123 | 51.65% | 46.75% | D+4.9 | 31.73% | 65.03% | R+33.3 | D |
124 | 37.56% | 60.67% | R+23.1 | 25.51% | 70.74% | R+45.2 | R |
125 | 36.51% | 62.03% | R+25.5 | 23.43% | 72.95% | R+49.5 | R |
126 | 63.45% | 34.97% | D+28.5 | 57.62% | 38.36% | D+19.3 | D |
127 | 80.68% | 18.33% | D+62.4 | 77.08% | 19.95% | D+57.1 | D |
128 | 41.43% | 57.06% | R+15.6 | 38.02% | 57.47% | R+19.5 | R |
129 | 41.67% | 56.89% | R+15.2 | 37.61% | 57.86% | R+20.3 | R |
130 | 42.78% | 55.70% | R+12.9 | 35.25% | 60.10% | R+24.9 | R |
131 | 44.49% | 54.03% | R+9.5 | 41.91% | 53.76% | R+11.9 | R |
132 | 65.53% | 33.25% | D+32.3 | 64.10% | 32.82% | D+31.3 | D |
133 | 59.02% | 39.41% | D+19.6 | 52.89% | 42.75% | D+10.1 | D |
134 | 43.39% | 55.42% | R+12 | 41.92% | 54.04% | R+12.1 | R |
135 | 64.54% | 34.06% | D+30.5 | 61.91% | 34.09% | D+27.8 | D |
136 | 59.36% | 39.16% | D+20.2 | 53.35% | 42.48% | D+10.9 | D |
137 | 46.66% | 52.14% | R+5.5 | 40.33% | 56.02% | R+15.7 | R |
138 | 43.63% | 55.31% | R+11.7 | 39.52% | 56.92% | R+17.4 | R |
139 | 39.33% | 59.34% | R+20 | 30.73% | 66.15% | R+35.4 | R |
140 | 63.59% | 35.05% | D+28.5 | 54.38% | 41.60% | D+12.8 | D |
141 | 62.97% | 35.53% | D+27.4 | 52.82% | 43.31% | D+9.5 | D |
142 | 49.07% | 49.78% | R+0.7 | 46.32% | 50.25% | R+3.9 | R |
143 | 45.51% | 53.19% | R+7.7 | 47.61% | 48.14% | R+0.5 | R |
144 | 44.70% | 54.17% | R+9.5 | 45.34% | 50.70% | R+5.4 | R |
145 | 44.16% | 54.36% | R+10.2 | 39.59% | 55.70% | R+16.1 | R |
146 | 50.85% | 47.96% | D+2.9 | 48.37% | 47.29% | D+1.1 | R |
147 | 43.65% | 54.97% | R+11.3 | 41.16% | 54.54% | R+13.4 | R |
148 | 60.73% | 38.33% | D+22.4 | 67.12% | 29.75% | D+37.4 | D |
149 | 60.45% | 38.56% | D+21.9 | 66.82% | 29.98% | D+36.8 | D |
150 | 49.69% | 49.13% | D+0.6 | 51.73% | 44.27% | D+7.5 | R |
151 | 50.81% | 48.28% | D+2.5 | 55.25% | 41.23% | D+14 | R |
152 | 52.27% | 46.64% | D+5.6 | 54.58% | 41.63% | D+12.9 | R |
153 | 63.65% | 35.32% | D+28.3 | 66.36% | 30.20% | D+36.2 | D |
154 | 74.52% | 24.59% | D+49.9 | 77.91% | 19.15% | D+58.8 | D |
155 | 47.56% | 51.25% | R+3.7 | 51.80% | 43.97% | D+7.8 | R |
156 | 49.44% | 49.46% | R+0 | 54.28% | 41.62% | D+12.7 | D |
157 | 52.13% | 46.72% | D+5.4 | 58.80% | 37.01% | D+21.8 | R |
158 | 48.38% | 50.45% | R+2.1 | 52.99% | 42.96% | D+10 | R |
159 | 83.68% | 15.63% | D+68 | 77.53% | 20.25% | D+57.3 | D |
160 | 46.71% | 52.30% | R+5.6 | 49.20% | 47.16% | D+2 | R |
161 | 55.77% | 43.14% | D+12.6 | 53.41% | 43.19% | D+10.2 | D |
162 | 57.37% | 41.38% | D+16 | 49.64% | 46.80% | D+2.8 | R |
163 | 55.33% | 43.45% | D+11.9 | 54.70% | 41.57% | D+13.1 | R |
164 | 82.20% | 16.96% | D+65.2 | 81.93% | 15.75% | D+66.2 | D |
165 | 48.98% | 50.02% | R+1 | 51.81% | 44.91% | D+6.9 | R |
166 | 61.53% | 37.33% | D+24.2 | 67.49% | 28.93% | D+38.6 | D |
167 | 48.42% | 50.53% | R+2.1 | 55.67% | 40.48% | D+15.2 | R |
168 | 47.78% | 51.08% | R+3.3 | 51.51% | 44.79% | D+6.7 | R |
169 | 34.04% | 64.45% | R+30.4 | 27.83% | 67.92% | R+40.1 | R |
170 | 56.95% | 42.17% | D+14.8 | 49.20% | 48.35% | D+0.9 | R |
171 | 40.68% | 57.64% | R+17 | 39.86% | 55.53% | R+15.7 | R |
172 | 59.28% | 39.77% | D+19.5 | 55.26% | 41.93% | D+13.3 | D |
173 | 64.49% | 34.35% | D+30.1 | 56.90% | 40.57% | D+16.3 | D |
174 | 61.67% | 37.38% | D+24.3 | 57.06% | 40.39% | D+16.7 | D |
175 | 79.87% | 18.59% | D+61.3 | 81.59% | 15.10% | D+66.5 | D |
176 | 50.90% | 47.71% | D+3.2 | 41.51% | 54.94% | R+13.4 | R |
177 | 65.38% | 33.22% | D+32.2 | 56.98% | 39.92% | D+17.1 | R |
178 | 42.85% | 56.21% | R+13.4 | 46.82% | 50.00% | R+3.2 | R |
179 | 92.03% | 7.63% | D+84.4 | 89.49% | 8.95% | D+80.5 | D |
180 | 91.88% | 7.78% | D+84.1 | 90.18% | 8.68% | D+81.5 | D |
181 | 94.57% | 4.54% | D+90 | 92.34% | 5.28% | D+87.1 | D |
182 | 80.77% | 17.83% | D+62.9 | 85.13% | 12.25% | D+72.9 | D |
183 | 46.31% | 52.33% | R+6 | 37.34% | 58.86% | R+21.5 | R |
184 | 74.15% | 24.62% | D+49.5 | 68.00% | 29.12% | D+38.9 | D |
185 | 81.50% | 18.03% | D+63.5 | 77.31% | 21.01% | D+56.3 | D |
186 | 92.45% | 6.89% | D+85.6 | 90.67% | 7.27% | D+83.4 | D |
187 | 41.65% | 56.98% | R+15.3 | 39.49% | 56.43% | R+16.9 | R |
188 | 92.78% | 5.93% | D+86.9 | 93.67% | 3.86% | D+89.8 | D |
189 | 52.75% | 45.91% | D+6.8 | 45.71% | 51.06% | R+5.4 | R |
190 | 97.49% | 2.19% | D+95.3 | 95.73% | 2.77% | D+93 | D |
191 | 97.46% | 2.39% | D+95.1 | 95.90% | 3.11% | D+92.8 | D |
192 | 96.72% | 3.08% | D+93.6 | 95.06% | 3.68% | D+91.4 | D |
193 | 32.78% | 65.92% | R+33.1 | 27.49% | 68.67% | R+41.2 | R |
194 | 70.09% | 28.46% | D+41.6 | 72.03% | 24.29% | D+47.7 | D |
195 | 92.86% | 6.25% | D+86.6 | 92.54% | 5.33% | D+87.2 | D |
196 | 35.76% | 62.90% | R+27.1 | 28.34% | 67.63% | R+39.3 | R |
197 | 97.04% | 2.75% | D+94.3 | 95.62% | 3.52% | D+92.1 | D |
198 | 97.73% | 1.99% | D+95.7 | 96.12% | 2.54% | D+93.6 | D |
199 | 39.71% | 58.82% | R+19.1 | 37.16% | 58.63% | R+21.5 | R |
200 | 94.69% | 4.79% | D+89.9 | 94.29% | 3.97% | D+90.3 | D |
201 | 98.24% | 1.52% | D+96.7 | 96.47% | 2.17% | D+94.3 | D |
202 | 80.92% | 18.39% | D+62.5 | 78.97% | 19.01% | D+60 | D |
203 | 96.00% | 3.80% | D+92.2 | 94.44% | 4.23% | D+90.2 | D |
Total | 52.08% | 46.68% | D+5.4 | 47.85% | 48.58% | R+0.7 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Michael F. Doyle (D) defeated Lenny McAllister (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Doyle defeated Janis Brooks in the Democratic primary on April 26, 2016. McAllister got on the ballot by securing over 1,000 write-in votes in the Republican primary.[25][26][27]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
74.4% | 255,293 | |
Republican | Lenny McAllister | 25.6% | 87,999 | |
Total Votes | 343,292 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
76.6% | 103,710 | ||
Janis Brooks | 23.4% | 31,659 | ||
Total Votes | 135,369 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State |
2014
Michael F. Doyle won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. He ran unopposed in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
100% | 148,351 | |
Total Votes | 148,351 | |||
Source: Pennsylvania Secretary of State |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Pennsylvania heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats and Republicans each held one U.S. Senate seat in Pennsylvania.
- Republicans held 12 of 17 U.S. House seats in Pennsylvania.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 11 state executive positions, while six were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of Pennsylvania was Democrat Tom Wolf.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Pennsylvania General Assembly. They had a 120-79 majority in the state House and a 33-16 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Pennsylvania was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Tom Wolf (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Pennsylvania elections, 2018
Pennsylvania held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 18 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- 25 of 50 state Senate seats
- 203 state House seats
Demographics
Demographic data for Pennsylvania | ||
---|---|---|
Pennsylvania | U.S. | |
Total population: | 12,791,904 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 44,743 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 81.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 11% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 3.1% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.1% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 6.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 89.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 28.6% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $53,599 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 15.9% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Pennsylvania. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, Pennsylvania had a population of approximately 12,800,000 people, with its three largest cities being Philadelphia (pop. est. 1.6 million), Pittsburgh (pop. est. 300,000), and Allentown (pop. est. 120,000).[28][29]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Pennsylvania Department of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Pennsylvania every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Pennsylvania 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
48.6% | ![]() |
47.9% | 0.7% |
2012 | ![]() |
52.1% | ![]() |
46.7% | 5.4% |
2008 | ![]() |
54.7% | ![]() |
44.3% | 10.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
51.0% | ![]() |
48.5% | 2.5% |
2000 | ![]() |
50.6% | ![]() |
46.4% | 4.2% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Pennsylvania 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
48.8% | ![]() |
47.3% | 1.5% |
2012 | ![]() |
53.7% | ![]() |
44.6% | 9.1% |
2010 | ![]() |
51.0% | ![]() |
49.0% | 2.0% |
2006 | ![]() |
58.7% | ![]() |
41.3% | 17.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
52.6% | ![]() |
42.0% | 10.6% |
2000 | ![]() |
52.4% | ![]() |
45.5% | 6.9% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Pennsylvania.
Election results (Governor), Pennsylvania 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
54.9% | ![]() |
45.1% | 9.8% |
2010 | ![]() |
54.5% | ![]() |
45.5% | 9.0% |
2006 | ![]() |
60.4% | ![]() |
39.6% | 20.8% |
2002 | ![]() |
53.4% | ![]() |
44.3% | 9.1% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Pennsylvania in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2025
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | _ |
See also
- Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Under swingy Pennsylvania's new map, Trump won 10 districts and Clinton 8. The old split: 12-6 Trump," February 19, 2018
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 Refers to the old district that makes up a plurality of the new district.
- ↑ The old 1st and 11th districts did not make up a plurality of any of the new districts. The 1st District went for Hillary Clinton by 61.3 percentage points and was represented by Bob Brady (D). The 11th District went for Donald Trump by 23.8 percentage points and was represented by Lou Barletta (R).
- ↑ District 13 incumbent Brendan Boyle (D) filed for re-election in the new 2nd District.
- ↑ District 17 incumbent Matt Cartwright (D) filed for re-election in the new 8th District.
- ↑ Lamb was elected in a March 2018 special election to replace Rep. Tim Murphy (R).
- ↑ Lamb filed to run for PA-17 in the 2018 election.
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Bibiana Boerio for Congress, "About Bibiana," accessed September 30, 2018
- ↑ Youtube, "Guy for Congress - Swamp Creatures," April 2, 2018
- ↑ Guy for Pennsylvania, "About Guy," accessed September 30, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Boerio for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 26, 2018
- ↑ Guy for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 26, 2018
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 8th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 17th District held by Cartwright. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 14th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 18th District Lamb won in a March 2018 special election. Tim Murphy (R) won the old 18th District in the 2016 election. Click here to read more.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Pennsylvania Department of State, "Unofficial Candidate Listing – Pre Ballot Lottery," accessed February 17, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Pennsylvania Primary Results," April 26, 2016
- ↑ Prurgent, "Lenny McAllister Wins Pittsburgh Congressional Nomination," May 10, 2016
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Pennsylvania," accessed January 3, 2018
- ↑ Pennsylvania Demographics, "Pennsylvania Cities by Population," accessed January 3, 2018