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Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2018

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Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 20, 2018
Primary: May 15, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+1
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 7th (special) • 15th (special) • 18th (special)
Pennsylvania elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

Attorney Susan Wild (D) defeated Olympic cyclist Marty Nothstein (R) and television reporter Tim Silfies (L) in the newly redistricted Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District on November 6, 2018.

Following a court-ordered redrawing of the Pennsylvania congressional map in February 2018, the new 7th District was primarily comprised of the old 15th District, represented by retiring Rep. Charlie Dent (R). The district also included portions of the old 10th and 17th Districts. It is based around Allentown, Pennsylvania.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

Both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee identified this district as a target in 2018.[1][2]

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Susan Wild defeated Marty Nothstein and Tim Silfies in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Susan Wild
Susan Wild (D)
 
53.5
 
140,813
Image of Marty Nothstein
Marty Nothstein (R)
 
43.5
 
114,437
Image of Tim Silfies
Tim Silfies (L)
 
3.0
 
8,011

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 263,261
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Susan Wild
Susan Wild
 
33.5
 
15,262
Image of John Morganelli
John Morganelli
 
30.1
 
13,754
Image of Greg Edwards
Greg Edwards
 
25.4
 
11,602
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Roger Ruggles
 
5.4
 
2,467
Image of Rick Daugherty
Rick Daugherty
 
3.9
 
1,760
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
David Clark
 
1.7
 
777

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 45,622
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7

Marty Nothstein defeated Dean Browning in the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 7 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Marty Nothstein
Marty Nothstein
 
50.5
 
16,241
Image of Dean Browning
Dean Browning
 
49.5
 
15,923

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 32,164
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Susan Wild, attorney
Susan Ellis Wild.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Wild received her B.A. from American University and J.D. from George Washington University Law School. She practiced law for several decades and was named a Pennsylvania Super Lawyer eight times. In 2015, she became president of the Bar Association of Lehigh County and the first woman solicitor of Allentown.[3]

Key messages
  • Wild said she would be a bipartisan force and consensus-builder fighting for the working class.[4][5][6] She identified Medicare and Social Security as a place she would find common ground with Republicans.[7]
  • She pointed to growing up in a military household and pursuing a legal career to show her commitment to and understanding of the concerns of the working class, including student debt and taxes.[5]




Marty Nothstein, Lehigh County commissioner
Marty Nothstein.jpeg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: No

Political office: Lehigh County Board of Commissioners (assumed office: 2016)

Biography: Nothstein was an Olympic cycling champion, winning a silver medal in 1996 and gold medal in 2000. His professional experience includes running the Valley Preferred Cycling Center and owning and working on a family farm.[8]

Key messages
  • Nothstein described himself as an outsider and small businesman committed to conservative values and his hometown of Lehigh Valley.[8][9]
  • Nothstein identified reducing regulations to promote job growth and reducing taxes as economic policies he prioritized.[10][11]




Tim Silfies, television reporter
Tim Silfies.png

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Libertarian

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: After graduating from Liberty High School, Silfies worked as a producer for Greta Van Susteren and John Stossel. He created two shows on the Fox Business Network: "The Independents" and "Kennedy." Silfies became a business reporter for WFMZ-TV.[12]

Key messages
  • Silfies said he would push for spending cuts and only vote for a balanced budget.[13]
  • Silfies said he wanted to make the tax code "flatter, simpler, and fairer." He also said most regulations "do nothing but reward the wealthy and powerful, who can easily afford to comply or have the access to lobby the government to protect them from harm. I will be the voice of our local businesses in Washington, always pushing to get the government out of your lives so you can prosper."[13]



Results of 2018 redistricting

On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Candidates on this page were listed under Pennsylvania’s new districts, which were used in the 2018 congressional elections. Click here for more information about the ruling.

The chart below compares this new district with the old district that was the most geographically similar to it.

Old district[14] Prior incumbent Prior 2016 presidential result New 2016 presidential result
15th District Charlie Dent (R) R+7.6 D+1.1

Not sure which district you're in? Find out here.

Click the box below to see how the new congressional districts compare to the ones in place before the redrawing.


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, 2018
Poll Democratic Party Susan Wild Republican Party Marty NothsteinUndecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College
October 14-18, 2018		 48%41%11%+/-5.5411
DeSales University/WFMZ-TV
September 28-October 7, 2018		 50%31%19%+/-4.5405
New York Times/Siena College
September 22-25, 2018		 50%42%8%+/-4.7539
Monmouth University
September 5-9, 2018		 47%45%8%+/-5.9401
AVERAGES 48.75% 39.75% 11.5% +/-5.15 439
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Susan Wild Democratic Party $3,320,188 $3,294,280 $25,908 As of December 31, 2018
Marty Nothstein Republican Party $985,644 $958,874 $26,770 As of December 31, 2018
Tim Silfies Libertarian Party $49,574 $49,574 $0 As of November 26, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[20][21][22]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • House Majority PAC (HMP) spent more than $304,000 on advertising against Nothstein through September 2018.[24] In October 2018, HMP spent $280,000 on a negative ad campaign against Nothstein.[25]
  • United Together spent $200,000 on advertising against Wild through September 2018.[24]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+1, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage point more Democratic than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District the 194th most Democratic nationally.[26]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[27]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.


Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available:

Campaign advertisements

Democratic Party Susan Wild

Support

"Prosecutor" - Wild campaign ad, released October 23, 2018
"Force" - Wild campaign ad, released September 12, 2018


Republican Party Marty Nothstein

Support

"Hometown Champion" - Nothstein campaign ad, released September 21, 2018

Oppose

"Terrifying" - Wild campaign ad, released October 9, 2018
"Another Yes Man" - DCCC ad, released October 1, 2018

Campaign themes

These were the policy positions listed on the candidates' websites.

Democratic Party Susan Wild

“

Quality Jobs and Economic Prosperity

It’s often said that World War II was won right here in the Lehigh Valley — thanks to the tireless work of Pennsylvania’s men and women who produced the steel that transported and protected the allied troops around the world.

In the decades since, the economy may have changed, but the grit, determination, and hard work I see every day in our communities has not. Today, anyone who is willing to work should have the chance to, and our political leaders have a responsibility to ensure Pennsylvanians benefit from the country’s economic growth.

I’m dedicated to bringing stable, high-paying jobs to our district. Here’s my plan:

  • Defend, strengthen, and support unions. When Pennsylvania workers are strong, America is strong. I will make it easier for public and private workers to exercise their right to organize. The constant attacks on our hardworking labor force and middle-class stem from the consolidation of corporate power and attempts to dismantle unions. I will work to prevent this because it's imperative that workers are guaranteed higher wages, safer working conditions, better benefits, and the right to collectively organize without fear of intimidation.
  • Invest in training, certification, and apprenticeship programs. Our economy is rapidly evolving and we need to equip Pennsylvanians — especially those without college degrees — with the tools they need to keep pace and succeed in increasingly specialized professions.

Increase federal spending on infrastructure. When we invest tax dollars in infrastructure, it’s an investment in our people, too — promoting economic growth while creating new construction and manufacturing jobs for Pennsylvanians.

  • Prevent states from enacting “right-to-work” laws. Don't be fooled by the rhetoric of Republicans — "right-to-work laws" drive down wages and reduce the economic well-being of all workers — union and nonunion alike. Wages for a typical full-time worker in right-to-work states are 3.1 percent lower and research shows that right-to-work laws have no impact on job growth. These laws are about increasing the influence of corporations, not worker freedom or job creation. Right-to-work laws silence workers' voices, reduce their power, and impede their ability to advocate for the economic interests of working people.
  • Protect the Earned Income Tax Credit, which benefits millions of hardworking American families. I will also bolster the Family and Medical Leave Act to ensure those families can stay healthy and strong.
  • Promote rural broadband infrastructure policies that expand broadband access to all communities. We can only stay on the cutting edge of the 21st Century economy if we have the technology to support it.

Protecting Medicare and Social Security

Medicare and Social Security are our nation’s solemn promises to our seniors — work hard, play by the rules, and we will make sure you get the health care and retirement security that you earned.

Unfortunately, Republicans in Congress don’t see it that way; even though you worked for those paychecks and paid your fair share into the system, Republicans view these earned benefits as entitlements that are theirs to slash and use to fund tax cuts for corporations and the super-rich. We can’t let that happen.

The federal government absolutely must live up to its end of the bargain on retirement benefits. Here’s my plan:

  • Defend Social Security. I oppose any attempt to cut benefits or privatize social security. If you’re eligible, you deserve the benefits that you earned. But again, Republicans believe Social Security is a political pawn, which is why I’ll fight to ensure that when it comes to balancing the budget or reducing government spending, we don’t do it at the expense of our seniors. This also means supporting cost-of-living adjustments and fighting against voucher schemes that prey on our most vulnerable Americans.
  • Ensure Medicare’s long-term stability. To lower costs, Congress should implement common sense reforms like implementing electronic medical records and better coordination of services.
  • Leverage Medicare’s negotiating power. Congress has, and must use, the tools to achieve lower prices, including for prescription drugs.
  • Eliminate waste, fraud, and abuse. This is yet another way to help preserve and protect Medicare for generations to come.

Health Care for All

Health care is a right, not a privilege. Pennsylvanians of every background and income level deserve access to high-quality health care. Period.

I don't believe your health insurance should be tied to your job. Employer-sponsored health insurance plans are a drain on employers, entrepreneurship, and often cause employees’ wages to be lower. We need to work toward a single-payer health care system, and in the meantime, have a public option available.

Small and mid-sized employers cannot afford the increasing costs of health insurance as well as higher wages, and employees, too, are bearing a higher percentage of their health insurance costs every year, further lowering their net income.

Growing up in a military household, I was lucky enough to have access to government health care at a young age; when I was sick, I simply saw a doctor and got treated. But far too many Americans — and thousands of residents in the 7th Congressional District — aren’t as fortunate. And that’s unacceptable. In the wealthiest nation on earth, no citizen should have to take on a second job, risk bankruptcy, or make a choice between putting food on the table and paying for health care.

There is a better way. We must:

  • Achieve true universal health care coverage. We need to achieve health care equality by ensuring everyone can see a provider and receive high-quality health care.
  • Immediately stop Republican-led efforts to take away the protections secured by the Affordable Care Act — such as those for people living with pre-existing conditions.
  • Expand Medicaid to cover more Pennsylvanians. This includes protecting the Medicaid guarantee for vulnerable children, the disabled, and the elderly.
  • Lower prescription drug costs. We can and should leverage the government’s purchasing power to cut the costs of prescription drugs, and politicians must reject the lobbying efforts of Big Pharma. This is just one of many reasons that I have taken a pledge not to accept corporate PAC money.

Opiod Epidemic

The facts are chilling: Our state is home to the country’s fourth-highest rate of drug overdose deaths. Of the nearly 5,000 drug overdose deaths in 2016, close to 85 percent involved opioids. And for every person lost to this epidemic, it not only affects their friends and family but their whole community — from businesses and the economy to schools and our health care system.

Addressing — and solving — this crisis requires (1) recognizing that drug abuse is a medical problem, not a criminal problem, and (2) proactively providing communities with the resources they need to effectively combat it.

  • Hold drug companies accountable. When Big Pharma is more interested in exploiting addiction for profits than improving public health, it’s up to Congress and the regulatory agencies it oversees to take every step it can to protect people, not corporate profits.
  • Empower and support the medical community. By expanding Medicaid in our state, Gov. Wolf provided health care to more than 125,000 Pennsylvanians suffering from addiction; additionally, he secured funding to establish 45 centers to treat more than 11,000 individuals suffering from addiction. At every turn possible, Congress should make the funds available to similarly fund programs at the federal level.
  • Put life-saving tools in professionals’ hands. In Pennsylvania, thousands of lives have been saved thanks to Gov. Wolf equipping first responders, schools, and law enforcement with the overdose-reversing antidote naloxone. Congress must work with state and local agencies and community groups to curb more needless and preventable deaths.

LGBTQ+ Issues

It’s this simple — members of the LGBTQ+ community deserve the same rights and equality under the law as all other Americans, period. The U.S. Supreme Court’s 2015 decision in Obergefell v. Hodges, which ruled that same-sex couples have the fundamental right to marry, was a watershed moment in the battle for gay rights; but as we know from the civil rights and women’s movements before it, we can’t rest there.

To achieve — and protect — true equality for LGBTQ+ Americans, we need to fight all types of institutionalized discrimination, whether in schools, the workplace, or anywhere else in our communities.

  • Pass the Equality Act. Reintroduced in 2017, this bill would amend the Civil Rights Act of 1964 to “add sex, sexual orientation, and gender identity to the list of already protected classes (joining race, color, religion and national origin).” Congress should pass this into law immediately.
  • Pass the Safe Schools Improvement Act. This bill, which Congress should also pass immediately, would require school districts to adopt codes of conduct that prohibit bullying and harassment of students.
  • Keep our military strong. Anyone — gay, straight, or transgender — who wants to put their life on the line to defend our freedoms should never be denied their own freedoms. The current administration’s attacks on transgender service members are despicable and unAmerican, and Congress should do everything in its power to end similar discrimination.
  • Be a world leader. The United States should be a moral leader for the world on LGBTQ+ issues, fighting against bigotry and intolerance. We can start this through leading by example, such as refusing to give tax dollars to anti-LGBTQ+ organizations and demanding the same from our partners and allies across the globe.

Defending the Environment

Environmental conservation used to be a bipartisan issue — from the days of Teddy Roosevelt’s Antiquities Act right through Richard Nixon creating the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and signing into law the Clean Air and Clean Water Acts. But for the past 20 years, Republicans in Congress have unleashed an assault on our environment in which attacking the scientific consensus of climate change is just the start.

This must end, and I will be a leading voice in Congress to defend our environment.

  • Fully rejoin the Paris Accord. It’s an embarrassment that we are the only nation on Earth not to sign the framework deal which aims to reduce carbon emissions. The Trump Administration’s disregard for basic science is putting America last on the global stage.

Protect our natural resources. Climate Change and the greed of Big Oil are decimating our remaining natural wonders and seashores. I will vote against further attempts to ruin our National Parks, the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, and offshore areas.

  • Incentivize renewable technologies. The future of American energy is in renewable technologies and manufacturing. If smart tax policies incentivize companies to bring renewable projects to places like the 7th Congressional District, with it will come high-paying, quality jobs, that can put us at the forefront of an emerging global market.
  • Pass the FRAC Act. Oil companies continue to hide the harmful chemical contents used when fracking for natural gas. The public deserves to know what could potentially end up in their drinking water. In Congress, I will follow Sen. Casey’s lead and vote to demand they release this information to the public.
  • Ban fracking on public lands. The effects of fracking continue to mount — from wastewater spills and air quality concerns to earthquakes where none previously existed. And the public continues to pay the price for the greed of Big Oil. I will vote to oppose any fracking on public lands.
  • Demand equity in our environmental policies. Minority and low-income communities are disproportionately affected by the locations of superfund and waste sites. Flint, Michigan is just one example. This leads to poorer health and wellness outcomes. This is unjust and I will demand equity in future projects.

Criminal Justice Reform

When the United States has less than 5 percent of the world’s population, but houses nearly one-quarter of the world’s prisoners, the system isn’t working. A country with our level of prosperity has no business having the highest incarceration rate in the world; our broken criminal justice system disproportionately affects minorities and poor communities, and is a burden on our whole society.

There are simple, bipartisan approaches we can take to reform our criminal justice system to make our communities safer, make our laws fairer, and save lives in the process:

  • End the failed "War on Drugs." The disastrous War on Drugs has been costly, deadly, and a complete failure. We must put an end to draconian minimum sentencing laws for non-violent drug offenses and recognize — as other countries have successfully done — when drugs are a public health issue, not a criminal issue.
  • Repair the damage done by racial bias. Black Americans are nearly six times more likely to be incarcerated for drug-related offenses than white Americans, despite similar substance usage rates. It's time for this kind of unconscionable disparity to end, and we can begin with outlawing racially biased laws such as "stop and frisk."
  • Remove barriers to reentry. In 2018, Governor Tom Wolf signed into law first-in-the-nation bipartisan clean slate legislation for the state of Pennsylvania, which seals non-violent criminal records and ensures individuals who have served their time do not fall into a lifetime of poverty by removing barriers to housing, education, and economic opportunity. I will support federal clean slate legislation such as "Ban the Box" initiatives and anti-recidivism programs, and I will work to ensure all individuals have a meaningful second chance after returning from prison.
  • Restore voting rights. Laws vary by jurisdiction, but nearly all U.S. states have some form of law barring formerly incarcerated individuals from voting (even though they count in census data used to determine congressional districts). Nationwide, those who have paid their debt to society must have their right to vote restored.
  • Fully legalize marijuana. Currently, marijuana is categorized as a Schedule 1 drug on the Controlled Substance list. Marijuana must be removed from the Schedule 1 category to allow for researchers to better understand its effects, risks, and benefits. Because of this, veterans are unable to receive medical marijuana at VA Hospitals, even where medical marijuana has been legalized at the state level. There is growing public support for marijuana legalization across the U.S. Thirty states have moved to reduce restrictions on marijuana, and 9 states and the District of Columbia have legalized the drug for recreational use. It's long overdue that Congress rethinks its outdated federal marijuana policies.
  • Address gun violence with common sense reforms. I will never vote to repeal the right to bear arms, but we know from recent events that there is still a long way to go to secure our communities and protect them from gun violence. Along with 90% of all Americans, I support universal background checks to keep weapons out of the hands of criminals, terrorists, and the mentally unstable, as well as banning bump stocks and raising the minimum age for gun purchases. There is nothing more important than the safety and security of our communities, and members of Congress must stand up to the gun lobby in Washington.

Campaign Finance Reform

I am proud to have taken a "No Corporate PAC Money" pledge. I believe people should decide elections, not corporate money. When dark money infects a political system, the consequences for democracy are devastating — civil society is eroded and powerful corporations go unchecked while citizens who actually make up the democracy are left behind.

Consider, for example, that over the past decade, Big Pharma invested $2.5 billion in lobbying and campaign contributions, deploying two lobbyists for every member of Congress. Sadly, but not surprisingly, it worked — we continue to see skyrocketing drug prices and a surging opioid epidemic.

The days of legalized corruption and quid-pro-quo campaign financing must end. In Congress, I will co-sign any legislation that removes the grip dark money has on our electoral and legislative process. Here’s where we can start:

  • Overturn Citizens United. The Supreme Court’s decision in Citizens United was a disaster for democracy. Money is not “free speech” and corporations are not people; we need to overturn this through a constitutional amendment.
  • Eliminate Super PACs. To truly free our democracy from the grip of dark money, we need a path toward public funding for elections. That begins with legislation that eliminates Super PACs and requires full transparency and disclosure when corporations and the wealthy funnel their money into elections.
  • Restore the full Voting Rights Act. As much as we’d like to repair our campaign finance system, even those efforts will be for naught if there is still discrimination in our voting process. Since the Supreme Court struck down the meat of the Voting Rights Act in 2013, more than a dozen states have passed laws that make voting less accessible. The reemergence of strict voter ID laws — which have historically discriminated against minority voters — is just one example of why the Voting Rights Act is still needed.

Women's Issues & Reproductive Rights

Standing up for women’s issues is one of the core principles of my campaign. I was recruited to run for this seat, and later endorsed by, EMILY’s List, the nation’s leading political action committee focused on electing pro-choice Democratic female candidates. As the only female candidate — out of the eight Republicans and Democrats — on the 7th District’s primary ballot this May, I do not take my role as an advocate and defender of women lightly.

From the right to have control over what a woman does with her body, to equal rights and protection in the workplace, I will always — always — be an advocate for women:

  • Unequivocally defend a woman’s right to choose. Roe v. Wade is legal precedent and we must fight back against any attempts by the radical Republican Congress and Justices on the Supreme Court to chip away at a woman’s right to privacy.

Stand up for women’s health at every turn. Every Democrat must also beat back any and all attempts by Republicans to defund women’s health clinics. Every woman should be able to receive effective, affordable care when she needs it — especially women with lower incomes, in rural areas with less access to care, and those who otherwise find themselves vulnerable.

  • Close the gender pay gap. We now know that increased education levels help raise women’s average pay, but still doesn’t help close the gap between what men and women earn for doing the same job. I will fight to create laws at the federal level that prevent gender pay discrimination.
  • Strengthen workplace protections for women. From the boardroom to the battlefield, and everywhere in between, women deserve equal representation and equal protection under the law. This includes clear policies and procedures that ensure no woman has to fear retribution for reporting harassment or question whether she works in a safe environment.
  • Parental leave. I support Sens. Sanders and Gillibrand’s FAMILY Act, which would guarantee at least 12 weeks of paid family and medical leave for every worker in America — which they could use to take care of a newborn or help themselves or a family member who has fallen seriously ill. Unfortunately, the Family and Medical Leave Act signed into law in 1993 fails eight in 10 workers who are eligible because they can’t afford it. The FAMILY Act would rectify this.

A statement of support for my campaign by EMILY’s List President Stephanie Schriock:

“Susan Wild is a life-long champion for women and families. Susan has dedicated her life to serving her community and during her legal career she has focused on fighting for justice and fairness. As solicitor for the city of Allentown, she was a champion for transparency and accountability – never forgetting that she was there to serve the public. The families of Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District deserve a representative who will fight for them, and Susan will do just that. This open seat is an opportunity for new leadership in the Lehigh Valley. Susan Wild will fight to ensure access to health care for all working families and economic policies that don’t mortgage our future just to give big tax breaks to corporations. Susan Wild is exactly the type of leader we need to stand up to Republicans in Washington and EMILY’s List is proud to endorse her candidacy.”

Immigration

In 2019, the new Congress must swiftly act to create a genuine, bipartisan plan for addressing our country’s broken immigration system. As your Representative, I won’t be deterred by partisan hysteria over immigration. Sensible and reasonable immigration policies will make our country safer and boost our economy.

My guidepost on this issue will always be ensuring that we remain a beacon of hope, compassion, and opportunity, through sound, workable policy solutions.

  • Give Dreamers a path to citizenship. This is the right thing to do morally and economically. I’ll work to ensure the 800,000 young people brought here when they were children, through no fault of their own, can stay here free from the fear of being deported to a place they’ve never known. They must have a real path to citizenship.
  • End and forever banish family separation policies. History will not treat our country kindly when it comes to the policies of the Trump administration that have resulted in hundreds of children being separated from their parents. This must end, and these families must be reunified immediately.
  • Oppose any further efforts to implement the Trump Travel Ban. This administration has made a series of un-American and unconstitutional attempts to stoke fear and division that will have no true impact on our homeland security. In fact, I’ve helped go against the Trump administration’s Travel Ban and won — and I’ll do it again.
  • Advocate for a border security policy that is both effective and humane. The current policy of mass ICE raids is both inhumane and ineffective. We need a border policy that keeps families together, focuses on deportations of violent offenders over hard-working families, and processes immigration cases through a fair and equitable judicial system.
  • Refuse to negotiate on political showpieces that waste taxpayer money. I will never vote for a wall along the U.S.- Mexico border. It is an absurd waste of tens of billions of taxpayer dollars that has raised numerous bipartisan concerns. Additionally, this plan has been overwhelmingly rejected by the majority of elected officials in border communities. Here in the Lehigh Valley we are looking for responsible solutions to border security, not political stunts.

Education

Education is an investment in the future, and government should treat it that way — whether it’s in the way we pay and support our teachers, how we fund public education, or how we help more students get access to quality, affordable higher education.

Fighting For Families means valuing education for every teacher and every student, no matter which zip code you live in. The following are some details on how I’d like to see us reach that goal:

  • Make college affordable. Congress needs to treat student loan debt as a threat to the country’s future prosperity. The more than $1.3 trillion currently owed by young Americans is hamstringing an entire generation — depressing entrepreneurship, preventing investments like home ownership, and hurting our economy. Affordable higher education can be achieved by increasing federal aid to states, assisting students with high costs, and holding colleges and universities accountable for skyrocketing tuition costs and fees. I will also fight against any attempts to cut funding for federal Pell grants, which decrease the need for loans.
  • Pass the Safe Schools Improvement Act. This bill, which Congress should also pass immediately, would require school districts to adopt codes of conduct that prohibit bullying and harassment of students.
  • Keep public tax dollars in public schools. The myth that “school choice” will be the tide that lifts all boats is much like the myth that tax cuts for the wealthy will “trickle down” to the middle and lower class. Tax revenue should be invested in our public schools — especially those that are struggling.
  • Empower teachers and put an end to endless testing. We should take steps to ensure teachers have autonomy in the classroom and aren’t constrained to teaching to arbitrary, high-stakes tests.
  • Inspire young women in STEM. Women hold fewer than 35 percent of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics jobs in America. Closing this gender disparity should be a goal at every level of government, and I will work to ensure federal tax dollars devoted to STEM education do so equitably among young men and women.
  • Put us on a path toward universal preschool education. When we talk about education, the conversation often focuses on K through 12. This is something I’d like to change, because we now have hard data telling us how critical education and nutrition in the first few years of life are for human development. I will fight to put us on a path toward universal preschool education for all 3 and 4 year olds.

Supporting Our Veterans

As the daughter of a man who spent his career in the United States Air Force, I know first hand that supporting our veterans with world-class health care, strong pension benefits, and the tools to smoothly transition to civilian life are just as important as — and critical to — ensuring that we continue to have the strongest military in the world.

In the United States, those who’ve put themselves in harm’s way to protect their fellow Americans should never be without the care and support they need. Here’s my plan:

  • Work with the VA. The onus is on Congress to fund the Department of Veterans Affairs to succeed in delivering easy access to high-quality medical treatment and mental health care.
  • Protect the G.I Bill. Congress must ensure the G.I. Bill — and the Post-9/11 G.I. Bill, which guarantees that all post-9/11 veterans have an opportunity to earn a college education — is continually appropriated the resources it needs to fund its goals.
  • Support military families. I know first hand the tremendous sacrifices made by the loved ones of those in uniform. In Congress I will support military spouses and children in their pursuit of education and jobs.[28]
 ”
—Wild for Congress[29]

Republican Party Marty Nothstein

“

Term Limits

Eight years is good enough for the presidency and it ought to be good enough for your congressman. Let’s face it: every race needs a finish line, and four terms is the right way to make certain our public servants don’t become career politicians. I have pledged to term limit myself, and I’ll support a Constitutional amendment to make term limits the law of the land, so our land remains governed by regular citizens, not the wealthy and well-connected.

Healthcare

Parts of Obamacare are still the law of the land, and we need to bring it to a merciful end. No law should be passed that only ends up taking away the doctor of your choice while raising rates on insurance that doesn’t meet your needs. The recent Tax Reform bill removed the individual mandate, but more needs to be done. The so-called Affordable Health Care Act is neither affordable nor does it deliver real health care. I will not let Congress drop this issue.

Tax Reform

President Trump and the conservatives in Congress took a major step toward economic freedom when they passed tax reform. Today, working families will see more in their paychecks and less going to wasteful programs for special interests. It’s a start, but we need to keep working. A simplified tax code and even lower rates will unleash the economic tiger and spur new employment, higher wages, and greater prosperity. I will work hard to keep the momentum going by making the tax cuts permanent and furthering them.

2nd Amendment

I am a hunter, gun owner, and strong supporter of our 2nd Amendment rights as a lifetime member of the NRA. I will work in Congress to prevent those who would undermine our rights.

Right To Life

I am pro-life and will work in Congress to protect this precious first right.

Border Security

There can be no nations without borders. I understand the rich heritage of immigration in America, but also know that what makes America a nation is its laws. That’s why it’s so important that our newest citizens arrive here legally, follow the Constitution, and adhere to our rules. We can’t risk giving up our own tradition as a nation of laws by suspending them. That’s why I favor the kind of border security that will preserve order and allow everybody an equal chance.

Strong National Defense

The men and women of our armed forces deserve all the support we can give them. The reason we fight wars “over there” is so we don’t have to fight them here at home. An unapologetically strong national defense is the best deterrent to the tyrants and madmen. As your congressman, I will work to make sure our active duty soldiers are completely funded so they can carry out the dangerous task at hand. I will make sure our veterans are not forgotten so they can receive effective and timely care long after their active duty ends.

Jobs and The Economy

America was founded in the spirit of democratic capitalism: the idea that free markets and free people are integral components of any successful nation. I will fight to halt the job-crushing regulations and overreach of agencies such as the EPA. I’ll challenge the Department of Education’s intrusions into local control of our schools. And I’ll keep a hawk’s eye on the regulatory agencies that too often mistake their whims for Constitutional principles. A government that allows business to grow is the only way to increase employment and raise the standard of living for our working families.

Ethics Reform

It is time to drain the swamp in Washington. For too long we’ve sent people to DC who have made a career out of it. We should prevent the revolving door between politics and lobbying that is such a corrosive force. I will be a leader in these efforts.

Opiods

The scourge of opioid addiction has claimed too many lives and torn apart too many families. I support a comprehensive federal approach: funding for treatment, punishment for pushers, and tighter oversight of the manufacturers who have put profits ahead of people. At the same time, I know that the fentanyl and heroin that soon replace prescription drugs, are coming from across our borders, and that fighting opioids means enforcement both in our hometowns and along our borders.[28]

”
—Marty for PA[30]


Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Democratic Party Susan Wild Facebook

Republican Party Marty Nothstein Facebook

Timeline

  • October 19, 2018: In a Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of 411 likely voters, Wild led Nothstein by 7 points, 48 percent to 41 percent. The margin of error was 5.5 percent.
  • October 15, 2018: House Majority PAC spent $280,000 on a negative ad campaign against Nothstein.[25]
  • October 8, 2018: In a DeSales University/WFMZ-TV poll of 405 voters, Wild led Nothstein by 19 points, 50 percent to 31 percent. The margin of error was 4.5 percent.
  • September 25, 2018: In a New York Times and Siena College poll of 539 voters, Wild led Nothstein by 8 points, 50 percent to 42 percent. The margin of error was 4.7 percent.[31]
  • September 21, 2018: Planned Parenthood Votes announced that it was targeting 24 districts, including Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District.[32]
  • September 13, 2018: Wild led Nothstein by two points, 47 percent to 45 percent, in a Monmouth University poll of 401 voters. The margin of error was 5.7 percent.[33]
  • September 12, 2018: Wild released a campaign ad focused on bipartisan healthcare, career training, and corporate taxes.[34]

Republican district won by Hillary Clinton

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Republican and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections

This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[35] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.

Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.


2018 election results in Republican-held U.S. House districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016
District Incumbent 2018 winner 2018 margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 2nd Republican Party Martha McSally Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick D+9.5 Clinton+4.9 Romney+1.5
California's 10th Republican Party Jeff Denham Democratic Party Josh Harder D+2.6 Clinton+3.0 Obama+3.6
California's 21st Republican Party David Valadao Democratic Party TJ Cox D+0.8 Clinton+15.5 Obama+11.1
California's 25th Republican Party Steve Knight Democratic Party Katie Hill D+6.4 Clinton+6.7 Romney+1.9
California's 39th Republican Party Ed Royce Democratic Party Gil Cisneros D+1.4 Clinton+8.6 Romney+3.7
California's 45th Republican Party Mimi Walters Democratic Party Katie Porter D+1.6 Clinton+5.4 Romney+11.8
California's 48th Republican Party Dana Rohrabacher Democratic Party Harley Rouda D+5.8 Clinton+1.7 Romney+11.7
California's 49th Republican Party Darrell Issa Democratic Party Mike Levin D+7.4 Clinton+7.5 Romney+6.7
Colorado's 6th Republican Party Mike Coffman Democratic Party Jason Crow D+11.2 Clinton+8.9 Obama+5.1
Florida's 26th Republican Party Carlos Curbelo Democratic Party Debbie Mucarsel-Powell D+1.8 Clinton+16.1 Obama+11.5
Florida's 27th Republican Party Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Democratic Party Donna Shalala D+6.0 Clinton+19.7 Obama+6.7
Illinois' 6th Republican Party Peter Roskam Democratic Party Sean Casten D+5.6 Clinton+7.0 Romney+8.2
Kansas' 3rd Republican Party Kevin Yoder Democratic Party Sharice Davids D+9.1 Clinton+1.2 Romney+9.5
Minnesota's 3rd Republican Party Erik Paulsen Democratic Party Dean Phillips D+11.4 Clinton+9.4 Obama+0.8
New Jersey's 7th Republican Party Leonard Lance Democratic Party Tom Malinowski D+4.7 Clinton+1.1 Romney+6.2
New York's 24th Republican Party John Katko Republican Party John Katko R+6.3 Clinton+3.6 Obama+15.9
Pennsylvania's 1st Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick[36] Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick R+2.6 Clinton+2.0 Obama+2.6
Pennsylvania's 5th Republican Party Pat Meehan[37] Democratic Party Mary Gay Scanlon D+30.2 Clinton+28.2 Obama+27.7
Pennsylvania's 6th Republican Party Ryan Costello[38] Democratic Party Chrissy Houlahan D+17.6 Clinton+9.3 Obama+3.2
Pennsylvania's 7th Republican Party Charlie Dent[39] Democratic Party Susan Wild D+11.3 Clinton+1.1 Obama+7.0
Texas' 7th Republican Party John Culberson Democratic Party Lizzie Pannill Fletcher D+5.0 Clinton+1.4 Romney+21.3
Texas' 23rd Republican Party Will Hurd Republican Party Will Hurd R+0.5 Clinton+3.4 Romney+2.6
Texas' 32nd Republican Party Pete Sessions Democratic Party Colin Allred D+6.3 Clinton+1.9 Romney+15.5
Virginia's 10th Republican Party Barbara Comstock Democratic Party Jennifer Wexton D+12.4 Clinton+10.0 Romney+1.6
Washington's 8th Republican Party David Reichert Democratic Party Kim Schrier D+6.2 Clinton+3.0 Obama+1.6


Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.

Click here to see an overview of all split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections..

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Three of 67 Pennsylvania counties—4.5 percent—are pivot counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Erie County, Pennsylvania 1.56% 16.03% 19.88%
Luzerne County, Pennsylvania 19.31% 4.81% 8.41%
Northampton County, Pennsylvania 3.78% 4.71% 12.30%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Pennsylvania with 48.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Pennsylvania cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Pennsylvania supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 53.3 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every presidential election between 2000 and 2012, but voted Republican in 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Pennsylvania. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[40][41]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 89 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 84 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.3 points. Clinton won 19 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 114 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 20 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 119 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 28.2 points. Trump won 17 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District history

On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Click here for more information about the ruling.

See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ DCCC, "Red to Blue," accessed October 10, 2018
  2. ↑ GOP, "Young Guns 2018," accessed October 10, 2018
  3. ↑ Wild for Congress, "Susan's Story," accessed September 24, 2018
  4. ↑ YouTube, "Force," September 12, 2018
  5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 Wild for Congress, "About District," accessed September 24, 2018
  6. ↑ Kim Pyler, "An Interview with Susan Wild," February 21, 2018
  7. ↑ Morning Call, "PA-7 congressional candidate Susan Wild on the issues," accessed September 24, 2018
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 Marty for PA, "About Marty," accessed September 24, 2018
  9. ↑ Marty for PA, "Home (video)," accessed September 24, 2018
  10. ↑ Morning Call, "Marty Nothstein, Republican candidate for Congress in PA-7," April 7, 2018
  11. ↑ Marty for PA, "Issues," accessed September 24, 2018
  12. ↑ Tim Silfies, "Meet Tim," accessed November 2, 2018
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 Tim Silfies, "Issues," accessed November 2, 2018
  14. ↑ 14.0 14.1 Refers to the old district that makes up a plurality of the new district.
  15. ↑ The old 1st and 11th districts did not make up a plurality of any of the new districts. The 1st District went for Hillary Clinton by 61.3 percentage points and was represented by Bob Brady (D). The 11th District went for Donald Trump by 23.8 percentage points and was represented by Lou Barletta (R).
  16. ↑ District 13 incumbent Brendan Boyle (D) filed for re-election in the new 2nd District.
  17. ↑ District 17 incumbent Matt Cartwright (D) filed for re-election in the new 8th District.
  18. ↑ Lamb was elected in a March 2018 special election to replace Rep. Tim Murphy (R).
  19. ↑ Lamb filed to run for PA-17 in the 2018 election.
  20. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  21. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  22. ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  23. ↑ 23.0 23.1 Morning Call, "National Democrats, GOP moving ad money into Lehigh Valley congressional race," October 4, 2018
  24. ↑ 24.0 24.1 OpenSecrets, "Pennsylvania District 07 Race," accessed September 24, 2018
  25. ↑ 25.0 25.1 House Majority PAC, "Republicans Found a New Yes Man: Marty Nothstein," October 15, 2018
  26. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  27. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  28. ↑ 28.0 28.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  29. ↑ Wild for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 24, 2018
  30. ↑ Marty for PA, "Issues," accessed September 24, 2018
  31. ↑ The New York Times, "We polled voters in Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District," accessed September 25, 2018
  32. ↑ Politico, "The first general election ballots are cast today," September 21, 2018
  33. ↑ Monmouth University, "Uncertain Dem Edge in CD07," September 13, 2018
  34. ↑ YouTube, "Susan Wild – Force," September 12, 2018
  35. ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
  36. ↑ The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
  37. ↑ The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
  38. ↑ The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
  39. ↑ The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
  40. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  41. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  42. ↑ Pennsylvania Department of State, "Unofficial Candidate Listing – Pre Ballot Lottery," accessed February 17, 2016
  43. ↑ The New York Times, "Pennsylvania Primary Results," April 26, 2016
  44. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Pennsylvania," accessed January 3, 2018
  45. ↑ Pennsylvania Demographics, "Pennsylvania Cities by Population," accessed January 3, 2018
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