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Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
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Virginia's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 4, 2024 |
Primary: June 18, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Virginia |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Republican Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th Virginia elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
Incumbent Jennifer Kiggans (R) defeated Missy Cotter Smasal (D) in the general election for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District on November 5, 2024.[1][2]
The Washington Post's Meagan Flynn wrote the district "...is about as middle-of-the-road as they come, full of independents and swing voters, where military service isn’t so much an advantage for candidates as it is a prerequisite."[3]
Before her election to Congress, Kiggans was a state senator from 2020 to 2022. She earned her bachelor's degree in international relations from Boston University in 1993. She served in the Navy as a helicopter pilot for 10 years. After her naval service, she used the GI Bill to return to school and became a nurse practitioner.[4][5]
Smasal earned her bachelor's degree in political science and her master's degree in education.[6] She served as a surface warfare officer during the Iraq War and owned a small business for more than a decade. She was the executive director of a nonprofit and an adjunct professor.[7]
Kiggans ran on her record, and focused on issues she said voters cared about. When asked how she won in 2022 and her re-election strategy, Kiggans said, "I was very careful and made sure I talked about the kitchen table issues, ...It goes to show you: You try to serve people, ...and they vote for that."[8] She criticized Smasal as a vote for Democratic policies that she said Virginia's voters would reject. A Kiggans representative said, "Missy Cotter Smasal is an out-of-touch liberal activist... This November, voters in southeast Virginia will once again reject Washington liberals' failed agenda and reelect Jen Kiggans..."[9]
Smasal made abortion a key campaign issue. In an interview, she said, "In Congress, I would prioritize defending and protecting reproductive rights, abortion access, and health care. I will vote to restore Roe v. Wade and guarantee that women have the freedom to make their own health care decisions."[6] Smasal criticized Kiggans' abortion stance, which she said would affect women veterans. She said, "She’s actually voted to try to prevent women in the military from being able to access reproductive care when they’re stationed in a place that takes away their bodily autonomy."[10]
NOTUS's Ryan Hernández said, "The suburban district is near the largest naval station in the country, Naval Station Norfolk. And both Kiggans and Cotter Smasal have Navy experience."[11] Both candidates made military issues central to their messaging. Kiggans' campaign focused on her record on veterans' issues. Her website states, "Jen knows how important it is for our nation to honor its promises to our veterans, which is why she successfully fought to fully fund the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) and provide them with their largest-ever budget during her first term in Congress."[12]
Smasal criticized Kiggans' record, saying she did not adequately serve the district's veterans. She said, "Virginia’s veterans deserve a member of Congress who will honor our promises, not ones, like Kiggans, who vote to take away their benefits, threaten military readiness, and use servicemembers as political leverage." Kiggans disputed these claims, and a campaign representative said, "Jen Kiggans has kept her promise to restore American strength by supporting our military and Virginia’s families."[13]
Based on third-quarter reports filed with the Federal Election Commission before the election, Kiggans raised $6 million and spent $5.2 million, and Smasal raised $2.8 million and spent $2.6 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.
Before the election, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Decision Desk HQ and The Hill, and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball each rated the general election Lean Republican, while Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales rated it Tilt Republican.
Independent Robert Reid also ran.
Virginia's 2nd Congressional District was one of 34 congressional districts with a Republican incumbent or an open seat that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) targeted in 2024. To read about DCCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of DCCC targeted districts, click here.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Democratic primary)
- Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Incumbent Jennifer Kiggans defeated Missy Cotter Smasal and Robert Reid in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jennifer Kiggans (R) | 50.7 | 207,368 |
![]() | Missy Cotter Smasal (D) | 46.9 | 191,666 | |
Robert Reid (Independent) | 2.3 | 9,197 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 471 |
Total votes: 408,702 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Missy Cotter Smasal defeated Jake Denton in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on June 18, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Missy Cotter Smasal | 70.1 | 20,480 |
![]() | Jake Denton ![]() | 29.9 | 8,732 |
Total votes: 29,212 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Jennifer Kiggans advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Virginia
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- United States House of Representatives (Assumed Office: 2023)
- Virginia State Senate (2020-2022)
Biography: Kiggans earned her bachelor's degree in international relations from Boston University in 1993. She served in the Navy as a helicopter pilot for ten years. She earned a bachelor's degree in nursing from Old Dominion University in 2011 and then received a master's degree in nursing from Vanderbilt University in 2012. She worked as a nurse practitioner after graduating.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Virginia District 2 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Smasal earned her bachelor's degree in political science from Villanova University and earned her master's degree in education from Old Dominion University. She served as a Surface Warfare Officer during the Iraq War. She owned a small business for over a decade, was the executive director of a non-profit, and was an adjunct professor.
Show sources
Sources: Virginia Scope, "A Q&A with VA-02 Democratic candidate Missy Cotter Smasal," accessed August 5, 2024, 13 News Now, "Democrat Missy Cotter Smasal launches 2024 campaign for House seat held by Jen Kiggans," accessed August 5, 2024, Associated Press, "A Navy veteran announces bid to seek Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District," accessed August 5, 2024; The Virginian-Pilot, "2nd District Democratic primary candidates: Missy Cotter Smasal and Jeremiah ‘Jake’ Denton IV," accessed August 5, 2024; Missy Cotter Smasal for Congress, "Meet Missy," accessed August 5, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Virginia District 2 in 2024.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign ads
Jennifer Kiggans
View more ads here:
Missy Cotter Smasal
View more ads here:
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[14] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[15] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[16]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[17][18][19]
Race ratings: Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Endorsements
Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
Election spending
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jennifer Kiggans | Republican Party | $6,481,318 | $6,461,351 | $45,477 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Missy Cotter Smasal | Democratic Party | $3,250,763 | $3,237,816 | $12,947 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Jake Denton | Democratic Party | $388,964 | $388,964 | $0 | As of August 14, 2024 |
Robert Reid | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[20][21][22]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Virginia.
Virginia U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 53 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 40.9% | 2 | 22.2% | ||||
2022 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 33 | 16[23] | 1 | 4 | 31.3% | 2 | 18.2% | ||||
2020 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 31 | 15[24] | 4 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 | 18.2% | ||||
2018 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 37 | 17[25] | 6 | 3 | 52.9% | 2 | 22.2% | ||||
2016 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 20[26] | 1 | 4 | 25.0% | 2 | 22.2% | ||||
2014 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 32 | 20[27] | 1 | 3 | 20.0% | 2 | 22.2% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Virginia in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 16, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Fifty-three candidates ran for Virginia’s 11 U.S. House districts, including 33 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s an average of 4.81 candidates per district.
This was also the most candidates who ran in primary elections in Virginia in the last 10 years.
The 7th and 10th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. The last time a seat was open in Virginia was in 2018 when two seats were open.
Incumbent Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-07) did not run for re-election because she will run for Governor of Virginia in 2025. Incumbent Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D-10) retired from public office.
Sixteen candidates—12 Democrats and four Republicans—ran for the open 10th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in Virginia in 2024.
Nine primaries—six Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 5.8 primaries were contested each election year.
Two incumbents—Gerald Edward Connolly (D-11) and Bob Good (R-05)—were in contested primaries in 2024. Since 2014, there have been two incumbents in contested primaries in Virginia in every election year.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 11 districts, meaning no seats are guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Virginia's 2nd the 213th most Republican district nationally.[28]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Virginia's 2nd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
50.1% | 48.2% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[29] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
47.8 | 51.1 | R+3.3 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Virginia, 2020
Virginia presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 17 Democratic wins
- 14 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Virginia's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Virginia | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Republican | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 11 | 13 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Virginia's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Virginia, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Virginia State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 21 | |
Republican Party | 19 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 40 |
Virginia House of Delegates
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 51 | |
Republican Party | 49 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Virginia Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D |
Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Virginia in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Virginia, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Virginia | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 1,000 | $3,480.00 | 4/4/2024 | Source |
Virginia | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1,000 | N/A | 6/18/2024 | Source |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Jennifer Kiggans defeated incumbent Elaine Luria in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jennifer Kiggans (R) ![]() | 51.6 | 153,328 |
![]() | Elaine Luria (D) | 48.2 | 143,219 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 442 |
Total votes: 296,989 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Garry Hubbard (G)
Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Elaine Luria advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Neil Smith (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Jennifer Kiggans defeated Jarome Bell, Tommy Altman, and Andy Baan in the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on June 21, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jennifer Kiggans ![]() | 55.7 | 23,300 |
![]() | Jarome Bell ![]() | 27.1 | 11,330 | |
![]() | Tommy Altman ![]() | 14.3 | 5,972 | |
![]() | Andy Baan ![]() | 3.0 | 1,237 |
Total votes: 41,839 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Incumbent Elaine Luria defeated Scott Taylor and David Bruce Foster in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Elaine Luria (D) | 51.6 | 185,733 |
![]() | Scott Taylor (R) | 45.8 | 165,031 | |
![]() | David Bruce Foster (Independent) ![]() | 2.5 | 9,170 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 343 |
Total votes: 360,277 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Elaine Luria advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Joseph Mota (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Scott Taylor defeated Ben Loyola and Jarome Bell in the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on June 23, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Scott Taylor | 48.5 | 25,478 |
![]() | Ben Loyola ![]() | 29.4 | 15,420 | |
![]() | Jarome Bell ![]() | 22.1 | 11,616 |
Total votes: 52,514 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Andy Baan (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Elaine Luria defeated incumbent Scott Taylor in the general election for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Elaine Luria (D) | 51.1 | 139,571 |
![]() | Scott Taylor (R) | 48.8 | 133,458 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 371 |
Total votes: 273,400 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Shaun Brown (Independent)
- Padraig-Eoin Dalrymple (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Elaine Luria defeated Karen Mallard in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on June 12, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Elaine Luria | 62.3 | 17,552 |
![]() | Karen Mallard | 37.7 | 10,610 |
Total votes: 28,162 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ernest Porter (D)
- David Nygaard (D)
- Garry Hubbard (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Incumbent Scott Taylor defeated Mary Jones in the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on June 12, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Scott Taylor | 76.0 | 28,515 |
![]() | Mary Jones | 24.0 | 8,982 |
Total votes: 37,497 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican-held U.S. House district that Biden won
This is one of 19 U.S. House districts Republicans were defending that President Joe Biden (D) won in 2020. The map below highlights those districts. Hover over or click a district to see information such as the incumbent and the presidential vote counts.
2024 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:
- Oklahoma Supreme Court elections, 2024
- Pennsylvania State Senate elections, 2024
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2024 (March 19 Republican primary)
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Decision Desk HQ, "VA US House General Election 2," accessed November 6, 2024
- ↑ The New York Times, "Virginia Second Congressional District Election Results," accessed November 6, 2024
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Analysis: Five takeaways from Virginia’s primary election results," accessed August 2, 2024
- ↑ Jen Kiggans for Congress, "About," accessed August 2, 2024
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Jen Kiggans," accessed August 2, 2024
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 The Virginian-Pilot, "2nd District Democratic primary candidates: Missy Cotter Smasal and Jeremiah ‘Jake’ Denton IV," accessed August 2, 2024
- ↑ Missy Cotter Smasal for Congress, "Meet Missy," accessed August 2, 2024
- ↑ Roll Call, "Being a lawmaker is the latest leap for career-hopping Kiggans," accessed August 4, 2024
- ↑ WTKR, "Democratic nominee Missy Cotter Smasal wins primary election," accessed August 4, 2024
- ↑ Virginia Scope, "A Q&A with VA-02 Democratic candidate Missy Cotter Smasal," accessed August 4, 2024
- ↑ NOTUS, "Democrats Think They Have a Winning Issue in This House Race: Abortion," accessed August 4, 2024
- ↑ Jen Kiggans for Congress, "Issues," accessed August 4, 2024
- ↑ Associated Press, "A Navy veteran announces bid to seek Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District," accessed August 5, 2024
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Six district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total for number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Seven district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total for number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Five district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total for number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Two district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Two district parties chose to hold nominating conventions or caucuses instead of primaries. Those are not included in the total number of possible primaries.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023