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Electoral competitiveness in Colorado, 1912-2014

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Competitiveness in
state legislatures
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The columns in the tables below for both state senates and state houses are as follow:

  • Seats: number of seats in the state legislative chamber.
  • % Seats Up: percent of seats in the state legislative chamber that are up in a particular year for the November election.
  • % Won By Dem: the percent of seats in the state legislature that were won by a Democrat.
  • % Unusable: percent of seats for the state legislative chamber that weren’t usable to compute whether a race was marginal or not for this chamber in this year because of missing data. This column usually says “0.”
  • % with 5% margin: percent of seats for a state chamber in a year that were won by 5% or less.
  • % with 10% margin: percent of seats for a state chamber in a year that were won by 10% or less.
  • % Unusable Other: percent of seats that have missing data that prevent the computation of whether an incumbent won or lost, whether an incumbent ran or not, or whether a race was uncontested. This column usually says “0.”
  • % Uncontested: percent of races in a chamber that are uncontested.
  • % Incumbent Win: percent of incumbents who ran for a state chamber in a particular year who won.
  • % With Incumbent: number of incumbents running for reelection for a state-chamber in one year, divided by the number of seats that are up for election for that state-chamber, multiplied by 100.

The columns for the “Up ballot” tab are as follows:

  • U.S. House Seats: number of U.S. House Seats that a state was apportioned in the year in question.
  • % Not Usable: percent of U.S. House Seats in the state and year that aren’t usable to compute marginality or contestation, because of something unusual about the race.
  • % With 5% Margin: percent of U.S. House races in the state and year that were won by 5% or less.
  • % With 10% Margin: percent of U.S. House races in the state and year that were won by 10% or less.
  • % Uncontested: percent of U.S. House races that were uncontested in the state and year.
  • U.S. Senate 1 Margin: difference between the percent obtained by the winner of the U.S. Senate election with the U.S. Senate candidate receiving the second most votes.
  • U.S. Senate 2 Margin: This is only recorded when a second election to the U.S. Senate was held because of a Senator not completing their term. For such elections, this is the difference between the percent obtained by the winner of the U.S. Senate election with the U.S. Senate candidate receiving the second most votes.
  • President margin: difference between the percent of votes obtained by the presidential candidate receiving the most votes in a state minus the percent of votes obtained by the presidential candidate receiving the second most votes in a state.
  • Governor margin: difference between the percent obtained by the winner of the gubernatorial election in a state with the gubernatorial candidate receiving the second most votes.

State Senate

State Senate competitiveness, Colorado
Year Seats % Seats up % Won by Dem % Unusable % With 5% margin % With 10% margin % Unusuable other % Uncontested % Incumbent win % With incumbent % of Dem inc winning % of Repub inc winning
1968 35 51.4 33.3 0 0 16.7 0 11.1 75 66.7 62.5 100
1970 35 48.6 47.1 0 17.6 23.5 0 23.5 88.9 52.9 100 85.7
1972 35 51.4 27.8 0 11.1 22.2 0 22.2 92.3 72.2 100 88.9
1974 35 51.4 61.1 0 22.2 27.8 0 11.1 70 55.6 50 83.3
1976 35 51.4 38.9 0 11.1 22.2 0 22.2 100 50 100 100
1978 35 48.6 35.3 0 5.9 11.8 0 35.3 88.9 52.9 80 100
1980 35 51.4 38.9 0 5.6 11.1 0 27.8 100 72.2 100 100
1982 35 51.4 38.9 0 5.6 16.7 0 38.9 87.5 44.4 100 80
1984 35 54.3 21.1 0 5.3 10.5 0 52.6 100 57.9 100 100
1986 35 48.6 35.3 0 17.6 17.6 0 29.4 100 58.8 100 100
1988 35 54.3 26.3 0 5.3 21.1 0 31.6 100 52.6 100 100
1990 35 48.6 41.2 0 0 11.8 0 35.3 100 70.6 100 100
1992 35 51.4 50 0 11.1 27.8 0 33.3 83.3 66.7 100 77.8
1994 35 48.6 41.2 0 17.6 23.5 0 29.4 90.9 64.7 100 87.5
1996 35 54.3 47.4 0 21.1 26.3 0 31.6 88.9 47.4 66.7 100
1998 35 48.6 41.2 0 11.8 41.2 0 17.6 100 35.3 100 100
2000 35 54.3 57.9 0 21.1 42.1 0 5.3 83.3 31.6 100 66.7
2002 35 48.6 41.2 0 17.6 23.5 0 29.4 100 47.1 100 100
2004 35 51.4 61.1 0 11.1 16.7 0 16.7 90.9 61.1 100 80
2006 35 51.4 55.6 0 5.6 11.1 0 11.1 77.8 50 100 50
2008 35 54.3 68.4 0 10.5 26.3 0 10.5 100 42.1 100 100
2010 35 54.3 52.6 0 21.1 31.6 0 5.3 100 42.1 100 100
2012 35 57.1 65 0 10 30 0 0 100 45 100 100
2014 35 51.4 38.9 0 33.3 38.9 0 22.2 88.9 50 80 100

State House

State House competitiveness, Colorado
Year Seats % Seats up % Won by Dem % Unusable % With 5% margin % With 10% margin % Unusuable other % Uncontested % Incumbent win % With incumbent % of Dem inc winning % of Repub inc winning
1968 65 100 40 0 10.8 26.2 0 12.3 91.5 72.3 78.9 100
1970 65 100 41.5 0 13.8 33.8 0 15.4 93.9 75.4 94.1 93.8
1972 65 100 43.1 0 18.5 24.6 0 13.8 97.4 58.5 100 95.2
1974 65 100 60 0 20 36.9 0 10.8 81.8 67.7 90 78.3
1976 65 100 46.2 0 13.8 24.6 0 16.9 87 83.1 80.6 100
1978 65 100 43.1 0 1.5 15.4 0 27.7 93 66.2 94.1 92.3
1980 65 100 40 0 9.2 23.1 0 26.2 87.8 75.4 79.2 96
1982 65 100 38.5 0 16.9 23.1 0 30.8 90 61.5 92.9 88.5
1984 65 100 27.7 0 7.7 13.8 0 35.4 89.8 75.4 76.5 96.9
1986 65 100 38.5 0 13.8 20 0 26.2 85.7 75.4 92.3 83.3
1988 65 100 40 0 10.8 18.5 0 29.2 96.1 78.5 90.9 100
1990 65 100 40 0 10.8 21.5 0 24.6 89.3 86.2 87.5 90.6
1992 65 100 47.7 0 10.8 13.8 0 16.9 97.7 66.2 100 96.3
1994 65 100 36.9 0 7.7 16.9 0 20 88.7 81.5 79.2 96.6
1996 65 100 36.9 0 7.7 20 0 29.2 97.7 67.7 100 96.9
1998 65 100 38.5 0 10.8 20 0 23.1 100 61.5 100 100
2000 65 100 41.5 0 13.8 24.6 0 18.5 93 66.2 87.5 96.3
2002 65 100 43.1 0 20 29.2 0 24.6 93.9 75.4 90.5 96.4
2004 65 100 53.8 0 10.8 18.5 0 23.1 93.5 70.8 100 88
2006 65 100 60 0 7.7 18.5 0 23.1 92.5 61.5 100 76.9
2008 65 100 58.5 0 6.2 13.8 0 13.8 97.8 70.8 96.3 100
2010 65 100 49.2 0 12.3 20 0 16.9 87.2 72.3 81.5 100
2012 65 100 56.9 0 3.1 13.8 0 3.1 89.5 58.5 100 80
2014 65 100 52.3 0 10.8 27.7 0 20 93.6 72.3 90 100

Up ballot

Up ballot competitiveness, Colorado
Year U.S. House Seats % Not usable % With 5% margin % With 10% margin % Uncontested U.S. Senate 1 margin U.S. Senate 2 margin President margin Governor margin
1912 22.5
1916 27.2
1920 24.6
1924 44.4
1928 31.2
1932 13.9
1936 23.9 11.1
1938 12.2
1940 2.6 9.5
1942 14.2 1.1 12.9
1944 12.8 6.8 4.8
1946 4 0 25 50 0 4.2
1948 4 0 75 75 0 34.7 5.4 32.7
1950 4 0 50 50 0 6.5 5.2
1952 4 0 50 50 0 21.5 14.7
1954 4 0 0 50 0 2.6 7.1
1956 4 0 25 50 0 0.4 20.9 2.7
1958 4 0 25 50 0 16.8
1960 4 0 25 25 0 7.5 9.8
1962 4 0 0 25 0 8.1 14.1
1964 4 0 50 50 0 23.2
1966 4 0 50 50 0 16.1 10.8
1968 4 0 50 75 0 17.1 10
1970 4 0 0 25 0 7.4
1972 5 0 40 40 0 1.1 28.8
1974 5 0 40 40 0 18.3 7.6
1976 5 0 40 60 0 11.9
1978 5 0 20 40 0 18.5 20.8
1980 5 0 0 0 0 1.7 27.9
1982 6 0 0 16.7 0 34.9
1984 6 0 0 16.7 16.7 30 28.7
1986 6 0 33.3 33.3 0 1.6 17.3
1988 6 0 0 0 0 7.9
1990 6 0 0 16.7 0 14.4 27.2
1992 6 0 0 0 0 9.6 5.6
1994 6 0 0 0 16.7 17.8
1996 6 0 0 0 0 5.1 1.5
1998 6 0 16.7 16.7 0 28.2 0.9
2000 6 0 0 0 33.3 9
2002 7 0 14.3 14.3 0 4.6 30.1
2004 7 0 14.3 28.6 0 4.9 4.7
2006 7 0 14.3 14.3 14.3 17.3
2008 7 0 0 0 0 10.8 9.1
2010 7 0 14.3 14.3 0 1.7 16.7
2012 7 0 14.3 14.3 14.3 5.5
2014 7 0 0 14.3 14.3 2.1 3.5

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Click on a different state below for more detailed data on electoral competitiveness.
http://ballotpedia.org/Competitiveness in STATE state legislative elections