New York's 27th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 12
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. and close at 9:00 p.m.
A Republican Party primary election took place on June 26, 2018, in New York's 27th District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
Incumbent Chris Collins advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 27 on June 26, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 27
Candidate | ||
| ✔ |  | Chris Collins |
| ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Frank Smierciak (R)
- Jim Banks (R)
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+11, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New York's 27th Congressional District the 121st most Republican nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.10. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.10 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3]
Republicans
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New York heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in New York.
- Democrats held 17 of 27 U.S. House seats in New York.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held 5 of 11 state executive positions, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of New York was Democrat Andrew Cuomo. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the New York State Legislature. They had a 104-41 majority in the state Assembly and a 32-31 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- New York was a Democratic trifecta, meaning that the Democratic Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: New York elections, 2018
New York held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 18 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Two lower state executive positions
- 63 state Senate seats
- 150 state Assembly seats
- Municipal elections in New York, Buffalo, and Erie County
Demographics
| Demographic data for New York | ||
|---|---|---|
| New York | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 19,747,183 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 47,126 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 64.6% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 15.6% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 8% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.9% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 18.4% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 85.6% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 34.2% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $59,269 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 18.5% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New York. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, New York's three largest cities were New York (pop. est. 8,622,698), Hempstead (pop. est. 774,959), and Brookhaven (pop. est. 486,170).[4][5]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New York from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the New York State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New York every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), New York 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Hillary Clinton |
59.0% | Donald Trump |
36.5% | 22.5% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
63.3% | Mitt Romney |
35.2% | 28.1% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
62.9% | John McCain |
36.0% | 26.1% |
| 2004 | John Kerry |
58.4% | George W. Bush |
40.1% | 18.3% |
| 2000 | Al Gore |
60.2% | George W. Bush |
35.2% | 25.0% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New York from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), New York 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Chuck Schumer |
70.7% | Wendy Long |
27.1% | 43.6% |
| 2012 | Kirsten Gillibrand |
67.6% | Wendy Long |
24.7% | 42.9% |
| 2010 | Chuck Schumer |
64.0% | Jay Townsend |
31.1% | 32.9% |
| 2008 | Hillary Clinton |
67.0% | John Spencer |
31.0% | 36.0% |
| 2004 | Chuck Schumer |
71.2% | Howard Mills |
24.2% | 47.0% |
| 2000 | Hillary Clinton |
55.3% | Rick Lazio |
43.0% | 22.3% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New York.
| Election results (Governor), New York 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Andrew Cuomo |
50.3% | Rob Astorino |
40.3% | 10.0% |
| 2010 | Andrew Cuomo |
61.0% | Carl Paladino |
32.5% | 28.5% |
| 2006 | Eliot Spitzer |
65.3% | John Faso |
27.1% | 38.2% |
| 2002 | George Pataki |
49.4% | Carl McCall |
33.5% | 15.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New York in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, New York 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 9 |
33.3% | 18 |
66.7% | D+7 |
| 2014 | 9 |
33.3% | 18 |
66.7% | D+7 |
| 2012 | 6 |
22.2% | 21 |
77.8% | D+15 |
| 2010 | 8 |
27.6% | 21 |
72.4% | D+13 |
| 2008 | 3 |
10.3% | 26 |
89.6% | D+23 |
| 2006 | 6 |
20.7% | 23 |
79.3% | D+17 |
| 2004 | 9 |
31.0% | 20 |
69.0% | D+9 |
| 2002 | 10 |
34.5% | 19 |
65.5% | D+9 |
| 2000 | 12 |
38.7% | 19 |
61.3% | D+7 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
New York Party Control: 1992-2025
Nine years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Assembly | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2018
- United States House elections in New York (2018 Republican primaries)
- New York's 27th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ New York Demographics, "New York Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts New York," accessed September 4, 2018
