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North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024

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2026
2022
North Carolina's 10th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 15, 2023
Primary: March 5, 2024
Primary runoff: May 14, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in North Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
North Carolina's 10th Congressional District
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North Carolina elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 10th Congressional District of North Carolina, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024, and a primary runoff was May 14, 2024. The filing deadline was December 15, 2023. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 72.6%-27.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 57.4%-41.4%.[3]

This is one of 45 open races for the U.S. House in 2024 where an incumbent did not run for re-election. Across the country, 24 Democrats and 21 Republicans did not run for re-election. In 2022, 49 representatives did not seek re-election, including 31 Democrats and 18 Republicans.

North Carolina conducted redistricting between the 2022 and 2024 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. To review how redistricting took place in North Carolina and to see maps of the new districts, click here. For a list of all states that drew new district lines between 2022 and 2024, click here.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Pat Harrigan defeated Ralph Scott Jr., Steven Feldman, and Todd Helm in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pat Harrigan
Pat Harrigan (R)
 
57.5
 
233,814
Image of Ralph Scott Jr.
Ralph Scott Jr. (D)
 
38.2
 
155,383
Image of Steven Feldman
Steven Feldman (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.9
 
11,614
Image of Todd Helm
Todd Helm (Constitution Party) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
5,884

Total votes: 406,695
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Ralph Scott Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Pat Harrigan defeated Grey Mills Jr., Brooke McGowan, Charles Eller, and Diana Jimison in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pat Harrigan
Pat Harrigan
 
41.2
 
36,028
Image of Grey Mills Jr.
Grey Mills Jr.
 
38.9
 
34,000
Image of Brooke McGowan
Brooke McGowan Candidate Connection
 
10.1
 
8,795
Image of Charles Eller
Charles Eller Candidate Connection
 
6.9
 
6,076
Image of Diana Jimison
Diana Jimison Candidate Connection
 
2.9
 
2,535

Total votes: 87,434
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Steven Feldman advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10.

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Steven Feldman

WebsiteFacebookXYouTube

Party: Libertarian Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Steve Feldman is a physician, a medical scientist, and a voice for peace & justice. With his research on health care delivery, he has been rated the #1 expert in the world on dermatology and has worked with physicians in other specialties, insurers, patient advocates, and pharmaceutical company executives (Diane Sawyer interviewed him about his research on Good Morning America). Feldman’s experiences in medicine have led him to try to see how others perceive things, leading to his book Compartments which had a profound influence on the Presbyterian Church Middle East Study Committee Report, Breaking Down the Walls. Feldman hopes to bring a fresh perspective to Congress, to help people see their common goals and to work across divides to shrink government, reduce Federal debt, and let people live their lives as they want without hurting others. Feldman has lived in North Carolina for over 40 years and trained at both Duke and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. He and his wife Leora have been married for 40 years. They have two sons, one a sportswriter and the other a graduate student studying statistics."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


We share many goals but may disagree on how what policies will best achieve those goals. We should work together, compromise, and not denigrate the motivations of others.


The massive and growing national debt, increasing under both Democratic and Republican administrations, is a threat to our nation and the future of our children


Our military should defend our borders and should not be used to tell other people how to live their lives.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 in 2024.

Image of Todd Helm

Website

Party: Constitution Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am a son, a husband, and a father to three adult children. In the 1970’s, I met Jesus; he changed my life; he is the most important truth that I have to share. The decision to marry was, for me, a great decision. My wife is my closest friend and most precious asset. I enjoy growing plants and animals. I believe America is a wonderful nation, and I find it to be a privilege to meet my neighbors and to participate in our democracy. I am an INDEPENDENT. If elected, I will caucus with the Republicans, but I will listen to every citizen and vote with common sense as an independent candidate is free to do and must do. I will hold both parties accountable to make government function again."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


We can balance the federal budget. DEBT is the biggest issue facing America today. Our national security depends on balancing the budget and getting our economy back on a stable foundation. Strong people live within their means, and America is a nation of strong people. The one act that will have the greatest impact on our economy and on our culture of government is to balance the federal budget. Doing that will give consumers confidence again; It will stop inflation; it will fulfill the social contract that citizens in America have with Congress. You see, it is the job of congress to write and to pass a balanced budget. Writing and passing and functioning with a balanced budget will force all of us to work together.


We can fix immigration. America is a nation of legal immigrants. We should insist on 100% legal, orderly immigration. We should stop accepting asylum claims at the border. People from all over the world want to come here. We must persevere in talking to each other, write new laws, and enforce laws that protect our citizens and that allow us to compete for and grow our labor force.


We can get matters regarding Life and Family right. Human sexuality fits within the framework of marriage. The goal of marriage is one man, one woman, one lifelong union. We must stop using tax dollars to promote and protect abortion and homosexuality. Children need a father and a mother. Children are not a commodity. When we place children through adoption or foster care into a home with a mother and a father, we do good. I do not support placing children into any other style home. Children are not a consumable good that can be had by one who demands. Parents are in charge of children and those in authority must protect. My goal for my time in office is to fix immigration and to balance the federal budget.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in North Carolina

Election information in North Carolina: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 2, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 11, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 11, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 17, 2024 to Nov. 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:30 a.m. - 7:30 p.m. (EST)


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

We share many goals but may disagree on how what policies will best achieve those goals. We should work together, compromise, and not denigrate the motivations of others.

The massive and growing national debt, increasing under both Democratic and Republican administrations, is a threat to our nation and the future of our children

Our military should defend our borders and should not be used to tell other people how to live their lives.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

We can balance the federal budget. DEBT is the biggest issue facing America today. Our national security depends on balancing the budget and getting our economy back on a stable foundation. Strong people live within their means, and America is a nation of strong people. The one act that will have the greatest impact on our economy and on our culture of government is to balance the federal budget. Doing that will give consumers confidence again; It will stop inflation; it will fulfill the social contract that citizens in America have with Congress. You see, it is the job of congress to write and to pass a balanced budget. Writing and passing and functioning with a balanced budget will force all of us to work together.

We can fix immigration. America is a nation of legal immigrants. We should insist on 100% legal, orderly immigration. We should stop accepting asylum claims at the border. People from all over the world want to come here. We must persevere in talking to each other, write new laws, and enforce laws that protect our citizens and that allow us to compete for and grow our labor force.

We can get matters regarding Life and Family right. Human sexuality fits within the framework of marriage. The goal of marriage is one man, one woman, one lifelong union. We must stop using tax dollars to promote and protect abortion and homosexuality. Children need a father and a mother. Children are not a commodity. When we place children through adoption or foster care into a home with a mother and a father, we do good. I do not support placing children into any other style home. Children are not a consumable good that can be had by one who demands. Parents are in charge of children and those in authority must protect. My goal for my time in office is to fix immigration and to balance the federal budget.
1. Reducing government debt. We need to leave our children a country in better shape, including financially, than we found it.

2. I am passionately anti-war. War is immoral, counterproductive, and costly. We should defeat our enemies by making them our friends. 3. We need to be nice to and respectful of others. People of all political persuasions share similar goals and can work together to achieve them. We have good human beings across the political spectrum. We generally have similar goals, although we may disagree (sometimes passionately) on the best way to achieve those goals. Talmudic wisdom says we don’t see things as they are, we see things as we are; our backgrounds affect how we perceive things. All our politicians want to institute policies that they believe are good for American families. We can work together, recognizing our shared goals. We can carefully and respectfully try to understand and consider the positions of others, learn why they think what they do, compromise with each other when there are disagreements on policies, and try different approaches in different places. 4. The best way to influence others is to be a good role model, not to use government force. People should be free to do what they want as long as it doesn’t hurt others.

5. Medicare and Social Security need to be on solid financial footings.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

I am concerned with fiscal policy, how government spending and taxation impact the economy. I am concerned with social policy. Republicans and Democrats and Hollywood have failed to articulate the truth about human sexuality. Their platforms, their messages, are faulty. The U.S. government is being used to teach that sinful choices are “not that bad.” Choices that have negative consequences are being protected as if the decision to sin were a human right. Some people choose to drink alcohol to the point of being drunk, but no one ever used the government to teach that alcoholism is “a protected right or a lifestyle that is commendable.” In a similar way, government support for the LBGTQ agenda should stop.
I look up to Martin Luther King, Jr. He ended the terrible mistreatment of people by being peaceful and reaching out to people's shared values. I think we can all learn from his example.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

Clarence Jordan is one of my heroes. In the 1940’s, he paid black farm labor the same as he paid white farm labor. He addressed the reality of racism in the way he lived his life. Clarence Jordan is a wonderful example of boldness, perseverance, and compassion. Robert E. Lee and Ulysses S. Grant are two of my heroes. They ended the civil war and kept it from becoming a guerilla war. Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich are two of my heroes. They cooperated and balanced the federal budget for four years. John Patton is one of my heroes. He was an outstanding athlete, and he has a humble attitude.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

Elected officials should pray. Prayer changes things. With prayer we confess our sin as individuals and as a nation and we move on in repentance to stop repeating the errors that have made us stumble in the past. With prayer, we listen closely and are able to get in step with what God is doing. Elected officials should be men and women who pray.

Elected officials should understand that God provides. It is God who sends the rain on our fields and causes our crops to produce. God gives men and women the capacity to work and produce wealth. Since God is the one who provides, we can live with contentment. There is enough money. As stewards of what God provides, we can concentrate on managing and using wisely the good things that come from God’s hand. Elected officials should know that God provides.

Elected officials should be ready to give an account. Elected officials must be ready to make clear decisions, to be patient, and to stand firm. Grumbling against one another will be judged. Those in authority must protect the citizens whom they oversee. All of us must give an account. It is the role of government to commend those who do good and to punish those who do evil. Elected officials must be ready to give an account.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

In Numbers 25, we learn about Boldness. Now God is holy and God does not tolerate false gods who would compete with the one true God for glory and honor. In Numbers 25, a man named Phinehas acts with boldness and because of his obedient action, the Bible says, “the plague against Israel was stopped; but those who died in the plague numbered 24,000.” Boldness is not about violence. Boldness is zeal that leads us as individuals and as a community to right action. With boldness, not by hesitation and indecision, we are to protect our families, our communities and our nation. I aspire to act with boldness.

In Numbers 7, we learn about Perseverance. When Moses and the people of Israel finished setting up the tent in which they would offer sacrifices to God, they anointed it and consecrated it and all its furnishings. They called the tent the Tabernacle. Then, for 12 days, the 12 tribes brought offerings for the dedication of the altar. The story tells the name of each leader, and we read in detail the content of each set of gifts. Numbers 7 is a story of obedience and perseverance and when we get to the end of the chapter, we see the result. Those people persisted in doing what they knew was the right thing to do. I aspire to act with perseverance.

In Joshua 22, we learn about Compassion. Now Israel was composed of 12 tribes. At one point in their history, 2 and a half of those tribes built an altar, a huge and imposing altar, in their land. When the other 9 and a half tribes heard this news, they were ready to go to war. As the soldiers prepared to do battle, the leaders sent Phinehas to investigate. Phinehas asked a question that every father needs to know how to ask: “What are you doing?” Phinehas listened and talked with those with whom he had a conflict. He took his report back to the soldiers. The Bible says, “They were glad to hear the report and praised God. And they talked no more about going to war.” I aspire to act with compassion.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

My goal for my time in office is to fix immigration and to balance the federal budget.
I remember seeing the aftermath of the Kennedy assassination on a black & white TV in 1963. I was 5 years old at the time.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

Apollo 11 was a spaceflight that took place July 16 – 24, 1969. It was the first time that humans walked on the moon. I was four at the time. Perhaps I remember it as the memory was reinforced by and is associated with other spaceflights when school or family gathered around a TV to watch. The contrast of being able to place men on the moon in 1969 with great technical know-how and at great expense to the nation and yet, in 1983, not knowing in how to stop homelessness or to end famine has remained with me all my life. I studied International relations and I run an organization of private citizens who ask, “What shall we do in a hungry world?”
I had a summer job cleaning in a bakery in high school. I was so proud of getting a biweekly paycheck.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

My first job was working for Don Shaw at Comfort Supply, a heating and cooling contractor. I made $3.15 per hour, and I worked there for three summers doing maintenance at rental properties, cleaning a coin laundry facility, running a weed eater, and doing whatever I was asked to do. I ended that job after the summer of 1983 making $3.25 per hour.
Yes, I think experience is, generally, helpful. Knowing how the system works is helpful. When I finished medical school at Duke, I did internship at the same institution. Knowing how Duke worked helped me and my patients. I'm sure that having experience in government is beneficial.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

Yes, if you have a candidate who shares your values and who has previous experience then that may be a strategic or comparative advantage. But, our system is broken, and we need to change our culture of government. We need new and non-traditional approaches. Government is a tremendously large shared venture. Representatives make common sense, principle based, decisions on the direction in which government should move. Newcomers as well as experienced persons can learn to work effectively in politics.
Our greatest challenge will be getting the Federal debt under control. Without a strong financial basis, every other aspect of Federal government (national defense, paying our oblgations) will be weakened.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

We must balance the federal budget. We must begin to manage our debt crisis by deciding to stop adding more debt. At this historical moment when our society experiences deep difference, we must talk to each other and go forward together. I am not a soldier or a doctor or a lawyer. I am just a farmer who has spent 20 years engaging a culture of people who shared a worldview very different than my own and finding initiatives that we could work on together. Private citizens solve problems. Experience relating to people who are deeply different than me is my highest qualification to serve for this term as representative of the 10th Congressional District.
I think 2 years is very reasonable especially if that time is used productively. Longer terms have the advantage of giving representatives more time to know each other and work together, but the shorter term is good for holding representatives accountable to the voters.
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Todd Helm (Constitution)

Yes.
I don't feel strongly about term limits. On the one hand, I think it is good to have change, but I think it is often best to leave that to the voters.
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Todd Helm (Constitution)

Voters must vote their conscience. The idea of contractual governance teaches me that when the two traditional parties do not give me the legislative results that I want, I should vote them out and put a new representative in place. Our system allows for the voters to rise up and change our elected officials every two years. In 2024, we need a change. If we keep on electing republicans and democrats, then we will keep getting the same result: a budget out of balance, gridlock instead of control at the border, failure to enforce the debt limit and immigration law, and a widening disrespect for our police force and for those who are in authority in our schools and towns and families.
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Todd Helm (Constitution)

Representative Paul Ryan and Senator Rand Paul are two elected officials that I admire.
Absolutely yes. People have similar goals but often disagree (passionately) on the policies that will best achieve those goals. We should not denigrate the motivations of others. Instead, listening carefully and respectfully to why they think what they do will be more productive.

The issue of abortion may be the best example of this. I strongly believe the government should not regulate women’s control of their own bodies, and I know murder is wrong. I respect the beliefs of people who think that a fetus is a baby; I don’t have the certainty that the fetus is a baby or is not a baby. People who want to protect unborn babies do not want to control women’s bodies; they just want to prevent the murder of unborn babies; people who don’t want the government to impose on women’s control of their own bodies don’t want to kill babies; they just want women to have autonomy over their bodies. There’s a conflict between these two views. . Some compromise may be reasonable. Putting pro-Choice and pro-Life advocates in a room together to come up with a reasonable compromise would be my preference. Keeping government out of funding abortions seems a reasonable start to me. Making abortion illegal after a certain period of gestation seems reasonable to me. Having different rules in different states depending on the views of the people in those different places seems reasonable to me. I don’t think there’s any one correct answer to this problem.

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Todd Helm (Constitution)

In order to make laws, elected representatives must form coalitions, make compromises in line with principles, and work together to vote good legislation forward. However, voters should not compromise their values to get behind a major party platform or candidate. I am running for office so that my neighbors and I would not have to compromise our values for the sake of agreeing with a traditional party. When voters compromise and fail to vote their conscience, they send false signals to representatives, and it results in policy making that diverges more and more from the will of the people.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ToddHelm2024.jpeg

Todd Helm (Constitution)

Congress must pass a budget that causes money coming in (tax revenue) to equal or to exceed money going out (government spending). In moving to that goal, federal tax revenue and expense by state should be evaluated. Some states are net receivers of federal benefits while other states are net donors. Each department of the federal government must be prepared to uniformly cut programs until the budget is in balance. Line item veto power should be restored to the President as a guard against irresponsible behavior by congress in the future. Based on 2023 figures, money going out was $6.1 trillion or 22.7% of GDP. Money coming in was $4.4 trillion or 16.5% of GDP. The deficit, $1.7 trillion or 6.3% of GDP must be erased over two years. In other words, congress must extract 1.7 trillion from the economy over two years. Congress must reduce federal spending by 0.85 trillion each year, for two years. This is a reduction of $850 billion each year for two years. Taking away that much money from the overall economy will create a shock. In order to follow this gradual approach, the debt ceiling must be raised by one trillion, and no more. We must elect representatives who will lead us back to a normal set of expectations for government, cut spending, negotiate for a balanced budget, and steer our economy back to a sustainable path.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Ralph Scott Jr. Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Charles Eller Republican Party $18,376 $18,376 $0 As of June 30, 2024
Pat Harrigan Republican Party $1,915,655 $1,936,861 $52,841 As of December 31, 2024
Diana Jimison Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Brooke McGowan Republican Party $21,183 $20,861 $322 As of December 31, 2024
Grey Mills Jr. Republican Party $1,537,315 $1,537,315 $0 As of December 31, 2024
Todd Helm Constitution Party $24,657 $24,226 $431 As of December 31, 2024
Steven Feldman Libertarian Party $181,429 $164,167 $17,262 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
North Carolina U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 5% of registered voters in the same party or 8,000, whichever is greater[8] $1,740.00 12/15/2023 Source
North Carolina U.S. House Unaffiliated 10,000[9] $1,740.00 3/5/2024 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2024 election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map used in the 2022 election next to the map in place for the 2024 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.

2022

2023_01_03_nc_congressional_district_010.jpg

2024

2025_01_03_nc_congressional_district_010.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Carolina.

North Carolina U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 14 14 5 64 28 2 11 46.4% 4 44.4%
2022 14 14 4 100 28 9 13 78.6% 7 70.0%
2020 13 13 3 64 26 8 5 50.0% 3 30.0%
2018 13 13 0 56 26 10 7 65.4% 8 61.5%
2016 13 13 1 74 26 6 10 61.5% 9 75.0%
2014 13 13 3 60 26 8 9 65.4% 6 60.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Carolina in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/10/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.


Sixty-four candidates filed to run for North Carolina’s 14 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 15 Democrats and 49 Republicans. That’s 4.6 candidates per district, less than the 7.14 candidates per district in 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in North Carolina increased from 13 to 14.

In 2020, when the state still had 13 Congressional districts, 4.9 candidates filed to run. In 2018, 4.3 candidates filed, and, in 2016, 5.7 did.

The 2024 election was the first to take place under new district lines that the North Carolina General Assembly adopted on October 25, 2023.

The 64 candidates who filed to run in 2024 were fewer than the 100 who ran in 2022. In 2020, 64 candidates also ran, although North Carolina had one fewer district then. Fifty-six candidates ran in 2018, the decade low.

Five seats were open in 2024, one more than in 2022 and a decade high.

Reps. Jeff Jackson (D-14th) and Dan Bishop (R-8th) did not run for re-election in order to run for state attorney general, while Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-10th) retired from public office. Reps. Kathy Manning (D-6th) and Wiley Nickel (D-13th), who did not run for re-election either, cited the partisan lean of their redrawn districts as the reason.

Fifteen candidates—one Democrat and 14 Republicans—ran for the open 13th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024. Thirteen primaries—two Democratic and 11 Republican—were contested. That was fewer than the 22 contested primaries in 2022, and tied with 2020 as the lowest number of contested primaries this decade. As a percentage of all possible primaries, the 13 contested primaries in 2024 were the lowest this decade (46%). North Carolina had 13 districts in 2020, making the 13 contested primaries that year 50% of all possible major party primaries.

Four incumbents—one Democrat and three Republicans—faced primary challengers. The 3rd and 6th Congressional districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+10. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 10th the 146th most Republican district nationally.[10]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in North Carolina's 10th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
41.4% 57.4%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[11] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
40.5 58.7 R+18.2

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in North Carolina, 2020

North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 18 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D D D D D R R D R R R R R R R D R R R
See also: Party control of North Carolina state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 4 4
Republican 2 10 12
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 14 16

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in North Carolina, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Roy Cooper
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Mark Robinson
Secretary of State Democratic Party Elaine Marshall
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Stein

State legislature

North Carolina State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 20
     Republican Party 30
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

North Carolina House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 48
     Republican Party 72
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated Pamela Genant and Diana Jimison in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry (R)
 
72.6
 
194,681
Image of Pamela Genant
Pamela Genant (D) Candidate Connection
 
27.3
 
73,174
Image of Diana Jimison
Diana Jimison (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
110
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
242

Total votes: 268,207
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Pamela Genant defeated Michael Felder in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pamela Genant
Pamela Genant Candidate Connection
 
77.5
 
13,028
Image of Michael Felder
Michael Felder Candidate Connection
 
22.5
 
3,790

Total votes: 16,818
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated Gary Robinson, Michael Magnotta, Jeff Gregory, and Richard Speer in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry
 
68.1
 
49,973
Gary Robinson
 
15.9
 
11,671
Image of Michael Magnotta
Michael Magnotta Candidate Connection
 
6.4
 
4,703
Image of Jeff Gregory
Jeff Gregory
 
5.0
 
3,649
Image of Richard Speer
Richard Speer
 
4.6
 
3,381

Total votes: 73,377
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated David Parker in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry (R)
 
68.9
 
284,095
Image of David Parker
David Parker (D) Candidate Connection
 
31.1
 
128,189

Total votes: 412,284
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. David Parker advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated David Johnson and Ralf Walters in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry
 
71.7
 
62,661
David Johnson
 
16.3
 
14,286
Image of Ralf Walters
Ralf Walters Candidate Connection
 
12.0
 
10,484

Total votes: 87,431
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated David Wilson Brown in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry (R)
 
59.3
 
164,969
Image of David Wilson Brown
David Wilson Brown (D)
 
40.7
 
113,259

Total votes: 278,228
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

David Wilson Brown advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
Image of David Wilson Brown
David Wilson Brown

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry
 
70.7
 
34,173
Image of Gina Collias
Gina Collias
 
13.8
 
6,664
Image of Jeff Gregory
Jeff Gregory
 
7.7
 
3,724
Image of Ira Roberts
Ira Roberts
 
3.5
 
1,701
Seth Blankenship
 
3.0
 
1,443
Image of Albert Wiley Jr.
Albert Wiley Jr.
 
1.3
 
616

Total votes: 48,321
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.



See also

North Carolina 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee.
  9. Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee.
  10. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  11. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


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