Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District election, 2024

	2026 → ← 2022
Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: February 13, 2024
	Primary: April 23, 2024; General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
	Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.; Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Toss-up; DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Democratic; Inside Elections: Tilt Republican; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
	Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District; U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th ; Pennsylvania elections, 2024; U.S. Congress elections, 2024; U.S. Senate elections, 2024; U.S. House elections, 2024; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Pennsylvania 2024 elections

U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Attorney General • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Special state legislative • Local ballot measures • How to run for office

Incumbent Scott Perry (R) defeated Janelle Stelson (D) in the general election for Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District on November 5, 2024.

In 2022, Perry defeated Shamaine Daniels (D) 53.8% to 46.2%. On the same ballot, Josh Shapiro (D) defeated Doug Mastriano (R) in the district by 12 percentage points in the state's gubernatorial election.^[1]

Before the election, The Washington Post's Colby Itkowitz wrote, "While most Republicans who voted against certifying the 2020 results represent safe red districts, Perry’s district is more of a bellwether...Democrats say they can beat Perry this time with a stronger candidate and a more targeted message tying the congressman to extremism and Jan. 6, as Shapiro successfully did against Mastriano. Perry’s campaign said it sees that as a fantasy."^[2] According to The Philadelphia Inquirer, Perry's campaign tried to tie Stelson to the Biden-Harris administration's policies and criticized her for living outside the district.^[3]

Perry was first elected to the House in 2013. He was a member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives from 2007 to 2012, and chairman of the Carroll Township Planning Commission. According to his campaign website, Perry enlisted in the U.S. Army in 1980 and retired as a brigadier general in 2019.^[4]

Perry ran on his record, military career, and personal story. His campaign website said, "Scott Perry brings a unique background of hard work, small business, military leadership and community involvement to the U.S. House of Representatives...He’s the grandson of Colombian immigrants, and the son of a single mom who fled two abusive situations and worked several jobs to survive and support her children."^[4] Perry's website said he supported policies to lower taxes and regulations for businesses, replace the Affordable Care Act, and reduce government spending.^[5]

Stelson was a former anchor at WGAL-TV, reporter, and weather anchor. Before her broadcast career, Stelson's first job was writing speeches for the Egyptian embassy in Washington, D.C.^[6]

Stelson ran on her experience reporting on the district. Her campaign website said, "For nearly 40 years, I’ve been listening to and advocating for our communities as a TV news anchor and reporter. You have trusted me to shine a light on our issues, big and small. Now, with our basic rights and democracy under attack, I’m joining the fight. You deserve a Representative in Congress who will fight for your freedoms and work hard to make life more affordable for middle class families."^[7] Stelson's website said she wanted to restore Roe v. Wade abortion protections, lower costs, and ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks, serving more than six terms, and becoming lobbyists after they retire.^[7]

Based on third-quarter reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Perry raised $3.9 million and spent $3.5 million, and Stelson raised $5.4 million and spent $4.7 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.

Before the election, four major election forecasters differed in their ratings for the general election, with one rating it Lean Republican, one rating it Tilt Republican, one rating it Lean Democratic, and one rating it a toss-up.

Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District was one of 34 congressional districts with a Republican incumbent or an open seat that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) targeted in 2024. To read about DCCC targeting initiatives, click here. For a complete list of DCCC targeted districts, click here.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.^[8] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.^[9] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 53.8%-46.2%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 51.3%-47.2%.^[10]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Incumbent Scott Perry defeated Janelle Stelson in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on November 5, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Scott Perry (R)	50.5	205,567
	Janelle Stelson (D)	49.3	200,434
	Other/Write-in votes	0.2	937

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2	Total votes: 406,938
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on April 23, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Janelle Stelson	43.7	26,591
	Mike O'Brien	23.2	14,103
	Shamaine Daniels	14.4	8,773
	Rick Coplen	9.0	5,464
	Blake Lynch	5.6	3,388
	John Broadhurst	3.8	2,322
	Other/Write-in votes	0.3	208

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2	Total votes: 60,849
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Bob Forbes (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Incumbent Scott Perry advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on April 23, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Scott Perry	95.3	61,596
	Other/Write-in votes	4.7	3,043

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2	Total votes: 64,639
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Pennsylvania

Election information in Pennsylvania: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

In-person: Oct. 21, 2024
By mail: Received by Oct. 21, 2024
Online: Oct. 21, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Varies to Oct. 29, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST)

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Scott Perry

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office:

U.S. House of Representatives (Assumed office: 2013)
Pennsylvania House of Representatives (2007-2012)

Biography: Perry received a bachelor's degree from Penn State University and a master's degree from the U.S. Army War College. He enlisted in the Army in 1980 and retired in 2019 as a brigadier general.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Perry campaigned on his economic record: "As a former small business owner for many years, I know that excessive taxes and over-regulation prevent small businesses from creating jobs. ... Since being elected to Congress, I’ve continued the fight to block excessive government regulations that make it harder for small businesses to grow and plan for the future."

Perry's campaign website said he supported replacing the Affordable Care Act: "Everyone should have access to affordable health insurance, which is why I supported repealing of the ACA and replacing it with a healthcare system that covers pre-existing conditions, reduces the cost of prescription drugs and allows individuals and their doctors to make healthcare decisions, not insurance companies and the government."

Perry's campaign website said he supports policies to reduce spending: "Our National debt has skyrocketed to over $20 trillion, and it’s unsustainable. ... We must stop spending money we don’t have. I’ve supported many efforts to responsibly reduce spending, balance the federal budget and make government more accountable to hard-working American taxpayers."

Show sources

Sources: Scott Perry 2024 campaign website, "Issues," accessed September 5, 2024; LinkedIn, "Scott Perry," accessed September 5, 2024; Scott Perry 2024 campaign website, "About Scott," accessed September 5, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 in 2024.

Janelle Stelson

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography: Stelson received a bachelor's degree from the University of Puget Sound. Stelson's professional experience included working as a reporter, weather anchor, and news anchor.

Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Stelsons spoke about her experience working as a news anchor for WGAL-TV 8. She said, "In terms of electability, this area knows me because I've been listening for nearly 40 years and telling their stories."

Stelson said she ran because she disapproved of incumbent U.S. Rep. Scott Perry's job in Congress. In a campaign ad, Stelson said, "I cannot stand by and watch Perry continue to sow chaos, preach extremism, and spout conspiracy theories, so I am running for Congress."

Stelson said she would bring together Democrats, Independents, and Republicans. In a campaign ad, she said her stances on abortion issues and workers' issues would appeal to Democrats, her stances on democracy and law enforcement would appeal to Republicans, and her willingness to work across party lines would appeal to Independents.

Show sources

Sources: ABC27.com, "Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District Democratic Primary Debate," March 6, 2024; Jannelle Stelson for Congress, "Meet Janelle," accessed April 4, 2024; Janelle Stelson for Congress, "Meet Janelle," accessed April 4, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Campaign ads

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Scott Perry

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Scott Perry while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Janelle Stelson

October 4, 2023

View more ads here:

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.^[11] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."^[12] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.

FiveThirtyEight

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[13]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[14]^[15]^[16]

Race ratings: Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 5, 2024	October 29, 2024	October 22, 2024	October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Lean Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill	Lean Democratic	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Tilt Republican	Tilt Republican	Tilt Republican	Tilt Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean Republican	Lean Republican	Lean Republican	Lean Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name

Party

Receipts*

Disbursements**

Cash on hand

Date

Scott Perry

Republican Party

$4,528,661

$4,619,860

$81,919

As of December 31, 2024

Janelle Stelson

Democratic Party

$6,516,973

$6,506,818

$10,156

As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.^[17]^[18]^[19]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate	By election
Scott Perry Janelle Stelson	Open Secrets Federal Election Commission

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Competitiveness
Presidential elections

State party control

Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested Democratic primaries	Contested Republican primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	17	17	0	45	34	4	2	17.6%	3	17.6%
2022	17	17	2	48	34	5	6	32.4%	2	13.3%
2020	18	18	0	51	36	6	5	30.6%	2	11.1%
2018	18	18	7	84	36	13	8	58.3%	6	54.5%
2016	18	18	2	44	36	4	5	25.0%	4	25.0%
2014	18	18	2	46	36	6	3	25.0%	2	12.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Pennsylvania in 2024. Information below was calculated on April 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Forty-five candidates ran for Pennsylvania’s 17 U.S. House districts, including 25 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s 2.65 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 2.82 candidates per district in 2022, 2.83 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.66 in 2018.

No districts were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election.

Seven candidates ran for the 10th Congressional District, the most candidates that ran for a district in 2024. The candidates included Republican incumbent Scott Perry and six Democrats.

Seven primaries—four Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024, the fewest this decade.

Three incumbents—two Democrats and one Republican—were in contested primaries. That’s higher than in 2022 and 2020 when two incumbents faced challengers, respectively.

The 3rd Congressional District was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed to run.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+5. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 10th the 191st most Republican district nationally.^[20]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Pennsylvania's 10th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
47.2%	51.3%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[21] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
46.3	50.8	R+4.6

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)

14 Democratic wins
16 Republican wins
1 other win

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	R	R	R	P^[22]	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	D

See also: Party control of Pennsylvania state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	1	7	8
Republican	1	10	11
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	17	19

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Pennsylvania, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Josh Shapiro
Lieutenant Governor	Austin Davis
Secretary of State	Al Schmidt
Attorney General	Michelle Henry

State legislature

Pennsylvania State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	22
	Republican Party	28
	Independent	0
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		50

Pennsylvania House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	101
	Republican Party	100
	Other	0
	Vacancies	2
Total		203

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D
Senate	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Pennsylvania	U.S. House	Ballot-qualified party	1,000	$150.00	2/13/2024	Source
Pennsylvania	U.S. House	Unaffiliated	2% of votes cast in the district in the last election	$150.00	8/1/2024	Source

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.