United States Senate election in Ohio, 2024 (March 19 Republican primary)

← 2022
U.S. Senate, Ohio
Democratic primary Republican primary General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 20, 2023
Primary: March 19, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 Pre-election incumbent: Sherrod Brown (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in Ohio
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up DDHQ and The Hill: Toss-up Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
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Bernie Moreno (R) defeated Matt Dolan (R) and Frank LaRose (R) in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate in Ohio on March 19, 2024. Moreno received 49.1% of the vote to Dolan's 32.9% and LaRose's 17.9%.

Moreno ran against incumbent Sherrod Brown (D), who ran for a fourth term.

Dolan was, at the time of the election, an attorney and state legislator who ran on his legislative record. Dolan said he was the best-positioned candidate to win the general election because his opponents "have routinely broken their promises to voters and committed gaffes that place Republican efforts to defeat Sherrod Brown and take back the U.S. Senate in jeopardy." As of March 15, 2024, Gov. Mike DeWine (R), former U.S. Sen. Rob Portman (R), and four current and two former state legislators had endorsed Dolan.

LaRose was, at the time of the election, the Ohio Secretary of State and a former state legislator. LaRose said he was the "battle-tested conservative with the experience, work ethic, consistent record, and sense of service to make a difference." LaRose said he was the only candidate to have never lost a statewide primary or election and the only candidate to have never registered as a Democrat. As of March 15, 2024, two members of the U.S. House and nine state legislators had endorsed LaRose.

Moreno was, at the time of the election, a businessman with a background in auto sales. Moreno said he was running because "for too long, the men and women who move Ohio forward, American workers, have been left behind by career politicians like Sherrod Brown and Joe Biden." Moreno compared himself to former President Donald Trump (R), who endorsed him. As of March 15, 2024, 14 members of the U.S. Senate, six members of the U.S. House, Ohio Attorney General Dave Yost (R), and Club for Growth PAC had endorsed Moreno.

As of March 15, 2024, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, and Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball each rated the general election a toss-up. Brown won re-election 53%-47% in 2018, but other recent statewide elections favored Republicans. Brown was, at the time of the election, "the only Democrat who has won a statewide election in Ohio since 2006, aside from the state Supreme Court."

This page focuses on Ohio's United States Senate Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

• United States Senate election in Ohio, 2024 (March 19 Democratic primary)
• United States Senate election in Ohio, 2024

Election news

This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.

• Click to expand the timeline of election updates
  • Mar. 15, 2024: East Carolina University released results from a poll it conducted of 631 likely primary voters between Mar. 8 and Mar. 11. With 14% of voters undecided, the poll found Dolan and LaRose about even with 33% and 31% support, respectively. Moreno followed with 23% support. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points. Relative to the March 2024 poll from SurveyUSA, Dolan and LaRose were each up by 15 percentage points and Moreno was up by one percentage point.

  • Mar. 14, 2024: Duty and Country PAC, a group affiliated with U.S. Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), spent more than $2.5 million on an ad campaign criticizing Moreno. According to Politico, the "apparent goal of the ad is to boost Moreno with GOP voters."

  • Mar. 12, 2024: SurveyUSA released results from a poll it conducted of 533 likely primary voters between Mar. 6 and Mar. 11 on behalf of Ohio Northern University. With 44% of voters undecided, the poll found Moreno and Dolan about even with 22% and 18% support respectively, followed by LaRose with 16% support. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.8 percentage points. Relative to SurveyUSA's previous poll from February and March 2024, Dolan was down nine percentage points, Moreno was down seven percentage points, and LaRose was down five percentage points.

  • Mar. 7, 2024: Candidates submitted campaign finance reports covering all fundraising and spending through Feb. 28, 2024. Between Jan. 1, 2024, and Feb. 28, 2024, Moreno raised $2,481,707.64, Dolan raised $2,283,668.01, and LaRose raised $362,819.81. Click [show] on the table below to view a breakdown of the candidates' fundraising as of the Pre-Primary 2024 reporting deadline.

  Pre-Primary 2024 campaign finance reports for Republican candidates for U.S. Senate in Ohio
  Candidate	Funds raised in reporting period	Overall funds raised	Cash on hand
  Matt Dolan	$2,283,668.01	$11,425,814.17	$2,378,317.26
  Frank LaRose	$362,819.81	$2,217,016.49	$591,043.80
  Bernie Moreno	$2,481,707.64	$9,735,460.81	$2,396,709.61

  • Mar. 6, 2024: Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a debate hosted by WLWT.

  • Mar. 3, 2024: SurveyUSA released the results of a poll of 568 likely primary voters conducted on behalf of the Center for Election Science between February 27 and March 3. With 23% of voters undecided, support for Moreno and Dolan was about even at 29% and 27%, respectively. LaRose followed with 21% support. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.

  • Feb. 19, 2024: Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a debate hosted by Spectrum News.

  • Feb. 12, 2024: The Buckeye Values PAC spent $540,000.00 on an ad campaign opposing LaRose.

  • Feb. 8, 2024: The Buckeye Values PAC spent $250,000.00 on an ad campaign opposing LaRose.

  • Feb. 5, 2024: The Leadership for Ohio Fund spent $703,386.00 on a television ad campaign opposing Moreno.

  • Jan. 31, 2024: Candidates submitted campaign finance reports covering all fundraising and spending through Dec. 31, 2023. During the fourth quarter of 2023, LaRose raised $812,539.33, Moreno raised $800,295.92, and Dolan raised $357,652.90. Click [show] on the table below to view a breakdown of the candidates' fundraising as of the Year-End 2023 reporting deadline.

  Year-End 2023 campaign finance reports for Republican candidates for U.S. Senate in Ohio
  Candidate	Funds raised in Q4 2023	Overall funds raised	Cash on hand
  Matt Dolan	$357,652.90	$9,142,146.16	$4,847,210.90
  Frank LaRose	$812,539.33	$1,854,196.68	$771,611.50
  Bernie Moreno	$800,295.92	$7,253,753.17	$2,003,254.12

  • Jan. 22, 2024:
    • Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a debate hosted by WJW Fox 8.
    • The Leadership for Ohio Fund spent $1,549,534.00 on a television ad campaign supporting LaRose.

  • Jan. 19, 2024: The Buckeye Values PAC spent $112,385.00 on a billboard supporting Moreno.

  • Jan. 5, 2024: The Leadership for Ohio Fund spent $1,462,112.00 on a television ad campaign supporting LaRose.

  • Dec. 20, 2023: The filing deadline passed for candidates for U.S. Senate in Ohio. Three candidates filed to run in the Republican primary: Matt Dolan (R), Frank LaRose (R), and Bernie Moreno (R).

  • Nov. 16, 2023: Emerson College released the results of a poll of 468 registered primary voters conducted between November 10–13. With 32% of voters undecided, the poll found LaRose appearing to lead with 18% support, followed by Dolan with 15% support and Moreno with 10% support. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Ohio

Bernie Moreno defeated Matt Dolan and Frank LaRose in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Ohio on March 19, 2024.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Bernie Moreno	50.5	557,626
		Matt Dolan	32.9	363,013
		Frank LaRose	16.7	184,111

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 1,104,750
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Joel Mutchler (R)
• Doug Stuart (R)

Voting information

See also: Voting in Ohio

Election information in Ohio: March 19, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

• In-person: Feb. 20, 2024
• By mail: Received by Feb. 20, 2024
• Online: Feb. 20, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

• In-person: March 12, 2024
• By mail: Received by March 12, 2024
• Online: March 12, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

• In-person: March 19, 2024
• By mail: Postmarked by March 18, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Feb. 21, 2024 to March 19, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:30 a.m. - 7:30 p.m. (CST)

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Matt Dolan

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

• Ohio State Senate District 24 (Assumed office: 2017)
• Ohio House of Representatives District 98 (2005-2010)

Biography:  Dolan graduated from Boston College and obtained his law degree from Case Western Reserve School of Law. Dolan's professional experience includes work as a prosecutor and an attorney in private practice, teaching at Case Western Reserve School of Law and Kent State University, and membership in the ownership group for the Cleveland Guardians Major League Baseball team. As of the 2024 election, Dolan was a partner with the Thrasher, Dinsmore & Dolan law firm as well as vice president of 7th Avenue Properties.

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Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

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Dolan said he considered securing the Mexican border, stopping the flow of fentanyl into the United States, and countering violent crime to be a priority and that Sherrod Brown (D) and Joe Biden (D) had created a crisis on the southern border that Dolan would help solve.

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Dolan said he gave Republicans the best chance at winning the general election: "Bernie Moreno and Frank LaRose have routinely broken their promises to voters and committed gaffes that place Republican efforts to defeat Sherrod Brown and take back the U.S. Senate in jeopardy. They lack judgement, a consistent set of conservative principles and the experience needed to fight and get results for Ohio."

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Dolan said he had a record of delivering results as a state legislator including keeping the cost of education low, promoting workforce development programs, supporting programs allowing for alternatives to public school, and maintaining funding for law enforcement.

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Show sources

Sources: YouTube, "Dolan for Ohio - Dead Wrong," June 20, 2023, Matt Dolan campaign website, "Matt Dolan Files Petitions to Run for U.S. Senate," December 18, 2023, Matt Dolan campaign website, "Meet Matt," accessed January 26, 2024; Matt Dolan campaign website, "Meet Matt," accessed January 26, 2024, The Ohio Senate, "Matt Dolan Biography," accessed January 26, 2024, Gongwer, "Sen. Matt Dolan," accessed January 26, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2024.

Frank LaRose

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

• Ohio Secretary of State (Assumed office: 2019)
• Ohio State Senate District 27 (2011-2019)

Biography:  LaRose enlisted in the U.S. Army after graduating from high school, serving in the 101st Airborne and as a Green Beret. As of the 2024 election, LaRose was a member of the U.S. Army Reserve. LaRose graduated from The Ohio State University with a degree in consumer affairs and business.

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Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

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LaRose said he was running to save the soul of America: "we're facing an invasion on our southern border, radical ideology pouring into our state and an economy failing Ohio families. We need a battle-tested conservative with the experience, work ethic, consistent record, and sense of service to make a difference. I'm running for the U.S. Senate to fight for the very soul of our nation."

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LaRose said he had a record in elected office including winning re-election as secretary of state in 2022 with the most votes in history, being the only incumbent secretary of state to win President Trump's (R) endorsement, and helping to open a record number of new businesses.

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LaRose said he was the only candidate in the race to have never lost a statewide election or primary and the only candidate to have never been a registered Democrat. LaRose said he had the most firsthand experience with the struggles Ohio families face as the only candidate with school-aged children and the only candidate to not be a millionaire.

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Show sources

Sources: Frank LaRose campaign website, "About Frank," accessed January 26, 2024, Frank LaRose campaign website, "LaRose Files Petitions to Retire Sherrod Brown," December 14, 2023, NBC News, "Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose launches GOP Senate bid," July 17, 2023; Ohio Secretary of State, "Secretary LaRose's Biography," accessed January 26, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2024.

Bernie Moreno

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Moreno graduated from the University of Michigan with a bachelor's degree in marketing in 1989. After working in auto sales, Moreno purchased a Mercedes-Benz dealership in Ohio in 2005, eventually expanding into a dealership group. Between 2016 and 2019, Moreno sold his auto dealerships and started a blockchain business, which he later sold. As of the 2024 election, Moreno was president of Bernie Moreno Companies and chairman of the on-demand chauffeur service Dryver.

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Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

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Moreno said he had "always been an outsider...I'd be an outsider in Washington too. I'm not a career politician. I've never held office. I'm doing this because I firmly believe that career politicians have put us in a ditch and we need outsiders to fix this country."

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Moreno said he would prioritize securing the southern border, finishing construction of a border wall, and using the military to fight drug cartels.

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Moreno said that, like Donald Trump (R), he was an outsider businessman who sought to secure the southern border. Moreno said he was the first candidate in the race to endorse Trump and that Trump had endorsed him.

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Show sources

Sources: YouTube, "Bernie Moreno for Senate - Outsider," April 18, 2023, YouTube, "Bernie Moreno for Senate - Make That Happen," November 20, 2023, YouTube, "Bernie Moreno for Senate - Like Trump," November 8, 2023; Bernie Moreno campaign website, "About," accessed January 26, 2024, Cleveland.com, "Who is Bernie Moreno? Meet the Ohio car tycoon who could end up getting elected to the U.S. Senate," October 15, 2023, LinkedIn, "Bernie Moreno," accessed January 26, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Matt Dolan

March 8, 2024

January 20, 2024

January 4, 2024

View more ads here:

• Facebook
• YouTube

Frank LaRose

July 17, 2023

View more ads here:

• YouTube

Bernie Moreno

February 8, 2024

November 20, 2023

View more ads here:

• Facebook
• YouTube

Satellite ads

This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released by satellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, please email us.

Duty and Country PAC

Duty and Country PAC, a group affiliated with U.S. Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), aired an ad opposing Moreno. According to Politico, the "apparent goal of the ad is to boost Moreno with GOP voters."

Win it Back PAC

Win it Back PAC, a group affiliated with the Club for Growth, aired an ad opposing Dolan.

Debates and forums

This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.

March 6 debate

Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a debate hosted by WLWT at Miami University on March 6, 2024.

• Click here to watch a recording of the event.

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

• Cleveland.com
• Dayton Daily News
• The Miami Student
• The New York Times
• Oxford Observer
• Statehouse News Bureau
• WBNS
• WLWT
• WLWT
• WLWT
• WOIO

February 19 debate

Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a debate hosted by Spectrum News on Feb. 19, 2024.

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

• Dayton Daily News
• Ohio Capitol Journal
• Spectrum News
• Statehouse News Bureau
• Toledo Blade
• WKYC
• WOSU

January 22 debate

Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a debate hosted by WJW Fox 8 on Jan. 22, 2024.

• Click here to watch a recording of the event.

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

• Associated Press
• The Columbus Dispatch
• Fox 8
• KentWired.com
• NBC4i
• NBC News
• Ohio Capitol Journal
• The Statehouse News Bureau

October 28 candidate forum

Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a candidate forum hosted by the Cuyahoga, Geauga, and Lake County Republican parties on Oct. 28, 2023.

October 26 candidate forum

Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a candidate forum hosted by the Greater Akron Chamber on Oct. 26, 2023.

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

• Akron Beacon Journal
• Cleveland.com
• Spectrum News 1

October 14 candidate forum

Dolan, LaRose, and Moreno participated in a candidate forum at the Weymouth Country Club on Oct. 14, 2023.

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

• Cleveland.com
• Ohio Capitol Journal

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.

• Matt Dolan
• Frank LaRose
• Bernie Moreno

Republican primary endorsements
Endorser	Matt Dolan	Frank LaRose	Bernie Moreno
Government officials
U.S. Sen. John Barrasso (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Mike Braun (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Bill Hagerty (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Mike Lee (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Rand Paul (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Eric Schmitt (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R)  source			✔
U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance (R)  source			✔
U.S. Rep. Warren Davidson (R)  source			✔
U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds (R)  source			✔
U.S. Rep. Jim Jordan (R)  source			✔
U.S. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R)  source			✔
U.S. Rep. Max Miller (R)			✔
U.S. Rep. Michael Turner (R)  source		✔
U.S. Rep. Mike Turner  source		✔
U.S. Rep. Lee Zeldin  source			✔
Gov. Richard Michael DeWine (R)  source	✔
South Dakota Gov. Kristi L. Noem  source			✔
State Sen. Louis W. Blessing, III (R)  source	✔
State Sen. Frank Hoagland (R)  source		✔
State Sen. Nathan Manning (R)  source	✔
State Sen. Michele Reynolds (R)  source			✔
State Sen. Joe Uecker (R)  source		✔
State Sen. Steve Wilson (R)  source	✔
State Rep. Cindy Abrams (R)  source		✔
State Rep. Tim Barhorst (R)  source			✔
State Rep. Don Jones (R)  source		✔
State Rep. Scott Lipps (R)  source		✔
State Rep. Mike Loychik (R)  source		✔
State Rep. Gayle L. Manning (R)  source	✔
State Rep. Melanie Miller (R)  source		✔
State Rep. Josh Williams (R)  source		✔
State Rep. Bernard Willis (R)  source		✔
Mayor, Wellston Anthony Brenner (R)  source	✔
Mayor, Kettering Peggy Lehner  source	✔
Ambassador Ric Grenell  source			✔
Ohio Attorney General Dave Yost (R)  source			✔
Individuals
Frmr. state Rep. Marlene Anielski  source	✔
Frmr. Mayor, Seven Hills Anthony Biasiotta  source	✔
Frmr. Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell  source			✔
Frmr. U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman  source			✔
Frmr. U.S. Rep. Newt Gingrich  source			✔
Frmr. state Sen. Jay Hottinger  source	✔
Frmr. Ariz. gubernatorial cand. Kari Lake  source			✔
Frmr. Mayor, Columbus Greg Lashutka  source	✔
Frmr. OH Attorney General Betty Montgomery  source	✔
Frmr. U.S. Sen. Rob Portman  source	✔
Frmr. pres. candidate Vivek Ramaswamy  source			✔
Frmr. U.S. Amb. to Denmark Carla Sands  source			✔
Former President Donald Trump  source			✔
Newspapers and editorials
The Blade Editorial Board  source	✔
The Plain Dealer  source	✔
Organizations
A1S4 Protection PAC  source		✔
Associated Builders & Contractors of Ohio  source			✔
Buckeye Firearms Association  source		✔
Citizens United Political Victory Fund  source			✔
Club for Growth  source			✔
Club For Growth PAC  source			✔
Combat Veterans for Congress PAC  source		✔
GatorPAC  source			✔
Green Beret PAC  source		✔
Moms for America  source			✔
National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors  source		✔
Ohio Right to Life  source 1 source 2		✔	✔
Ohio Value Voters  source			✔
Turning Point Action  source			✔
Youth Prosperity Ohio  source	✔

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals. The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times." For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2024: Republican primary election polls
Poll	Date	Dolan	LaRose	Moreno	Undecided/Other	Margin of error	Sample size	Sponsor
East Carolina University	Mar. 8–Mar. 11, 2024	33%	31%	23%	14%	±4.6%	631 LV	N/A
SurveyUSA	Mar. 6–Mar. 11, 2024	18%	16%	22%	44%	±4.8%	533 LV	Ohio Northern University
SurveyUSA	Feb. 27–Mar. 3, 2024	27%	21%	29%	23%	±4.3%	568 LV	Center for Election Science
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates	Feb. 25–26, 2024	19%	21%	31%	27%	±4.4%	500 LV	Bernie Moreno campaign
Emerson College	Nov. 10–13, 2023	15%	18%	10%	32%	±4.5%	468 RV	Nexstar Media

Click [show] to see older poll results
Poll	Date	Dolan	LaRose	Moreno	Undecided/Other	Margin of error	Sample size	Sponsor
Data for Progress	Oct. 31–Nov. 2, 2023	20%	30%	7%	44%	±6.0%	294 LV	N/A

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

• Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
• Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
• Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
• Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.

Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Ohio, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 5, 2024	October 29, 2024	October 22, 2024	October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Lean Republican	Toss-up	Toss-up	Toss-up
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Matt Dolan	Republican Party	$12,722,613	$12,656,069	$113,134	As of December 31, 2024
Frank LaRose	Republican Party	$2,338,457	$2,319,907	$18,550	As of December 31, 2024
Bernie Moreno	Republican Party	$26,920,694	$26,388,505	$378,320	As of December 31, 2024
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." ** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.

If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.

Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate	By election
Matt Dolan Frank LaRose Bernie Moreno	Open Secrets Federal Election Commission

Spending news

• Buckeye Values PAC
  • This group spent $540,000.00 on an ad campaign opposing LaRose on February 12, 2024.
  • This group spent $250,000.00 on an ad campaign opposing LaRose on February 8, 2024.
  • This group spent $112,385.00 on a billboard supporting Moreno on January 19, 2024.

• Duty and Country PAC spent more than $2.5 million on a TV ad campaign opposing Moreno on March 14, 2024. According to Politico, the "apparent goal of the ad is to boost Moreno with GOP voters."

• Leadership for Ohio Fund
  • This group spent $703,386.00 on a TV ad campaign opposing Moreno on February 5, 2024.
  • This group spent $1,549,534.00 on a TV ad campaign in support of LaRose on January 22, 2024.
  • This group spent $1,462,112.00 on a TV ad campaign in support of LaRose on January 5, 2024.

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Ohio in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Ohio, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Ohio	U.S. Senate	Major parties	1,000	$150.00	12/20/2023	Source
Ohio	U.S. Senate	Minor parties	500	$150.00	3/18/2024	Source
Ohio	U.S. Senate	Unaffiliated	5,000	$150.00	3/18/2024	Source

Ohio U.S. Senate election history

2022

See also: United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022

Incumbent Sen. Rob Portman (R) announced on January 25, 2021, that he would not be seeking re-election to another term.

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Ohio

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Ohio on November 8, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		J.D. Vance (R)	53.0	2,192,114
		Tim Ryan (D)	46.9	1,939,489
		John Cheng (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	702
		Shane Hoffman (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	403
		LaShondra Tinsley (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	362
	Submit photo	Stephen Faris (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	194
	Submit photo	Matthew Esh (Independent) (Write-in)	0.0	78

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 4,133,342
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Shawn Mousourakis (Independent)
• Chad Taylor (Independent)
• Eric Meiring (Independent)
• Samuel Ronan (Independent)
• Dominic LaCavera (Independent)
• Shannon Taylor (Independent)
• Kelli Prather (Independent)

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Ohio

Tim Ryan defeated Morgan Harper and Traci Johnson in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Ohio on May 3, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Tim Ryan	69.6	359,941
		Morgan Harper	17.8	92,347
		Traci Johnson	12.6	65,209

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 517,497
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Tamie Wilson (D)
• LaShondra Tinsley (D)
• Rick Taylor (D)
• Demar Sheffey (D)

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Ohio

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Ohio on May 3, 2022.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		J.D. Vance	32.2	344,736
		Josh Mandel	23.9	255,854
		Matt Dolan	23.3	249,239
		Mike Gibbons	11.7	124,653
		Jane Timken	5.9	62,779
	Submit photo	Mark Pukita	2.1	22,692
		Neil Patel	0.9	9,873

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	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 1,069,826
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Zachary Musick (R)
• Mackenzie Thompson (R)
• Michael Leipold (R)
• Bernie Moreno (R)
• John Berman (R)
• John Reed (R)
• Bill Graham (R)

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Ohio

Incumbent Sherrod Brown defeated Jim Renacci in the general election for U.S. Senate Ohio on November 6, 2018.

		Candidate	%	Votes
✔		Sherrod Brown (D)	53.4	2,355,923
		Jim Renacci (R)	46.6	2,053,963
		Other/Write-in votes	0.0	1,012

---

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 4,410,898 (100.00% precincts reporting)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

• Bruce Jaynes (L)

2016

See also: United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016

In one of Ballotpedia’s races to watch, incumbent Sen. Rob Portman (R) won re-election, defeating former Ohio Governor Ted Strickland (D), Joseph DeMare (G), Thomas William Connors (I), and Scott Rupert (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016.

In his victory speech, Portman said, “Americans don’t want to just rewind the tape and live through four more years of the same tired and self-defeating routine. They expect better...we are capable of better. There will never be a better moment than now to stop the dysfunction in Washington and find that common ground.”

In its analysis of the election results, Cleveland.com said Portman "ran one of the best campaigns in the country this year, both in strategy and execution." The analysis said Portman was especially effective in his interactions with the Donald Trump presidential campaign. The article also said Strickland had faced challenges raising funds, saying, "he wasn't used to having to raise so much cash."

The Wall Street Journal predicted that Portman’s get out the vote effort in Ohio would provide “reverse political coattails, with big stakes for Mr. Trump. Ohio has backed the presidential winners in the past 13 elections, and no Republican in modern history has won the White House without capturing Ohio.” Portman did indeed help Trump secure victory in Ohio. Portman won 58.3 percent of the vote, while Trump won 52.1 percent, a 6.2 percent difference.

U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2016

Party		Candidate	Vote %	Votes
	Republican	Rob Portman Incumbent	58%	3,118,567
	Democratic	Ted Strickland	37.2%	1,996,908
	Independent	Thomas William Connors	1.7%	93,041
	Green	Joseph DeMare	1.6%	88,246
	Independent	Scott Rupert	1.4%	77,291
	N/A	Write-in	0%	111
Total Votes				5,374,164
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

U.S. Senate Republican Primary, 2016

Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Rob Portman Incumbent	82.2%	1,336,686
Don Elijah Eckhart	17.8%	290,268
Total Votes		1,626,954
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

U.S. Senate Democratic Primary, 2016

Candidate	Vote %	Votes
Ted Strickland	65%	742,676
P.G. Sittenfeld	22.3%	254,232
Kelli Prather	12.7%	144,945
Total Votes		1,141,853
Source: Ohio Secretary of State

Earlier results

To view the electoral history dating back to 1998 for the office of U.S. Senate from Ohio, click [show] to expand the section.

2012 U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2012 Party Candidate Vote % Votes      Democratic Sherrod Brown Incumbent 50.7% 2,762,690      Republican Josh Mandel 44.7% 2,435,712      Independent Scott Rupert 4.6% 250,616 Total Votes 5,449,018 Source: Ohio Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" 2010 On November 2, 2010, Rob Portman (R) won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Lee Fisher (D), Michael L. Pryce (I), Eric W. Deaton (Constitution), Daniel H. LaBotz (Socialist), and Arthur T. Sullivan (I) in the general election. U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2010 Party Candidate Vote % Votes      Republican Rob Portman 56.8% 2,168,742      Democratic Lee Fisher 39.4% 1,503,297      Independent Michael L. Pryce 1.3% 50,101      Constitution Eric W. Deaton 1.7% 65,856      Socialist Daniel H. LaBotz 0.7% 26,454      N/A Arthur T. Sullivan 0% 648 Total Votes 3,815,098 2006 On November 7, 2006, Brown won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Mike DeWine (R) and Richard Duncan (Write-in) in the general election. U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2006 Party Candidate Vote % Votes      Democrat Sherrod Brown 56.2% 2,257,369      Republican Mike DeWine 43.8% 1,761,037      Write–in Richard Duncan 0% 830 Total Votes 4,019,236 2004 On November 2, 2004, George V. Voinovich (R) won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Eric D. Fingerhut (D) and Helen Myers (Write-In) in the general election. U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2004 Party Candidate Vote % Votes      Republican George V. Voinovich incumbent 63.8% 3,464,356      Democratic Eric Fingerhut 36.1% 1,961,171      N/A Helen Myers 0% 296 Total Votes 5,425,823 2000 On November 7, 2000, Mike DeWine (R) won re-election to the United States Senate. He defeated Ted Celeste (D), John R. McAlister (L) and John A Eastman (Natural Law) in the general election. U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 2000 Party Candidate Vote % Votes      Republican Mike DeWine incumbent 59.9% 2,665,512      Democratic Ted Celeste 35.9% 1,595,066      Libertarian John R. McAlister 2.6% 116,724      Natural Law John A. Eastman 1.6% 70,713      N/A Write-in 0% 786 Total Votes 4,448,801 1998 On November 3, 1998, George V. Voinovich (R) won election to the United States Senate. He defeated Mary O. Boyle (D) in the general election. U.S. Senate, Ohio General Election, 1998 Party Candidate Vote % Votes      Republican George V. Voinovich 56.5% 1,922,087      Democrat Mary O. Boyle 43.5% 1,482,054      N/A Write-in 0% 210 Total Votes 3,404,351

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

• Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
• Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
• State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
• Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

• Presidential elections
• Statewide elections
• State partisanship
• Demographics

See also: Presidential voting trends in Ohio and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Ohio, 2024
District	Incumbent	Party	PVI
Ohio's 1st	Greg Landsman	Democratic	D+2
Ohio's 2nd	Brad Wenstrup	Republican	R+25
Ohio's 3rd	Joyce Beatty	Democratic	D+20
Ohio's 4th	Jim Jordan	Republican	R+20
Ohio's 5th	Bob Latta	Republican	R+15
Ohio's 6th	Michael Rulli	Republican	R+16
Ohio's 7th	Max Miller	Republican	R+7
Ohio's 8th	Warren Davidson	Republican	R+14
Ohio's 9th	Marcy Kaptur	Democratic	R+3
Ohio's 10th	Michael Turner	Republican	R+4
Ohio's 11th	Shontel Brown	Democratic	D+28
Ohio's 12th	Troy Balderson	Republican	R+18
Ohio's 13th	Emilia Sykes	Democratic	R+1
Ohio's 14th	David Joyce	Republican	R+9
Ohio's 15th	Mike Carey	Republican	R+6

2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Ohio
District	Joe Biden	Donald Trump
Ohio's 1st	53.5%	45.0%
Ohio's 2nd	26.7%	72.0%
Ohio's 3rd	71.1%	27.4%
Ohio's 4th	31.4%	67.1%
Ohio's 5th	35.8%	62.6%
Ohio's 6th	35.0%	63.7%
Ohio's 7th	44.8%	54.0%
Ohio's 8th	38.3%	60.3%
Ohio's 9th	47.7%	50.6%
Ohio's 10th	47.4%	50.9%
Ohio's 11th	78.3%	20.7%
Ohio's 12th	33.8%	64.7%
Ohio's 13th	50.7%	47.9%
Ohio's 14th	41.9%	56.8%
Ohio's 15th	45.8%	52.6%

2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:

County-level voting pattern categories
Democratic
Status	2012	2016	2020
Solid Democratic	D	D	D
Trending Democratic	R	D	D
Battleground Democratic	D	R	D
New Democratic	R	R	D
Republican
Status	2012	2016	2020
Solid Republican	R	R	R
Trending Republican	D	R	R
Battleground Republican	R	D	R
New Republican	D	D	R

Following the 2020 presidential election, 43.4% of Ohioans lived in one of the state's 71 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 37.7% lived in one of six Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Ohio was Trending Republican, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Ohio following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Ohio county-level statistics, 2020
Solid Republican	71	43.4%
Solid Democratic	6	37.7%
Trending Republican	8	9.7%
New Republican	2	4.6%
Battleground Democratic	1	4.6%
Total voted Democratic	7	42.3%
Total voted Republican	81	57.7%

Historical voting trends

Ohio presidential election results (1900-2020)

• 12 Democratic wins
• 19 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	R	R	R	D	D	R	R	R	D	D	D	R	D	R	R	R	D	R	R	D	R	R	R	D	D	R	R	D	D	R	R

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Ohio

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Ohio.

U.S. Senate election results in Ohio
Race	Winner	Runner up
2022	53.0%	46.9%
2018	53.5%	46.6%
2016	58.0%	37.1%
2012	50.7%	44.7%
2010	57.3%	39.0%
Average	55.1	42.2

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Ohio

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Ohio.

Gubernatorial election results in Ohio
Race	Winner	Runner up
2022	62.4%	34.7%
2018	50.4%	46.7%
2014	63.6%	33.0%
2010	49.0%	47.0%
2006	60.5%	36.7%
Average	56.3	40.9

See also: Party control of Ohio state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Ohio's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Ohio
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	0	5	5
Republican	2	10	12
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	0	0
Total	2	15	17

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Ohio's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Ohio, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Richard Michael DeWine
Lieutenant Governor	Jon Husted
Secretary of State	Frank LaRose
Attorney General	Dave Yost

State legislature

Ohio State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	7
	Republican Party	26
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		33

Ohio House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	31
	Republican Party	66
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		99

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Ohio Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
Senate	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

The table below details demographic data in Ohio and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.

Demographic Data for Ohio
	Ohio	United States
Population	11,799,448	331,449,281
Land area (sq mi)	40,858	3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White	78.8%	65.9%
Black/African American	12.3%	12.5%
Asian	2.4%	5.8%
Native American	0.1%	0.8%
Pacific Islander	0%	0.2%
Other (single race)	1.3%	6%
Multiple	4.9%	8.8%
Hispanic/Latino	4.2%	18.7%
Education
High school graduation rate	91.4%	89.1%
College graduation rate	30.4%	34.3%
Income
Median household income	$66,990	$75,149
Persons below poverty level	9.3%	8.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

2024 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:

• Chandler Unified School District, Arizona, elections (2024)
• Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
• United States Senate election in Nevada, 2024

See also

• United States Senate election in Ohio, 2024 (March 19 Democratic primary)
• United States Senate election in Ohio, 2024
• United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2024
• United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2024
• United States Senate elections, 2024
• U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2024

External links

Suggest a link

• Search Google News for this topic

Footnotes

[show]

Ohio's current delegation to the United States Congress

Senators

Jon Husted (R)

Bernie Moreno (R)

Representatives

District 1

Greg Landsman (D)

District 2

David Taylor (R)

District 3

Joyce Beatty (D)

District 4

Jim Jordan (R)

District 5

Bob Latta (R)

District 6

Michael Rulli (R)

District 7

Max Miller (R)

District 8

Warren Davidson (R)

District 9

Marcy Kaptur (D)

District 10

Michael Turner (R)

District 11

Shontel Brown (D)

District 12

Troy Balderson (R)

District 13

Emilia Sykes (D)

District 14

David Joyce (R)

District 15

Mike Carey (R)

Republican Party (12)

Democratic Party (5)

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