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Arizona's 8th Congressional District election, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)

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2026
2022
Arizona's 8th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 1, 2024
Primary: July 30, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Arizona's 8th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
Arizona elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

Abraham Hamadeh (R) defeated five other candidates in the Republican primary in Arizona's 8th Congressional District on July 30, 2024. Hamadeh was among five candidates who led in endorsements, polling, fundraising, and local media attention ahead of the primary, alongside Trent Franks (R), Anthony Kern (R), Blake Masters (R), and Ben Toma (R). Click here for detailed results.

Incumbent Debbie Lesko (R) did not run for re-election, leaving the district open. According to Arizona political strategist Barrett Marson, "A Republican will win in this district, no matter what, it's just a question of what type of Republican. The road to the gavel does not run through CD-8. So it will attract money, for sure, but that's because of the individuals as opposed to the seat."[1]

Hamadeh was a former Maricopa County prosecutor and U.S. Army Reserve intelligence officer. Hamadeh said he was running because "I’ve sworn an oath to protect the America that we love. I’m not done fighting for our country — I’m just getting started."[2] Hamadeh said he was "taking them all on—the uni-party elite, the propaganda machine in the media, the cabal of corruption in Maricopa County, and our badly-compromised courts."[3] Hamadeh ran for attorney general in 2022 and lost to Kris Mayes (D) by a margin of 280 votes out of more than 2.5 million cast.

Franks was a former member of the U.S. House, representing Arizona's 2nd and 8th districts from 2003 until resigning in 2017 after discussing surrogacy arrangements with female staffers. Franks ran on his record, saying he was "a proven conservative leader for such a time as this."[4] On abortion, Franks' campaign website said, "Trent pro-life record is legendary. Trent was the Republican Co-Chair of the Pro-Life Caucus and was one of the most successful and effective pro-life leaders ever to serve in Congress."[4]

Kern was, at the time of the election, a member of the Arizona Senate. Kern ran on his record, saying he had focused on ensuring election results reflected the will of the voters, protecting rights outlined in the Constitution, and supporting funding for parents to educate their children outside of public schools.[5] On abortion, Kern said, "I am Pro-Life and believe life begins at conception."[6]

Masters was a businessman with experience in software and investments. Masters said he was running because "life is getting harder for too many families in Arizona. Joe Biden's economy is squeezing our middle class. Our border with Mexico - it's wide open. It's chaotic and it's lawless."[7] Masters said his priorities were to "deport illegals, finish the wall, and back Trump 100%."[8] Masters ran for U.S. Senate in 2022 and lost to incumbent Mark Kelly (D) 51.4%–46.5%.

Toma was, at the time of the election, the speaker of the Arizona House. Toma ran on his record, saying he "authored and passed two landmark pieces of conservative legislation that were previously thought 'impossible' by both supporters and opponents," referring to a bill introducing a flat tax and a bill providing funds for parents to educate their children outside of public schools.[9] Toma said that "it’s more important to do the right thing, to actually solve problems and get meaningful legislation passed."[9]

Also running was Patrick Briody (R).

As of August 6, 2024, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales, and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball each rated the general election Safe/Solid Republican. Lesko defeated two write-in candidates with 96.5% of the vote in 2022.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[10] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 96.5%-3.5%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 56.1%-42.5%.[11]

Patrick Briody (R) and Isiah Gallegos (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.

This page focuses on Arizona's 8th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Abraham Hamadeh
Abraham Hamadeh
 
29.9
 
30,686
Image of Blake Masters
Blake Masters
 
25.7
 
26,422
Image of Ben Toma
Ben Toma
 
21.0
 
21,549
Image of Trent Franks
Trent Franks
 
16.3
 
16,714
Image of Anthony Kern
Anthony Kern
 
4.8
 
4,922
Image of Patrick Briody
Patrick Briody Candidate Connection
 
2.3
 
2,336
Image of Isiah Gallegos
Isiah Gallegos (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
35

Total votes: 102,664
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arizona

Election information in Arizona: July 30, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: July 1, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 1, 2024
  • Online: July 1, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: July 19, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 19, 2024
  • Online: July 19, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: July 30, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 30, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

July 3, 2024 to July 26, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST)


Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Patrick Briody

Website

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Born and raised on the south side of Chicago. Traveled extensively throughout America selling industrial and construction machinery, tools and supplies. I am not a career politician. Running for change and term limits. Personally, I am committing to three terms maximum to achieve my objectives. Each generation will have challenges. I passionately believe the next generation should be making decisions for themselves."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Term Limits for change. Each state should be able to fill in the even number of years they want their politicians to represent them in Washington, D.C. Convention of States, Article V, 38 states to ratify. As a traveling sales professional who has called on white collar and blue collar, I believe can connect in all fifty state legislatures my message. How many of them would want the opportunity to serve on the Federal level?


Stop Inside Information Trading. (SIIT) this one out. Freeze assets while in Congress with CD's or Government bonds.


Patriot Election Day holiday. Vote at local school or place of worship. This was the norm not too long ago.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 8 in 2024.

Image of Trent Franks

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  After attending Ottawa University, Franks worked in the petroleum business as a drilling engineer and an executive. Franks was the founder of the Arizona Family Research Institute and served as the director of the Arizona Governor's Office for Children.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Franks said he had a record of conservative lawmaking and was "a reliable conservative voice in Congress, having been rated 'Most Conservative Member of the House of Representatives' for many years."


Franks said he was a strong supporter of restrictions on abortion: "Protecting the innocent and helpless of all ages and circumstances has been the preeminent commitment in my public life."


Franks said he considered border security to be a priority and had a history of delivering results: "I sponsored and fought for legislation to ensure completion of a physical wall along our borders, empower law enforcement to apprehend illegal aliens, strengthen our deportation laws, and to close asylum loopholes."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 8 in 2024.

Image of Abraham Hamadeh

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Hamadeh obtained a bachelor's degree in political science from Arizona State University and a law degree from the University of Arizona College of Law. Hamadeh later served as an intelligence officer with the U.S. Army Reserve and as a deputy county attorney with the Maricopa County Attorney's Office.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Hamadeh said he was the only candidate who had "been tested in battle against the threats America faces today...the uni-party elite, the propaganda machine in the media, the cabal of corruption in Maricopa County, and our badly-compromised courts."


Hamadeh said he had endorsements from Donald Trump and Kari Lake. A campaign ad said they had endorsed him because "he's a warrior and a courageous fighter...Our country is under attack. That's why Abe is going to Congress."


Hamadeh said Masters had "abandoned America First and surrendered to the swamp" and that Masters was lying about Hamadeh's record.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 8 in 2024.

Image of Anthony Kern

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Kern attended Western International University and Northern Arizona University and obtained a degree in business administration. Kern graduated from the Glendale Law Enforcement Training Academy and is a former owner of a private investigation business. Kern helped organize the Arizona Hoarding Task Force, a group describing its mission as helping individuals suffering from chronic hoarding disorder.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Kern said he had a record in office that included being described as "an incredible fighter for election integrity" by President Donald Trump (R), winning the Hero of the Taxpayer award, receiving a 100 rating from the Free Enterprise Club, and receiving the Friend of the Family award every year he has been in office.


Kern said he was running because "Politics as usual is at an end. It's time for a new candidate, a new campaign, a new leader. It's a new day, and I'm here to fight for you."


Kern said his policy priorities were securing the border, ensuring children were safe, supporting first responders, and ensuring elections were secure.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 8 in 2024.

Image of Blake Masters

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Masters obtained a bachelor's degree from Stanford and a law degree from Stanford Law. After graduating law school, Masters founded Judicata, a company producing legal analytics software. Masters was a principal at investment firm Thiel Capital and served as president of the nonprofit Thiel Foundation.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Masters said he was running because "life is getting harder for too many families in Arizona. Joe Biden's economy is squeezing our middle class. Our border with Mexico - it's wide open. It's chaotic and it's lawless. Meanwhile, California's just stealing our water based on a treaty that's over 100 years old. We need new leaders."


Masters said he had a record of fighting: "I’ve taken on Mitch McConnell. I’ve taken on Chuck Schumer and the National Democrat machine. And I’m still standing, ready to fight Big Government, Big Tech, and Big Business. I’m ready to fight for you."


Masters said Hamadeh couldn't be trusted, saying that Hamadeh had supported amnesty for immigrants residing in the country without legal permission and that Hamadeh had claimed the United States was founded on Islamic principles.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 8 in 2024.

Image of Ben Toma

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Toma obtained a bachelor's degree in integrative studies from Arizona State University West. Toma's professional experience includes working as a manager with American Express and running a Century 21 brokerage.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Toma said he had the strongest record of any candidate in the race. Toma said his legislative record included passing a flat tax and passing a measure giving parents access to funds to support their children's education.


Toma said he was running "because Washington, DC is broken. Our Republican majority in Congress is hanging on by a thread at the most critical time in our history. Joe Biden and his Administration are out of control. Their solution to our problems is always more government spending, more giveaways to political supporters, attacking our institutions and allowing our country to be invaded by illegal aliens."


Toma said he considered border security a policy priority and would finish construction of a wall and triple the size of the Border Patrol.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 8 in 2024.

Image of Isiah Gallegos

Twitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I was born and raised in Arizona. I am currently a resident of Peoria and I am a young conservative high school graduate. That has experience working side-by-side with the middle class"


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Change for a better future


Restructuring old policies


Paving the way for everyone future

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 8 in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Term Limits for change. Each state should be able to fill in the even number of years they want their politicians to represent them in Washington, D.C. Convention of States, Article V, 38 states to ratify. As a traveling sales professional who has called on white collar and blue collar, I believe can connect in all fifty state legislatures my message. How many of them would want the opportunity to serve on the Federal level?

Stop Inside Information Trading. (SIIT) this one out. Freeze assets while in Congress with CD's or Government bonds.

Patriot Election Day holiday. Vote at local school or place of worship. This was the norm not too long ago.
Change for a better future

Restructuring old policies

Paving the way for everyone future
Compete on the global stage with energy. Lawrence Livermore Laboratory break through. DOE continue strive for breakthroughs. Water concerns for the west. Could California supply water from the ocean to states in need including themselves, while Arizona supply energy to California and other states. Work together for the common good and produce great food. Secure all borders and path to citizenship bill written by Congress.
Help people in need is my most personal passionate because it makes you feel better when you can make a change for people that are in need
Being the youngest in the family, my older siblings. Sounds kind of corny, but I look up to the life my wife lives and the good she does for others.
My parents because they taught me how to be a family oriented child such as helping my siblings and my grandparents. Also, they taught me how to be a very reliable person by teach me responsibilities and that hard work pays off.
John Adams miniseries, for a historical understanding of our Republic. Charles Krauthammer, Things That Matter. Everything and all things Thomas Sowell. Books, debates, interviews, lectures and his photography while traveling.
Honesty
Leadership,Owning up to your responsibilities,Toughness Thinking outside the box, good judgment
My ability to listen to all sides and work extremely hard to achieve my goal.
Your voice, decisions and voting should mirror who you represent.
Truth telling,good leadership,word choice, taking ownership in your mistakes and lastly, your temperament and judgment
The future belongs to those living in the presence of it.
Someone that change the world, and help people for a better future
Bozo Circus Grand Prize Game. I was very young, and the magic arrows landed on me while I was sitting on my mom's lap. Remember winning a space book, large tootsie roll container filled with tootsie rolls and tootsie pops and a pair of panty hose for my Mom.
COVID-19 it was a weird time and I was 21
Busboy at 14 years old at Condesa Del Mar. Got Mohammad Ali's autograph, but I lost it. The job lasted one summer. Then at 15 years old worked at local gas station with older brothers and close friends.
My very first job was a Fry’s. I was a courtesy clerk, which was in charge of bagging groceries and bringing in carts, and I was there for two years before I went to college.
Children's bible. The why should be self-evident.
Casper the friendly ghost.
Superman because he helps people and he’s very strong
Taking it to the streets, by the Doobie Brothers. When told you would be put on the calendar for organization speaking engagements and consistently does not happen you decide to go out and knock on your constituents' doors. Getting back in my truck the song came on the radio. I knew I was doing the right thing.
Sam and Dave “hold on,I’m coming”
Weight sometimes and in my older years staying in the best of shape.
Working paycheck to paycheck every day to make a living is one of my struggles in life because it teaches you to save your money and to maintain a stable life For your self
The future ability to write single source objective bill for the better of Americans.
Hard worker and somebody that knows how to be a leader and my ability to talk to people. in my heart to help people that need help.
Believe the contrary. Americans see a uniparty sitting in Congress for multiple decades - 10, 20, 30+ years, thirsting for dollars from lobbyist and special interest groups who write our bills. When these 10,000-page bills become law, who do they benefit?
No because it’s like a normal job where you have to learn on the job and to get your foot in the door. so it is like applying for a job for the first time you don’t have experience and you’re nervous but when you get the job then your self-confidence goes up, so no you don’t need pay experience in government
Passionate debate and still want to break bread together. Unite as Americans for the good of country and the world. One can have love of country, as well as, love for other countries and the world. I compare it to the Olympics. I'm cheering, "USA, USA, USA". I want our country to win. BUT I am also cheering for all good nations the best for their country.
Wars and the economy
Yes
Yes, because it’s in the constitution and that’s what the founding fathers wanted it to be
My number one objective to achieve is term limits. First, with those that represent us in Congress. Second, term limits for any other Federal government position. Hear me out for AI will replace many future jobs. Example, ten years in State Dept. job. Eleventh year at twenty hours a work week train someone for your position. Receive half of a pension. Pursue another government job not related at all to last job. For example, National Parks. Eleventh year, same training for the new replacement of your job. Receive second half of your pension. (Twenty full years with two calendar years of training twenty-hour work week of the new hire receive full pension). Still young and may want to pursue whatever else you want in your life, but term out of your service to our Federal government. This allows others to serve for America, as well.
I think they should put term limits so you could give other people an opportunity to help people and to change certain things and to envision for the future
No. I do not mean any disrespect, but my entire platform is about change for future generations. Simply put, each generation should make decisions for their generation.
John F Kennedy, because of his policies and his elevation of humanity
I've knocked on many, many doors and have been invited into many homes. One shook me to the core. A gentleman who served under 7 President's (3) one party (4) the other. You figure it out. Lift ups his sleeve and has every branch of the military he served tattooed on his arm. All were displayed, except for the Coast Guard. Lifts up his other sleeve and has the emblem of the USMC. This soldier had more military tours that any human being should have to endure. Says I want you to answer some questions for me. He said he has never voted, and then boldly said he never will. Every question had to do with a promise by every President he served under. One was securing the border. I explained it was Congress that writes the bills pertaining to the border. He didn't want to hear it! Another was taking care of the drug problem ... and so on. Upsetting him he cried out every President lied. The conversation ended by him, and his pain was physically seen. Driving home from Sun City, I teared up for it literally hit me like a ton of bricks. You see, his boss, his ultimate boss in the military as an Army soldier, Airforce airmen, Navy Seaman and Marine was his commander in chief and every last one of them in his eyes lied to him! Writing this now for some reason of what I witnessed is hard for me. It makes me feel numb, empty and sad.
I can't in this venue.
What do you call an alligator That’s an investigator.
Yes, but must be totally transparent to your constituents. Some well defined boulders in your core values shall not be negotiable.
Yes, because when you compromise stuff gets done, faster and peoples life will be happier when you compromise with the other team, and creates less division
Utmost priority. Growth driven by capitalism and a strong booming economy is one of the best ways for future generations reducing debt. The combo of reducing wasteful spending and growth is economics 101 for success.
Not a big role
Subpoena if necessary for truth. Americans deserve the truth no matter the politics of the finding.
To investigate drug dealers, and people that want to do harm to people both physically, and mentally
Several have emailed me, but I prefer to stay the course.
None at the moment
Energy & Commerce

Transportation and Infrastructure Small Business Agriculture

Ethics
100 percent transparency and government accountability of every tax dollar spent.



Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.


Republican Party Trent Franks

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Trent Franks while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.


Republican Party Abraham Hamadeh

April 25, 2024
April 22, 2024

View more ads here:


Republican Party Anthony Kern

December 4, 2023

View more ads here:


Republican Party Blake Masters

April 23, 2024
October 26, 2023

View more ads here:


Republican Party Ben Toma

April 17, 2024

View more ads here:


Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[12] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[13] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


Arizona's 8th Congressional District, 2024: Republican primary polls
Poll Date Republican Party Briody Republican Party Franks Republican Party Hamadeh Republican Party Kern Republican Party Masters Republican Party Toma Undecided/Other Margin of error Sample size[14] Sponsor[15]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates Jan. 25–28, 2024 -- 9% 24% 1% 24% 3% 38% ±4.9% 400 LV Blake Masters campaign
National Public Affairs Dec. 16–17, 2023 -- 6% 37% 3% 14% 7% 34% ±4.8% 418 LV Abraham Hamadeh campaign
National Public Affairs Oct. 23–24, 2023 -- -- 31% -- 24% 11% 34% ±5.6% 301 LV N/A
Data Orbital Oct. 19–21, 2023 -- -- 18% 6% 33% 7% 36% ±4.7% 450 LV Blake Masters campaign


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[16]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[17][18][19]

Race ratings: Arizona's 8th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Patrick Briody Republican Party $19,194 $18,551 $643 As of July 10, 2024
Trent Franks Republican Party $644,719 $639,142 $5,577 As of December 31, 2024
Isiah Gallegos Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Abraham Hamadeh Republican Party $1,994,019 $1,957,610 $36,409 As of December 31, 2024
Anthony Kern Republican Party $210,221 $209,824 $397 As of December 31, 2024
Blake Masters Republican Party $4,223,399 $4,216,339 $7,061 As of December 31, 2024
Ben Toma Republican Party $914,122 $914,122 $0 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[20][21][22]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_az_congressional_district_08.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.

Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 9 9 2 38 18 2 6 44.4% 3 42.9%
2022 9 9 1 40 18 2 7 50.0% 3 37.5%
2020 9 9 0 34 18 6 4 55.6% 3 33.3%
2018 9 9 2 38 18 5 5 55.6% 2 28.6%
2016 9 9 2 31 18 4 7 61.1% 3 42.9%
2014 9 9 1 25 18 1 4 27.8% 1 12.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 26, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-eight candidates ran for Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 22 Republicans. That’s 4.22 candidates per district. There were 4.33 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.11 in 2018.

The 3rd and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) ran for the U.S. Senate, and Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-08) ran for the ​​Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.

Nine candidates—six Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Arizona in 2024.

Eight primaries—two Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. That's the fewest since 2014, when five primaries were contested.

Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all nine districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+10. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 8th the 149th most Republican district nationally.[23]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arizona's 8th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
42.5% 56.1%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[24] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
42.0 56.8 D+14.8

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9 Democratic wins
  • 19 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A D D R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R D
See also: Party control of Arizona state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 2 4
Republican 0 6 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 1 1
Total 2 9 11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Katie Hobbs
Secretary of State Democratic Party Adrian Fontes
Attorney General Democratic Party Kris Mayes

State legislature

Arizona State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 14
     Republican Party 16
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 28
     Republican Party 31
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 60

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D
Senate D R R R R R R R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arizona U.S. House Democratic 1,458[25] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Republican 1,572[25] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Libertarian 802[25] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Unaffiliated 4,701[25] N/A 4/1/2024 Source

District election history

2022

See also: Arizona's 8th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 8

Incumbent Debbie Lesko defeated Jeremy Spreitzer and Alixandria Guzman in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Debbie Lesko
Debbie Lesko (R)
 
96.5
 
197,555
Image of Jeremy Spreitzer
Jeremy Spreitzer (D) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
2.5
 
5,145
Alixandria Guzman (D) (Write-in)
 
1.0
 
2,013

Total votes: 204,713
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8

Incumbent Debbie Lesko advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Debbie Lesko
Debbie Lesko
 
100.0
 
100,629

Total votes: 100,629
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Arizona's 8th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 8

Incumbent Debbie Lesko defeated Michael Muscato and Taliban Hendrix in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Debbie Lesko
Debbie Lesko (R)
 
59.6
 
251,633
Image of Michael Muscato
Michael Muscato (D) Candidate Connection
 
40.4
 
170,816
Taliban Hendrix (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
18

Total votes: 422,467
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8

Michael Muscato defeated Bob Olsen, Bob Musselwhite, and Kyle Martin in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michael Muscato
Michael Muscato Candidate Connection
 
54.4
 
35,923
Image of Bob Olsen
Bob Olsen Candidate Connection
 
31.1
 
20,547
Image of Bob Musselwhite
Bob Musselwhite
 
14.5
 
9,578
Kyle Martin (Write-in)
 
0.1
 
45

Total votes: 66,093
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8

Incumbent Debbie Lesko advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Debbie Lesko
Debbie Lesko
 
100.0
 
105,758

Total votes: 105,758
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Arizona's 8th Congressional District election, 2018
2018 regular election

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 8

Incumbent Debbie Lesko defeated Hiral Tipirneni in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Debbie Lesko
Debbie Lesko (R)
 
55.5
 
168,835
Image of Hiral Tipirneni
Hiral Tipirneni (D)
 
44.5
 
135,569
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
13

Total votes: 304,417
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8

Hiral Tipirneni advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Hiral Tipirneni
Hiral Tipirneni
 
100.0
 
52,215

Total votes: 52,215
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8

Incumbent Debbie Lesko defeated Sandra Dowling in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 8 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Debbie Lesko
Debbie Lesko
 
77.2
 
73,776
Image of Sandra Dowling
Sandra Dowling
 
22.8
 
21,825

Total votes: 95,601
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018 special election
See also: Arizona's 8th Congressional District special election, 2018
U.S. House, Arizona District 8 Special Election, 2018
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.png Debbie Lesko 52.61% 91,390
     Democratic Hiral Tipirneni 47.39% 82,318
Total Votes (100% reporting (143 of 143 precincts)) 173,708
Source: Arizona Secretary of State
Democratic primary election

Hiral Tipirneni defeated Brianna Westbrook in the Democratic primary for Arizona’s 8th Congressional District.[26]

U.S. House, Arizona District 8 Democratic Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Hiral Tipirneni 59.62% 21,703
Brianna Westbrook 40.38% 14,701
Total Votes (100% reporting (143 of 143 precincts)) 36,404
Source: The New York Times
Republican primary election

Debbie Lesko defeated 11 other candidates in the Republican primary for Arizona’s 8th Congressional District with 36 percent support.[26]

U.S. House, Arizona District 8 Republican Primary, 2018
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.png Debbie Lesko 35.77% 25,508
Phil Lovas 23.88% 17,031
Steve B. Montenegro 23.82% 16,987
Bob Stump 5.37% 3,832
Clair Van Steenwyk 2.37% 1,692
Chris Sylvester 1.92% 1,370
David Lien 1.77% 1,261
Richard Mack 1.42% 1,014
Mark Yates 1.12% 799
Chad Allen 1.05% 747
Brenden Dilley 1.03% 734
Stephen Dolgos 0.48% 345
Total Votes (100% reporting (143 of 143 precincts)) 71,320
Source: The New York Times

Earlier results


2024 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ABC News, "Why big-name Republicans and a former 'QAnon Shaman' are running for same Arizona House seat," November 17, 2023
  2. Abraham Hamadeh 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed April 26, 2024
  3. YouTube, "Abe Hamadeh - Battle Tested," accessed April 26, 2024
  4. 4.0 4.1 Trent Franks 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed July 30, 2024
  5. Anthony Kern 2024 campaign website, "About Anthony Kern," accessed April 29, 2024
  6. Anthony Kern campaign website, "About," accessed August 9, 2024
  7. YouTube, "Blake Masters for Congress - AZ08," accessed April 29, 2024
  8. YouTube, "AMERICA FIRST FIGHTER," April 23, 2024
  9. 9.0 9.1 Ben Toma 2024 campaign website, "About," accessed April 29, 2024
  10. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  11. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  12. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  13. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  14. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  15. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  16. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  17. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  18. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  19. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  20. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  21. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  22. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  23. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  24. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  25. 25.0 25.1 25.2 25.3 This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
  26. 26.0 26.1 Arizona Secretary of State, “2018 CD8 Special Election Candidates,” accessed December 11, 2017
  27. Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
  28. Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
  29. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
  30. ABC News, "General Election Results 2012-Arizona," November 7, 2012
  31. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  32. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  33. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  34. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  35. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Vacancies (1)