Florida's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

CongressLogo.png

Florida's 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 26, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Steve Southerland II Republican Party
Steve Southerland II.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R[2]

Fairvote's Monopoly Politics: Likely R[3]

Florida U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 2nd Congressional District of Florida will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.
SimmeringRace.jpg

Incumbent is Steve Southerland II (R), who was first elected in 2010, is seeking re-election to a third term in 2014.

Southerland can expect a major challenge in 2014, as House Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, listed him as one of their top 10 targets.[4] Also, Democrats have an advantage in this district with a 21 percent registration edge over the Republicans.[5]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 2, 2014
August 26, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Florida is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[6][7][8]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters have to register by July 28, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 6, 2014.[9]

See also: Florida elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Steve Southerland II (R), who was first elected in 2010.

Florida's 2nd Congressional District consists of the eastern part of the Florida Panhandle. It includes the counties of Washington, Bay, Jackson, Gulf, Calhoun, Liberty, Gadsden, Leon, Jefferson, Wakulla, Franklin, Taylor and part of Madison county.[10]

Candidates

Withdrew prior to primary

Race background

Incumbent Steve Southerland (R) can expect a major challenge in 2014, as House Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, listed him as one of their top 10 targets.[4] Also, Democrats have an advantage in this district with a 21 percent registration edge over the Republicans.[5]

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) launched a new program in May 2013, dubbed the Jumpstart program, aimed at cultivating strong candidates in targeted districts for the 2014 elections.[14]

The Jumpstart program sets out to “provide early financial, communications, operational and strategic support to help top-tier candidates get a head start in these highly-targeted races,” according to a memo sent to donors and supporters.[14] Eight Democrats have been included on a list for the program so far, including Gwen Graham, daughter of former Florida Gov. and Sen. Bob Graham.[14]

Polls

General election match-up: Southerland v. Graham
Poll Steve Southerland (R) Gwen Graham (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Pathfinder Opinion Research
August 11-12, 2014
43%45%11%+/-4.4500
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
March 2-6, 2014
42%40%18%+/-4.4500
Public Policy Polling
October 21-22, 2013
41%44%15%+/-3.2965
Clarity Campaign Labs
August 27-28, 2013
44%42%14%+/-2.851,152
AVERAGES 42.5% 42.75% 14.5% +/-3.71 779.25
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media


NRCC's August 2014 ad, "The DC Way."

House Majority PAC's October 2013 video, "Their Games."

NRCC

See also: National Republican Congressional Committee

The National Republican Congressional Committee released an ad, "The DC Way," attacking Gwen Graham on August 12, 2014.[15]

“Gwen Graham is trying to deceive voters into thinking she is focused on North Florida. In reality, Gwen has taken thousands of dollars from Nancy Pelosi and has promised to be complacent in the battle against bad policies like Obamacare. One thing is very clear – Gwen Graham’s liberal politics are not the North Florida way.” said NRCC spokeswoman Katie Prill.[15]

House Majority PAC

See also: House Majority PAC

House Majority PAC launched a $70,000 ad buy against Steve Southerland in October 2013, saying he “should be ashamed” of supporting the shutdown.[16]

The ad also accuses Southerland of playing politics by choosing economic turmoil, elimination of retirement accounts and job losses over a bipartisan plan to reopen the government and save the country from becoming a “deadbeat” on its bills.[16]

“Steve Southerland’s reckless Tea Party government shutdown cost our economy $24 billion, yet rather than back a bipartisan plan to end this manmade debacle, Southerland actually voted to drive our nation off an economic cliff,” House Majority PAC Communications Director Andy Stone said in a press release. "The jobs, retirement accounts and wellbeing of families, seniors and veterans in north and northwest Florida apparently didn’t merit Steve Southerland’s concern – even though Southerland was still getting his taxpayer-funded salary.”[16]

Americans for Prosperity

See also: Americans for Prosperity

Americans for Prosperity's October 2013 ad, "Steve Southerland is Fighting for Us."

Americans for Prosperity February 2014 ad, "Steve Southerland Didn't Fall for the Lie of the Year."

Americans for Prosperity April 2014 ad, "Steve Southerland Puts Us First."

The group Americans for Prosperity released several ads in 2013, including one thanking Steve Southerland for opposing the Affordable Care Act, highlighting the glitches on the new health-care exchanges Web site.[17] The ads are part of a multi-wave campaign totaling more than $2 million.[17]

The group released a second ad in February 2014, "Steve Southerland Didn't Fall for the Lie of the Year," which cast Southerland as a steadfast opponent of Obamacare. It ran for three weeks in the district and cost an estimated $160,000.[18][19]

The group released another ad on April 1, 2014, that again thanked Southerland for his opposition to Obamacare.[20] The ad asserted the law was not working, but did not mention repeal.[20]

Key votes

Below are important votes the current incumbent cast during the 113th Congress.

Government affairs

HR 676

See also: Boehner's lawsuit against the Obama administration

Yea3.png On July 30, 2014, the U.S. House approved a resolution 225 to 201 to sue President Barack Obama for exceeding his constitutional authority. Five Republicans--Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Paul Broun of Georgia, Scott Garrett of New Jersey, Walter Jones of North Carolina and Steve Stockman of Texas-- voted with Democrats against the lawsuit.[21] Southerland joined the other 224 Republicans in favor of the lawsuit. All Democrats voted against the resolution.[22][23]

Economy

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Yea3.png On September 30, 2013, the House passed a final stopgap spending bill before the shutdown went into effect. The bill included a one-year delay of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate and would have also stripped the bill of federal subsidies for congressional members and staff. It passed through the House with a vote of 228-201.[24] At 1 a.m. on October 1, 2013, one hour after the shutdown officially began, the House voted to move forward with going to a conference. In short order, Sen. Harry Reid rejected the call to conference.[25] Steve Southerland II voted to approve the stopgap spending bill that would have delayed the individual mandate.[26]

Nay3.png The shutdown ended on October 16, 2013, when the House took a vote on HR 2775 after it was approved by the Senate. The bill to reopen the government lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[27] The House passed the legislation shortly after the Senate, by a vote of 285-144, with all 144 votes against the legislation coming from Republican members. Steve Southerland II voted against HR 2775.[28]

Endorsements

Steve Southerland

Steve Southerland was endorsed by the FRC Action PAC, the political action committee affiliated with Family Research Council Action.[29]

He also received endorsements from:

Gwen Graham

Gwen Graham (D) was endorsed by the Blue Dog PAC on February 25, 2014.[31]

She also received endorsements from:

Campaign contributions

Steve Southerland

Steve Southerland (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[40]April 15, 2013$101,781.70$53,658.68$(55,162.33)$10,027.14
July Quarterly[41]July 15, 2013$100,278.14$464,990.62$(88,528.75)$476,740.01
October Quarterly[42]October 13, 2013$476,740.01$254,271.68$(76,355.46)$654,656.23
Year-end[43]January 24, 2014$654,656.23$263,966$(78,681)$839,941
April Quarterly[44]April 15, 2014$839,941$512,601$(168,368)$1,184,174
Running totals
$1,549,487.98$(467,095.54)

Former vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan (R) attended a December 2013 fundraiser for Steve Southerland (R).[45] The event was held at Panama City-businessman J. Carey Scott III’s home.[45]

Gwen Graham

Gwen Graham (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[46]July 15, 2013$0.00$377,448.96$(73,492.79)$303,956.17
October Quarterly[47]October 15, 2013$303,956.17$453,159.84$(91,128.09)$665,987.92
Year End[48]January 31, 2014$665,987$474,779$(91,262)$1,049,504
April Quarterly[49]April 15, 2014$1,049,504$485,258$(120,480)$1,414,282
Running totals
$1,790,645.8$(376,362.88)

Cleave Drummond

Cleave Drummond (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[50]April 11, 2013$115.39$360.99$(402.72)$73.66
July Quarterly[51]July 9, 2013$73.66$181.59$(215.36)$39.89
October Quarterly[52]October 2, 2013$39.89$0.00$(15.00)$24.89
Year-end[53]January 31, 2014$24$0$(0)$24
April Quarterly[54]April 15, 2014$24$0$(0)$24
Running totals
$542.58$(633.08)

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2012

On November 6, 2012, Steve Southerland II (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Alfred Lawson and Floyd Patrick Miller in the general election.

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Southerland II Incumbent 52.7% 175,856
     Democratic Al Lawson 47.2% 157,634
     Independent Floyd Patrick Miller 0.1% 228
Total Votes 333,718
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Steve Southerland II won election to the United States House. He defeated Allen Boyd (D), Paul C. McKain (I), Dianne Berryhill (I) and Ray Netherwood (I) in the general election.[55]

U.S. House, Florida District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Southerland II 53.6% 136,371
     Democratic Allen Boyd incumbent 41.4% 105,211
     Independent Paul C. McKain 2.8% 7,135
     Independent Dianne Berryhill 2.2% 5,705
     Independent Ray Netherwood 0% 16
Total Votes 254,438

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed August 5, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 5, 2014
  3. Fairvote, "FairVote Releases Projections for the 2014 Congressional Elections," accessed August 5, 2014
  4. 4.0 4.1 Sunshine State News "Democratic Super PAC Targets Steve Southerland" accessed March 8, 2013
  5. 5.0 5.1 Sunshine State News "Florida Congressional Races 2014 Early Look Where Fur will Fly" accessed March 8, 2013
  6. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  7. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  8. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  9. Florida Division of Elections Website, "Register to Vote," accessed January 3, 2014
  10. Florida 2012 Redistricting Map "Map" accessed July 5, 2012
  11. Miami Herald "In daughter's Congress bid, Bob Graham co-host's big-name fundraiser at Brian Ballard home" accessed May 10, 2013
  12. Luther Lee for Congress, "Home," accessed February 11, 2014
  13. Florida Elections Division, "List of Candidates," accessed May 5, 2014
  14. 14.0 14.1 14.2 Roll Call "Democrats Launch New Program for House Recruits" accessed May 10, 2013
  15. 15.0 15.1 NRCC, "NRCC Releases New TV Ad Hitting Gwen Graham," accessed August 13, 2014
  16. 16.0 16.1 16.2 Saint Peters Blog, "House Majority PAC launches new TV ad against incumbent Steve Southerland," accessed October 21, 2013
  17. 17.0 17.1 Washington Post, "Conservative group launches House ads hitting Obamacare Web site glitches," accessed October 24, 2013
  18. Politico, "AFP boosts vulnerable Steve Southerland," accessed February 10, 2014
  19. The Hill, "http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/house-races/197430-koch-backed-group-buys-150k-in-southerland-district," accessed February 10, 2014
  20. 20.0 20.1 Tampa Bay Times, "Americans for Prosperity launches ad thanking Southerland for Obamacare opposition," accessed April 2, 2014
  21. U.S. House, "House Resolution 676," accessed July 30, 2014
  22. Yahoo News, "Suing Obama: GOP-led House gives the go-ahead," accessed July 30, 2014
  23. Washington Post, "House clears way for lawsuit against Obama," accessed July 30, 2014
  24. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  25. Buzzfeed, "Government Shutdown: How We Got Here," accessed October 1, 2013
  26. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  27. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  28. U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 550," accessed October 31, 2013
  29. FRC Action, "FRC Action PAC Endorses Steve Southerland for Congress (FL-2)," accessed August 13, 2014
  30. HUCK PAC, "Steve Southerland," accessed August 13, 2014
  31. Washington Post, "Centrist Dem ‘Blue Dogs’ endorse trio of House candidates," accessed February 26, 2014
  32. WCTV, "Senator Bill Nelson Endorses Gwen Graham for Congress," accessed August 13, 2014
  33. Emily's List, "Gwen Graham," accessed August 13, 2014
  34. 4D PAC, "4D PAC Endorses Gwen Graham for Congress in FL-02," accessed August 13, 2014
  35. News Herald, "Firefighters union endorses Gwen Graham," accessed August 13, 2014
  36. Team LPAC, "2014 endorsements," accessed August 13, 2014
  37. Tallahassee.com, "Gwen Graham to get NEA endorsement," accessed August 13, 2014
  38. Florida AFL CIO, "Endorsements," accessed August 13, 2014
  39. Committee for a Livable Future, "Candidates," accessed August 13, 2014
  40. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly" accessed July 18, 2013
  41. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed July 18, 2013
  42. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed October 23, 2013
  43. Federal Election Commission, "Year End," accessed January 27, 2014
  44. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 19, 2014
  45. 45.0 45.1 The News Herald, "U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan to attend Southerland fundraiser," accessed January 28, 2014
  46. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed July 29, 2013
  47. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed November 4, 2013
  48. Federal Election Commission, "Year End Report," accessed February 19, 2014
  49. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  50. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly" accessed July 29, 2013
  51. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed July 29, 2013
  52. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed November 4, 2013
  53. Federal Election Commission, "Year End Report," accessed February 19, 2014
  54. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 28, 2014
  55. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013