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North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 12
- Early voting: Oct. 17 - Nov. 3
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 28, 2018 |
Primary: May 8, 2018 Primary runoff: July 17, 2018 (if needed) General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: George Holding (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in North Carolina |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican Inside Elections: Lean Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th North Carolina elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
U.S. Rep. George Holding (R) defeated former state Rep. Linda Coleman (D) and Jeff Matemu (L) in the general election on November 6, 2018, to represent North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Holding was first elected to represent the 2nd District in 2016 after serving two terms representing the 13th District. North Carolina's congressional map was redrawn in February 2016 after a federal court ruled that Districts 1 and 12 were racially gerrymandered. Holding defeated 2nd District incumbent Renee Ellmers (R) in the June 7 Republican primary for the newly drawn 2nd District. Holding won the general election by 13.4 percentage points, while Donald Trump (R) won the seat by 9.6 percentage points.[1]
North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District is located in the central portion of the state and includes all of Franklin, Harnett, and Nash counties and portions of Johnston, Wake, and Wilson counties.[2]
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2
Incumbent George E.B. Holding defeated Linda Coleman and Jeff Matemu in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | George E.B. Holding (R) | 51.3 | 170,072 |
![]() | Linda Coleman (D) | 45.8 | 151,977 | |
![]() | Jeff Matemu (L) ![]() | 2.9 | 9,655 |
Total votes: 331,704 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Timmy Strickland (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2
Linda Coleman defeated Ken Romley and Wendy May in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Linda Coleman | 56.0 | 18,650 |
![]() | Ken Romley | 32.3 | 10,742 | |
![]() | Wendy May | 11.7 | 3,895 |
Total votes: 33,287 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sam Searcy (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2
Incumbent George E.B. Holding defeated Allen Chesser II in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | George E.B. Holding | 76.2 | 17,979 |
![]() | Allen Chesser II | 23.8 | 5,612 |
Total votes: 23,591 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2
Jeff Matemu advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeff Matemu ![]() |
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Candidate profiles
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: North Carolina House of Representatives (2005-2009), Wake County Board of Commissioners (2000-2004)
Biography: Coleman was born in Greenville, N.C. She received her B.A. from North Carolina A&T State University and her M.P.A. from the University of Pittsburgh. After serving as a North Carolina state representative, she was appoined as Director of State Personnel by Gov. Beverly Perdue (D) and served from 2009 to 2012.[3]
- Coleman said that she understood working families and their struggles. She highlighed her "Linda Listens" events where she interacted with constituents.[4][5]
- Coleman said she shared the same values as working families and would fight for better jobs, wages, and healthcare in order to give the families better lives.[4][5]
- Coleman emphasized her background in public service, saying it prepared her to solve problems and advocate for working familes in Congress.[4]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: United States House of Representatives (assumed office: 2013)
Biography: Holding grew up in Raleigh, North Carolina. He received his bachelor's degree from Wake Forest University in 1990 and his J.D. from Wake Forest in 1996. Before being elected to Congress, he worked as a lawyer, was a legislative assistant for U.S. Sen. Jesse Helms (R-N.C.), and served as the U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of North Carolina.[6]
- Holding said that he was an honest and hardworking person above Washington, D.C. politics. He highlights his support for term limits to address Washington dysfunction.[7][8]
- Holding emphasized his support for workfare over welfare, saying that able-bodied people should work to receive government benefits.[9]
- Holding said he was "level-headed but tough" and pointed to his support for using military action to combat the Islamic State.[7]
Party: Libertarian
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Matemu came to the United States from Kenya as a student. He later became an attorney, specializing in criminal and immigration law. He opened a law office in Raleigh.[10][11]
- Matemu said he ran to give voters an option besides a Republican or a Democrat. He blamed the two-party system for dysfunction in Congress.[11]
- Matemu said he wanted to advocate for less government, more respect for immigrants, lower incarceration rates, affordable college education, and decreasing the federal deficit.[11]
- Matemu said his negative experiences dealing with the federal government, particularly when representing immigrants and low-income persons, motivated him to run for office.[11]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | ![]() |
![]() | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
SurveyUSA (October 24-28, 2018) | Civitas Institute | 40% | 49% | 11% | +/-4.5 | 565 | |||||||||||||
SurveyUSA (September 5-8, 2018) | Civitas Institute | 44% | 43% | 13% | +/-4.9 | 538 | |||||||||||||
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (August 23-27, 2018) | Coleman campaign | 45% | 44% | 11% | +/-4.9 | 401 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 43% | 45.33% | 11.67% | +/-4.77 | 501.33 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Campaign contributions
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
George E.B. Holding | Republican Party | $3,045,694 | $3,021,114 | $38,059 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Linda Coleman | Democratic Party | $1,727,748 | $1,616,406 | $111,342 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Jeff Matemu | Libertarian Party | $24,128 | $24,698 | $-570 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[12][13][14]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- The Congressional Leadership Fund reserved $1.4 million in television advertisements to support Holding.[15]
- House Majority PAC had spent about $380,000 supporting Coleman as of October 23.[16]
- The National Republican Congressional Committee announced it would spend $616,000 supporting George Holding on October 24.[17]
- North Carolinians for a Fair Economy spent $250,000 on television ads and $31,075 on radio ads in July. The ads criticized George Holding for voting for the House Republican replacement for the Affordable Care Act.[18]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[19]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[20][21][22]
Race ratings: North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District the 130th most Democratic nationally.[23]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[24]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | Coleman (D) | Holding (R) | ||||
Individuals | ||||||
Former President Barack Obama (D)[25] | ✔ | |||||
Organizations | ||||||
EMILY's List[26] | ✔ |
Timeline
- October 31, 2018: EMILY's List disclosed an additional $400,000 in spending on behalf of Coleman's campaign.
- October 29, 2018: A SurveyUSA poll commissioned by the Civitas Institute showed Holding with 49 percent and Coleman with 40 percent. The margin of error was 4.5 percentage points.
- October 24, 2018: The National Republican Congressional Committee announced it would spend $616,000 supporting Holding.
- October 23, 2018: EMILY's List launched a $446,000 ad campaign opposing Holding, bringing its total spending on the race to $890,000.
- October 9, 2018: EMILY's List released an ad opposing George Holding.
- October 1, 2018: Former President Barack Obama (D) endorsed Linda Coleman.
- September 29, 2018: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee began airing this anti-Holding ad in the Raleigh market.[27]
- September 20, 2018: Linda Coleman was added to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Red-to-Blue list.[28]
- September 20, 2018: The Congressional Leadership Fund announced it had reserved $1.4 million in television ad time to support Holding.
- September 14, 2018: SurveyUSA conducted a survey on behalf of the Civitas Institute and found the candidates about even, with Coleman leading Holding 44-43. The margin of error was 4.9 percentage points.
- September 5, 2018: The Coleman campaign released a poll showing Coleman leading Holding 45-44. The margin of error was 4.9 percentage points.
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Linda Coleman
Support
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Oppose
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George Holding
Support
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Oppose
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- Click here to see an ad released by North Carolinians for a Fair Economy on July 25 opposing George Holding.
- Click here to see an ad released by the DCCC opposing George Holding September 29.
Campaign themes
George Holding
Holding’s campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Family The best way for government to help families is by simply reducing the burdens on families. Like cutting taxes. Taxes cost families more than food, clothing or shelter. Corporate Subsidies Free Markets and Prosperity The Right to Life The Right to Bear Arms National Defense ISIS Missile Defense Russian Interference in the 2016 Election Term Limits Faith & Religious Freedom Federal Spending The Constitution Today the federal government’s gotten so big there’s hardly a thing Washington wants to do that it can’t do. A good part of American history is the story of the growth of the federal government. But that hasn’t always been good and today it’s clear we need a check on the federal government’s power more than ever. Obamacare Workfare Tax Reform |
” |
—George Holding’s campaign website (2018)[30] |
Linda Coleman
Coleman’s campaign website stated the following:
“ |
BETTER EDUCATION BETTER WAGES FAIR ELECTIONS BETTER HEALTHCARE BETTER JOBS A SMARTER GUN POLICY CLEAN WATER CLEAN ENERGY CONSERVATION |
” |
—Linda Coleman’s campaign website (2018)[31] |
Jeff Matemu
Ballotpedia survey responses
See also: Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection
Jeff Matemu completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. The survey questions appear in bold and are followed by Matemu's responses.
What would be your top three priorities, if elected?
1. Criminal justice reform 2. Student debt reduction 3. Immigration solutions
What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about?
I'm very concerned about the ballooning federal debt.
Who do you look up to? Whose example would you like to follow, and why?
Abraham Lincoln
What characteristics or principles are most important for an elected official?
Honesty, integrity, independence and a passion for service.
What qualities do you possess that you believe would make you a successful officeholder?
I have fought for the middle class all my life representing them in federal courts in all type of issues. Discrimination, children's rights, immigration and criminal justice.
What do you believe are the core responsibilities for someone elected to this office?
Faithfully represent those who elected him/her and uphold the constitution.
What legacy would you like to leave?
A leader that respected and defended the rights of all the people all the time.
What is the first historical event that happened in your lifetime that you remember? How old were you at the time?
When the twin towers came down on 9-11.
What was your very first job? How long did you have it?
My first job was teacher. I was teaching the French language to a high school class. I was 21.
What happened on your most awkward date?
I had nothing to say and she kept saying so many things that I could not relate to.
What is your favorite holiday? Why?
River cruise. I love the outdoors and lots of water.
What is your favorite book? Why?
The Alchemist by Paolo Coelho. A wonderful perspective on what love is/should be.
If you could be any fictional character, who would you want to be?
Randle Patrick McMurphy. One flew over the cuckoos nest.
What is your favorite thing in your home or apartment? Why?
Pictures of my kids. They are the world for me.
What was the last song that got stuck in your head?
Hero. Mariah Carey.
What is something that has been a struggle in your life?
Sticking to regular workouts.
What process do you favor for redistricting?
Independent, non partisan commissions.
What qualities does the U.S. House of Representatives possess that makes it unique as an institution?
The diversity of its members
Do you believe that it's beneficial for representatives to have previous experience in government or politics?
No
What do you perceive to be the United States’ greatest challenges as a nation over the next decade?
Gerrymandering by any political party. That undermines democracy.
If you are not a current representative, are there certain committees that you would want to be a part of?
Ways and means.
Do you believe that two years is the right term length for representatives?
I am for term limits. 2 for four years each.
What are your thoughts on term limits?
We should absolutely have term limits. It's not beneficial to have congressmen serving 50 years.
If you are not currently a member of your party’s leadership in the U.S. House of Representatives, would you be interested in joining the leadership? If so, in what role?
Yes.
Is there a particular representative, past or present, whom you want to model yourself after?
Ron Paul.
Both sitting representatives and candidates for office hear many personal stories from the residents of their district. Is there a story that you’ve heard that you found particularly touching, memorable, or impactful?
Yes. A teacher for special needs children from Fuller Elementary school in Raleigh. I was touched by how much teachers with few resources sacrifice for their students.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Ballotpedia biographical submission form
The candidate completed Ballotpedia's biographical information submission form:
“ | What is your political philosophy?
All laws should point towards liberty and justice for all people all the time. Is there anything you would like to add? I focus on people, not politics.[29] |
” |
—Jeff Matemu[32] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by George Holding Tweets by Linda Coleman
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Six of 100 North Carolina counties—6 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Bladen County, North Carolina | 9.39% | 1.97% | 2.07% | ||||
Gates County, North Carolina | 9.07% | 4.11% | 5.22% | ||||
Granville County, North Carolina | 2.49% | 4.54% | 6.58% | ||||
Martin County, North Carolina | 0.43% | 4.65% | 4.64% | ||||
Richmond County, North Carolina | 9.74% | 2.95% | 1.50% | ||||
Robeson County, North Carolina | 4.27% | 17.41% | 13.78% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won North Carolina with 49.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 46.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, North Carolina voted Democratic 53.5 percent of the time and Republican 25 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, North Carolina voted Republican all five times with the exception of the 2008 presidential election.[33]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in North Carolina. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[34][35]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 40 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 38.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 44 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 36.4 points. Clinton won three districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 80 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 22.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 76 out of 120 state House districts in North Carolina with an average margin of victory of 27.7 points. Trump won five districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 39.07% | 59.75% | R+20.7 | 32.23% | 64.86% | R+32.6 | R |
2 | 45.36% | 53.77% | R+8.4 | 41.98% | 55.70% | R+13.7 | R |
3 | 39.50% | 59.71% | R+20.2 | 37.03% | 60.71% | R+23.7 | R |
4 | 34.52% | 64.80% | R+30.3 | 32.81% | 65.32% | R+32.5 | R |
5 | 66.40% | 33.04% | D+33.4 | 60.73% | 37.68% | D+23.1 | D |
6 | 41.31% | 57.70% | R+16.4 | 37.74% | 59.79% | R+22 | R |
7 | 61.12% | 38.34% | D+22.8 | 59.67% | 38.69% | D+21 | D |
8 | 44.59% | 54.67% | R+10.1 | 44.25% | 53.51% | R+9.3 | R |
9 | 43.79% | 55.31% | R+11.5 | 44.05% | 52.81% | R+8.8 | R |
10 | 32.61% | 66.71% | R+34.1 | 31.37% | 66.58% | R+35.2 | R |
11 | 62.10% | 35.81% | D+26.3 | 65.41% | 29.85% | D+35.6 | D |
12 | 57.29% | 42.15% | D+15.1 | 53.64% | 44.58% | D+9.1 | D |
13 | 31.14% | 67.96% | R+36.8 | 28.23% | 69.48% | R+41.2 | R |
14 | 39.87% | 59.05% | R+19.2 | 35.26% | 61.20% | R+25.9 | R |
15 | 34.90% | 63.92% | R+29 | 28.94% | 67.59% | R+38.7 | R |
16 | 36.25% | 62.86% | R+26.6 | 31.07% | 66.35% | R+35.3 | R |
17 | 36.26% | 62.94% | R+26.7 | 32.62% | 65.00% | R+32.4 | R |
18 | 62.39% | 36.46% | D+25.9 | 56.14% | 40.55% | D+15.6 | D |
19 | 40.85% | 57.94% | R+17.1 | 41.19% | 55.45% | R+14.3 | R |
20 | 39.49% | 59.33% | R+19.8 | 40.58% | 55.60% | R+15 | R |
21 | 65.25% | 34.32% | D+30.9 | 62.68% | 35.99% | D+26.7 | D |
22 | 43.73% | 55.60% | R+11.9 | 39.83% | 58.67% | R+18.8 | D |
23 | 62.89% | 36.74% | D+26.2 | 60.17% | 38.60% | D+21.6 | D |
24 | 74.47% | 25.04% | D+49.4 | 72.60% | 25.66% | D+46.9 | D |
25 | 38.23% | 60.96% | R+22.7 | 35.91% | 61.84% | R+25.9 | R |
26 | 38.98% | 59.91% | R+20.9 | 37.76% | 59.07% | R+21.3 | R |
27 | 66.33% | 33.28% | D+33 | 62.75% | 36.15% | D+26.6 | D |
28 | 32.52% | 66.58% | R+34.1 | 28.54% | 69.16% | R+40.6 | R |
29 | 85.11% | 14.02% | D+71.1 | 88.12% | 9.63% | D+78.5 | D |
30 | 70.85% | 28.07% | D+42.8 | 77.30% | 19.61% | D+57.7 | D |
31 | 82.65% | 16.65% | D+66 | 83.75% | 14.17% | D+69.6 | D |
32 | 65.02% | 34.58% | D+30.4 | 61.76% | 36.76% | D+25 | D |
33 | 81.34% | 17.53% | D+63.8 | 81.09% | 15.94% | D+65.2 | D |
34 | 62.78% | 35.76% | D+27 | 67.28% | 28.80% | D+38.5 | D |
35 | 44.44% | 54.51% | R+10.1 | 47.51% | 49.16% | R+1.7 | R |
36 | 44.86% | 53.90% | R+9 | 50.19% | 45.86% | D+4.3 | R |
37 | 42.89% | 55.76% | R+12.9 | 44.58% | 51.08% | R+6.5 | R |
38 | 78.90% | 20.26% | D+58.6 | 78.47% | 19.01% | D+59.5 | D |
39 | 57.12% | 41.74% | D+15.4 | 57.85% | 38.85% | D+19 | D |
40 | 46.18% | 52.52% | R+6.3 | 52.39% | 43.60% | D+8.8 | D |
41 | 50.04% | 48.63% | D+1.4 | 57.26% | 38.74% | D+18.5 | D |
42 | 73.16% | 26.19% | D+47 | 71.85% | 25.66% | D+46.2 | D |
43 | 67.66% | 31.73% | D+35.9 | 64.79% | 32.77% | D+32 | D |
44 | 51.66% | 47.45% | D+4.2 | 50.97% | 45.97% | D+5 | D |
45 | 43.67% | 55.55% | R+11.9 | 39.47% | 57.82% | R+18.3 | R |
46 | 42.45% | 56.86% | R+14.4 | 35.55% | 63.04% | R+27.5 | R |
47 | 58.64% | 40.32% | D+18.3 | 45.40% | 52.38% | R+7 | D |
48 | 67.88% | 31.42% | D+36.5 | 60.08% | 38.08% | D+22 | D |
49 | 46.75% | 52.19% | R+5.4 | 54.02% | 42.19% | D+11.8 | D |
50 | 57.85% | 40.99% | D+16.9 | 58.33% | 38.67% | D+19.7 | D |
51 | 40.42% | 58.52% | R+18.1 | 36.86% | 60.20% | R+23.3 | R |
52 | 36.18% | 63.11% | R+26.9 | 34.94% | 62.15% | R+27.2 | R |
53 | 40.43% | 58.68% | R+18.2 | 37.83% | 59.61% | R+21.8 | R |
54 | 52.55% | 46.52% | D+6 | 53.78% | 43.36% | D+10.4 | D |
55 | 39.63% | 59.55% | R+19.9 | 33.67% | 64.12% | R+30.5 | R |
56 | 76.58% | 21.93% | D+54.7 | 81.22% | 15.78% | D+65.4 | D |
57 | 73.72% | 25.56% | D+48.2 | 73.89% | 23.97% | D+49.9 | D |
58 | 77.83% | 21.42% | D+56.4 | 78.39% | 19.21% | D+59.2 | D |
59 | 40.94% | 58.07% | R+17.1 | 43.10% | 54.02% | R+10.9 | R |
60 | 78.79% | 20.56% | D+58.2 | 77.66% | 20.26% | D+57.4 | D |
61 | 41.22% | 57.90% | R+16.7 | 43.79% | 53.30% | R+9.5 | R |
62 | 43.41% | 55.66% | R+12.2 | 46.55% | 50.23% | R+3.7 | R |
63 | 43.77% | 55.31% | R+11.5 | 43.91% | 53.48% | R+9.6 | R |
64 | 41.50% | 57.66% | R+16.2 | 40.64% | 56.88% | R+16.2 | R |
65 | 39.24% | 59.93% | R+20.7 | 34.18% | 63.90% | R+29.7 | R |
66 | 50.14% | 49.07% | D+1.1 | 44.86% | 52.75% | R+7.9 | D |
67 | 31.16% | 67.81% | R+36.6 | 25.66% | 72.18% | R+46.5 | R |
68 | 36.03% | 63.07% | R+27 | 36.68% | 59.73% | R+23.1 | R |
69 | 36.47% | 62.53% | R+26.1 | 34.32% | 62.55% | R+28.2 | R |
70 | 25.89% | 73.02% | R+47.1 | 22.47% | 75.21% | R+52.7 | R |
71 | 73.71% | 25.48% | D+48.2 | 72.37% | 24.90% | D+47.5 | D |
72 | 70.87% | 28.46% | D+42.4 | 72.50% | 24.96% | D+47.5 | D |
73 | 25.05% | 73.49% | R+48.4 | 19.25% | 78.41% | R+59.2 | R |
74 | 39.29% | 59.69% | R+20.4 | 40.06% | 56.70% | R+16.6 | R |
75 | 42.46% | 56.51% | R+14.1 | 44.27% | 52.43% | R+8.2 | R |
76 | 32.63% | 66.25% | R+33.6 | 26.49% | 71.30% | R+44.8 | R |
77 | 37.74% | 61.25% | R+23.5 | 32.03% | 65.52% | R+33.5 | R |
78 | 24.09% | 74.93% | R+50.8 | 19.67% | 78.28% | R+58.6 | R |
79 | 33.69% | 65.34% | R+31.7 | 33.43% | 63.34% | R+29.9 | R |
80 | 26.50% | 72.43% | R+45.9 | 22.95% | 74.61% | R+51.7 | R |
81 | 31.87% | 67.00% | R+35.1 | 25.84% | 71.60% | R+45.8 | R |
82 | 41.86% | 57.06% | R+15.2 | 43.08% | 53.51% | R+10.4 | R |
83 | 40.29% | 58.67% | R+18.4 | 38.03% | 59.11% | R+21.1 | R |
84 | 34.47% | 64.56% | R+30.1 | 29.74% | 68.05% | R+38.3 | R |
85 | 29.12% | 69.71% | R+40.6 | 22.21% | 75.83% | R+53.6 | R |
86 | 38.15% | 60.64% | R+22.5 | 30.31% | 67.09% | R+36.8 | R |
87 | 31.49% | 67.12% | R+35.6 | 23.47% | 74.16% | R+50.7 | R |
88 | 45.63% | 53.22% | R+7.6 | 54.80% | 40.57% | D+14.2 | D |
89 | 32.82% | 66.05% | R+33.2 | 26.16% | 71.32% | R+45.2 | R |
90 | 30.65% | 68.17% | R+37.5 | 23.14% | 74.57% | R+51.4 | R |
91 | 35.21% | 63.69% | R+28.5 | 28.79% | 68.75% | R+40 | R |
92 | 52.61% | 46.42% | D+6.2 | 55.42% | 40.77% | D+14.7 | D |
93 | 42.77% | 55.22% | R+12.5 | 41.58% | 54.48% | R+12.9 | R |
94 | 29.16% | 69.58% | R+40.4 | 22.48% | 75.35% | R+52.9 | R |
95 | 34.05% | 64.95% | R+30.9 | 30.76% | 66.16% | R+35.4 | R |
96 | 36.56% | 62.36% | R+25.8 | 33.21% | 63.78% | R+30.6 | R |
97 | 30.07% | 68.92% | R+38.9 | 24.95% | 72.61% | R+47.7 | R |
98 | 43.13% | 55.96% | R+12.8 | 47.37% | 48.84% | R+1.5 | R |
99 | 82.32% | 17.15% | D+65.2 | 80.97% | 16.82% | D+64.1 | D |
100 | 73.70% | 25.10% | D+48.6 | 73.96% | 22.47% | D+51.5 | D |
101 | 74.92% | 24.37% | D+50.6 | 75.11% | 22.40% | D+52.7 | D |
102 | 83.35% | 15.90% | D+67.4 | 80.04% | 16.78% | D+63.3 | D |
103 | 44.46% | 54.49% | R+10 | 47.72% | 49.05% | R+1.3 | R |
104 | 43.47% | 55.67% | R+12.2 | 52.29% | 43.74% | D+8.5 | R |
105 | 42.40% | 56.77% | R+14.4 | 49.86% | 46.71% | D+3.1 | R |
106 | 85.84% | 13.48% | D+72.4 | 84.91% | 13.08% | D+71.8 | D |
107 | 80.29% | 18.93% | D+61.4 | 78.80% | 18.56% | D+60.2 | D |
108 | 38.42% | 60.50% | R+22.1 | 34.04% | 63.24% | R+29.2 | R |
109 | 40.80% | 58.27% | R+17.5 | 37.73% | 59.48% | R+21.7 | R |
110 | 35.30% | 63.74% | R+28.4 | 30.10% | 67.87% | R+37.8 | R |
111 | 35.81% | 63.24% | R+27.4 | 29.81% | 68.35% | R+38.5 | R |
112 | 32.80% | 66.12% | R+33.3 | 24.47% | 73.43% | R+49 | R |
113 | 37.58% | 61.29% | R+23.7 | 34.83% | 62.59% | R+27.8 | R |
114 | 73.38% | 25.18% | D+48.2 | 73.93% | 23.07% | D+50.9 | D |
115 | 48.12% | 50.52% | R+2.4 | 47.29% | 49.54% | R+2.2 | D |
116 | 43.61% | 55.12% | R+11.5 | 44.41% | 52.24% | R+7.8 | D |
117 | 36.77% | 62.07% | R+25.3 | 35.57% | 61.42% | R+25.8 | R |
118 | 41.50% | 57.02% | R+15.5 | 32.52% | 64.60% | R+32.1 | R |
119 | 47.93% | 50.40% | R+2.5 | 40.80% | 55.45% | R+14.7 | R |
120 | 30.12% | 68.56% | R+38.4 | 23.73% | 73.79% | R+50.1 | R |
Total | 48.48% | 50.53% | R+2 | 46.76% | 50.46% | R+3.7 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent George Holding (R) from District 13 defeated incumbent Renee Ellmers and Greg Brannon in the District 2 Republican primary on June 7, 2016. This primary was rated by Ballotpedia as a 2016 U.S. House primary to watch. John McNeil defeated Elton Brewington, Jane Watson, Ron Sanyal, and Steven Hight in the Democratic primary and was defeated by Holding in the general election. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[36]
Holding's decision to run in District 2 came after redistricting in North Carolina in February 2016 substantially changed the constituency of both districts.[37][38][39][40][41][36]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
56.7% | 221,485 | |
Democratic | John McNeil | 43.3% | 169,082 | |
Total Votes | 390,567 | |||
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
53.4% | 17,084 | ||
Renee Ellmers Incumbent | 23.6% | 7,552 | ||
Greg Brannon | 23% | 7,359 | ||
Total Votes | 31,995 | |||
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
46.1% | 7,613 | ||
Jane Watson | 23.5% | 3,875 | ||
Steven Hight | 11.3% | 1,870 | ||
Ron Sanyal | 10.7% | 1,761 | ||
Elton Brewington | 8.4% | 1,387 | ||
Total Votes | 16,506 | |||
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
58.8% | 122,128 | |
Democratic | Clay Aiken | 41.2% | 85,479 | |
Total Votes | 207,607 | |||
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in North Carolina heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in North Carolina.
- Republicans held 10 of 13 U.S. House seats in North Carolina.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 18 state executive positions, Republicans held five, and the remaining eight positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of North Carolina was Democrat Roy Cooper.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the General Assembly of North Carolina. They had a 75-45 majority in the state House and a 35-15 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- North Carolina was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Roy Cooper (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: North Carolina elections, 2018
North Carolina held elections for the following offices in 2018:
- Thirteen U.S. House seats
- All 50 state Senate seats
- All 120 state House seats
- State Supreme Court
- Intermediate appellate courts
- Local judges
- School boards
- Municipal government
Demographics
Demographic data for North Carolina | ||
---|---|---|
North Carolina | U.S. | |
Total population: | 10,035,186 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 48,618 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 69.5% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 21.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.5% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 1.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.4% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 8.8% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 85.8% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 28.4% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $46,868 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 20.5% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in North Carolina. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2017, North Carolina had a population of approximately 10,273,419 people, with its three largest cities being Charlotte (pop. 842,051 million), Raleigh (pop. 458,880), and Greensboro (pop. 287,027).[42]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in North Carolina from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the North Carolina State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in North Carolina every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), North Carolina 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
49.83% | ![]() |
46.17% | 3.66% |
2012 | ![]() |
50.39% | ![]() |
48.35% | 2.04% |
2008 | ![]() |
49.70% | ![]() |
49.38% | 0.32% |
2004 | ![]() |
56.02% | ![]() |
43.58% | 12.44% |
2000 | ![]() |
56.03% | ![]() |
43.2% | 12.83% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2002-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in North Carolina from 2002 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), North Carolina 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
51.06% | ![]() |
45.37% | 5.69% |
2014 | ![]() |
48.82% | ![]() |
47.26% | 1.56% |
2010 | ![]() |
54.81% | ![]() |
43.05% | 11.76% |
2008 | ![]() |
52.65% | ![]() |
44.18% | 8.47% |
2004 | ![]() |
51.60% | ![]() |
47.02% | 4.58% |
2002 | ![]() |
53.56% | ![]() |
44.96% | 0.92% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the five gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in North Carolina.
Election results (Governor), North Carolina 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
49.02% | ![]() |
48.80% | 0.22% |
2012 | ![]() |
54.6% | ![]() |
43.2% | 11.4% |
2008 | ![]() |
50.27% | ![]() |
46.88% | 5.34% |
2004 | ![]() |
55.62% | ![]() |
42.88% | 12.74% |
2000 | ![]() |
52.02% | ![]() |
46.26% | 5.76% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent North Carolina in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2025
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Democratic primary)
- North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election (May 8, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed November 20, 2017
- ↑ General Assembly of North Carolina, "2016 Contingent Congressional Plan - Corrected," accessed September 28, 2018
- ↑ Linda Coleman.com, "Meet Linda," accessed April 9, 2016
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 Linda Coleman for Congress, "Meet Linda," accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Twitter, "Linda Coleman For Congress," accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ National Journal, "North Carolina, 13th House District: George Holding (R)," accessed November 9, 2012
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 YouTube, "George Holding," accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ George Holding for Congress, "Home," accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ George Holding for Congress, "Workfare," accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ Jeff Matemu for Congress, "Libertarian US Congress Candidate Jeff," accessed November 1, 2018
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 11.3 YouTube, "JEFF MATEMU FOR NC 2ND CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT," October 9, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Washington Post, "GOP super PAC enters five new House races after adding $1.5 million to hold Ryan’s seat," September 20, 2018
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest," October 24, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Brian Murphy on October 25, 2018"
- ↑ The News and Observer, "Dark money from the left targets NC congressman," July 27, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Barack Obama on October 1, 2018"
- ↑ Twitter, "EMILY's List on August 30, 2018"
- ↑ Twitter, "Medium Buying," September 26, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Jonathan Kappler on September 20, 2018"
- ↑ 29.0 29.1 29.2 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ George Holding for Congress, “Ideas,” accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ Linda Coleman, “Issues,” accessed September 18, 2018
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ 270towin.com, "North Carolina," accessed June 1, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ 36.0 36.1 North Carolina State Board of Elections, "June Primary Candidates," accessed March 27, 2016
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Candidate_Listing_20160315," December 21, 2015
- ↑ Twitter, "Colin Campbell," accessed February 22, 2016
- ↑ News Observer, "NC Sen. Andrew Brock to run for Congress under new map," February 22, 2016
- ↑ Statesville Record and Landmark, "As primary nears, candidates meet Thursday in Mooresville," February 23, 2016
- ↑ Rhino Times, "Greensboro State Rep. Blust announces run for Congress," March 2, 2016
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "American FactFinder," accessed April 3, 2018