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Presidential election in New Hampshire, 2016

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General election in New Hampshire
  Date: November 8, 2016
2016 winner: Hillary Clinton
Electoral votes: Four
2012 winner: Barack Obama (D)
Democratic Primary
  Date: February 9, 2016
Winner: Bernie Sanders
Republican Primary
  Date: February 9, 2016
Winner: Donald Trump
Down ballot races in New Hampshire
  U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Governor
New Hampshire State Senate
New Hampshire House of Representatives
New Hampshire judicial elections
New Hampshire local judicial elections
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See also: Presidential battleground states, 2016

New Hampshire held an election for the president of the United States on November 8, 2016. New Hampshire's "first-in-the-nation" primary election took place on February 9, 2016. New Hampshire was considered a key battleground state in the 2016 general election.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Hillary Clinton won New Hampshire in the general election.
  • In 2016, New Hampshire had four electoral votes, which was 0.7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 1.5 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election.
  • Between 1900 and 2016, New Hampshire cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 80 percent of the time. In that same time frame, New Hampshire supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 60 to 40 percent. Between 2000 and 2016, the state favored Democratic candidates for president in every election except for 2000 when George W. Bush won the state with 48 percent of the vote.
  • Presidential primary elections in New Hampshire took place on February 9, 2016. Bernie Sanders won the Democratic primary with 61 percent of the vote. Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 35.6 percent.

    • General election candidates

    See also: Ballot access for presidential candidates

    The candidate list below is based on an email exchange between Ballotpedia and a representative from the New Hampshire secretary of state's office on September 29, 2016. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were provided to Ballotpedia—not necessarily the order in which they appeared on the ballot in November.

    Presidential candidates on the ballot in New Hampshire

    ☐ Donald Trump/Mike Pence (Republican)
    ☑ Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic)
    ☐ Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (Libertarian)
    ☐ Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (Green)
    ☐ Roque De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg (American Delta)

    Results

    U.S. presidential election, New Hampshire, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 46.8% 348,526 4
         Republican Donald Trump/Mike Pence 46.5% 345,790 0
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 4.1% 30,777 0
         Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.9% 6,496 0
         American Delta Roque De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg 0.1% 678 0
         - Write-in votes 1.6% 12,029 0
    Total Votes 744,296 4
    Election results via: New Hampshire Secretary of State

    Note: Write-in votes from New Hampshire can be found here.

    Pivot Counties

    See also: Pivot Counties: The counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump from 2008-2016

    Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012, in 34 states.[1] Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes, and had an average margin of victory of 11.45 percent. The political shift in these counties could have a broad impact on elections at every level of government for the next four years.

    Historical election trends

    New Hampshire presidential election results (1900-2024)

    • 14 Democratic wins
    • 18 Republican wins
    Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
    Winning Party R R R D D R R R R D D D R R R R D R R R R R R D D R D D D D D D
    See also: Presidential election accuracy

    Below is an analysis of New Hampshire's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

    Presidential election voting record in New Hampshire, 1900-2016

    Between 1900 and 2016:

    • New Hampshire participated in 30 presidential elections.
    • New Hampshire voted for the winning presidential candidate 80 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 72.31 percent.[2]
    • New Hampshire voted Democratic 40 percent of the time and Republican 60 percent of the time.

    Presidential election voting record in New Hampshire, 2000-2016

    *An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.

    Election results

    2012

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Jill Stein.[4]

    2008

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: George Phillies, Charles Baldwin, and Cynthia McKinney.[5]

    Polling

    New Hampshire polls (2016)

    Ballotpedia's battleground state polling averages were based on polls that came out over a 20- to 30-day period. For example, an average might have covered all polls that were released for a state between September 1, 2016, and September 30, 2016. They were not weighted. Polling averages were checked and updated daily.

    Electoral votes

    See also: Electoral College

    The president of the United States is not elected by popular vote but rather by electors in the Electoral College. In fact, when Americans vote for president, they are actually voting for a slate of electors selected by members of Democratic and Republican state parties or nominated in some other fashion. Under this system, which is laid out in Article 2, Section 1, of the Constitution, each state is allocated one electoral vote for every member of their congressional delegation, meaning one for each member of the U.S. House and one for each of their two Senators.

    New Hampshire electors

    In 2016, New Hampshire had four electoral votes. New Hampshire's share of electoral votes represented 0.7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 1.5 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president. Democratic and Republicans electors in New Hampshire were selected at state party conventions.

    "Faithless electors"

    The U.S. Constitution does not dictate how presidential electors are to cast their votes, but, in general, electors are expected to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state or the candidates of the party that nominated them to serve as electors. Electors who choose not to vote for the winner of the popular vote or the candidates of the party that nominated them are known as "faithless electors." Faithless electors are rare. Between 1900 and 2012, there were only eight known instances of faithless electors.

    Several states have passed laws against faithless electors and require electors to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state, for the candidate of the party that nominated them to serve as electors, or in accordance with any pledge they may have been required to make at the time of their nomination. In states with these types of laws, faithless electors can be fined or replaced, or their votes can be nullified.[6][7]

    New Hampshire was one of 20 states in 2016 without a law seeking to bind the votes of presidential electors.

    State campaign staff

    Prior to the November 8, 2016, election, each campaign put in place paid staff, volunteers, and political operatives in each state in efforts to gain votes and influence voter turnout on election day. The following details some of the key staff for each campaign in New Hampshire.

    Hillary Clinton

    For Hillary Clinton's campaign, state operations nationwide were overseen by Marlon Marshall, the campaign's director of state campaigns and political engagement. The key staff in New Hampshire consisted of:

    Hillary for America 2016 Logo.png

    Mike Vlacich, State director: Vlacich was named state director for the primary campaign in March 2015 and for the general election in May 2016. Prior to joining Clinton's campaign, he was campaign manager and senior advisor for U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.).[8] Vlacich also worked closely with former New Hampshire Gov. John Lynch (D) and was the executive director of the Democratic Party of New Hampshire.

    Donald Trump

    For Donald Trump's campaign, state operations nationwide were overseen by Michael Biundo, the campaign's senior political advisor. The key staff in New Hampshire consisted of:

    Trump-Pence 2016.svg

    Matt Ciepielowski, State director: Ciepielowski directed Trump's campaign in the state during the primary elections. Prior to working for Trump, he was the New Hampshire field director for Americans for Prosperity, a 501(c)(4) nonprofit organization focused on limited government.[9]


    Down ballot races

    See also: New Hampshire elections, 2016

    Below is a list of down ballot races in New Hampshire covered by Ballotpedia in 2016.

    New Hampshire Primary

    See also: Trump's New Hampshire triumph and Sanders sweeps New Hampshire

    The 2016 New Hampshire primary marked one hundred years since the state held the first primary on March 4, 1916.[10]

    New Hampshire is the first traditional presidential primary of the cycle. Unlike a caucus, which is run by state party officials with the goal of selecting delegates, a primary is run by the state itself. A primary is also less of a time commitment. Caucuses take hours, but because a primary is really just an election, it's just a matter of going to a polling place and casting your ballot.[11]

    While New Hampshire has a small population—1.3 million, as of December 2015[12]—the state plays a significant role in shaping the presidential race.

    That is partly due to the fact that New Hampshire allows independents—or undeclared voters, as they are known in the state—to vote in either the Republican or Democratic primary. Under primary rules, they register on site to vote in the primary of their choice and then fill out a form to regain their undeclared status. More than 40 percent of the electorate was undeclared in February 2016.[13][14]

    In 2008, New Hampshire voters delivered a victory to John McCain, who became the Republican nominee. "When the pundits declared us finished, I told them, 'I'm going to New Hampshire, where the voters don't let you make their decisions for them,'" McCain said after winning. "'I'm going to New Hampshire, and I'm going to tell people the truth.'"[15]

    Hillary Clinton won the 2008 Democratic primary, after coming in third in the Iowa caucuses, but she did not win the nomination.

    Those independents can play big role in determining, if not the outcome of the both the Republican and Democratic primaries, then the important distances between the top finishers.[16]

    Democrats

    And it was independents that helped give Bernie Sanders 60 percent of the vote in the Democratic primary— a more than 20 point win over Hillary Clinton who won 38 percent of the vote. Sanders won 72 percent of the independent vote, according to exit polling.[17]

    But Sanders' populist message also won significant majorities among young voters, voters concerned with trustworthiness, and voters interested in addressing income inequality. He won 83 percent of voters between the age of 18 and 29 and 66 percent of voters between the age 30 and 44.[18] Nearly six in 10 were most focused on the candidate who’s most honest and trustworthy or “cares about people like me” and backed Sanders overwhelmingly, by 92-6 and 81-18 percent, respectively.[19]

    Sanders won 70 percent of voters who said income inequality was a top priority. He also won 55 percent of women and 66 percent of men.[20]

    ABC News said that Sanders victory was in part due to an aggressive ground game. "While the Clinton camp has not released employee counts, the Sanders campaign eventually deployed 108 paid staffers to New Hampshire. It established 18 field offices to Clinton’s 11, along with another 37 “Get Out the Vote” centers. (Clinton had eight.)"[21]

    After winning the Iowa Democratic caucuses by a historically narrow margin, the Clinton's campaign was eager to put the New Hampshire loss behind them and campaign chairman Robby Mook released a memo looking ahead to future contests she expects to find more success with a more diverse electorate. “After splitting the first two contests, an outcome we’ve long anticipated, attention will inevitably focus on the next two of the ‘early four’ states: Nevada and South Carolina.”[22]

    Mook continued, “Whereas the electorates in Iowa and New Hampshire are largely rural/suburban and predominantly white, the March states better reflect the true diversity of the Democratic Party and the nation.”

    The Clinton campaign had also sought to lower expectations, by making the case that Sanders had an advantage in New Hampshire because he is from the neighboring state of Vermont.[23]

    Sanders led in the polls leading up to the primary and they ended up being relatively reflective of the New Hampshire electorate. A CNN/WBUR poll (released on February 5, 2016) had Sanders]] at 61 percent of the vote compared with Hillary Clinton who was at 31 percent.[24]

    Republicans

    Donald Trump won the Republican primary by carrying a range of demographic and ideological groups with more than 30 percent of the vote. He topped the rest of the field among both men and women, voters under age 64, voters without a college degree, and those who have a college degree but no postgraduate study. [25]

    Trump had the support of 37 percent of men, 32 percent of women, as well as 37 percent of voters between the age of 18 to 29, 35 percent of voters between the age of 30 to 44, and 35 percent of voters between the age of 45 to 64. Among voters without a college degree, Trump won 41 percent, and 29 percent of those who have a college degree, but no postgraduate study.[26]

    John Kasich finished second with 16 percent and was helped by voters who said they were looking for experience rather than a political outsider. Kasich got 28 percent of this group. He also did well among moderates, winning 28 percent behind Trump's 32 percent.

    Ted Cruz finished third with 12 percent. Jeb Bush finished fourth, just ahead of Marco Rubio, though both won 11 percent of the vote. Chris Christie finished with seven percent, Carly Fiorina won four percent and Ben Carson received two percent.

    Polls on the Republican side had Trump leading heading into the primary. Trump led Republicans with 29 percent of the vote, according to a CNN/WBUR poll released February 4, 2016. But Rubio was second in the poll with 18 percent, followed by Cruz with 13 percent and Kasich with 12 percent. Bush had 10 percent, setting up a possible four-man race for second place. Christie and Fiorina each had 4 percent.[27]

    Primary candidates

    Democrats[28]

    Jon Adams
    Steve Burke
    Hillary Clinton
    Roque De La Fuente
    Eric Elbot
    William D. French
    Mark Stewart Greenstein
    Henry Hewes
    Brock C. Hutton


    Keith Russell Judd
    Lloyd Thomas Kelso
    Steven Roy Lipscomb
    Star Locke
    Robert Lovitt
    Bill McGaughey
    Raymond Michael Moroz
    Edward T. O'Donnell
    Martin O'Malley


    Bernie Sanders
    Graham Schwass
    Sam Sloan
    Edward Sonnino
    Michael Steinberg
    Vermin Supreme
    David John Thistle
    James Valentine
    Richard Lyons Weil
    John Wolfe

    Republicans[29]

    Jeb Bush
    Ben Carson
    Chris Christie
    Stephen B. Comley
    Tim Cook
    Ted Cruz
    Brooks Cullison
    Matt Drozd
    J. Daniel Dyas Sr.
    Carly Fiorina


    Jim Gilmore
    Lindsey Graham
    Mike Huckabee
    Kevin Glenn Huey
    Walter N. Iwachiw
    John Kasich
    Frank Lynch
    Stephen John McCarthy
    Robert L. Mann
    Andy Martin


    Peter Messina
    George Pataki
    Rand Paul
    Chomi Prag
    Joe Robinson
    Marco Rubio
    Rick Santorum
    Donald Trump
    Richard P.H. Witz

    Primary results

    State-wide

    New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngBernie Sanders 61% 152,193 15
    Hillary Clinton 38.2% 95,355 9
    Total Write-ins 0.8% 2,039 0
    Totals 249,587 24
    Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State


    New Hampshire Republican Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump 35.6% 100,735 11
    John Kasich 15.9% 44,932 4
    Ted Cruz 11.7% 33,244 3
    Jeb Bush 11.1% 31,341 3
    Marco Rubio 10.6% 30,071 1
    Chris Christie 7.4% 21,089 0
    Carly Fiorina 4.2% 11,774 0
    Ben Carson 2.3% 6,527 0
    Rand Paul* 0.7% 1,930 0
    Total Write-ins 0.5% 1,398 0
    Jim Gilmore 0% 134 0
    Totals 283,175 22
    Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State

    *Rand Paul dropped out of the race on February 3, 2016, but his name remained on the ballot in New Hampshire.[30]*Rand Paul dropped out of the race on February 3, 2016, but his name remained on the ballot in New Hampshire.[31]


    Polls

    Democratic primary

    Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential primary polling (New Hampshire)
    Poll Bernie Sanders Hillary ClintonUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    American Research Group
    February 7-8, 2016    		53%44%3%+/-5409
    CNN/WMUR
    February 4-8, 2016    		61%35%5%+/-5.1363
    American Research Group
    February 6-7, 2016    		53%41%6%+/-5408
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    February 5-7, 2016    		56%40%4%+/-5.52407
    Emerson College
    February 4-7, 2016    		54%42%4%+/-3.4783
    American Research Group
    February 5-6, 2016    		53%42%5%+/-5408
    Monmouth University
    February 4-6, 2016    		52%42%7%+/-4.4502
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    February 4-6, 2016    		57%40%2%+/-5.38428
    CNN/WMUR
    Februray 3-6, 2016    		58%35%7%+/-4.9406
    Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald
    February 2-6, 2016    		50.8%44.4%4.8%+/-4.7433
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    Februray 3-5, 2016    		55%41%4%+/-5.24433
    Gravis Marketing
    February 2-4, 2016    		58%42%0%+/-3.7702
    CNN/WMUR
    February 2-4, 2016    		61%30%9%+/-5.4333
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    February 2-4, 2016    		55%40%4%+/-5.24434
    WBUR/Mass Inc
    February 2-4, 2016    		54%39%7%+/-4.9393
    Boston Globe/Suffolk University
    February 2-4, 2016    		50%41%9%+/-4.4500
    NBC News/Wall Street Journal
    February 2-3, 2016    		58%38%4%+/-4.1567
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    February 1-3, 2016    		58%36%5%+/-5.33420
    UMass Amherst
    January 29-February 2, 2016    		58%35%8%+/-6.6410
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    January 31-February 2, 2016    		61%32%6%+/-5.38415
    UMass Lowell/7News
    January 30-February 1, 2016    		63%30%6%+/-5.3443
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Republican primary

    Republican Party Republican Party presidential primary polling (New Hampshire)
    Poll Donald Trump Marco RubioTed CruzJohn KasichJeb BushChris ChristieCarly FiorinaBen CarsonUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    American Research Group
    February 7-8, 2016    		33%14%10%17%9%8%3%1%6%+/-5418
    CNN/WMUR
    February 4-8, 2016    		31%17%14%10%7%4%5%3%8%+/-5.2362
    American Research Group
    February 6-7, 2016    		30%16%10%16%9%6%3%1%9%+/-5427
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    February 5-7, 2016    		34%13%13%10%10%5%4%3%9%+/-5.13464
    Emerson College
    February 4-7, 2016    		31%12%11%13%16%6%7%3%1%+/-3.7686
    Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald
    February 2-6, 2016    		31%15.1%15.5%10.6%9.7%5.1%4%3.1%5.9%+/-4.9407
    American Research Group
    February 5-6, 2016    		31%17%9%17%9%5%2%1%8%+/-5422
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    February 4-6, 2016    		36%14%13%9%10%4%4%3%7%+/-4.82428
    Monmouth University
    February 4-6, 2016    		30%13%12%14%13%6%5%4%4%+/-4.4508
    CNN/WMUR
    Februray 3-6, 2016    		33%16%14%11%7%4%6%2%7%+/-5.2362
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    Februray 3-5, 2016    		35%14%13%10%10%4%3%3%8%+/-4.86501
    Gravis Marketing
    February 2-4, 2016    		29%19%15%13%8%6%4%4%2%+/-3.3871
    CNN/WMUR
    February 2-4, 2016    		29%18%13%12%10%4%4%2%10%+/-5.2362
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    February 2-4, 2016    		34%15%14%8%8%5%3%4%8%+/-4.8500
    WBUR/Mass Inc
    February 2-4, 2016    		29%12%12%9%9%6%8%4%10%+/-4.9410
    Boston Globe/Suffolk University
    February 2-4, 2016    		29%19%7%13%10%5%4%4%9%+/-4.4500
    NBC News/WSJ/Marist
    February 2-3, 2016    		30%17%15%10%9%4%2%4%8%+/-3.8653
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    February 1-3, 2016    		36%15%14%7%8%5%3%4%8%+/-4.87487
    Harper Polling
    February 1-2, 2016    		31%10%9%12%14%6%5%3%11%+/-4.75425
    UMass Amherst
    January 29-February 2, 2016    		35%15%9%11%8%5%3%4%11%+/-7.1390
    UMass Lowell/7 News
    January 31-February 2, 2016    		38%12%14%7%9%6%3%3%8%+/-4.83502
    UMass Lowell/7News
    January 30-February 1, 2016    		38%10%14%9%9%5%3%3%8%+/-5470
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Delegates

    Delegate selection

    See also: 2016 presidential nominations: calendar and delegate rules

    Democratic Party

    Democratic Party Logo.png

    New Hampshire had 32 delegates at the 2016 Democratic National Convention. Of this total, 24 were pledged delegates. National party rules stipulated how Democratic delegates in all states were allocated. Pledged delegates were allocated to a candidate in proportion to the votes he or she received in a state's primary or caucus. A candidate was eligible to receive a share of the state's pledged delegates if he or she won at least 15 percent of the votes cast in the primary or caucus. There were three types of pledged Democratic delegates: congressional district delegates, at-large delegates, and party leaders and elected officials (PLEOs). Congressional district delegates were allocated proportionally based on the primary or caucus results in a given district. At-large and PLEO delegates were allocated proportionally based on statewide primary results.[32][33]

    Eight party leaders and elected officials served as unpledged delegates. These delegates were not required to adhere to the results of a state's primary or caucus.[32][34]

    New Hampshire superdelegates

    See also: Superdelegates from New Hampshire, 2016 and Superdelegates and the 2016 Democratic National Convention

    Republican Party

    Logo-GOP.png

    New Hampshire had 23 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, six were district-level delegates (three for each of the state's two congressional districts). District-level delegates were allocated on a proportional basis; each candidate who won at least 10 percent of the statewide vote was entitled to receive a share of New Hampshire's district delegates.[35][36]

    Of the remaining 17 delegates, 14 served at large. At-large delegates were allocated on a proportional basis; each candidate who won at least 10 percent of the statewide vote was entitled to receive a share of the state's at-large delegates. In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) served as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention.[35][36]

    Republican delegates

    See also: Republican delegates from New Hampshire, 2016 and RNC delegate guidelines from New Hampshire, 2016

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
    2. ↑ This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2016. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
    3. ↑ This number refers to the number of times that the state voted for the winning presidential candidate between 2000 and 2016.
    4. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    5. ↑ U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    6. ↑ Archives.gov, "About the Electors," accessed July 28, 2016
    7. ↑ Congressional Research Service, "The Electoral College: How it works in contemporary presidential elections," April 13, 2016
    8. ↑ Linkedin.com, "Profile: Mike Vlacich," accessed November 23, 2015
    9. ↑ LinkedIn, "Matt Ciepielowski," accessed June 29, 2015
    10. ↑ ‘’Celebrating 100 Years: New Hampshire Presidential Primary’’, “Fast Facts,” accessed February 5, 2016
    11. ↑ U.S. News & World Report, "Why New Hampshire Matters in Presidential Elections," February 2, 2016
    12. ↑ ‘’US Census Bureau’’, “State and County Quick Facts,” accessed February 5, 2016
    13. ↑ New Hampshire Secretary of State, "Voting in Party Primaries," accessed February 5, 2016
    14. ↑ U.S. News & World Report, "Why New Hampshire Matters in Presidential Elections," February 2, 2016
    15. ↑ CNN, "Clinton and McCain the comeback kids," January 9, 2016
    16. ↑ USA Today, "Independent voters to play major — not critical — role in New Hampshire," February 4, 2016
    17. ↑ The New York Times, "New Hampshire Exit Polls," February 9, 2016
    18. ↑ The New York Times, "New Hampshire Exit Polls," February 9, 2016
    19. ↑ ABC News, "New Hampshire Primary Exit Poll Analysis: How Trump And Sanders Won," February 9, 2016
    20. ↑ The New York Times, "New Hampshire Exit Polls," February 9, 2016
    21. ↑ ABC News, "How Bernie Sanders' Ground Game Overwhelmed the Clinton Machine in NH," February 10, 2016
    22. ↑ Boston Globe, "Here’s how Hillary Clinton’s campaign is downplaying her loss in New Hampshire," February 9, 2016
    23. ↑ ABC News, "How Bernie Sanders' Ground Game Overwhelmed the Clinton Machine in NH," February 10, 2016
    24. ↑ CNN Politics, "Sanders tops Clinton by 2-to-1 margin in New Hampshire," February 5, 2016
    25. ↑ CNN Politics, "Exit polls: Trump wins with multiple groups of voters," February 10, 2016
    26. ↑ The New York Times, "New Hampshire Exit Polls," February 9, 2016
    27. ↑ CNN Politics, "New Hampshire poll: Trump on top, battle for second emerges," February 4
    28. ↑ New Hampshire Secretary of State, "2016 Election Information," accessed December 5, 2015
    29. ↑ New Hampshire Secretary of State, "2016 Election Information," accessed December 5, 2015
    30. ↑ Politico, "Rand Paul drops out of White House race," February 3, 2016
    31. ↑ Politico, "Rand Paul drops out of White House race," February 3, 2016
    32. ↑ 32.0 32.1 Democratic National Committee, "2016 Democratic National Convention Delegate/Alternate Allocation," updated February 19, 2016
    33. ↑ The Green Papers, "2016 Democratic Convention," accessed May 7, 2021
    34. ↑ Democratic National Committee's Office of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection, "Unpledged Delegates -- By State," May 27, 2016
    35. ↑ 35.0 35.1 Republican National Committee, "2016 Presidential Nominating Process," accessed October 6, 2015
    36. ↑ 36.0 36.1 CNN.com, "Republican National Convention roll call vote," accessed July 20, 2016
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    Democratic: April 14, 2016 (CNN) • March 9, 2016 (Univision) • March 6, 2016 (CNN) • February 11, 2016 (PBS) • February 4, 2016 (MSNBC) • January 17, 2016 (NBC) • December 19, 2015 (ABC) • November 14, 2015 (CBS) • October 13, 2015 (CNN)
    Republican: March 10, 2016 (CNN) • March 3, 2016 (FNC) • February 25, 2016 (CNN) • February 13, 2016 (CBS) • February 6, 2016 (ABC) • January 28, 2016 (FNC) • January 14, 2016 (FBN) • December 15, 2015 (CNN) • November 10, 2015 (FBN) • October 28, 2015 (CNBC) • September 16, 2015 (CNN)

    Insiders Poll: First Democratic debate (October 13, 2015) • Presidential Nominating Index: Clinton remains choice of Democratic Insiders • Presidential Nominating Index: Bush remains choice of Republican Insiders • Insiders Poll: Winners and losers from the Fox News Republican Debate


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