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North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024

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2026
2022
North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 15, 2023
Primary: March 5, 2024
Primary runoff: May 14, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in North Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
North Carolina elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of North Carolina, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024, and a primary runoff was May 14, 2024. The filing deadline was December 15, 2023.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 64.7%-35.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 66.9%-31.5%.[3]

North Carolina conducted redistricting between the 2022 and 2024 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. To review how redistricting took place in North Carolina and to see maps of the new districts, click here. For a list of all states that drew new district lines between 2022 and 2024, click here.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Incumbent Deborah Ross defeated Alan Swain and Michael Dublin in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Deborah Ross
Deborah Ross (D)
 
66.3
 
268,662
Image of Alan Swain
Alan Swain (R) Candidate Connection
 
31.6
 
128,164
Image of Michael Dublin
Michael Dublin (G) Candidate Connection
 
2.1
 
8,691

Total votes: 405,517
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Incumbent Deborah Ross defeated Michael Camero in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Deborah Ross
Deborah Ross
 
93.6
 
69,564
Image of Michael Camero
Michael Camero Candidate Connection
 
6.4
 
4,761

Total votes: 74,325
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Alan Swain defeated Eugene Douglass and Robert Morales Vergara in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Alan Swain
Alan Swain Candidate Connection
 
59.5
 
25,759
Image of Eugene Douglass
Eugene Douglass Candidate Connection
 
22.5
 
9,751
Image of Robert Morales Vergara
Robert Morales Vergara Candidate Connection
 
17.9
 
7,747

Total votes: 43,257
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Green primary election

The Green primary election was canceled. Michael Dublin advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2.

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Alan Swain

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Alan Swain was born in Yokohama, Japan and is a retired United States Army Colonel, serving 26 years. He earned an undergraduate degree from The Citadel, The Military College of South Carolina in 1976. He graduated with Masters from Embry–Riddle Aeronautical University, Auburn University, and Army War College. Swain's career experience includes commanding soldiers at all levels, AH-1 and AH-64 Attack helicopter pilot, 2 tours at the Pentagon, served 2 Presidents at the White House, achieved the master aviator badge, test pilot skills with the U.S. Army and was a successful small business owner. He has been affiliated with the following organizations: • Association of Citadel Men (life member) • Association of the United States Army (life member) • Army Aviation Association of America (life member) • Military Officer Association of America (life member) • National Rifle Association (life member) • Veterans of Foreign Wars (life member) • American Legion (life member) "


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Inflation-Economy-National Debt. For 3 years Americans have been suffering from 18+% inflation. The cost of groceries, energy, housing, fuel are not sustainable. I commit to a balanced budget; zero-based budgeting; cut Federal spending; no more Continuing Resolutions (CR); stop Democrat tax hikes; make permanent the 2017 individual tax rates; halt federal taxing of social security entitlements; regain energy independence/dominance; and halt BIDENOMICs. Like Mr. Biden, I too support MAGAnomics.


US immigration allows 1.1M to legally emigrate annually. Allowing 8.5M undocumented to enter over the last 3 years is not acceptable. Failure to secure our national borders is a national security failure by Mr Biden. I will work to build a physical and technology wall; restore Remain in Mexico policy, end sanctuary city funding; halt catch and release and change to catch and deport; increase CBP agents; increase immigration judges (3 year backlog is unacceptable); and work for immigration reform


Public Safety is on the ballot. I fully suport funding law enforcement. Criminals must be held accountable. Our judicial system must enforce current laws. Allowing repeat violent offenders release on no cash bail is a detriment to Rule of Law. We must halt woke Das for not following the law and allowing criminals to skirt the law. We must help the mentally ill. I support increasing mental health institutions to perform needed evaluations; and Comprehensive health systems needed to identify individuals of concern. Drugs and human trafficking are out of control due to lax border security which is impacting our national security. We must close our borders and increase punishment of drug and human trafficking crimes.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 in 2024.

Image of Michael Dublin

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Green Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Hello. I’m Michael L. Dublin Jr, NC Green Party Member and Candidate, and I want the opportunity to serve you in the US House of Representatives. Please allow me to introduce myself. I was born and raised in Wake County. I grew up in Southeast Raleigh, North Raleigh and what’s now called Mid-town. As an adult, I have lived all over Raleigh and Garner. I started school in Raleigh City Schools (before the merger) and continued my education in Wake County Public Schools. After graduating NC State University (go Pack!) I am now a teacher in a NC public school. My family and I have been blessed to continue to live, work, and serve this community through decades of teaching and volunteering in prison ministry. Now I am asking you to allow me to serve this community and you in the US House of Representatives. North Carolina is changing fast and not in the ways that serve all Carolinians. As we evolve and thrive across this state, I want to be sure that the rural areas, the workers, the marginalized and the poor are included. Did you know that in Wake County the largest block of voters are the unaffiliated voters? That tells me that many of you are searching for real, concrete, honest options. Help me put the focus back on you and your needs. To me, all voices matter, all experiences matter, all your hopes and dreams matter, all families matter, all lives matter, you matter. As a candidate for the Eco-Socialist NC Green Party, I will only have the people's support."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I support a living wage of at least 25 dollars an hour. And, that’s just the starting point! A worker in Chapel Hill told me last year that they were offered a raise of 91 cents an hour. 91 cents. Please let that sink in. Where can one live in Chapel Hill making a salary that pays 16.91 an hour? Obviously, she has to work two jobs. And take care of a family. This is suppression of the workers. Most of my opponents support increasing a minimum wage bit by bit. They approve a 91 cent raise and call it progress. What’s progressing is their political careers and the portfolios of the upper class, who fund Republicans and Democrats and don’t pay their fair amount of taxes. Real progress is $25.00 and hour plus benefits.


I support single-payer healthcare. I’m tired of the games and excuses! All those politicians have healthcare! If they didn’t, they would find the money to make sure they did! How can they look you in the eye and explain, “We just can’t afford to give you what you deserve, your human right, healthcare. We have to send trillions around the world; we have to spend billions every year on beefing up the military industrial complex; so we can’t take of you, dear citizen. I will stand for what’s right. And making sure all have healthcare is right. As a member of Congress, I will craft simple and honest legislation that serves all. We need a nation of healthy citizen with a long life expectancy, not a nation where it has stagnated at best recently.


As a Green Party member I support the party's environmental demands which are: 1. Stop all federal approvals for new fossil fuel projects and repeal permits for climate bombs like the Willow Project and Alaska LNG. 2. Phase out fossil fuel DRILLING on our public lands and waters. 3. Declare a climate emergency to halt oil exports and investments in fossil fuel projects abroad, AND lead a just transition to clean, community energy. I agree because this is what I believe, too! As a member of congress I will introduce and support legislation to make those three main points happen. I heard it said, “Home is where the heart is.” My heart is set on ensuring clean air and water for future generations. Voting for me is a vote for Mother Earth.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in North Carolina

Election information in North Carolina: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 2, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 11, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 11, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 29, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 29, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 29, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 17, 2024 to Nov. 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:30 a.m. - 7:30 p.m. (EST)


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

I support a living wage of at least 25 dollars an hour. And, that’s just the starting point! A worker in Chapel Hill told me last year that they were offered a raise of 91 cents an hour. 91 cents. Please let that sink in. Where can one live in Chapel Hill making a salary that pays 16.91 an hour? Obviously, she has to work two jobs. And take care of a family. This is suppression of the workers. Most of my opponents support increasing a minimum wage bit by bit. They approve a 91 cent raise and call it progress. What’s progressing is their political careers and the portfolios of the upper class, who fund Republicans and Democrats and don’t pay their fair amount of taxes. Real progress is $25.00 and hour plus benefits.

I support single-payer healthcare. I’m tired of the games and excuses! All those politicians have healthcare! If they didn’t, they would find the money to make sure they did! How can they look you in the eye and explain, “We just can’t afford to give you what you deserve, your human right, healthcare. We have to send trillions around the world; we have to spend billions every year on beefing up the military industrial complex; so we can’t take of you, dear citizen. I will stand for what’s right. And making sure all have healthcare is right. As a member of Congress, I will craft simple and honest legislation that serves all. We need a nation of healthy citizen with a long life expectancy, not a nation where it has stagnated at best recently.

As a Green Party member I support the party's environmental demands which are:

1. Stop all federal approvals for new fossil fuel projects and repeal permits for climate bombs like the Willow Project and Alaska LNG. 2. Phase out fossil fuel DRILLING on our public lands and waters. 3. Declare a climate emergency to halt oil exports and investments in fossil fuel projects abroad, AND lead a just transition to clean, community energy. I agree because this is what I believe, too! As a member of congress I will introduce and support legislation to make those three main points happen.

I heard it said, “Home is where the heart is.” My heart is set on ensuring clean air and water for future generations. Voting for me is a vote for Mother Earth.
Inflation-Economy-National Debt. For 3 years Americans have been suffering from 18+% inflation. The cost of groceries, energy, housing, fuel are not sustainable. I commit to a balanced budget; zero-based budgeting; cut Federal spending; no more Continuing Resolutions (CR); stop Democrat tax hikes; make permanent the 2017 individual tax rates; halt federal taxing of social security entitlements; regain energy independence/dominance; and halt BIDENOMICs. Like Mr. Biden, I too support MAGAnomics.

US immigration allows 1.1M to legally emigrate annually. Allowing 8.5M undocumented to enter over the last 3 years is not acceptable. Failure to secure our national borders is a national security failure by Mr Biden. I will work to build a physical and technology wall; restore Remain in Mexico policy, end sanctuary city funding; halt catch and release and change to catch and deport; increase CBP agents; increase immigration judges (3 year backlog is unacceptable); and work for immigration reform

Public Safety is on the ballot. I fully suport funding law enforcement. Criminals must be held accountable. Our judicial system must enforce current laws. Allowing repeat violent offenders release on no cash bail is a detriment to Rule of Law. We must halt woke Das for not following the law and allowing criminals to skirt the law. We must help the mentally ill. I support increasing mental health institutions to perform needed evaluations; and Comprehensive health systems needed to identify individuals of concern. Drugs and human trafficking are out of control due to lax border security which is impacting our national security. We must close our borders and increase punishment of drug and human trafficking crimes.
End the War Machine 4 All Let me get this straight. We can’t afford single-payer healthcare. We can’t afford a livable wage for workers. We can’t afford to invest in our schools. But, we can afford a 7 BILLION dollar aircraft carrier! We can afford to have military bases around the world. We can afford to give BILLIONS to another country to fight a proxy war in Europe. We can afford to give BILLIONS every year to support an Apartheid State of Israel. (Even though our Congress voted overwhelmingly on a resolution stating the opposite. That was the lie. The political interest groups that finance those politicians support the lie. The report by Amnesty International supports the truth. The Palestinians living under oppression and lethat attack
I believe in the American Dream. The American Dream was rooted in our Declaration of Independence, stating that all men are created equal with the right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. This idea that every citizen of the United States has the equal opportunity to achieve his or her success and prosperity based on hard work, determination, and initiative. We as Americans value the ideals of democracy, limited government, personal rights, liberty, opportunity, and equality. America has developed an upwardly mobile society where one generation can do better financially than the last with the aid of hard work and perseverance. Efforts by the Biden Administration to push for diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) is antithetical to our core founding principles. We as a nation must ensure that America remains the land of opportunity that allows the possibility of upward mobility, freedom and equality for people of all classes who work hard and have the will to succeed. We should be promoting success based on merit and not mediocrity. All Americans should have an equal opportunity and we should not allow equity to stray us from our American dream path.
Bob Marley
My Father

Numerous Army mentors (senior officers and peers)

My father taught me how to be a man and my many Army mentors taught me how to lead and handle tough life challenges
Honesty, integrity, fairness, and perseverance are essential characteristics of an elected official. Elected officials must also understand themselves as public servants who seek to improve the lives of the people they serve and respect the dignity of every human being without favoritism. Good elected officials are thoughtful and seek to listen to the needs of the people they serve to make the best use of time and resources.
Honesty and integrity
I connect well with people,I listen and I am authentic.
hard worker, patient. good student, compassionate, work well with others
To serve the best interests of the broadest number of people while respecting the fundamental rights of all. This work is done by studying the ways in which the lives of the people can best be improved.
dedication, faith, honesty and integrity. To listen to one's District constituents and be their voice in DC
I would like to be remembered as someone who made a difference in people's lives.
that I helped make a difference in uniform, as a representative, as a husband, father and grandfather
Newspaper boy and I had that for 1 year
US Army 2nd Lieutenant -Colonel 26 years
Native Son by Richard Wright because it illustrates the struggles of growing up as a poor black youth and the injustices brought upon him. I highlights a discriminatory and unjust society.
European and Western Civilization history
Dealing with the inequality and racism inherent in our society.
getting settled in retirement form military and my business life
The fact that it has two go back to the people every two years to renew its mandate.
The House is the People's House. Congress needs to do its job. Term limits are need to end the career politician concept in effect in Washington DC Change is possible, term limits are a must. WE need to return to what our Founding Fathers envisioned of "Citizen Statesman' and not career politicians
Not necessarily, so that representatives can think outside the box.
yes. knowledge of how government operates will help immensely at the start of work
Climate change and stopping endless wars that threaten our very survival.
regional conflicts; border security; inflation; a nuclear North Korea; a future nuclear Iran; immigration; China provocation over Taiwan
If elections are publicly funded two years is enough and allows for decent accountability, but when there is no public funding of elections fundraising ends up taking too much time of a two year term and corrupts the system. Without public funding four years would be better to insure adequate time for the work at hand.
2 years is short, maybe a switch to 4 year terms with 1/2 elected every 2 years
I am in favor of term limits for a maximum of 12 years regardless of the office.
I fully support term limits
I was attending a worker’s rally in downtown Raleigh when someone in a pickup truck rode by and shouted, “Understand economics!” In other words, we cannot pay workers a decent, respectful, living wage because the economics of this country doesn’t allow that. Custodians don’t deserve it. Bus drivers don’t deserve it. Warehouse workers don’t deserve it. Food service industry workers don’t deserve it. The workers don’t deserve it. You don’t deserve it. Only the upper class deserves it. This sounds a lot like the Antebellum South: the rich planters own the plantations, and the workers get scraps and beatings when they ask for more. How dare you workers ask for more! How dare you ask for respect as a person! Are you really a person?


I think and believe you are! That’s why I support a living wage of at least 25 dollars an hour. And, that’s just the starting point! A worker in Chapel Hill told me last year that they were offered a raise of 91 cents an hour. 91 cents. Please let that sink in. Where can one live in Chapel Hill making a salary that pays 16.91 an hour? Obviously, she has to work two jobs. And take care of a family. This is suppression of the workers. Most of my opponents support increasing a minimum wage bit by bit. They approve of a 91 cent raise and call it progress. What’s progressing is their political careers and the portfolios of the upper class, who don’t pay their fair amount of taxes, but that’s a different story! The problem is that we DO understand economics! We understand our worth! We can’t be bought by 91 cents and a promise for progress. We aren’t wishing on a star or looking for a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. I will support the workers getting what is right and just! I respect and honor workers! A vote for me is striking a blow at corporate greed and those who have sacrificed workers in the temple of the Capitalist God: greed. The shame. 91 cents. I proudly advocate for a living wage of at least 25 dollars an hour.

visiting with veterans and hearing how a certain representative stepped up to assist that veteran in his time of need
If a person who speaks two languages is called bilingual, what do you call a person who speaks one language? An America.
personal jokes on life with my grandchildren
You can sometimes compromise on policy, if it moves you forward, but never on principle.
it depends on the policy. sometimes half a loaf is necessary for the common good and to improve the polcy
My priorities are to cut military spending to that which legitimately defensive and invest in healthcare for all, education, addressing the climate crisis and promoting a healthy vibrant economy that can easily afford livable wages.
The House needs to return to regular order, passing the 12 separate appropriations bills each year by 30 June. This has not occurred for several decades and has turned into omnibus bills, continuing resolutions (CRs) and an unrealistic $34.1T debt with no effort by Congress to control spending.
In a way that insures power is not abused, whether by the public or private sector, and the executive is accountable for carrying out its actions. Similarly investigative power should be used in a way so as to help formulate the best legislation for the benefit of the people as a whole.
The House has been successful in investigating the Biden Administration in 2023-24. This oversight has been very beneficial in making the Administration more transparent in their actions.
The North Carolina Green Party, Jill Stein, Matt Hoh, Green Congressional Candidate Committee.
Former Wake County Sheriff Donnie Harrison Former 1st Vice Wake County Republican Party, Colonel (USMC retired) Mark Cavaliero
Appropriations and education
People should have the right to know what their government is doing all the time and have the right to hold it accountable for all its actions.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Deborah Ross Democratic Party $1,930,246 $1,662,060 $737,510 As of December 31, 2024
Michael Camero Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Eugene Douglass Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Robert Morales Vergara Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Alan Swain Republican Party $33,206 $34,107 $1,095 As of December 31, 2024
Michael Dublin Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
North Carolina U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 5% of registered voters in the same party or 8,000, whichever is greater[8] $1,740.00 12/15/2023 Source
North Carolina U.S. House Unaffiliated 10,000[9] $1,740.00 3/5/2024 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2024 election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map used in the 2022 election next to the map in place for the 2024 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.

2022

2023_01_03_nc_congressional_district_02.jpg

2024

2025_01_03_nc_congressional_district_02.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Carolina.

North Carolina U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 14 14 5 64 28 2 11 46.4% 4 44.4%
2022 14 14 4 100 28 9 13 78.6% 7 70.0%
2020 13 13 3 64 26 8 5 50.0% 3 30.0%
2018 13 13 0 56 26 10 7 65.4% 8 61.5%
2016 13 13 1 74 26 6 10 61.5% 9 75.0%
2014 13 13 3 60 26 8 9 65.4% 6 60.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Carolina in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/10/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.


Sixty-four candidates filed to run for North Carolina’s 14 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 15 Democrats and 49 Republicans. That’s 4.6 candidates per district, less than the 7.14 candidates per district in 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in North Carolina increased from 13 to 14.

In 2020, when the state still had 13 Congressional districts, 4.9 candidates filed to run. In 2018, 4.3 candidates filed, and, in 2016, 5.7 did.

The 2024 election was the first to take place under new district lines that the North Carolina General Assembly adopted on October 25, 2023.

The 64 candidates who filed to run in 2024 were fewer than the 100 who ran in 2022. In 2020, 64 candidates also ran, although North Carolina had one fewer district then. Fifty-six candidates ran in 2018, the decade low.

Five seats were open in 2024, one more than in 2022 and a decade high.

Reps. Jeff Jackson (D-14th) and Dan Bishop (R-8th) did not run for re-election in order to run for state attorney general, while Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-10th) retired from public office. Reps. Kathy Manning (D-6th) and Wiley Nickel (D-13th), who did not run for re-election either, cited the partisan lean of their redrawn districts as the reason.

Fifteen candidates—one Democrat and 14 Republicans—ran for the open 13th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024. Thirteen primaries—two Democratic and 11 Republican—were contested. That was fewer than the 22 contested primaries in 2022, and tied with 2020 as the lowest number of contested primaries this decade. As a percentage of all possible primaries, the 13 contested primaries in 2024 were the lowest this decade (46%). North Carolina had 13 districts in 2020, making the 13 contested primaries that year 50% of all possible major party primaries.

Four incumbents—one Democrat and three Republicans—faced primary challengers. The 3rd and 6th Congressional districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 2nd the 93rd most Democratic district nationally.[10]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in North Carolina's 2nd based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
66.9% 31.5%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[11] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
64.4 34.9 D+29.5

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in North Carolina, 2020

North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 18 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D D D D D R R D R R R R R R R D R R R
See also: Party control of North Carolina state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 4 4
Republican 2 10 12
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 14 16

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in North Carolina, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Roy Cooper
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Mark Robinson
Secretary of State Democratic Party Elaine Marshall
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Stein

State legislature

North Carolina State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 20
     Republican Party 30
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

North Carolina House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 48
     Republican Party 72
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Incumbent Deborah Ross defeated Christine Villaverde in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Deborah Ross
Deborah Ross (D)
 
64.7
 
190,714
Image of Christine Villaverde
Christine Villaverde (R) Candidate Connection
 
35.3
 
104,155

Total votes: 294,869
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Deborah Ross advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Christine Villaverde defeated Mahesh Ganorkar and Adina Safta in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Christine Villaverde
Christine Villaverde Candidate Connection
 
55.1
 
19,650
Image of Mahesh Ganorkar
Mahesh Ganorkar Candidate Connection
 
25.6
 
9,133
Image of Adina Safta
Adina Safta Candidate Connection
 
19.3
 
6,872

Total votes: 35,655
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Deborah Ross defeated Alan Swain and Jeff Matemu in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Deborah Ross
Deborah Ross (D)
 
63.0
 
311,887
Image of Alan Swain
Alan Swain (R) Candidate Connection
 
34.8
 
172,544
Image of Jeff Matemu
Jeff Matemu (L)
 
2.2
 
10,914

Total votes: 495,345
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Deborah Ross defeated Monika Johnson-Hostler, Andrew Terrell, and Ollie Nelson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Deborah Ross
Deborah Ross
 
69.8
 
103,574
Image of Monika Johnson-Hostler
Monika Johnson-Hostler
 
22.5
 
33,369
Image of Andrew Terrell
Andrew Terrell Candidate Connection
 
5.8
 
8,666
Image of Ollie Nelson
Ollie Nelson
 
1.8
 
2,677

Total votes: 148,286
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Alan Swain advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Jeff Matemu advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2.

2018

See also: North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Incumbent George E.B. Holding defeated Linda Coleman and Jeff Matemu in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of George E.B. Holding
George E.B. Holding (R)
 
51.3
 
170,072
Image of Linda Coleman
Linda Coleman (D)
 
45.8
 
151,977
Image of Jeff Matemu
Jeff Matemu (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.9
 
9,655

Total votes: 331,704
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Linda Coleman defeated Ken Romley and Wendy May in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Linda Coleman
Linda Coleman
 
56.0
 
18,650
Image of Ken Romley
Ken Romley
 
32.3
 
10,742
Image of Wendy May
Wendy May
 
11.7
 
3,895

Total votes: 33,287
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Incumbent George E.B. Holding defeated Allen Chesser II in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of George E.B. Holding
George E.B. Holding
 
76.2
 
17,979
Image of Allen Chesser II
Allen Chesser II
 
23.8
 
5,612

Total votes: 23,591
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Jeff Matemu advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Jeff Matemu
Jeff Matemu Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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See also

North Carolina 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee.
  9. Petition signatures only required in lieu of filing fee.
  10. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  11. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


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