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Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff)

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2024
2020
Texas' 15th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Democratic primary runoff
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 13, 2021
Primary: March 1, 2022
Primary runoff: May 24, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+1
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Inside Elections: Lean Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Texas' 15th Congressional District
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Texas elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

Michelle Vallejo defeated Ruben Ramirez in the Democratic Party primary runoff on May 24, 2022 for Texas' 15th Congressional District. The results of a recount completed on June 17 affirmed Vallejo's victory by 35 votes.[1]

Ramirez announced he would request a recount on June 6.[2] The Texas Democratic Party approved the recount request on June 9, and the recount was expected to begin on June 15.[3] Under state law, candidates may request a recount if the margin of victory is less than 10%. To learn more about how recounts work in Texas, click here.

Ramirez worked as an attorney and is an Army veteran and former teacher who previously ran for election in the 15th District in 2012 and 2016.[4] His top campaign priorities were healthcare, national security, and education. Ramirez said he would "continue to fight for my fellow veterans and district. Like all challenges I have faced, I will not back down and I promise to uphold our values and our Constitution” if elected.[5]

Vallejo was a business owner and co-founder of two advocacy groups, New Leaders Council STX Frontera chapter and Hustle + Socialize.[6] Her platform included supporting Medicare for All, a $15 minimum wage, and an anti-war foreign policy.[7] “I think traditionally these races are based on who has the most purchasing power when it comes to mailers, signs, and media, and I’m so grateful that for my campaign that’s not the only thing we’re focusing on, and I love that it started with the energy of having a ground game,” Vallejo said.

Healthcare was one of the contested issues in the race. Vallejo said she supported a single-payer univeresal healthcare system because it "would extend Medicare to cover dental, hearing, prescription drugs, mental health and substance abuse treatment, long-term and disability care, and reproductive and maternity care."[8] Ramirez said he would preserve the Affordable Care Act, and said, "Rising costs are making it harder for South Texas families to make ends meet, but Michelle Vallejo supports ending the Affordable Care Act and your employer-sponsored health insurance, and raising taxes on the middle class to pay for her new program."[9]

According to The Texas Tribune, Texas' 15th Congressional District became more favorable to Republicans as a result of redistricting. Joe Biden (D) won the district by two percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. Donald Trump (R) would have won the new district by three percentage points.[10] The Cook Political Report and other outlets rated the 15th district Solid Democratic in 2020 but rated it Lean Republican in 2022.


Michelle Vallejo (D) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.

This page focuses on Texas' 15th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary, Republican primary, and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-Dem-Ad-1-small.png

Election news

This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election. The timeline is updated regularly as polling, debates, and other noteworthy events occur.

The most recent events are shown first. Click the banner below to see a full timeline.

  • June 17, 2022: The Texas Democratic Party announced the results of the recount, with Vallejo defeating Ramirez by 35 votes.[1]
  • June 9, 2022: The Texas Democratic Party approved the recount request, and the recount was expected to begin on June 15.[11]
  • June 6, 2022: Ramirez said he would request a recount.[12]

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15

Michelle Vallejo defeated Ruben Ramirez in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15 on May 24, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michelle Vallejo
Michelle Vallejo Candidate Connection
 
50.1
 
6,079
Image of Ruben Ramirez
Ruben Ramirez
 
49.9
 
6,049

Total votes: 12,128
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[14]

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Ruben Ramirez

WebsiteFacebook

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Ramirez completed a bachelor's in business administration in international business and a minor in biology from the University of Texas-Pan American. He served in the Army and worked as an attorney and educator. Ramirez ran for election in Texas' 15th Congressional District in 2012 and 2016.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Ramirez said he would "continue to fight for my fellow veterans and district. Like all challenges I have faced, I will not back down and I promise to uphold our values and our Constitution.”


Ramirez said that because of his experience as "a teacher on the frontlines, and a husband who is married to an educator"  he understood "the unique concerns of our parents, teachers, and students. I know the effects underfunding has on learning, as well as the impact of bureaucracy on teachers and administrators." 


Ramirez said he was "passionate about the safety and security of our country and that of my fellow Americans" and that he had "firsthand knowledge of how the decisions in Washington D.C. affect our soldiers and their families."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 15 in 2022.

Image of Michelle Vallejo

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "My name is Michelle Vallejo, and I am running for Congress to represent Texas district 15. I come from a big family of farm workers, immigrants, and entrepreneurs. My parents did a little bit of everything, but running Pulga Los Portales is what has profoundly defined our family values and work ethic to this day. In 2010, during my sophomore year at Columbia University in New York City, my life would change forever. After years of fighting multiple sclerosis, my mother took her last breath at just 46 years old. It was this moment that would mark a new chapter in my life, one in which I realized that the best way to honor her legacy is to fight for a better future for my family and for all of us. So I returned to the Rio Grande Valley and got to work. I stepped up to help my dad run our family-owned Pulga Los Portales. I co-founded two organizations to support community leaders and minority women in business. I’ve volunteered with immigrants’ rights organizations. And now, I was nominated to run for Congress by LUPE Votes. I want us to build stronger and healthier neighborhoods. I have a plan to make this happen, and it starts with fighting for medicare for all and raising the minimum wage to $15. We’re at a critical moment for the future of our district. I’m ready to fight our pueblo in Congress. "


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Affordable Healthcare


A living wage


Access to higher education

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 15 in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

We need medicare for all because our moms, dads, tios, y abuelos deserve to get the health care they need. Going to Mexico for medicine or selling chicken plates to cover hospital bills is not a dignified way to protect our loved ones, and health care is a human right.

We need to raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour because $7.25 is not enough to pay rent and bills in South Texas (or anywhere in the country). Even though South Texas has one of the lowest unemployment rates, our region has one of the highest poverty rates. It’s time to raise the unlivable low wages that hurt the vast majority of us and only benefit greedy corporations.

We need free public college and trade school, and we need to forgive all student debt once and for all. Sky-rocketing tuition costs have made college and trade school inaccessible for many South Texans. For those who graduate, student debt crushes opportunities, especially for low-income, first-generation, people of color.

And we need to embrace the border as a welcoming place where people of all backgrounds and walks of life can come together and thrive. The border and the river are parts of us that we should honor because they give us our culture and way of life. Militarization, walls, and violence don’t represent who we are. We need to welcome newcomers with dignity, restore and improve our asylum system, and give a pathway to Citizenship for the 11 million undocumented people.



Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Ruben Ramirez

Have a link to Ruben Ramirez's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.

Satellite ads

This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released by satellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Majority for Israel

Democratic Majority for Israel released an ad supporting Ramirez on May 6:[15]

Democratic Party Michelle Vallejo

December 15, 2022

View more ads here:

News and conflicts in this primary

This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Democratic U.S. House primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.

Democratic primary endorsements
Endorser Democratic Party Ruben Ramirez Democratic Party Michelle Vallejo
Government officials
Nanette Barragán (D)  source  
Salud Carbajal (D)  source  
U.S. Rep. Veronica Escobar (D)  source  
U.S. Rep. Sylvia Garcia (D)  source  
Terry Canales (D)  
Armando Martinez (D)  
Individuals
Eliza Alvarado  
Frmr. State Sen. Wendy Davis  source  
John Villarreal Rigney  
Organizations
Communications Workers of America-COPE Political Contributions Committee  source  
Democratic Majority for Israel PAC  
Democrats Serve  source  
Elect Democratic Women  source  
EMILY's List  source  
LUPE Votes  source  
New Politics  source  
Texas Working Families Party  source  
United Farm Workers  source  
United Farm Workers of America  source  
Vote Vets  source  

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[16]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[17][18][19]

Race ratings: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[20] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[21] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Ruben Ramirez Democratic Party $493,222 $493,222 $0 As of September 30, 2022
Michelle Vallejo Democratic Party $2,346,631 $2,334,914 $11,717 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[22][23][24]

If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate By election

Election context

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2016.

2020

See also: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 15

Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. defeated Monica De La Cruz and Ross Lynn Leone in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 15 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vicente Gonzalez Jr.
Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D)
 
50.5
 
115,605
Image of Monica De La Cruz
Monica De La Cruz (R) Candidate Connection
 
47.6
 
109,017
Image of Ross Lynn Leone
Ross Lynn Leone (L)
 
1.9
 
4,295

Total votes: 228,917
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15

Monica De La Cruz defeated Ryan Krause in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 15 on July 14, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Monica De La Cruz
Monica De La Cruz Candidate Connection
 
76.0
 
7,423
Image of Ryan Krause
Ryan Krause Candidate Connection
 
24.0
 
2,350

Total votes: 9,773
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vicente Gonzalez Jr.
Vicente Gonzalez Jr.
 
100.0
 
43,689

Total votes: 43,689
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Monica De La Cruz and Ryan Krause advanced to a runoff. They defeated Tim Westley in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Monica De La Cruz
Monica De La Cruz Candidate Connection
 
43.0
 
11,330
Image of Ryan Krause
Ryan Krause Candidate Connection
 
39.7
 
10,441
Image of Tim Westley
Tim Westley
 
17.3
 
4,550

Total votes: 26,321
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 15

Ross Lynn Leone advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 21, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Ross Lynn Leone
Ross Lynn Leone (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 15

Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. defeated Tim Westley and Anthony Cristo in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 15 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vicente Gonzalez Jr.
Vicente Gonzalez Jr. (D)
 
59.7
 
98,333
Image of Tim Westley
Tim Westley (R) Candidate Connection
 
38.8
 
63,862
Image of Anthony Cristo
Anthony Cristo (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.6
 
2,607

Total votes: 164,802
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Incumbent Vicente Gonzalez Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vicente Gonzalez Jr.
Vicente Gonzalez Jr.
 
100.0
 
33,549

Total votes: 33,549
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15

Tim Westley advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 15 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tim Westley
Tim Westley Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
14,794

Total votes: 14,794
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Vicente Gonzalez (D) defeated Tim Westley (R), Vanessa Tijerina (G), and Ross Lynn Leone (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. A runoff for both parties was held on May 24, 2016. In the runoff primaries, Westley defeated Ruben Villarreal, and Gonzalez defeated Juan Palacios Jr. Incumbent Ruben Hinojosa did not seek re-election.[25][26]

U.S. House, Texas District 15 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngVicente Gonzalez 57.3% 101,712
     Republican Tim Westley 37.7% 66,877
     Green Vanessa Tijerina 3.1% 5,448
     Libertarian Ross Lynn Leone 1.9% 3,442
Total Votes 177,479
Source: Texas Secretary of State

U.S. House, Texas District 15 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTim Westley 45% 13,164
Green check mark transparent.pngRuben Villarreal 32% 9,349
Xavier Salinas 23% 6,734
Total Votes 29,247
Source: Texas Secretary of State
U.S. House, Texas District 15 Republican Runoff Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTim Westley 50.5% 1,384
Ruben Villarreal 49.5% 1,355
Total Votes 2,739
Source: Texas Secretary of State
U.S. House, Texas District 15 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngVicente Gonzalez 42.2% 22,151
Green check mark transparent.pngJuan Palacios Jr. 18.9% 9,913
Dolly Elizondo 16.9% 8,888
Joel Quintanilla 11.7% 6,152
Ruben Ramirez Hinojosa 6% 3,149
Rance Sweeten 4.2% 2,224
Total Votes 52,477
Source: Texas Secretary of State
U.S. House, Texas District 15 Democratic Runoff Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngVicente Gonzalez 65.7% 16,071
Juan Palacios Jr. 34.3% 8,379
Total Votes 24,450
Source: Texas Secretary of State

Primary election competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2022. Information below was calculated on Jan. 27, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 223 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 143 Republicans, 79 Democrats, and one independent candidate. That’s 5.9 candidates per district, less than the 6.5 candidates per district in 2020 and 5.9 in 2018.

Texas gained two U.S. House districts following the 2020 census. Two members of the U.S. House filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one represented before redistricting: Lloyd Doggett (D) filed in the new 37th District, while Vicente Gonzalez (D) filed in the 34th District seat held by retiring Rep. Filemon Vela (D).

Six districts were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to Gonzalez’s and Doggett’s districts, these included the newly-created 38th District and the 1st, 8th, and 30th districts. 1st District incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) filed to run for state attorney general, while incumbents Kevin Brady (R) and Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) did not file for re-election.

This was the same number as 2012, the previous post-redistricting cycle, and 2020. There were seven open seats in 2018.


There were 13 incumbents who filed to run in districts without any primary challengers.

Three districts were likely to be won by Republicans because no Democrats filed. There were no districts where the same is true of Democratic candidates.

Fifteen candidates each filed to run in the 15th and 30th Districts, more than any other. Six Democrats and nine Republicans filed in the 15th. Nine Democrats and six Republicans filed in the 30th. Both districts were open.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Texas U.S. House Democratic or Republican 2% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less $3,125.00 12/13/2021 Source
Texas U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less N/A 6/23/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Texas District 15
before 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Texas District 15
after 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[27] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[28]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Texas
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Texas' 1st 26.5% 72.4% 27.2% 71.6%
Texas' 2nd 37.9% 60.7% 48.6% 49.9%
Texas' 3rd 42.0% 56.4% 48.7% 49.8%
Texas' 4th 36.4% 62.4% 24.4% 74.4%
Texas' 5th 38.2% 60.6% 37.9% 60.9%
Texas' 6th 37.4% 61.3% 47.8% 50.8%
Texas' 7th 64.2% 34.5% 53.6% 45.1%
Texas' 8th 35.8% 63.0% 28.1% 70.6%
Texas' 9th 76.2% 22.8% 75.7% 23.3%
Texas' 10th 39.8% 58.6% 48.4% 50.0%
Texas' 11th 29.1% 69.5% 19.7% 79.1%
Texas' 12th 40.1% 58.3% 37.9% 60.5%
Texas' 13th 26.5% 72.0% 19.4% 79.2%
Texas' 14th 35.0% 63.6% 39.6% 59.0%
Texas' 15th 48.1% 51.0% TX-15: 50.4%
TX-34: 51.5%
TX-15: 48.5%
TX-34: 47.5%
Texas' 16th 67.0% 31.5% 66.4% 32.0%
Texas' 17th 38.0% 60.5% 43.6% 54.6%
Texas' 18th 73.6% 25.1% 75.7% 23.0%
Texas' 19th 26.2% 72.4% 26.3% 72.2%
Texas' 20th 65.8% 32.7% 63.7% 34.7%
Texas' 21st 39.4% 59.1% 47.9% 50.6%
Texas' 22nd 41.3% 57.4% 48.9% 49.8%
Texas' 23rd 45.8% 52.9% 48.5% 50.3%
Texas' 24th 43.0% 55.4% 51.9% 46.5%
Texas' 25th 33.8% 64.9% 44.4% 54.0%
Texas' 26th 40.0% 58.6% 42.1% 56.3%
Texas' 27th 38.1% 60.6% 37.5% 61.2%
Texas' 28th 52.9% 45.9% 51.6% 47.2%
Texas' 29th 67.8% 31.0% 65.9% 32.9%
Texas' 30th 77.8% 21.0% 79.8% 18.9%
Texas' 31st 39.0% 59.2% 47.6% 50.4%
Texas' 32nd 65.7% 32.7% 54.4% 44.0%
Texas' 33rd 74.2% 24.4% 73.0% 25.6%
Texas' 34th 57.3% 41.8% TX-15: 50.4%
TX-34: 51.5%
TX-15: 48.5%
TX-34: 47.5%
Texas' 35th 71.7% 26.5% --- ---
Texas' 36th 33.6% 65.2% 26.9% 71.9%
Texas' 37th 75.5% 22.7% 67.7% 30.5%
Texas' 38th 40.2% 58.4% --- ---

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2022. Information below was calculated on Jan. 27, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 223 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 143 Republicans, 79 Democrats, and one independent candidate. That’s 5.9 candidates per district, less than the 6.5 candidates per district in 2020 and 5.9 in 2018.

Texas gained two U.S. House districts following the 2020 census. Two members of the U.S. House filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one represented before redistricting: Lloyd Doggett (D) filed in the new 37th District, while Vicente Gonzalez (D) filed in the 34th District seat held by retiring Rep. Filemon Vela (D).

Six districts were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to Gonzalez’s and Doggett’s districts, these included the newly-created 38th District and the 1st, 8th, and 30th districts. 1st District incumbent Louie Gohmert (R) filed to run for state attorney general, while incumbents Kevin Brady (R) and Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) did not file for re-election.

This was the same number as 2012, the previous post-redistricting cycle, and 2020. There were seven open seats in 2018.


There were 13 incumbents who filed to run in districts without any primary challengers.

Three districts were likely to be won by Republicans because no Democrats filed. There were no districts where the same is true of Democratic candidates.

Fifteen candidates each filed to run in the 15th and 30th Districts, more than any other. Six Democrats and nine Republicans filed in the 15th. Nine Democrats and six Republicans filed in the 30th. Both districts were open.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+1. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 15th the 216th most Republican district nationally.[29]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Texas' 15th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
48.1% 51.0%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020

Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R D D D R D R R R R R R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Texas and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Texas
Texas United States
Population 25,145,561 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 261,266 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 74% 72.5%
Black/African American 12.1% 12.7%
Asian 4.8% 5.5%
Native American 0.5% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 5.8% 4.9%
Multiple 2.7% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 39.3% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 83.7% 88%
College graduation rate 29.9% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $61,874 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 14.7% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 12 12
Republican 2 24 26
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 36 38

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Texas, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Greg Abbott
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Dan Patrick
Secretary of State Republican Party John Scott
Attorney General Republican Party Ken Paxton

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Texas State Legislature as of November 2022.

Texas State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 13
     Republican Party 18
     Vacancies 0
Total 31

Texas House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 65
     Republican Party 83
     Vacancies 2
Total 150

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Texas was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Texas Party Control: 1992-2022
Three years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 CBS, "Texas Democrat Michelle Vallejo wins congressional primary after recount," June 18, 2022
  2. Texas Tribune, "Jessica Cisneros, Ruben Ramirez demand recounts in two close-call South Texas runoff races," June 6, 2022
  3. Twitter, "Patrick Svitek," June 9, 2022
  4. Ruben Ramirez for Congress, "Home," accessed February 8, 2022
  5. The Monitor, "Bronze Star recipient Ruben Ramirez to make congressional bid," October 25, 2021
  6. Michelle Vallejo for Congress, "Meet Michelle," accessed February 8, 2022
  7. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named observer
  8. Michelle Vallejo for Congress, "Platform," accessed May 12, 2022
  9. Ruben Ramirez for Congress, "News," accessed May 12, 2022
  10. The Texas Tribune, "U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez will run for a different House seat in 2022 after redistricting made his more competitive," October 26, 2021
  11. Twitter, "Patrick Svitek," June 9, 2022
  12. Texas Tribune, "Jessica Cisneros, Ruben Ramirez demand recounts in two close-call South Texas runoff races," June 6, 2022
  13. Texas Tribune, "With 33-vote lead, Michelle Vallejo declares victory in South Texas congressional runoff," June 1, 2022
  14. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
  15. Twitter, "Patrick Svitek," May 6, 2022
  16. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  17. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  18. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  19. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  20. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  21. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  22. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  23. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  24. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  25. Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015
  26. The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
  27. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  28. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  29. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
Vacant
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
Republican Party (27)
Democratic Party (12)
Vacancies (1)