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Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

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2016
Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 20, 2018
Primary: May 15, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+1
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Toss-up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th7th (special)15th (special)18th (special)
Pennsylvania elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

U.S. Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R) defeated Scott Wallace (D) in the 2018 general election for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

After the court-ordered redrawing of the Pennsylvania congressional map in February 2018, the new 1st Congressional District contained a majority of the old 8th District, which Fitzpatrick represented prior to the redrawing, and portions of the old 7th and 13th Districts. The new 1st District backed Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points in 2016, while Donald Trump won the old 8th District by 0.2 percentage points. The new 1st District was one of 25 Republican-held districts up in 2018 that voted for Clinton. Heading into the election, forecasters called the race a toss-up.

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 1

Incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick defeated Scott Wallace in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Fitzpatrick
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
 
51.3
 
169,053
Image of Scott Wallace
Scott Wallace (D)
 
48.7
 
160,745

Total votes: 329,798
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 1

Scott Wallace defeated Rachel Reddick and Steve Bacher in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 1 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Scott Wallace
Scott Wallace
 
56.5
 
27,676
Image of Rachel Reddick
Rachel Reddick
 
35.3
 
17,313
Image of Steve Bacher
Steve Bacher
 
8.2
 
4,014

Total votes: 49,003
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 1

Incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick defeated Dean Malik in the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 1 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Fitzpatrick
Brian Fitzpatrick
 
67.0
 
31,394
Image of Dean Malik
Dean Malik
 
33.0
 
15,461

Total votes: 46,855
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Brian Fitzpatrick, U.S. representative from PA-8
Brian Fitzpatrick.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: No

Political office: United States House of Representatives (8th Congressional District, assume office: 2017)

Biography: Fitzpatrick received his bachelor's degree from Penn State University and his J.D. from the Dickinson School of Law. Prior to that, he served in the FBI and was a special assistant United States Attorney.[1]

Key messages
  • Fitzpatrick said he was an independent congressman and highlighted his support from labor unions like the AFL-CIO, which traditionally support Democrats.[2][3]
  • Fitzpatrick said he wanted to keep families safe, pointing to his work on policies to combat terrorism and opioid abuse as well as his career as an FBI agent and prosecutor.[1][2][3]
  • Fitzpatrick said he wanted to use government to help people who play by the rules. He contrasted this image with Wallace, who he described as a dishonest and eccentric billionaire who cheated on his taxes.[1][2][3]



Scott Wallace, charitable foundation director
Scott Wallace.PNG

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Wallace was born in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. His grandfather was former U.S. Vice President Henry Wallace, who served under Franklin Roosevelt from 1941 to 1945. Wallace received his bachelor's degree from Haverford College and his J.D. from Villanova Law School. He worked as a staffer for the United States Senate and then in the nonprofit sector. He later managed the Wallace Global Fund alongside his wife Christy, a former U.S. diplomat.[4]

Key messages
  • Wallace highlighted his opposition to President Donald Trump and said he would stand up to Trump and the Republican-controlled Congress on behalf of his constituents.[5][6]
  • Wallace emphasized that he grew up in Bucks County and highlighted his management of the Wallace Global Fund, which he said was helping lead campaigns to address climate change and empower impoverished people across the world.[6][7]
  • Wallace tied Fitzpatrick to special interest groups and corporations. He highlighted Fitzpatrick's support for the 2017 tax bill, which Wallace said benefitted corporations at the expense of the middle class, and emphasized that he did not accept corporate contributions.[6]



Results of 2018 redistricting

On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Candidates on this page were listed under Pennsylvania’s new districts, which were used in the 2018 congressional elections. Click here for more information about the ruling.

The chart below compares this new district with the old district that was the most geographically similar to it.

Old district[8] Prior incumbent Prior 2016 presidential result New 2016 presidential result
8th District Brian Fitzpatrick (R) R+0.2 D+2.0

Not sure which district you're in? Find out here.

Click the box below to see how the new congressional districts compare to the ones in place before the redrawing.


Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, general election
Poll Poll sponsor Scott Wallace (D) Brian Fitzpatrick (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of errorSample size
Siena College
(October 26-29, 2018)
New York Times 46%47%7%+/-4.7502
Siena College
(October 11-14, 2018)
New York Times 50%43%7%+/-4.6570
Public Opinion Strategies
(October 2-4, 2018)
Fitzpatrick campaign and the NRCC 42%50%8%+/-4.9400
Monmouth University (likely voters)
(September 27-October 1, 2018)
N/A 46%50%4%+/-7.4353
Monmouth University (likely voters)
(May 31-June 3, 2018)
N/A 47%48%5%+/-8.7451
AVERAGES 46.2% 47.6% 6.2% +/-6.06 455.2
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Campaign contributions

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Brian Fitzpatrick Republican Party $3,445,060 $3,474,194 $116,635 As of December 31, 2018
Scott Wallace Democratic Party $14,181,197 $13,544,540 $636,656 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[65][66][67]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.

  • The Environmental Defense Action Fund spent $30,000 supporting Fitzpatrick on September 7.[68]
  • No Labels had spent $110,000 supporting Fitzpatrick as of September 14.[68]
  • Planned Parenthood (PP)
    • PP disclosed another $734,000 in spending on digital ads opposing Fitzpatrick on October 29.
    • PP disclosed $730,000 in spending on digital ads opposing Fitzpatrick on October 23.
    • PP disclosed $312,000 in spending on digital ads opposing Fitzpatrick on October 19.
  • The Republican Jewish Coalition spent $530,000 on a television and digital ad opposing Wallace in June 2018.[69]

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[70]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[71][72][73]

Race ratings: Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallToss-upToss-upToss-upToss-up
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+1, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage point more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District the 233rd most Republican nationally.[74]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.02. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.02 points toward that party.[75]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.



Noteworthy general election endorsements
Endorsement Wallace (D) Fitzpatrick (R)
Individuals
Former President Barack Obama (D)[76]
Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg[77]
Organizations
Pennsylvania AFL-CIO[78]
Everytown for Gun Safety[79]
Giffords[79]
Democratic Jewish Outreach of Pennsylvania[80]

Timeline

  • October 29, 2018: Planned Parenthood disclosed another $734,000 in spending on digital ads opposing Fitzpatrick.
  • October 29, 2018: A New York Times/Siena College poll showed Fitzpatrick with 47 percent and Wallace with 46 percent. The margin of error was 4.7 percentage points.
  • October 23, 2018: Planned Parenthood disclosed $730,000 in spending on digital ads opposing Fitzpatrick.
  • October 21, 2018: The candidates met in a debate at Congregation Tifereth Israel in Bensalem. Read more below.
  • October 19, 2018: The candidates met in a debate at Delaware Valley University. Read more below.
  • October 19, 2018: Planned Parenthood disclosed $312,000 in spending on digital ads opposing Fitzpatrick.
  • October 15, 2018: The Defending Main Street Super PAC spent $150,000 opposing Wallace.
  • October 15, 2018: A Siena College/New York Times poll showed Wallace leading Fitzpatrick 50-43. The margin of error was 4.6 percentage points.
  • October 9, 2018: Everytown for Gun Safety endorsed Brian Fitzpatrick.
  • October 3, 2018: Monmouth University released a poll showing Fitzpatrick leading Wallace 50-46 in a likely voter model. The margin of error was 7.4 percentage points.
  • October 1, 2018: Former President Barack Obama (D) endorsed Scott Wallace.
  • September 12, 2018: The National Republican Congressional Committee spent $560,000 opposing Scott Wallace.
  • September 5, 2018: The Congressional Leadership Fund spent $410,000 opposing Scott Wallace.
  • June 20, 2018: The Pennsylvania AFL-CIO endorsed Fitzpatrick, making him the only Republican congressional candidate they endorsed in the state.[81]

Campaign advertisements

This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Scott Wallace

Support

"Orange" - Wallace campaign ad, released October 12, 2018
"Safe" - Wallace campaign ad, released September 19, 2018
"Pocket Facts" - Wallace campaign ad, released June 26, 2018

Oppose

"Pennsylvania Families" - CLF PAC ad, released October 24, 2018
"Debt" - CLF PAC ad, released October 17, 2018
"Silenced Forever" - Defending Main Street ad, released October 15, 2018
"Fabric" - NRCC ad, released October 9, 2018
"Mocking Scott" - NRCC ad, released September 25, 2018
"Uncle Phil" - Fitzpatrick campaign ad, released September 19, 2018
"Irresponsible" - NRCC ad, released September 12, 2018
"Tax Deadbeat" - Fitzpatrick campaign ad, released September 1, 2018
"Rich" - CLF ad, released August 29, 2018
"Opposing Victims" - Fitzpatrick campaign ad, released July 31, 2018
"Too Dangerous" - Fitzpatrick campaign ad, released July 16, 2018

Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick

Support

"Championing the fight against the opioid crisis" - Fitzpatrick campaign ad, released September 14, 2018
"Championing the fight against the opioid crisis" - Fitzpatrick campaign ad, released September 4, 2018
"AFL-CIO Endorses Brian Fitzpatrick" - Fitzpatrick campaign ad, released June 21, 2018

Oppose

"Independent" - Wallace ad, released October 12, 2018
"Trillions" - Wallace ad, released September 17, 2018
"Pumping Iron" - Wallace ad, released August 29, 2018
"Tax Facts" - Not One Penny ad, released March 28, 2018

Debates and forums

Oct. 21 debate

Wallace and Fitzpatrick met in a debate at Congregation Tifereth Israel in Bensalem. News outlets covered Wallace's use of an expletive during the debate.[82]

Oct. 19 candidate forum

Wallace and Fitzpatrick met in a debate at Delaware Valley University hosted by the Central Bucks Chamber of Commerce and the Bucks County League of Women Voters.

Read a roundup of the debate from the Montgomery News-Herald and a roundup from The Intelligencer.

"Wallace and Fitzpatrick at League of Women Voters Forum" - October 19, 2018

Oct. 14 debate

Wallace and Fitzpatrick met in a debate at Shir Ami.

Read a roundup of the debate from the Jewish Exponent.

Campaign themes

Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick

Fitzpatrick’s campaign website stated the following:

Proven Leadership for Our Communities

Focused on Solutions

No more finger pointing. Now more than ever, we need real leadership that focuses on finding solutions and getting things done.

That is the attitude I have brought to Congress, as it reflects the values of our community.

Our nation faces critical challenges. The key to rising to the challenges before us is to focus on priorities like keeping our families safe and putting the American Dream back on track.

Protecting Our Families:

Author of the INTERDICT Act signed into law by the President, providing greater resources to law enforcement to stop the flow of deadly fentanyl from Mexico into communities such as our own. Supports giving federal, state and local law enforcement all of the tools necessary to keep us safe. Securing the border through a physical barrier, aerial surveillance, enhanced human intelligence program, and the formation of a Federal agent / National Guard Task Force. Supported tougher penalties for repeat illegal immigration offenders and illegal immigrants who are members of a criminal gang. Vice Chair of the Bipartisan Heroin Task Force: Brian Fitzpatrick is a nationally-recognized, award-winning leader in uniting families, communities, law enforcement, and healthcare providers to fight back against the scourge of addiction. Protecting those who protect us by supporting tougher penalties for those who target our first responders and proposing expanded benefits for the children of our heroic fallen law enforcement officers. Supported tougher sanctions on North Korea to cut off the flow of money to this state sponsor of terrorism and human rights violator. Supported tougher sanctions on Iran’s illegal ballistic missile program as well as standing up to Iranian aggression targeting Israel and all of our allies in the Middle East. Led the charge to defend against next generation cyber threats which may wreak havoc on our security and economy. A leading advocate for securing critical transportation infrastructure from acts of terrorism. Opposed one-sided resolutions targeting our ally Israel at the United Nations as well as supported efforts to achieve justice for American victims of Palestinian terrorism. Opportunity for All:

Supported a simpler, fairer tax code. Across our communities, small businesses are already hiring more while their workers receive bonuses and higher take-home pay. Supports policies that put American manufacturing at the forefront of our economy, as it creates family sustaining careers and true wealth for our nation. Puts American workers first by reforming unfair trade deals that put the American worker at a disadvantage through no fault of their own. Supported a continuous review and the repeal of outdated federal regulations holding back local small businesses and their employees. A leader in the fight for vocational education & apprenticeships to prepare workers right here at home for the careers of the future. A leader of bipartisan initiatives to reduce the cost of college as well as college debt through increased transparency and interest-free loans. On his first day in office, Brian Fitzpatrick proposed a comprehensive government reform plan challenging the career politicians in Washington

Supports term limits for all Members of Congress. Not only proposed “No Budget, No Pay” legislation so legislators who fail to pass a budget on time do not get paid, but lived up to the standard, returning his pay for the period of a government shutdown. Supports abolishing Congressional pensions. Supports establishing single issue voting to end the cynical process of filling bills up with non-related items. In favor of forcing the bureaucrats to defend every taxpayer dollar they spend by enacting “zero-based” budgeting. Supports a Balanced-Budget Amendment to our Constitution to end the limitless borrowing which is crippling our future. In favor of ending the Federal government’s duplication of agencies and programs, a practice that costs our economy billions of dollars. Supports bolstering and empowering the Office of Inspectors General (OIGs) to aggressively investigate and prosecute all instances of Fraud, Waste and Abuse in federal agencies, which costs taxpayers billions annually. Defends our veterans right to see the physicians of their choice, as opposed to being hand strung to an inconvenient and impractical VA system. Protecting Medicare & Social Security:

“Like you, my parents worked a lifetime to earn their Medicare and Social Security. Some politicians seek to cut these programs. I will fight to protect and strengthen these programs for all of our seniors.”

A Health Care System That Works for Everyone:

With skyrocketing costs and thousands uninsured locally, Obamacare is failing. Every man, woman, and child should have affordable health insurance.

Author of RIGHT TO TRY legislation like that supported by the President in the State of the Union, that would give those suffering from a terminal disease the chance to try potentially lifesaving treatments. Stood Up for Women and Women’s Health, calling for doubling women’s health funding at the National Institutes of Health in order to expand services and accessibility at women’s health clinics. Supported greater research into potential cures for life-threatening diseases as well as raising awareness of risk factors for breast cancer. Supported tort reforms to drive down the cost of healthcare. Voted to Repeal the bureaucratic Independent Payment Advisory Boards established by Obamacare Sponsored legislation to maintain the safety of medical devices Spoke out to defend Medicare Advantage benefits for seniors. [18]

—Brian Fitzpatrick’s campaign website (2018)[83]

Democratic Party Scott Wallace

Wallace’s campaign website stated the following:

Climate Change
Donald Trump is so desperate to ignore science that he’s banned parts of the government from using words like “climate change,” and he’s perpetuated the dangerous lie that climate change is a hoax by the Chinese.

Climate change is real, it is dangerous, and we ignore it at our own peril.

For the past fifteen years, the charitable organization Christy and I have run has become a leader in the fight against climate change. We’ve worked to empower grassroots movements to raise awareness and fight climate change, and to hasten the transition to a prosperous clean-energy future, with jobs, economic opportunity, and a healthier planet for all.

Instead of leaders like Trump who say that climate change is a “con job,” we need representatives who will embrace the clean-energy future.

The only “con job” when it comes to climate change is Donald Trump. He lies about the science and hires climate-deniers like Scott Pruitt to sabotage the Environmental Protection Agency, so he can keep protecting oil and coal special interests at the expense of our kids’ future.

Here’s where I stand:

We need to reinstate the Paris climate treaty and the Clean Power Plan. Restore the EPA’s power to regulate climate pollution. Change our system of tax incentives to move away from carbon-based fuels toward renewable energy. Climate change is not just a crisis, but an opportunity to create millions of new jobs and protect our planet. But we have to commit to the fight, and we have to stand up to the truth-deniers like Donald Trump. It’s time to stop dragging our feet when it comes to finding real solutions to combat climate change.

Good Government
I will introduce legislation to require that any candidate for President must disclose their tax returns. Any person elected President must immediately divest from profit-making business enterprises which may present a conflict of interest or violate the Emoluments Clauses of the U.S. Constitution, and he or she must place all assets into a blind trust managed by an independent trustee, who cannot be a relative of the President. The same requirements for divestment and blind-trust will apply to presidential appointees, even ones who are not the daughter and son-in-law of the President.

No President should be permitted to use their office for personal gain, whether in multi-million-dollar payments to the President’s office buildings, hotels, golf courses, country clubs, or any other scheme. The American people deserve to know that the decisions made by the country’s leaders are driven exclusively by the common good, never by personal financial gain or self-protection.

Guns
Deadly military assault rifles are being used to slaughter kids in schools and worshipers in church. Donald Trump takes $30 million in campaign contributions from the NRA, and promises he will “never, ever” let them down. And does absolutely nothing to restrict assault weapons.

His proposal to arm teachers will only make things worse. Saying the solution to guns in schools is MORE guns in schools is like saying the solution to lung cancer is cigarettes.

In Congress, I’ll take on Donald Trump and the NRA. Here’s what I’ll push for:

Ban assault weapons, high-capacity magazines, bump stocks and silencers. Background checks on EVERY gun purchase, closing the loopholes for gun shows, internet sales and transfers to a “friend” or family. Hold gun manufacturers to the same legal standard as every other industry whose products negligently cause death – from cigarettes to cars to oil wells. Congress ridiculously granted gun manufacturers immunity in 2005, at the urging of the NRA. I’m also proud to say that my campaign has been given the Moms Demand Action Gun Sense Candidate distinction. When I’m in Congress, we will fight for the common sense gun safety reforms that millions of Americans are demanding.

Health care
Every year, your health care bill keeps going up. But health insurance and drug companies are some of the most profitable businesses in America — and some of the most influential in Congress. And their profits come out of your pocket.

Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress would make things worse. They’re trying to throw millions of Americans off of their health care, cut Medicaid and Medicare, and eliminate protections for those with pre-existing conditions. Their plan would even make older Americans pay more for care.

Here’s how I will protect health care:

In Congress, I’ll stand up to Donald Trump and his Republican buddies in Congress. They’ve already decimated Obamacare by starving it of funding and killing the individual mandate, driving up premiums for everybody. I say it’s time for Medicare for All. My wife Christy and I are now on Medicare, and believe me, it’s great! Despite Republican scare tactics, there’s no government bureaucrat between us and our doctor. The only change for us has been – zero bills to pay when we leave the doctor’s office! Medicaid is a lifeline to millions of Americans with disabilities, those who live in poverty, children, and seniors in nursing homes. We must protect it, and work to preserve and expand the Medicaid expansion that was a part of the Affordable Care Act. We must fight to preserve the Children’s Health Insurance Program, or CHIP. Its funding is a no-brainer, and must never again be made a political football. Prescription drug prices in America are the highest in the world, because the government is legislatively prohibited from negotiating lower prices. This must change. I believe health policy should be driven by what’s good for the American people, not for the pharmaceutical companies or the health insurance lobby.

Immigration
We are a nation of immigrants. Most of us came here from somewhere else. Historically we have celebrated our nation’s diversity, but today, many want to close the door and turn away those who seek the same opportunities that we’ve been afforded.

Donald Trump’s fear-mongering and racist rhetoric about immigrants is shameful and un-American. We do need sensible laws to regulate immigration, but Trump’s proposed border wall is offensive and impractical. And deporting all 11 million undocumented immigrants living, raising families, and contributing to the economy of America is absolutely not an option. President Eisenhower tried mass deportations in the 1950s, and it was a disaster, with human rights abuses, legal due process violations, and a black eye on America’s global reputation.

Congress must ensure that families are reunited, and prevent our immigration system from ever again being used to inflict such pointless trauma on children. I do not support abolishing ICE. The problem is not the agency, but the inhumane policies foisted upon it by the Trump administration.

We must restore the pathway to legal status for Dreamers, the hundreds of thousands of immigrants who were brought to America as children by their parents. Nine out of 10 Americans support reinstating Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA). It is unconscionable that Trump dismantled it, and that Congress has not yet acted to restore it.

Ultimately, Congress must enact comprehensive immigration reform that includes not just sensible immigration controls, but also a pathway to legal status for the millions of undocumented residents who have been tax-paying, law-abiding, productively engaged members of American society. It was a difficult multi-year process the last time Congress enacted comprehensive immigration reform, in 1986 – I know, because I was working for the chair of the Senate Immigration Subcommittee, Senator Alan Simpson – and everybody had to give a little, but the result was solid bipartisan consensus. I know we can do it again, if we act in good faith, based on real facts, and the best interest of the nation.

International Relations
Don’t allow Donald Trump to decimate the budget for diplomacy. As his Defense Secretary, James Mattis, once said: “If you don’t fund the state department fully, then I need to buy more ammunition…” Trump has no idea what diplomacy does. He only understands brute force, and only admires brutal autocrats. And as a wise person once said: if all you’ve got is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

Our job in Congress must be to prevent conflict, not stoke it. And service members and their families are the first to get this. Preventing it means not only smart and careful diplomacy to recognize the warning signs and negotiate de-escalation and nonviolent resolution, but also looking further upstream to the root causes of conflict.

Two fundamental drivers of conflict are population growth and climate change – issues which my wife, Christy, and I have spent decades working to mitigate. Adding another billion people to the planet, while allowing climate change to flood vast swaths of low-lying land, from Miami to Manhattan to Bangladesh – or to ruin vast arable lands with drought, fire and deforestation – is a recipe for mass migration, refugees, political upheaval, competition for scarce life-sustaining resources, and ultimately violent conflict. The most important things we can do to avoid conflict and global war is to intelligently manage these twin pressures of unchecked population growth and climate-driven devastation.

When it comes to matters of war and peace, I would introduce legislation putting teeth in the Constitution’s mandate that only Congress has the power to declare war. It would specifically prohibit any person in the nuclear chain of command from implementing a nuclear-launch order from the President in the absence of an explicit congressional authorization and would establish a process for rapid congressional review. This would allow the dedicated public servants in the nuclear chain of command to refuse to implement an unlawful order from the President without fear of punishment from their Commander in Chief.

THE U.S.-ISRAEL RELATIONSHIP

America has had a unique relationship with the state of Israel from its very creation. I’m proud of, and deeply influenced by, my grandfather’s leading role in the establishment of the state of Israel. When he was Vice President, he pushed Franklin Roosevelt – unsuccessfully – to publicly endorse a Jewish homeland. As a key cabinet member under Harry Truman, he pushed a skeptical Truman on the issue of Israeli statehood. And after leaving the cabinet and running for president himself, he played a leading role in the establishment of the United Nations, under whose aegis the state of Israel was created, setting the stage for Truman’s recognition of it.

Israel is the only democracy in the Middle East and a key ally in an unstable region. She is a pivotal trading partner and a key strategic ally against terrorism and weapons proliferation. It is a universal truth that cooperation in the areas of defense and counter-terrorism have enhanced the security of both nations, but the U.S.-Israel relationship is also built on an unshakable commitment to shared democratic values and interests.

This relationship has personal importance to me; I have numerous cousins who are Israeli citizens or dual U.S./Israeli citizens with a deep commitment to long-term peace in the region. If elected to Congress, I am committed to working to further enhance our relationship with Israel and working with my colleagues to support that shared goal.

FOREIGN AID

I am proud that the U.S. has consistently stood with Israel over the past seven decades, providing billions of dollars in bilateral aid annually and championing regional negotiations for peace and stability. As Israel’s strongest and most dependable ally, the U.S. has a special obligation to provide bilateral assistance. A significant portion of the annual aid that Israel receives from the U.S. is reinvested in the U.S. economy through the creation of jobs and joint research and development projects. The technology and knowledge that is gained from these investments are invaluable to the counterterrorism and security of both Israel and the United States.

I am committed to continuing this partnership and support. That means helping to maintain Israel’s qualitative military edge in the region, continuing implementation of the 2016 memorandum of understanding on security assistance, and continuing that conversation as necessary. I also support direct assistance to the Palestinian Authority, for collaboration with Israel on security in the West Bank, as has been successful in the recent past; we can be strong, smart and humanitarian at the same time. Additionally, I believe the United Nations has a supportive role to play and an ability to assist in defending Israel’s safety and security.

MILITARY SECURITY & COUNTER TERRORISM

Israel unequivocally has the right to defend itself and keep its people safe against threats from both military aggression and terrorism. That is the most fundamental and sacred responsibility of any free nation, and the right of any free people. America has a special obligation to help safeguard Israel’s security, and continuing to do so is in our mutual best interest. Hamas continues to use Gaza as a launchpad for attacks and Hezbollah continues to threaten Israel with rockets and terrorists from Lebanon and elsewhere.

I will support U.S. aid for immediate threats to Israel’s national security, with missile defense systems like Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow II and III, joint military exercises, strategic planning, counter-terrorism cooperation and information-sharing, collaboration between our intelligence agencies, and maintaining a U.S. military presence and radar protection for Israeli security. We must also support continued collaboration between Palestinian and Israeli officials responsible for the security of the West Bank. But it is clear to me that, ultimately, the best protection for the people of Israel is a negotiated two-state solution allowing Israel and Palestine to live peacefully side-by-side.

TWO-STATE SOLUTION

I see no alternative to a two-state solution. The U.S. is in a unique position of leverage to bring together Israeli and Palestinian leaders, as Jimmy Carter did with the leaders of Israel and Egypt, and Bill Clinton did between Israel and Jordan, and Israel and the PLO. The status quo is unstable and becoming more polarized, with Hamas on the rise and the Palestinian Authority fading.

I support a peace process arising from direct talks between Israel and the Palestinians, because long-term peace requires more than just physical border security. Israel has to be recognized as a Jewish democratic state alongside a non-militarized Palestinian state. The United States certainly has a role to play but it should be facilitation of a peace process, not setting pre-conditions. The continued construction of settlements does complicate the prospects for negotiating secure and stable borders.

THE CAPITAL OF ISRAEL

Jerusalem has been the capital of Israel for three millennia, approved by Congress as the site of the U.S. Embassy more than two decades ago. What’s unfortunate is the way the Trump administration executed the move, precipitously, politically, using the occasion to stoke partisan and evangelical divisions in the U.S. and violent conflict in Israel, rather than as a component or marker of broader peace negotiations.

BDS

I firmly oppose the BDS movement, which is hostile to Israel and incompatible with any balanced approach to a two-state solution. I expressly disavow the BDS grants which were made in the past by my family’s foundation, the Wallace Global Fund. They were made at the initiative of another board member, from discretionary grant funds not controlled by me. I am unequivocally pro-Israel, pro-peace and pro-democracy.

IRAN SECURITY THREATS

The Iran nuclear deal – the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) – was an imperfect and time-limited cure for Iran’s nuclear ambitions, but I believe it offered the best possible opportunity to slow down Iran’s quest for nuclear weapons. I view the Administration’s recent decision to violate our commitment and withdraw from the JCPOA as precipitous and dangerous.

Iran’s destabilizing behavior goes beyond nuclear activity. Iran is the world’s leading sponsor of terrorism and a broader threat to regional security and instability. I would prefer to have strengthened and expanded upon the existing nuclear deal by including ballistic missiles and addressing Iran’s non-nuclear aggression in the region. A nuclear-armed Iran is unacceptable, and a diplomatic outcome remains the best and most enduring solution.

Jobs
The march of time and technology has always transformed America, our economy, and the type of jobs we create. Horse-and-buggy gave way to cars. Whale-oil gave way to electricity. The internet, and our new information-based economy, is transforming everything. Let’s embrace it. And lead the way in the 21st Century.

Our energy future is clean, and green. Transforming our energy infrastructure from digging up and burning dirty carbon-based fuels to the clean renewable energy of the future will create millions of new, good-paying jobs – in areas like solar, wind, and making buildings more energy efficient through improvements like better insulation and smart thermostats. If we invest wisely, America can not only can solve our planet’s climate emergency but transform industry and strengthen our economy.

A critical part of sustainable jobs is building a clearer, cheaper pathway to employable skills for young people. Not every kid needs or wants a four-year liberal arts education, with hundreds of thousands of dollars of accompanying student debt. Here in Bucks County, we have three terrific vocational-technical schools, offering instruction in emerging new sectors like renewable energy and computer technology, which can launch a good-paying career without the debt. Low-cost community college, like the great Bucks County Community College, can also let students graduate with marketable skills and without crushing debt.

One of my proudest accomplishments as a nonprofit lawyer is working several years to pass federal legislation to pay off $60,000 in college debt for students who commit to a career as a low-paid prosecutor or public defender, and now I want to help every single student in America graduate without debt.

Another key component of strengthening our economy is ensuring that no one who works full-time is living in poverty, which is why I support increasing the minimum wage to a living wage of $15 per hour. Raising the minimum wage will lift millions of families out of poverty and help close the widening income inequality gap, particularly for workers of color.

I also know that economic security means more than just having a good job now; we have to protect the promise of a secure retirement in the future. Our workers have earned it. That is why I will fight to protect and expand Social Security.

Our economic future lies in a well-trained workforce and matching that workforce to the needs of industry.

LGBTQ Rights
I am a proud and faithful ally in the battle to protect the civil rights of every Pennsylvanian and American regardless of who they love or who they are.

The LGBTQ community has suffered from senseless acts of violence, employment discrimination, poverty, restricted access to health care, and threats to marriage equality. It saddens me that even now, in the 21st century, people are facing discrimination based simply on their sexual orientation or gender identity, and that there is no federal or Pennsylvania law that protects LGBTQ people from this discrimination. That needs to change now.

While we’ve made great strides, we still have a long road ahead of us. On my to-do list:


Enact the Equality Act to prohibit discrimination or segregation in employment, housing, credit, education, and federally funded programs. It is critically important to address discriminatory practices in schools that put LGBTQ youth at risk. Amend the Religious Freedom Restoration Act so that it cannot be misused to justify discrimination on the pretext of religion. Oversight and accountability for the Trump administration’s attacks on the rights of transgender people. Support legislation banning the Gay and Trans “Panic” Defense, which is a legal defense that excuses violence based on bigotry and ignorance against the LGBTQ community. Support legislation to study and address the particular barriers encountered by LGBTQ people of color, in areas such as education, employment, economic insecurity and criminal justice.


I’ve been endorsed by the Human Rights Campaign, the largest LGBTQ civil-rights organization, and Equality PAC and I know that with those endorsements comes great responsibility, which I do not take lightly. It’s time that America becomes a real leader in the protection of rights for all individuals. All Americans deserve the same opportunities and the same level of dignity.

Money in Politics
Special interest money pollutes everything that politicians do in Washington. More than a century ago, when Republican Teddy Roosevelt was President, Congress recognized the obvious corruption wrought by corporate money in politics, and passed the Tillman Act, completely prohibiting corporations from giving money to political candidates or parties. But in 2010, a tone-deaf Supreme Court ruled exactly opposite, in the notorious Citizens United case, allowing corporations to spend unlimited amounts influencing elections. One giant step backward.

In a perfect world, Americans would rise in unison to demand a constitutional amendment to override Citizens United: when it comes to elections, corporations are not people, and money is not speech, and Congress should be able to impose reasonable limits on the timing and amount of campaign fundraising and spending. But the reality is that amending the Constitution is extraordinarily difficult – requiring supermajorities in both Houses of Congress and among the state legislatures. A very heavy lift. But that doesn’t mean it’s not worth trying, at the very least to educate and mobilize people.

In the meantime, we can:

Pass a law mandating that corporations disclose all their political spending. The Supreme Court in Citizens United blithely assumed transparency, but Congress refused to enact it. Transparency will empower the people to reward or punish corporations for their political spending. Ultimately, corporations will have to scale back, realizing that ANY political spending will alienate half their customer base. Public financing, with a higher match rate for low-dollar contributions – for example, contributions under $100 will be matched 6-to-1. Or the voucher system implemented in many cities across the country, where voters get, say, $200 in government vouchers and can allocate them as they wish among different political campaigns. Shift the power from corporations to the people. Mandate the Securities Exchange Commission to require all corporations to disclose their political spending, the same way they are already required to disclose the compensation they pay their CEO’s. Unlike practically every Republican candidate in the country, I refuse to take money from corporate PACs or lobbyists. I will personally match every dollar contributed to my campaign by a person within this district. I will be nobody’s Congressman but your own. You will never have to scratch your head wondering if that vote I cast was for my corporate benefactors, or for the people of this great district.

Opioids
I have spent a lot of my legal career working on issues of criminal justice. The question is – if America has only five percent of the world’s population, why do we have 25 percent of the world’s prisoners? Are Americans really five times more crime-prone than the rest of the world? Or are we just making bad policy choices that devastate families, leave major problems like drug addiction and mental illness unaddressed, and cheat good law-abiding citizens by pretending that prison will break the cycle of crime and recidivism and make us all safer?

My career has been devoted to breaking the cycle. Every prosecutor, every judge, every public defender knows that every unaddressed problem of addiction, mental illness, homelessness or PTSD is an invitation to more recidivism. I served years on the board of the National Association of Drug Court Professionals, where judges, prosecutors and public defenders came together to make sure that criminal-case outcomes were focused on addiction and recidivism prevention. And I’ve worked on numerous projects for the U.S. Department of Justice exploring ways that judges, prosecutors and public defenders can collaborate on constructive crime-prevention case resolutions.

Of course, law enforcement tools are essential in going after big-time drug dealers. But if there’s one thing we’ve learned from our expensive failures in the drug war, it’s that law enforcement can’t do it alone. What about the addicts who sell small quantities to support their own habit? Treatment holds greater promise of breaking the cycle of drugs, crime and recidivism – that is, greater benefit to public safety, at lower cost.

In the face of all this experience, Donald Trump and congressional Republicans are returning to their long-standing favorites for addressing drugs: more law enforcement, prison, and even executions. We must be smarter than this.

Opioids, as legal prescription drugs, also present a special challenge. Unlike illegal drugs, there are huge opportunities for regulation and training via the pharmaceutical industry and the medical profession. And an ounce of prevention, education and treatment is worth a pound of punishment.

Redistricting Reform
My parents raised me to believe that in a democracy, voters get to choose their politicians. It is shocking that instead, today, politicians get to choose their voters. Every ten years, legislators can design bizarre maps that slice and dice the electorate, to preserve their own partisan advantage. We end up with districts that look like “Goofy kicking Donald Duck,” as one district in Pennsylvania has been described.

Republicans in Pennsylvania are so good at gerrymandering that they were able to capture three-quarters of the state’s seats in Congress, while winning barely half of the votes. Fortunately, this scheme was invalidated by our Pennsylvania Supreme Court and just recently confirmed by the U.S. Supreme Court. Now voters are blessed with nonpartisan maps, where the actual will of the people determines their legislative representation.

And what is the reaction of Pennsylvania Republicans? Incredibly, they are moving to impeach the state judges who found their blatant gerrymandering in violation of the state constitution. I suppose the lesson is: if the ref catches you committing a foul, fire the ref.

We need a nonpartisan redistricting process at both the state and federal level. I will commit to carry the battle in Congress for fair federal congressional districts.

This is not a partisan issue. It is equally wrong, whether done by Republicans or Democrats. The people must rule, not the politicians.

Women’s Rights
I spent my childhood watching my parents – who both served terms as president of Planned Parenthood of Bucks County – fight to promote reproductive rights for women and girls here in Pennsylvania. That shaped my career, and also the man I am today. As a young lawyer, I worked for the Philadelphia Women’s Law Project on a successful challenge to Pennsylvania’s restrictive anti-choice law. Fifteen years ago, my wife, Christy, and I inherited my family’s foundation, the Wallace Global Fund, an international nonprofit organization dedicated to family planning and abortion rights worldwide.

Christy and I have rededicated the foundation more broadly to advancing women’s rights, fighting against harmful patriarchal practices like child marriage and female genital mutilation, promoting women’s economic empowerment through access to microenterprise loans, educating investors about the value of investing in women-run businesses, and promoting access to family planning and girls’ education — which is critical to ensuring that women have agency over their own bodies and can participate fully in society.

As your representative in Congress, I will rely on my decades of experience as a zealous advocate for the rights of women and girls to implement meaningful policy solutions that will improve the lives of women and families right here in the first district.

Equal Pay for Equal Work: Women still earn around 80 cents to a man’s dollar for the same work, and the statistics are even worse for women of color. Instead of rolling back equal pay protections, like Donald Trump did last year, I will work to ensure that women are compensated fairly. It’s not just the right thing to do; it makes economic sense. If women were paid fairly, the American economy would see more than $500 billion in additional economic activity and millions of families would be lifted out of poverty. Reproductive Rights: The rights of women to make their own reproductive healthcare decisions is constantly under attack. Through my decades of work as an advocate for global family planning services, and as a proud parent myself, I know how important it is to protect the rights of women and families to make their own healthcare decisions. As your representative in Congress, I will support the full funding of Planned Parenthood for family planning and reproductive health services, and I will fight against dangerous, restrictive laws that impede on the ability of women and their doctors to make the best choices. It’s on Us: We must actively work to end rape culture and combat sexual violence and harassment everywhere — in the workplace, on college campuses, in the military, and even in the halls of Congress and the White House. I will work with leaders in all levels of government to ensure adequate resources to combat sexual assault and stronger protections for survivors of sexual violence. What I won’t do is protect perpetrators of sexual harassment or sexual violence — no matter their position, their politics, or their past. It is outrageous that Paul Ryan and this Congress have allowed taxpayer dollars to be used to make secret payments to settle claims of sexual harassment against Members of Congress. And it is ridiculous that after so many women have accused Donald Trump of sexual misconduct, our Republican Congress and Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick cannot muster the courage to condemn his behavior, let alone take any action. Supporting Working Families: Out of 41 industrialized nations around the world, the United States is the only one that does not guarantee paid parental leave. We also have millions of workers who are faced with impossible decisions each day: go to work sick; leave a sick loved one home alone; or risk losing their job. This has to change, but first, our leaders and our priorities must change. Instead of spending trillions on tax cuts for the rich, I will work to implement common-sense solutions that support working families, such as paid parental leave, expanded sick and family medical leave, and policies that make childcare more affordable. When we empower women and families with policies like this, we are empowering our next generation of leaders and ensuring that they have the right to self-determination in this world. This is powerfully resonant with me because of my parents’ passion and because of my own daughters.

The voters of Pennsylvania’s First Congressional District deserve a Representative who is a lifelong progressive Democrat, with decades of experience actually working for women’s rights and empowerment. As I learned in Quaker meeting, “Let your life speak.” [18]

—Scott Wallace’s campaign website (2018)[84]

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Republican district won by Hillary Clinton

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Republican and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections

This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[85] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.

Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.


2018 election results in Republican-held U.S. House districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016
District Incumbent 2018 winner 2018 margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 2nd Republican Party Martha McSally Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick D+9.5 Clinton+4.9 Romney+1.5
California's 10th Republican Party Jeff Denham Democratic Party Josh Harder D+2.6 Clinton+3.0 Obama+3.6
California's 21st Republican Party David Valadao Democratic Party TJ Cox D+0.8 Clinton+15.5 Obama+11.1
California's 25th Republican Party Steve Knight Democratic Party Katie Hill D+6.4 Clinton+6.7 Romney+1.9
California's 39th Republican Party Ed Royce Democratic Party Gil Cisneros D+1.4 Clinton+8.6 Romney+3.7
California's 45th Republican Party Mimi Walters Democratic Party Katie Porter D+1.6 Clinton+5.4 Romney+11.8
California's 48th Republican Party Dana Rohrabacher Democratic Party Harley Rouda D+5.8 Clinton+1.7 Romney+11.7
California's 49th Republican Party Darrell Issa Democratic Party Mike Levin D+7.4 Clinton+7.5 Romney+6.7
Colorado's 6th Republican Party Mike Coffman Democratic Party Jason Crow D+11.2 Clinton+8.9 Obama+5.1
Florida's 26th Republican Party Carlos Curbelo Democratic Party Debbie Mucarsel-Powell D+1.8 Clinton+16.1 Obama+11.5
Florida's 27th Republican Party Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Democratic Party Donna Shalala D+6.0 Clinton+19.7 Obama+6.7
Illinois' 6th Republican Party Peter Roskam Democratic Party Sean Casten D+5.6 Clinton+7.0 Romney+8.2
Kansas' 3rd Republican Party Kevin Yoder Democratic Party Sharice Davids D+9.1 Clinton+1.2 Romney+9.5
Minnesota's 3rd Republican Party Erik Paulsen Democratic Party Dean Phillips D+11.4 Clinton+9.4 Obama+0.8
New Jersey's 7th Republican Party Leonard Lance Democratic Party Tom Malinowski D+4.7 Clinton+1.1 Romney+6.2
New York's 24th Republican Party John Katko Republican Party John Katko R+6.3 Clinton+3.6 Obama+15.9
Pennsylvania's 1st Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick[86] Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick R+2.6 Clinton+2.0 Obama+2.6
Pennsylvania's 5th Republican Party Pat Meehan[87] Democratic Party Mary Gay Scanlon D+30.2 Clinton+28.2 Obama+27.7
Pennsylvania's 6th Republican Party Ryan Costello[88] Democratic Party Chrissy Houlahan D+17.6 Clinton+9.3 Obama+3.2
Pennsylvania's 7th Republican Party Charlie Dent[89] Democratic Party Susan Wild D+11.3 Clinton+1.1 Obama+7.0
Texas' 7th Republican Party John Culberson Democratic Party Lizzie Pannill Fletcher D+5.0 Clinton+1.4 Romney+21.3
Texas' 23rd Republican Party Will Hurd Republican Party Will Hurd R+0.5 Clinton+3.4 Romney+2.6
Texas' 32nd Republican Party Pete Sessions Democratic Party Colin Allred D+6.3 Clinton+1.9 Romney+15.5
Virginia's 10th Republican Party Barbara Comstock Democratic Party Jennifer Wexton D+12.4 Clinton+10.0 Romney+1.6
Washington's 8th Republican Party David Reichert Democratic Party Kim Schrier D+6.2 Clinton+3.0 Obama+1.6


Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.

Click here to see an overview of all split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections..

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Three of 67 Pennsylvania counties—4.5 percent—are pivot counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 pivot counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Erie County, Pennsylvania 1.56% 16.03% 19.88%
Luzerne County, Pennsylvania 19.31% 4.81% 8.41%
Northampton County, Pennsylvania 3.78% 4.71% 12.30%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Pennsylvania with 48.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Pennsylvania cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Pennsylvania supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 53.3 to 43.3 percent. The state, however, favored Democrats in every presidential election between 2000 and 2012, but voted Republican in 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Pennsylvania. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[90][91]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 89 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 84 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 37.3 points. Clinton won 19 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 114 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 20 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 119 out of 203 state House districts in Pennsylvania with an average margin of victory of 28.2 points. Trump won 17 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Pennsylvania heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

  • As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 11 state executive positions, while six were held by nonpartisan officials.
  • The governor of Pennsylvania was Democrat Tom Wolf.

State legislature

Trifecta status

  • Pennsylvania was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Tom Wolf (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.

2018 elections

See also: Pennsylvania elections, 2018

Pennsylvania held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Pennsylvania
 PennsylvaniaU.S.
Total population:12,791,904316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):44,7433,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:81.6%73.6%
Black/African American:11%12.6%
Asian:3.1%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.1%3%
Hispanic/Latino:6.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.2%86.7%
College graduation rate:28.6%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$53,599$53,889
Persons below poverty level:15.9%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Pennsylvania.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2017, Pennsylvania had a population of approximately 12,800,000 people, with its three largest cities being Philadelphia (pop. est. 1.6 million), Pittsburgh (pop. est. 300,000), and Allentown (pop. est. 120,000).[92][93]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Pennsylvania Department of State.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Pennsylvania every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Pennsylvania 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 48.6% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 47.9% 0.7%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 52.1% Republican Party Mitt Romney 46.7% 5.4%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 54.7% Republican Party John McCain 44.3% 10.4%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 51.0% Republican Party George Bush 48.5% 2.5%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 50.6% Republican Party George Bush 46.4% 4.2%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Pennsylvania 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Patrick Toomey 48.8% Democratic Party Katie McGinty 47.3% 1.5%
2012 Democratic Party Bob Casey 53.7% Republican Party Tom Smith 44.6% 9.1%
2010 Republican Party Patrick Toomey 51.0% Democratic Party Joe Sestak 49.0% 2.0%
2006 Democratic Party Bob Casey 58.7% Republican Party Rick Santorum 41.3% 17.4%
2004 Republican Party Arlen Specter 52.6% Democratic Party Joseph Hoeffel 42.0% 10.6%
2000 Republican Party Rick Santorum 52.4% Democratic Party Ron Klink 45.5% 6.9%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Pennsylvania.

Election results (Governor), Pennsylvania 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Democratic Party Tom Wolf 54.9% Republican Party Thomas Corbett 45.1% 9.8%
2010 Republican Party Thomas Corbett 54.5% Democratic Party Dan Onorato 45.5% 9.0%
2006 Democratic Party Ed Rendell 60.4% Republican Party Lynn Swann 39.6% 20.8%
2002 Democratic Party Ed Rendell 53.4% Republican Party Mike Fisher 44.3% 9.1%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Pennsylvania in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Pennsylvania 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 13 72.2% Democratic Party 5 27.8% R+8
2014 Republican Party 13 72.2% Democratic Party 5 27.8% R+8
2012 Republican Party 13 72.2% Democratic Party 5 27.8% R+8
2010 Republican Party 12 63.2% Democratic Party 7 36.8% R+5
2008 Republican Party 7 36.8% Democratic Party 12 63.2% D+5
2006 Republican Party 8 42.1% Democratic Party 11 57.9% D+3
2004 Republican Party 12 63.2% Democratic Party 7 36.8% R+5
2002 Republican Party 12 63.2% Democratic Party 7 36.8% R+5
2000 Republican Party 11 52.4% Democratic Party 10 47.6% R+1

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2025
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D _


See also

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 Brian Fitzpatrick 2018 campaign website, "Bio," accessed February 22, 2018
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 Brian Fitzpatrick for Congress, "Home," accessed September 18, 2018
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 YouTube, "Brian Fitzpatrick for Congress," accessed September 18, 2018
  4. Scott Wallace for Congress, "Meet Scott Wallace," accessed September 18, 2018
  5. Scott Wallace for Congress, "Home," accessed September 18, 2018
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 YouTube, "Scott Wallace for Congress," accessed September 18, 2018
  7. Scott Wallace for Congress, "Meet Scott," accessed September 18, 2018
  8. 8.0 8.1 Refers to the old district that makes up a plurality of the new district.
  9. The old 1st and 11th districts did not make up a plurality of any of the new districts. The 1st District went for Hillary Clinton by 61.3 percentage points and was represented by Bob Brady (D). The 11th District went for Donald Trump by 23.8 percentage points and was represented by Lou Barletta (R).
  10. District 13 incumbent Brendan Boyle (D) filed for re-election in the new 2nd District.
  11. District 17 incumbent Matt Cartwright (D) filed for re-election in the new 8th District.
  12. Lamb was elected in a March 2018 special election to replace Rep. Tim Murphy (R).
  13. Lamb filed to run for PA-17 in the 2018 election.
  14. All About Redistricting, "Pennsylvania," accessed May 8, 2015
  15. Barone, M. & McCutcheon, C. (2013). The almanac of American politics 2014 : the senators, the representatives and the governors : their records and election results, their states and districts. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.
  16. United States District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania, "Judgment," January 10, 2018
  17. United States District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania, "Agre v. Wolf: Smith Memorandum," January 10, 2018
  18. 18.00 18.01 18.02 18.03 18.04 18.05 18.06 18.07 18.08 18.09 18.10 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  19. United States District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania, "Agre v. Wolf: Baylson Memorandum," January 10, 2018
  20. 20.0 20.1 20.2 The Philadelphia Inquirer, "In gerrymandering case, judge recommends Pa. Supreme Court uphold congressional map," December 29, 2017
  21. 21.0 21.1 Commonwealth Court of Pennsylvania, "League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Recommended Findings of Fact and Conclusions of Law," December 29, 2017
  22. The New York Times, "Judge Says Pennsylvania Election Districts Give Republicans an Edge, but Are Not Illegal," December 29, 2017
  23. The Morning Call, "Judge: No proof Pennsylvania congressional map is unconstitutional," December 29, 2017
  24. Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, "Pa. Supreme Court hears arguments in gerrymandering case," January 17, 2018
  25. 25.0 25.1 Pennsylvania Supreme Court, League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, January 22, 2018 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "pasupreme" defined multiple times with different content
  26. The Inquirer, "Pa. Republicans ask U.S. Supreme Court to halt redistricting order," January 25, 2018
  27. Supreme Court of the United States, "Commonwealth of Pennsylvania v. League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania: Emergency Application for Stay Pending Resolution of Appeal to This Court," January 25, 2018
  28. Election Law Blog, "Justice Alito (Belatedly) Calls for Response in PA Congressional Gerrymandering Case," January 29, 2018
  29. The Washington Post, "Supreme Court won't block Pa. ruling that state redraw congressional boundaries immediately, in decision that could help Democrats," February 5, 2018
  30. Penn Live, "New Pa. court order adds further definition to 11th-hour redistricting process," January 27, 2018
  31. The Hill, "Pa. state Senate leader refuses court order on redrawing district maps," January 31, 2018
  32. The Inquirer, "Sen. Scarnati refuses Pa. Supreme Court order to turn over map data in gerrymander case," January 31, 2018
  33. Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Opinion," February 7, 2018
  34. Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Dissenting Opinion (Chief Justice Saylor)," February 7, 2018
  35. Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Dissenting Opinion (Justice Mundy)," February 7, 2018
  36. Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Concurring and Dissenting Opinion (Justice Baer)," February 7, 2018
  37. The Inquirer, "Top Republicans in Pa. House, Senate submit congressional map to Gov. Wolf," February 9, 2018
  38. Senator Joe Scarnati, "Pennsylvania Legislative Leaders Submitting Congressional Map," February 9, 2018
  39. The Inquirer, "Gov. Wolf rejects Republican map proposal, saying it remains a partisan gerrymander," February 13, 2018
  40. Governor of Pennsylvania, "Governor Tom Wolf Rejects Partisan Gerrymandered Map," February 13, 2018
  41. WFMZ-TV, "So many maps, so little time: Pennsylvania redistricting debate continues," February 16, 2018
  42. The United Judicial System of Pennsylvania, "League of Women Voters, et al. v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, et al. – 159 MM 2017," accessed February 16, 2018
  43. Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Brief for Intervenors," January 10, 2018
  44. 44.0 44.1 44.2 Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Opinion and Order," February 19, 2018
  45. Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "The League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Dissenting Opinion (Chief Justice Saylor)," February 19, 2018
  46. Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "The League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Dissenting Opinion (Justice Mundy)," February 19, 2018
  47. Supreme Court of Pennsylvania, "The League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania v. the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania: Dissenting Opinion (Justice Baer)," February 19, 2018
  48. The Philadelphia Inquirer, "Pa. gerrymandering case: State Supreme Court releases new congressional map for 2018 elections," February 19, 2018
  49. The Washington Post, "Pennsylvania’s new congressional map could boost Democrats," February 19, 2018
  50. The Washington Post, "The Latest: GOP to take new congressional map to court," February 19, 2018
  51. Supreme Court of the United States, "Emergency Application for Stay Pending Resolution of Appeal to This Court," February 27, 2018
  52. Election Law Blog, "Breaking: Supreme Court, With No Noted Dissent, Refuses to Intervene in Pa Redistricting Case Just Hours After Lower Court Rules," March 19, 2018
  53. The Indiana Gazette, "Dush introduces legislation to impeach Supreme Court justices," March 20, 2018
  54. Pennsylvania House of Representatives, "Memorandum: Impeachment of five PA Supreme Court Justices," February 5, 2018
  55. The Philadelphia Inquirer, "Pa. Republican state legislator moves to impeach four state Supreme Court justices," March 20, 2018
  56. Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, "GOP chief justice slams Republican judicial impeachment move," March 22, 2018
  57. Bloomberg Law, "SCOTUS Ends One Partisan Gerrymandering Battle; More Remain," May 30, 2018
  58. Election Law Blog, "New Federal Lawsuit in Pennsylvania Congressional Redistricting Litigation Seeks 3 Judge Court Order to Hold Elections Under Old 2011 Maps; Case is Longshot," February 22, 2018
  59. United States District Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania, "Corman v. Torres: Verified Complaint," February 22, 2018
  60. United States District Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania, "Corman v. Torres: On Application to Convene a Three Judge District Court," February 23, 2018
  61. Election Law Blog, "Three-Judge Federal District Court in Pa Congressional Redistricting Case Sets Expedited Schedule for Briefing on Preliminary Injunction Request," February 23, 2018
  62. The Philadelphia Inquirer, "Federal judges hear arguments in Pa. congressional map fight: Should they block new map?" March 9, 2018
  63. Election Law Blog, "Breaking: Three-Judge Federal Court (All Republican Nominees) Rejects PA Congressional Redistricting Challenge, Leaving Issue to SCOTUS," March 19, 2018
  64. United States District Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania, "Corman v. Torres: Memorandum Opinion," March 19, 2018
  65. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  66. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  67. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  68. 68.0 68.1 68.2 68.3 68.4 68.5 ProPublica, "PA-1 outside spending," accessed September 17, 2018
  69. Politico, "Bloomberg shakes up race for the House," June 21, 2018
  70. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  71. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  72. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  73. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  74. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  75. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  76. Twitter, "Barack Obama on October 1, 2018"
  77. Jewish Exponent, "Brian Fitzpatrick, Scott Wallace Spar at Shir Ami Debate," October 17, 2018
  78. Brian Fitzpatrick for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed September 17, 2018
  79. 79.0 79.1 New York Times, "In a Crucial Pennsylvania District, Gun Policy Reigns Supreme," October 10, 2018
  80. Jewish Exponent, "DJOP Reverses Course, Endorses Scott Wallace," July 2, 2018
  81. Washington Free Beacon, "PA AFL-CIO Endorses GOP Congressman," June 20, 2018
  82. Forward, "Democratic Candidate Drops F-Bomb On Bimah During Debate At Synagogue," October 22, 2018
  83. Brian Fitzpatrick for Congress, “Issues,” accessed September 17, 2018
  84. Scott Wallace for Congress, “Issues,” accessed September 17, 2018
  85. This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
  86. The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
  87. The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
  88. The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
  89. The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
  90. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  91. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  92. United States Census Bureau, "Quick Facts - Pennsylvania," accessed January 3, 2018
  93. Pennsylvania Demographics, "Pennsylvania Cities by Population," accessed January 3, 2018



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