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Ballotpedia:Statewide projections for the November 6, 2012 elections

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This page hosts Ballotpedia's projections for the partisan outcome of State Executive, State Senate and State House elections. Federal and ballot measures were not included, in order to provide the clearest picture possible.

The first set of projections debuted on August 1, 2012. Ballotpedia will release updated projections on the first of each month, with the final report appearing on November 1, 2012, just days before the general election. The purpose of these projections is to indicate which races to watch, and which parties might have more to lose or gain from the election.

In addition to general projections, this page details our Trifecta analysis. A trifecta is defined as one party holding control of the governor's mansion, state Senate, and state House. This is viewed as an important point of analysis, because holding all three positions of state government can allow one party be the gatekeeper to all policy change in a specific state.

While Ballotpedia did not make projections about Congressional races, we aggregated various projections made by other organizations that covered the elections. Those can be viewed under the Congress tab.

[edit]

The tables below contain projections for both State Executive and State Legislative elections in 2012. The figures were derived by adding up the number of top-ballot state executive positions + the number of chambers for each party. Top-ballot refers to governors, lieutenant governors, attorneys general and secretaries of state. While there were 37 top-ballot state executive positions up for election and 86 state legislative chambers with 2012 elections, the Nebraska Legislature is officially nonpartisan, thus bringing a total of 122 projected outcomes.

Democrats

Before election: 55

Predicted after election: 41 (18 Toss-ups)
Republicans

Before election: 65

Predicted after election: 64 (18 Toss-ups)
*Note: The figures above are derived by adding up the total state executive seats + total chambers held by a party.

**The figures are missing three state legislative chambers. There are currently two ties (Alaska Senate and Oregon House) and one nonpartisan chamber (Nebraska)

MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 2012228726101633
September 1, 2012236924141432
October 1, 2012245924131235
November 1, 20122451218121437
August changes: MO LtGov to Lean R; WV SoS to Likely D; OR SoS to Safe D; OR AttyGen to Lean D; Alaska Senate to lean R; Pennsylvania Senate to lean R; Washington Senate to lean D; Ohio House to likely R; New Hampshire House to lean R
September changes: NC Gov to Likely R; Vt. LtGov to Safe R; OR SOS to toss-up; PA AG to lean D; Rhode Island Senate to safe D; Montana House to Safe R
October changes:IN Gov to Safe R, MO Gov to Lean D; MO Lt. Gov to Likely R, MT Lt. Gov to Toss-up; Oregon SOS to Lean D; Oregon and VT AG to Safe D; MO AG to Likely D; WV AG to Lean D; IN and MT AG to Likely R; AR House to Lean R; PA House to Likely R; CT Senate to Lean D; Iowa Senate to Toss-up; AR Senate to Lean R; Maine Senate to Lean D


2012 State Executive Races

StateExecLogo.png
Democrats

Before election: 23

Projected after election: 16 (9 Toss-ups)

Actual Results: 19 (5 too close to call)
Republicans

Before election: 14

Projected after election: 12 (9 Toss-ups)

Actual Results: 13 (5 too close to call)
MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 201254314254
September 1, 201263413344
October 1, 201263413245
November 1, 20127369048
August changes: MO LtGov to Lean R; WV SoS to Likely D; OR SoS to Safe D; OR AttyGen to Lean D
September changes: NC Gov to Safe R; Vt. LtGov to Safe R; OR SOS to toss-up; PA AG to lean D
October changes: IN Gov to Safe R, MO Gov to Lean D; MO Lt. Gov to Likely R, MT Lt. Gov to Toss-up; Oregon SOS to Lean D; Oregon and VT AG to Safe D; MO AG to Likely D; WV AG to Lean D; IN and MT AG to Likely R


For Ballotpedia's coverage of state executive down ballot races, see this page

Governor

Eleven states have scheduled gubernatorial elections in the 2012 electoral cycle: Delaware, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Washington and West Virginia.

Heading into the November election, the Democrats held eight of the seats and the Republicans held three seats. Six incumbents sought re-election, three retired and two were term-limited. Of the six who ran, 4 were Democrats and 2 were Republicans.

MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 20122113112
September 1, 20122113112
October 1, 20122113013
November 1, 20122023004
Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Delaware
Vermont
Missouri
West Virginia
Washington
Montana
New Hampshire
Indiana
North Carolina
North Dakota
Utah
August changes: None
September changes: NC to Safe R
October changes: Indiana to Safe R; Missouri to Lean D


Lt. Governor

Nine states have scheduled lieutenant gubernatorial elections in the 2012 electoral cycle. In four of those states, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on a single ticket: Indiana, Montana, North Dakota and Utah. In the other 5 states, lieutenant governors are elected separately from the governor: Delaware, Missouri, North Carolina, Vermont and Washington.

Heading into the November election, the Democrats held three seats and the Republicans held six. Incumbents sought re-election in six of the races, one incumbent was term-limited, one retired and one ran for a different office. Of the incumbent lieutenant governors who ran for re-election, two were Democrats and four were Republicans.

MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 20121011132
September 1, 20121011222
October 1, 20121011213
November 1, 20121012023
Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Delaware Washington Montana
North Carolina
Indiana
Missouri
North Dakota
Utah
Vermont
August changes: Missouri to Lean R
September changes: Vermont to Safe R
October changes: Missouri to Likely R, Montana to Toss-up


Secretary of State

MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 20121114000
September 1, 20122113000
October 1, 20121114000
November 1, 20121123000
Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Vermont West Virginia North Carolina
Oregon
Missouri
Montana
Washington
August changes: West Virginia to Likely D; Oregon to Safe D
September changes: Oregon to Toss-up
October changes: Oregon to Lean D


Attorney General

MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 20121261
September 1, 201211161
October 1, 201211251
November 1, 2012321121
Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
North Carolina
Oregon
Vermont
Pennsylvania
Missouri
West Virginia Washington Indiana
Montana
Utah
August changes: Oregon to Lean D
September changes: Pennsylvania to Lean D
October changes: Oregon and Vermont to Safe D, Missouri to Likely D, West Virginia to Lean D, Indiana and Montana to Likely R


2012 State Senate Races

SLP badge.png
Democrats

Before election: 19

Predicted after election: 14 (Excluding 6 Toss-ups)

Actual: 20
Republicans

Before election: 28

Predicted after election: 30 (Excluding 6 Toss-ups)

Actual: 28
*Note: There were two senates that were tied heading into the 2012 elections -- Alaska and Virginia. Additionally, Nebraska is a nonpartisan chamber. Because Virginia does not hold elections in 2012, there are 48 possible chambers that can be held by a party. The numbers in the tables below do not include chambers without elections in 2012.
MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 201273273614
September 1, 201272365514
October 1, 201281365514
November 1, 201271456514

Note: Since one state senate is non-partisan, a political party is defined as having the majority of state senates if it has at least 25. The Democratic Party needs to win all the Safe, Likely and Leans Democratic, all Toss Ups, all Lean GOP, and one of the Likely GOP states to get to 25. The Republican Party needs to win all the Safe and Likely Republican states to get to 25.

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
California (D)
Hawaii (D)
Illinois (D)
Massachusetts (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Vermont (D)
West Virginia (D)

Not up:
Maryland (D)
New Jersey (D)
Delaware (D) Possible D Pick-up
Maine (R)
Connecticut (D)
Oregon (D)
Washington (D)
Colorado (D)
Iowa (D)
Nevada (D)
Minnesota (R)
New Mexico (D)
Possible R Pick-up
Arkansas (D)
Wisconsin (D)
Alaska (Even Split)
New York (R)
New Hampshire (R)
Pennsylvania (R)
Arizona (R)
Florida (R)
Missouri (R)
Montana (R)
South Carolina (R)
Georgia (R)
Idaho (R)
Indiana (R)
Kansas (R)
Kentucky (R)
North Carolina (R)
North Dakota (R)
Ohio (R)
Oklahoma (R)
South Dakota (R)
Tennessee (R)
Texas (R)
Utah (R)
Wyoming (R)
Not up:
Alabama (R)
Louisiana (R)
Michigan (R)
Mississippi (R)
Virginia (R)
August changes: Alaska to lean R; Pennsylvania to lean R; Washington to lean D
September changes: Rhode Island to safe D
October changes: Connecticut to Lean D; Iowa to Toss-up; Arkansas to Lean R; Maine to Lean D
Partisan dominance in state senates
heading into the 2012 state legislative elections
Nevada State SenateMassachusetts State SenateColorado State SenateNew Mexico State SenateWyoming State SenateArizona State SenateMontana State SenateCalifornia State SenateOregon State SenateWashington State SenateIdaho State SenateTexas State SenateOklahoma State SenateKansas State SenateSouth Dakota State SenateNorth Dakota State SenateMinnesota State SenateIowa State SenateMissouri State SenateArkansas State SenateLouisiana State SenateMississippi State SenateAlabama State SenateGeorgia State SenateFlorida State SenateSouth Carolina State SenateIllinois State SenateWisconsin State AssemblyTennessee State SenateNorth Carolina State SenateIndiana State SenateOhio State SenateKentucky State SenatePennsylvania State SenateNew Jersey State SenateNew York State SenateVermont State SenateVermont State SenateNew Hampshire State SenateMaine State SenateWest Virginia State SenateVirginia State SenateNebraska State Senate (Unicameral)Maryland State SenateMaryland State SenateConnecticut State SenateConnecticut State SenateDelaware State SenateDelaware State SenateRhode Island State SenateRhode Island State SenateMassachusetts State SenateNew Hampshire State SenateMichigan State SenateMichigan State SenateAlaska State SenateState Senate Map 2012.png

2012 State House Elections

SLP badge.png
Democrats

Before election: 17

Predicted after election: 16 (Excluding 4 Toss-ups)

Actual: 21
Republicans

Before election: 31

Predicted after election: 29 (Excluding 4 Toss-ups)

Actual: 28
*Note: There was one house that was tied heading into the 2012 elections -- Oregon. Additionally, Nebraska does not have a state house.
MonthSafe DLikely DLean DToss UpLean RLikely RSafe R
August 1, 2012101255515
September 1, 2012101256514
October 1, 2012101256415
November 1, 2012101246515

Note: Since there are 49 state houses (Nebraska only has a senate), a political party is defined as having the majority of state houses if it has at least 25. The Democratic Party needs to win all the Safe, Likely and Leans Democratic states, Toss Up states, and four Lean GOP states to get to 25. The Republican Party needs to win all the Safe and Likely GOP states and one Lean GOP state to get to 25.

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
California (D)
Connecticut (D)
Delaware (D)
Hawaii (D)
Illinois (D)
Massachusetts (D)
New York (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Vermont (D)
West Virginia (D)

Not up:
Maryland (D)
Mississippi (D)
New Jersey (D)
Washington (D)
Kentucky (D)
Nevada (D)
Colorado (R)
Maine (R)
Minnesota (R)
Oregon (Even split)
Possible R Pick-up:
Arkansas (D)
New Mexico (D)

Alaska (R)
Iowa (R)
Michigan (R)
New Hampshire (R)
Arizona (R)
Missouri (R)
Ohio (R)
Pennsylvania (R)
Wisconsin (R)
Florida (R)
Georgia (R)
Idaho (R)
Indiana (R)
Kansas (R)
Montana (R)
North Carolina (R)
North Dakota (R)
Oklahoma (R)
South Carolina (R)
South Dakota (R)
Tennessee (R)
Texas (R)
Utah (R)
Wyoming (R)

Not up:
Alabama (R)
Louisiana (R)
Virginia (R)
August changes: Ohio to likely R; New Hampshire to lean R
September changes: Montana to Safe R
October changes: Arkansas to Lean Republican; Pennsylvania to Likely Republican
Partisan dominance in state houses
heading into the 2012 state legislative elections
Nevada State AssemblyMassachusetts House of RepresentativesColorado House of RepresentativesNew Mexico House of RepresentativesWyoming House of RepresentativesArizona House of RepresentativesMontana House of RepresentativesCalifornia State AssemblyOregon House of RepresentativesWashington House of RepresentativesIdaho House of RepresentativesTexas House of RepresentativesOklahoma House of RepresentativesKansas House of RepresentativesSouth Dakota House of RepresentativesNorth Dakota House of RepresentativesMinnesota House of RepresentativesIowa House of RepresentativesMissouri House of RepresentativesArkansas House of RepresentativesLouisiana House of RepresentativesMississippi House of RepresentativesAlabama House of RepresentativesGeorgia House of RepresentativesFlorida House of RepresentativesSouth Carolina House of RepresentativesIllinois House of RepresentativesWisconsin State AssemblyTennessee House of RepresentativesNorth Carolina House of RepresentativesIndiana House of RepresentativesOhio House of RepresentativesKentucky House of RepresentativesPennsylvania House of RepresentativesNew Jersey State AssemblyNew York State AssemblyVermont House of RepresentativesVermont House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMaine House of RepresentativesWest Virginia House of DelegatesVirginia State AssemblyMaryland House of DelegatesMaryland House of DelegatesConnecticut House of RepresentativesConnecticut House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesMassachusetts House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesAlaska House of RepresentativesState House Map 2012.png

See also: Democratic and Republican state government trifectas heading into the 2012 elections
  • There were 21 Republican trifecta states
  • There were 10 Democratic trifecta states
Trifecta 2012.png

A "trifecta" is when one political party holds these three positions in a state's government:

Prior to the November 6, 2012 elections, there were "trifectas" in 31 states. Twenty-one of these were Republican trifectas and ten were Democratic trifectas.

Democratic Party Democratic
Republican Party Republican
Purple.png Tied Chamber

Trifecta comparison before and after the 2012 Election
State Before November 2012 After November 2012
Governor State Senate State House Governor State Senate State House
Alabama Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Alaska Republican Party Purple.png Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Arizona Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Arkansas Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party
California Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Colorado Democratic Party Democratic Party Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Connecticut Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Delaware Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Florida Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Georgia Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Hawaii Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Idaho Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Illinois Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Indiana Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Iowa Republican Party Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party Democratic Party Republican Party
Kansas Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Kentucky Democratic Party Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Republican Party Democratic Party
Louisiana Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Maine Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Maryland Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Massachusetts Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Michigan Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Minnesota Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Mississippi Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Missouri Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party
Montana Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party
Nebraska Republican Party Independent NA Republican Party Independent NA
Nevada Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
New Hampshire Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party Democratic Party Republican Party Democratic Party
New Jersey Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
New Mexico Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
New York Democratic Party Republican Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
North Carolina Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
North Dakota Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Ohio Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Oklahoma Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Oregon Democratic Party Democratic Party Purple.png Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Pennsylvania Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Rhode Island Independent Democratic Party Democratic Party Independent Democratic Party Democratic Party
South Carolina Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
South Dakota Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Tennessee Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Texas Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Utah Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Vermont Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Virginia Republican Party Purple.png Republican Party Republican Party Purple.png Republican Party
Washington Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
West Virginia Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party Democratic Party
Wisconsin Republican Party Democratic Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party
Wyoming Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party Republican Party

For each of the state races, the expected outcome is displayed in 1 of 7 classifications. The 7 classifications include:

  • Safe Democrat
  • Likely Democrat
  • Leans Democrat
  • Toss-up
  • Leans Republican
  • Likely Republican
  • Safe Republican

These are the standard 7 classifications typically used by organizations when assessing the likely outcomes of races for Ballotpedia's projections.

Ballotpedia's methodology

These are the 7 classifications and the considerations taken into account when deciding how to classify a particular race.

Basic considerations

  • Safe Democrat
    • If a Democrat currently occupies the position and faces no major challenge in the election
    • If a Democratic candidate vying for the office faces no Republican challenger
    • If the chamber is controlled by the Democratic Party and there is no indication that party control will change.
  • Likely Democrat
    • If a state (55% of the electorate or above) went to Barack Obama in the November 2008 presidential election
    • If a Democrat currently occupies the statewide position
  • Lean Democrat
    • If a state (below 55% of the electorate) went to Barack Obama in the November 2008 presidential election
    • If a Democrat currently occupies the statewide position
  • Toss-up
    • If the state went to Barack Obama in November 2008, but a Republican currently occupies the statewide position
    • If the state went to John McCain in November 2008, but a Democrat currently occupies the statewide position
  • Lean Republican
    • If a state (below 55% of the electorate) went to John McCain in the November 2008 presidential election
    • If a Republican currently occupies the statewide position
  • Likely Republican
    • If a state (55% of the electorate or above) went to John McCain in the November 2008 presidential election
    • If a Republican currently occupies the statewide position
  • Safe Republican
    • If a Republican currently occupies the statewide position and faces no major challenge in the November 2010 election
    • If a Republican candidate vying for the office faces no Democratic challenger in November

Additional considerations

As election day approaches, in some high profile or high intensity elections, additional information will become available. The additional information that is likely to be judged as relevant for predicting the outcome of a race is:

  • Campaign fundraising
  • Polls for the office
  • Key or surprising endorsements
  • Polls for the top of the ticket that might be taken as evidence of a pronounced political tide in effect in that state that could carry down-ticket races along with them.

Note: The following projections were not conducted by Ballotpedia.

US Senate

Each month the Cook Political Report released race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There were seven possible designations:[1]

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

Cook Political Report Race Rating -- U.S. Senate
Month Solid D Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean R Likely R Solid R
November 1, 2012[2] 8 4 5 10 1 0 5
October 4, 2012[3] 8 4 5 10 0 1 5
September 13, 2012[4] 8 4 4 10 1 1 5
August 21, 2012[5] 8 5 3 9 1 2 5
July 12, 2012[6] 8 4 3 10 1 2 5
May 31, 2012[7] 8 4 3 10 1 2 5
May 10, 2012[8] 8 4 3 10 1 2 5
March 22, 2012[9] 8 4 3 10 0 3 5
March 1, 2012[10] 8 4 3 10 0 3 5
January 26, 2012[11] 8 4 3 9 0 4 5
December 22, 2011[12] 8 5 2 10 0 3 5
December 1, 2011[13] 8 5 2 10 0 4 4

Changes by month

October 2012

  • From September 31, 2012 to November 1, 2012, 2012, Cook's race ratings changed in the following states:
    • Pennsylvania went from Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat
    • Michigan went from Lean Democrat to Likely Democrat
    • Hawaii went from Tossup to Lean Democrat
    • Arizona went from Lean Republican to Tossup
    • Nebraska went from Likely Republican to Lean Republican

September 2012

  • From August 31, 2012 to September 31, 2012, Cook's race ratings changed in the following states:
    • New Mexico went from Tossup to Lean Democrat.
    • Connecticut went from Likely Democrat to Tossup
    • Indiana went from Lean Republican to Tossup
    • Arizona went from Likely Republican to Lean Republican

August 2012

  • From July 1, 2012 to August 31, 2012, Cook's race ratings changed in the following state:
    • Missouri went from Tossup to Likely Democrat.

July 2012

  • None

May 2012

  • From March 1, 2012 to May 31, 2012, Cook's race ratings changed in the following states:
    • Indiana went from Likely Republican to Lean Republican.
    • New Jersey went from Solid Democrat to Likely Democrat.
    • Washington went from Likely Democrat to Solid Democrat.

March 2012

  • From January 26, 2012, to March 1, 2012, Cook's race ratings changed in the following state:
    • Maine went from Likely Republican to Tossup.

January 2012

  • From December 22, 2011, to January 26, 2012, Cook's race ratings changed in the following states:
    • Michigan went from Likely Democratic to Lean Democratic.
    • Nebraska went from Tossup to Likely Republican.

December 2011

  • From December 1, 2011, to December 22, 2011, Cook's race ratings changed in the following state:
    • Texas went from Likely Republican to Strong Republican.

US House

     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic
     D Tossup

     R Tossup
     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican

     Solid Democratic
     Lean Democratic
     Tossup
     Lean Republican
     Solid Republican

New York Times Political Report Race Rating -- U.S. House Competitive Districts
Month Solid D Lean D Tossup Lean R Solid R Total Seats in Play
July 25, 2012[45] 156 23 25 32 199 80
Note: A total of 218 seats are needed for the majority

See also

Ballotpedia's 2012 election coverage plans

References

  1. Cook Political Report "Our Accuracy," accessed December 12, 2011
  2. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," November 1, 2012
  3. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 19, 2012
  4. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 19, 2012
  5. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 23, 2012
  6. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012
  7. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  8. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," May 10, 2012
  9. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 22, 2012
  10. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," March 1, 2012
  11. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," January 26, 2012
  12. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 22, 2011
  13. Cook Political Report "2012 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 1, 2011
  14. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," October 30, 2012
  15. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," October 25, 2012
  16. [http://cookpolitical.com/house/charts/race-ratings/4736 Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," October 18, 2012]
  17. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," October 11, 2012
  18. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," October 5, 2012
  19. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," September 27, 2012
  20. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," September 20, 2012
  21. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," September 13, 2012
  22. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," September 6, 2012
  23. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," August 20, 2012
  24. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," August 15, 2012
  25. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," August 12, 2012
  26. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," August 2, 2012
  27. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," July 26, 2012
  28. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," July 12, 2012
  29. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," June 28, 2012
  30. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," June 14, 2012
  31. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," June 7, 2012
  32. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," May 31, 2012
  33. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," May 24, 2012
  34. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," May 17, 2012
  35. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," May 3, 2012
  36. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," April 26, 2012
  37. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," April 19, 2012
  38. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," April 12, 2012
  39. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," April 5, 2012
  40. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," March 23, 2012
  41. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," March 15, 2012
  42. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," March 8, 2012
  43. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," March 6, 2012
  44. Cook Political Report "2012 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," March 5, 2012
  45. New York Times "Race Ratings Table," accessed July 25, 2012