Texas' 23rd Congressional District election (March 6, 2018 Democratic primary)

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2016
Texas' 23rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 11, 2017
Primary: March 6, 2018
Primary runoff: May 22, 2018 (if needed)
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Will Hurd (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Lean Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Texas' 23rd Congressional District
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Texas elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018



Air Force veteran Gina Ortiz Jones won the Democratic primary runoff election on May 22, 2018.

Jones and teacher Rick Treviño were the top two vote-getters in the March 6 primary election for Texas' 23rd Congressional District, but since neither received more than 50 percent of the vote they both advanced to a runoff which was held on May 22. They defeated Judy Canales, Jay Hulings, and Angela Villescaz. For more information about the primary runoff election, click here.

The 23rd District was a swing district in the years leading up to the 2018 election, causing Democrats to hope they might once again flip the seat back to their control. The 2016 election saw Republican incumbent Will Hurd narrowly defeat his Democratic challenger Pete Gallego by just over one percentage point. Hurd originally unseated Gallego in the 2014 general election; prior to that Gallego had held the office for two years. National political correspondent for the Washington Post Karen Tumulty said of the district: "It is the only true swing district in Texas...This is a district that last year voted narrowly for Hillary Clinton, but it also voted to re-elect [U.S. Rep.] Will Hurd to Congress."[1] The 2018 race was rated Toss-up by two outlets as of February 5, 2018.[2]

Hulings and Jones were identified as top candidates in this race based on polling, funds raised, or endorsements. Hulings was backed by Rep. Joaquin Castro and former secretary of housing and urban development Julián Castro, as well as Bexar County commissioners and councilmen. Jones gained support from the pro-choice group EMILY's List and the Lesbian Political Action Committee, as well as former state senators Wendy Davis and Leticia Van de Putte.

Hulings led the field of candidates in funds raised as of December 31, 2017, reporting $410,257 in contributions. Ortiz Jones raised the second-highest with $316,972 in contributions during the same time period.[3]

Texas voter? Dates you need to know.
Primary electionMarch 6, 2018
Candidate filing deadlineDecember 11, 2017
Registration deadlineFebruary 5, 2018
Absentee application deadlineFebruary 23, 2018
General electionNovember 6, 2018
Voting information
Primary typeOpen
Early voting deadlineMarch, 2, 2018
Polling locations: Go to this page to find early voting locations and your assigned precinct for election day.


For more on related elections, please see:



Candidates and election results

Gina Ortiz Jones and Ricardo Jose Treviño Jr. advanced to a runoff. They defeated Judith Ann Canales, Jay Hulings, and Angela Villescaz in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 23 on March 6, 2018.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 23

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gina Ortiz Jones
Gina Ortiz Jones
 
41.6
 
18,443
Image of Ricardo Jose Treviño Jr.
Ricardo Jose Treviño Jr.
 
17.4
 
7,710
Image of Judith Ann Canales
Judith Ann Canales
 
17.0
 
7,538
Image of Jay Hulings
Jay Hulings
 
15.0
 
6,649
Image of Angela Villescaz
Angela Villescaz
 
9.1
 
4,032

Total votes: 44,372
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Election updates

Endorsements

  • The Stonewall Democrats endorsed Ortiz Jones on January 29, 2018.

Campaign finance

  • Hulings led the field of candidates in fundraising at the close of 2017. He reported $410,000 in contributions as of December 31, 2017. Ortiz Jones reported about $317,000 as of the same date.

Events

  • A Democratic candidate forum was held on February 27, 2018.


Top candidates

Ortiz Jones and Treviño were identified as top candidates in the race based on their appearance in the May 22 runoff election.

Gina Ortiz Jones Democratic Party

Gina Ortiz Jones

Jones' professional experience includes serving as director for investment at the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative and as the senior advisor for trade enforcement. She is a U.S. Air Force veteran where she served as an intelligence officer in Iraq. She earned her master's and bachelor's degrees in economics and a bachelor's degree in East Asian studies all from Boston University. She also earned a graduate degree from the U.S. Army School of Advanced Military Studies.[4]

Jones was recognized as a 2016 American Council on Germany Young Leader and is a Council on Foreign Relations Term Member. She is also a member of the Truman National Security Project Defense Council.

Jones has received support from national groups such as EMILY's List, VoteVets, and Victory Fund, as well as former Texas Democratic state senator and gubernatorial candidate Wendy Davis.[5] She had raised $316,972 in her campaign as of December 31, 2017.

Rick Treviño

Rick Treviño

Treviño’s career experience includes working as a teacher at Sam Houston High School. He served as the secretary of the Bexar County Democratic Party. Treviño was a national delegate for Bernie Sanders in 2016. Treviño earned a bachelor's degree in political science from the University of Texas at San Antonio and a master's degree in educational leadership from Trinity University.[6]

Treviño was endorsed in the race by National Nurses United, Our Revolution, and Justice Democrats. Treviño listed Medicare for all, a $15 an hour minimum wage, and free tuition as campaign priorities. He called his platform the "Progressive Platform for the People."[7] He reported $24,178 in funds raised as of February 14, 2018.




List of all candidates


Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates

Democratic Party factional conflict

See also: Democratic Party factional conflict in U.S. House primaries, 2018

Disputes between candidates endorsed by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) and candidates outside the official organs of the Democratic Party occurred in U.S. House primaries in 2018.

The DCCC, a campaign arm of the Democratic National Committee, endorsed candidates who party leaders believed had the best chance of defeating Republican incumbents.[10]

Some criticized the DCCC's choices. Ryan Grim and Lee Fang wrote in The Intercept, for example, "In district after district, the national party is throwing its weight behind candidates who are out of step with the national mood."[11]

In this primary, the DCCC endorsed Gina Ortiz Jones.[10]

The chart below shows a scorecard for how the DCCC performed in competitive Democratic primaries that featured at least one DCCC-endorsed candidate and one other Democratic candidate.

U.S. House Democratic factions
Faction Primary victories in 2018
Endorsed by DCCC 31
Not endorsed by DCCC 2

Policy stances

Healthcare

Judy Canales, Jay Hulings, Gina Ortiz Jones, and Rick Treviño discussed their stances during a meeting with the Express-News editorial board on January 25, 2018. One of the topics that brought out their differences was healthcare. “We agree on a lot of issues. This is one where there are some slight disagreements,” said Hulings. “I think Rick has been trying to convince me on ‘Medicare for All’ for awhile now.”[12]

Hulings questioned the government's handling of the tax increase required to fund a single-payer health care system, and how the transition would work. His goal was to move towards a single-payer system using the Affordable Care Act (ACA) as a foundation.[12]

Canales said she also wanted to expand the ACA and emphasized the importance of financially backing community health clinics.[12]

Treviño argued that market-based solutions aren't successful, saying that some laws allow insurance companies to benefit from people's health issues. “This is a choice that our society has made, to live with people that are uninsured, and to allow people to profiteer off people getting sick,” he said.[12]

Jones said she supported a single-payer health care system. “We have to have the moral courage to say everyone in this country deserves health care, everyone in this country deserves to be healthy enough to take care of themselves, their family, their aging parents,” she said.[12]

Endorsements

See also: Endorsements in the Texas congressional primaries, 2018
Democratic candidate endorsements
Endorsement Hulings Jones Treviño
National figures
Khizr Khan, American Muslim[13]
Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-Texas)[14]
Julián Castro, former secretary of housing and urban development[14]
State officials
Wendy Davis, former Texas State Senator[15]
Leticia Van de Putte, former Texas State Senator[16]
State Rep. Philip Cortez (D)[8]
Tommy Calvert, Bexar County commissioner[8]
Lupita De La Paz, Former Val Verde County Democratic chair[8]
Raymond Meza, Sr., school board member[8]
Manny Pelaez, Bexar County councilman[8]
Rey Saldaña, Bexar County councilman[8]
Organizations
Our Revolution
National Nurses United
Justice Democrats
Stonewall Democrats[17]
PACs
Emily's List[18]
Aspire[19]
Victory Fund[20]
Equality PAC[21]
Asian American Action Fund[22]
Serve America[23]
LPAC[24]
Women Under Forty[25]
VoteVets[26]


Debates and forums

February 27 candidate forum

A Democratic candidate forum was held on February 27, 2018. All five candidates were in attendance. The Texas Tribune noted that the candidates distinguished themselves most clearly on who would be the best candidate to go against Republican incumbent Will Hurd in the November 6, 2018, general election.[12]

Gina Ortiz Jones said,

It’s not enough for the voters that you’re right on the issues. They are wanting a fight...We’ve got to have someone who can neutralize Will Hurd’s perceived strength: his national security credentials ... I have 14 years' experience in national security in and out of uniform.[27]
—Gina Ortiz Jones (2018)[12]

Jay Hulings said he could "do to Will Hurd what no one else can," citing his work as a federal prosecutor and his experience working as an attorney for the U.S. House Intelligence Committee.

I have been a prosecutor on the border fighting the cartels and putting corrupt politicians from both parties in jail...He’s not going to have a national security advantage on me.[27]
—Jay Hulings (2018)[12]

The Texas Tribune summarized the responses of Judy Canales, Angie Villescaz, and Rick Treviño:

A former Bill Clinton and Barack Obama appointee from Eagle Pass, Judy Canales attempted to position herself as the homegrown candidate who hails from the border. And she joined Angie Villescaz in touting that one of them could become the first Hispanic woman to represent Texas in Congress. Rick Treviño, a former high school teacher from San Antonio, was unapologetic in aligning himself with U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., as the most progressive candidate.[12][27]

Campaign strategies

Ads

Jay Hulings

""Greater than a Wall"" - Hulings campaign video, released January 28, 2018
""On the Shoulders of Others" — Jay Hulings for Congress (TX-23)" - Hulings campaign video, released December 13, 2017

Gina Ortiz-Jones

""Gina Ortiz Jones TV"" - Jones campaign video, released January 26, 2018

Race ratings

Race ratings: Texas' 23rd Congressional District election, 2018
Race tracker Race ratings
October 30, 2018 October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political Report Lean Republican Lean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales Lean Republican Lean RepublicanLean RepublicanTilt Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean Republican Lean RepublicanToss-upToss-up
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.


Campaign finance

The table below contains data from the Federal Election Commission through February 14, 2018.[28]


Early voting in Texas primaries, 2018

Click here to learn about historic early voting turnout for both parties in Texas in 2014 and 2018.

Republican district won by Hillary Clinton

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Republican and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections

This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[29] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.

Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.


2018 election results in Republican-held U.S. House districts won by Hillary Clinton in 2016
District Incumbent 2018 winner 2018 margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 2nd Republican Party Martha McSally Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick D+9.5 Clinton+4.9 Romney+1.5
California's 10th Republican Party Jeff Denham Democratic Party Josh Harder D+2.6 Clinton+3.0 Obama+3.6
California's 21st Republican Party David Valadao Democratic Party TJ Cox D+0.8 Clinton+15.5 Obama+11.1
California's 25th Republican Party Steve Knight Democratic Party Katie Hill D+6.4 Clinton+6.7 Romney+1.9
California's 39th Republican Party Ed Royce Democratic Party Gil Cisneros D+1.4 Clinton+8.6 Romney+3.7
California's 45th Republican Party Mimi Walters Democratic Party Katie Porter D+1.6 Clinton+5.4 Romney+11.8
California's 48th Republican Party Dana Rohrabacher Democratic Party Harley Rouda D+5.8 Clinton+1.7 Romney+11.7
California's 49th Republican Party Darrell Issa Democratic Party Mike Levin D+7.4 Clinton+7.5 Romney+6.7
Colorado's 6th Republican Party Mike Coffman Democratic Party Jason Crow D+11.2 Clinton+8.9 Obama+5.1
Florida's 26th Republican Party Carlos Curbelo Democratic Party Debbie Mucarsel-Powell D+1.8 Clinton+16.1 Obama+11.5
Florida's 27th Republican Party Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Democratic Party Donna Shalala D+6.0 Clinton+19.7 Obama+6.7
Illinois' 6th Republican Party Peter Roskam Democratic Party Sean Casten D+5.6 Clinton+7.0 Romney+8.2
Kansas' 3rd Republican Party Kevin Yoder Democratic Party Sharice Davids D+9.1 Clinton+1.2 Romney+9.5
Minnesota's 3rd Republican Party Erik Paulsen Democratic Party Dean Phillips D+11.4 Clinton+9.4 Obama+0.8
New Jersey's 7th Republican Party Leonard Lance Democratic Party Tom Malinowski D+4.7 Clinton+1.1 Romney+6.2
New York's 24th Republican Party John Katko Republican Party John Katko R+6.3 Clinton+3.6 Obama+15.9
Pennsylvania's 1st Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick[30] Republican Party Brian Fitzpatrick R+2.6 Clinton+2.0 Obama+2.6
Pennsylvania's 5th Republican Party Pat Meehan[31] Democratic Party Mary Gay Scanlon D+30.2 Clinton+28.2 Obama+27.7
Pennsylvania's 6th Republican Party Ryan Costello[32] Democratic Party Chrissy Houlahan D+17.6 Clinton+9.3 Obama+3.2
Pennsylvania's 7th Republican Party Charlie Dent[33] Democratic Party Susan Wild D+11.3 Clinton+1.1 Obama+7.0
Texas' 7th Republican Party John Culberson Democratic Party Lizzie Pannill Fletcher D+5.0 Clinton+1.4 Romney+21.3
Texas' 23rd Republican Party Will Hurd Republican Party Will Hurd R+0.5 Clinton+3.4 Romney+2.6
Texas' 32nd Republican Party Pete Sessions Democratic Party Colin Allred D+6.3 Clinton+1.9 Romney+15.5
Virginia's 10th Republican Party Barbara Comstock Democratic Party Jennifer Wexton D+12.4 Clinton+10.0 Romney+1.6
Washington's 8th Republican Party David Reichert Democratic Party Kim Schrier D+6.2 Clinton+3.0 Obama+1.6


Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.

Click here to see an overview of all split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections..

District election history

2016

Texas' 23rd Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Incumbent Will Hurd (R) won re-election to his second term, and defeated former Rep. Pete Gallego (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hurd ousted Gallego in the 2014 general election to win the seat. Hurd defeated William Peterson in the Republican primary on March 1, 2016, while Gallego defeated Lee Keenen to win the Democratic nomination. Ruben Corvalan (L) is also seeking election to the seat.[34][35]

U.S. House, Texas District 23 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngWill Hurd Incumbent 48.3% 110,577
     Democratic Pete Gallego 47% 107,526
     Libertarian Ruben Corvalan 4.7% 10,862
Total Votes 228,965
Source: Texas Secretary of State

Primary election

U.S. House, Texas District 23 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngWill Hurd Incumbent 82.2% 39,870
William Peterson 17.8% 8,628
Total Votes 48,498
Source: Texas Secretary of State
U.S. House, Texas District 23 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPete Gallego 88.4% 43,223
Lee Keenen 11.6% 5,688
Total Votes 48,911
Source: Texas Secretary of State

2014

BattlegroundRace.jpg

The 23rd Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.

See also: Texas' 23rd Congressional District elections, 2014


U.S. House, Texas District 23 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngWill Hurd 49.8% 57,459
     Democratic Pete Gallego Incumbent 47.7% 55,037
     Libertarian Ruben Corvalan 2.5% 2,933
Total Votes 115,429
Source: Texas Secretary of State

2012

See also: Texas' 23rd Congressional District elections, 2012

The 23rd Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which Pete Gallego (D) won election. He defeated incumbent Francisco Canseco (R), Jeffrey Blunt (L) and Ed Scharf (G) in the general election. This switched partisan control of the district.[36]

U.S. House, Texas District 23 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngPete Gallego 50.3% 96,676
     Republican Francisco Canseco Incumbent 45.6% 87,547
     Libertarian Jeffrey C. Blunt 3% 5,841
     Green Ed Scharf 1.1% 2,105
Total Votes 192,169
Source: Texas Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+1, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 23rd Congressional District the 227th most Republican nationally.[37]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.93. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.93 points toward that party.[38]

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Texas heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans controlled both chambers of the Texas State Legislature. They had a 93-55 majority in the state House and a 21-10 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Texas was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party held the governorship, a majority in the state Senate, and a majority in the state House.

2018 elections

See also: Texas elections, 2018

Texas held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Texas
 TexasU.S.
Total population:27,429,639316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):261,2323,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:74.9%73.6%
Black/African American:11.9%12.6%
Asian:4.2%5.1%
Native American:0.5%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0.1%0.2%
Two or more:2.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:38.4%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:81.9%86.7%
College graduation rate:27.6%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$53,207$53,889
Persons below poverty level:19.9%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Texas.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Texas had a population of approximately 27,862,596 people, and its three largest cities were Houston (pop. est. 2.3 million), San Antonio (pop. est. 1.5 million), and Dallas (pop. est. 1.3 million).[39][40]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Texas from 2000 to 2016.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Texas every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Texas 2000-2016[41][42]
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Donald Trump 52.23% Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 43.24% 8.99%
2012 Republican Party Mitt Romney 57.17% Democratic Party Barack Obama 41.38% 15.79%
2008 Republican Party John McCain 55.45% Democratic Party Barack Obama 43.68% 11.77%
2004 Republican Party George W. Bush 61.09% Democratic Party John Kerry 38.22% 22.87%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 59.30% Democratic Party Al Gore 37.98% 21.32%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Texas from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Texas 2000-2016[43]
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014[44] Republican Party John Cornyn 61.56% Democratic Party David Alameel 34.36% 27.20%
2012[45] Republican Party Ted Cruz 56.46% Democratic Party Paul Sadler 40.62% 15.84%
2008[46] Republican Party John Cornyn 54.82% Democratic Party Richard Noriega 42.84% 11.98%
2006[47] Republican Party Kay Bailey Hutchison 61.69% Democratic Party Barbara Ann Radnofsky 36.04% 25.65%
2002[48] Republican Party John Cornyn 55.30% Democratic Party Ron Kirk 43.33% 11.97%
2000[49] Republican Party Kay Bailey Hutchison 65.04% Democratic Party Gene Kelly 32.35% 32.69%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2014

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2014. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Texas.

Election results (Governor), Texas 2000-2016[50]
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Greg Abbott 59.27% Democratic Party Wendy Davis 38.90% 20.37%
2010 Republican Party Rick Perry 54.97% Democratic Party Bill White 42.30% 12.67%
2006 Republican Party Rick Perry 39.03% Democratic Party Chris Bell 29.79% 9.24%
2002 Republican Party Rick Perry 57.81% Democratic Party Tony Sanchez 39.96% 17.85%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Texas in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Texas 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 25 69.4% Democratic Party 11 30.6% R+14
2014 Republican Party 25 69.4% Democratic Party 11 30.6% R+14
2012 Republican Party 24 66.7% Democratic Party 12 33.3% R+12
2010 Republican Party 23 71.9% Democratic Party 9 28.1% R+14
2008 Republican Party 20 62.5% Democratic Party 12 37.5% R+8
2006 Republican Party 19 59.4% Democratic Party 13 40.6% R+6
2004 Republican Party 21 65.6% Democratic Party 11 34.4% R+10
2002 Republican Party 15 46.9% Democratic Party 17 53.1% D+2
2000 Republican Party 13 43.3% Democratic Party 17 56.7% D+4

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Texas Party Control: 1992-2025
Three years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 254 Texas counties—0.4 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Jefferson County, Texas 0.48% 1.61% 2.25%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Texas with 52.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Texas cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 66.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Texas supported Democratic candidates slightly more often than Republicans, 53.3 to 46.7 percent. The state, however, favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Texas. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[51][52]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 54 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 65 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 36.4 points. Clinton won 10 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 96 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 36.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 85 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 34.5 points.


See also

Footnotes

  1. KUT, "Race For Texas' 23rd District Likely To Be Among The Nation's Fiercest," April 25, 2017
  2. Ratings are based on projections found in Governing, Larry Sabato, The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and The Cook Political Report. These ratings are updated periodically throughout the election season.
  3. Federal Election Commission, "Candidates for House of Representatives," accessed February 5, 2018
  4. Gina Ortiz Jones 2018 campaign website, "About," accessed February 16, 2018
  5. Huffington Post, "She Quit Working For Trump. Now She’s Running For Congress To Fight Him.," January 5, 2018
  6. Rick Treviño, "About Rick," accessed March 17, 2018
  7. Rick Treviño, "About Rick," accessed March 20, 2018
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 Jay Hulings 2018 campaign website, "Home," accessed January 10, 2018
  9. Texas Tribune, "Democratic challenger to Rep. Will Hurd suggests "new leadership" should replace Pelosi," November 14, 2017
  10. 10.0 10.1 DCCC, "Red to Blue Candidates," accessed May 15, 2018
  11. The Intercept, "THE DEAD ENDERS: Candidates Who Signed Up to Battle Donald Trump Must Get Past the Democratic Party First," January 23, 2018
  12. 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.6 12.7 12.8 Express-News, "Democrats running for Will Hurd’s seat question his bipartisanship," January 25, 2018 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "forum" defined multiple times with different content
  13. The Hill, "Khizr Kahn makes endorsement in Texas Democratic primary," December 22, 2017
  14. 14.0 14.1 Politico, "‘Everybody Needs to Stand Up’," September 12, 2017
  15. Twitter, "Gina Ortiz Jones status," November 9, 2017
  16. OutInUSA, "Van De Putte Endorses Gina Ortiz Jones in District 23 Congressional Race," October 27, 2017
  17. OUTINSA, "Stonewall Democrats Announce Endorsements for March Primary," January 29, 2018
  18. Emily's List, "Emily's List Endorses Gina Ortiz Jones for Congress in Texas' 23rd District," November 21, 2017
  19. Aspire PAC, "ASPIRE PAC Endorses First Wave of Asian American and Pacific Islander Congressional Candidates," November 16, 2017
  20. Victory Fund, "Victory Fund Endorses Gina Ortiz Jones in Texas Congressional Race," November 15, 2017
  21. OutInUSA, "Equality PAC Endorses Gina Ortiz Jones in District 23 Congressional Race," September 29, 2017
  22. Asian American Action Fund, "Asian American Action Fund Endorses Iraq War veteran Gina Ortiz Jones for Congress," September 29, 2017
  23. Serve America, "Leaders," accessed January 11, 2018
  24. Lesbian Political Action Committee, "2018 Slate of LPAC Endorsed Candidates," accessed January 11, 2018
  25. Women Under Forty PAC, "Endorsements," accessed January 11, 2018
  26. VoteVets, "Candidates," accessed January 11, 2018
  27. 27.0 27.1 27.2 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Candidates for House of Representatives," accessed February 13, 2018
  29. This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
  30. The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
  31. The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
  32. The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
  33. The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
  34. Texas Secretary of State, "2016 March Primary Election Candidate Filings by County," accessed December 15, 2015
  35. The New York Times, "Texas Primary Results," March 1, 2016
  36. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Texas," November 6, 2012
  37. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  38. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  39. United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts Texas," accessed December 12, 2017
  40. United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts Houston; San Antonio; Dallas," accessed December 13, 2017
  41. Federal Election Commission, "2012 Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives," accessed December 13, 2017
  42. Federal Election Commission, "Official 2016 Presidential General Election Results," January 30, 2017
  43. Federal Election Commission, "Federal Elections 2014: Election Results for the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives," accessed December 13, 2017
  44. Federal Election Commission, "2014 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
  45. Federal Election Commission, "2012 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
  46. Federal Election Commission, "2008 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
  47. Federal Election Commission, "2006 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
  48. Federal Election Commission, "2002 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
  49. Federal Election Commission, "2000 Official Election Results for United States Senate," accessed December 13, 2017
  50. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, "Texas Election Results," accessed December 13, 2017
  51. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  52. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
Vacant
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
Republican Party (27)
Democratic Party (12)
Vacancies (1)