2009 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index
By Geoff Pallay with Kevin Diana, Tyler King and Justin Haas
180 of the country's 7,384 state legislative seats were up for election in the November 3, 2009 elections. Only the New Jersey General Assembly and Virginia House of Delegates held regular elections in 2009.
This article is an overview of our analysis of the degree of competitiveness in 2009's state legislative elections. The analysis utilized this 3-factor "Competitiveness Index" .
Using our 3-factor "Competitiveness Index", we've contrasted the two states that held elections.
This study was conducted looking back on the elections, after they had already taken place. The primary purpose of this was in order to use these results to contrast with the upcoming 2011 elections.
Status | House |
---|---|
Seats up | 180 |
Incumbents running | 161 |
% with no incumbent | 10.5% |
Incumbents with no primary | 131 |
% with no primary | 81.4% |
Candidates with no major party opposition | 48 |
% with no major party opposition | 26.7% |
Comparing the two states to the 2010 Competitiveness Index reveals that New Jersey would have ranked among the more competitive states while Virginia would have been near the bottom of the rankings.
Open seats
- Main article: Open seats in the 2009 state legislative elections
In 161 (89.5%) of the 180 seats up for election on November 3, the incumbent ran for re-election.
In 19 (10.5%) of the 180 seats up for election on November 3, the incumbent did not run for re-election.
Primary challenges
Least competitive state
- Virginia: 4.44%. In Virginia, 4 out of 100 incumbents running for election in 2009 faced a primary, which means that 95.66% of the 90 incumbents running automatically advanced to the general election.
Most competitive state
- New Jersey: 36.62%. In New Jersey, 26 out of 71 incumbents running for election in 2009 faced a primary, which means that 63.38% of the 71 incumbents running automatically advanced to the general election.
No opposition
Least competitive state
- Virginia: 44.00% In Virginia, 44 of 100 seats up for election contain only one major party candidate, meaning in 66.00% of the races there are Democratic and Republican candidates.
Most competitive state
- New Jersey: 5.00%. In New Jersey, 4 of 80 seats up for election contain only one major party candidate, meaning in 95.00% of the races there are Democratic and Republican candidates.
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