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Election results, 2020: State trifectas and the 2020 presidential vote

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2020 state-level election analysis

Statewide analysis
State government trifectas
Trifecta vulnerability
Presidential election results by trifecta status
State government triplexes
Officials seeking other offices
Incumbent win rates
Noteworthy third party candidates

State legislatures
Annual Competitiveness Report
Battleground chambers
Open seatsIncumbents defeated
Close racesFlipped seats
Supermajorities and gubernatorial conflict

State executives
Annual Competitiveness Report
Partisan balance of governors
Impact of term limits
Gubernatorial and presidential split-ticket states
Gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections
Battleground polls

Other 2020 analysis
Federal election analysis
Local election analysis

Updated February 16, 2021.

After the 2020 elections, Republicans had 23 trifectas (a net gain of two), Democrats had 15 trifectas, and 12 states had divided governments (a net loss of two). A trifecta occurs when one political party holds the governorship and majorities in both chambers of the state legislature.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Joe Biden (D) won the statewide vote in all 15 Democratic trifecta states. In Maine, which splits its electoral votes among congressional districts, President Donald Trump (R) won the 2nd District's electoral vote while Biden won the statewide and 1st District votes.
  • Trump won 20 Republican trifecta states and Biden won three. In Nebraska, which also splits its electoral votes statewide, Biden won the 2nd District's electoral vote while Trump won the statewide, 1st District, and 3rd District votes.
  • Biden won seven states with divided government, and Trump won five.
  • On this page, you will find:

    Overview

    New trifectas after the 2020 elections

    Republicans gained trifectas in Montana and New Hampshire, which both had divided government heading into the election. Biden won New Hampshire, which gained a Republican trifecta when Republicans won majorities in the state legislature. Trump won Montana, which gained a Republican trifecta when Greg Gianforte (R) won the governorship.

    Besides New Hampshire, Biden also carried the Republican trifecta states of Arizona and Georgia. Republicans have had a trifecta in Arizona since 2009 and in Georgia since 2005. Both Maine and Nebraska also allocated some of their electoral votes to candidates not matching their trifecta's party. Trump won Maine's 2nd Congressional District and Biden won Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District.

    Presidential state wins by trifecta type in 2020 and 2016

    Biden won three states Donald Trump (R) won in 2016 that have divided governments. Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania all went to Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020. All three states have Democratic governors and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. All three states previously had Republican trifectas; Michigan's and Wisconsin's were broken in the 2018 elections, while Pennsylvania's was broken in the 2014 election.

    Joe Biden won four states with divided government that Hillary Clinton (D) also won in 2016: Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, and Vermont. In Minnesota, Democrats control the governorship and a majority in the state House while Republicans have a majority in the state Senate. The other three states have Republican governors and Democratic state legislatures.

    Trump won five divided government states that he also won in 2016: Alaska, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, and North Carolina. Except for Alaska, these states all gained divided trifecta status after electing Democratic governors. Louisiana elected a Democratic governor in 2015, followed by North Carolina in 2016, Kansas in 2018, and Kentucky in 2019.

    Below are tables showing state trifecta information for Democratic trifecta, Republican trifecta, and divided government states organized by 2020 presidential result.

    For more information about historical and potential changes in trifectas, click here.

    Trifecta status and presidential election results by state

    The table below lists the trifecta status for each state, along with their 2020 presidential election results and most recent gubernatorial election results.

    State trifectas and the 2020 presidential vote
    State Trifecta status Last trifecta status change 2020 presidential vote margin Most recent gubernatorial vote margin
    Alabama Republican trifecta 2011 R+10 R+19.1
    Alaska Divided government 2015 R+17.8 R+7
    Arizona Republican trifecta 2009 D+0.3 R+14.2
    Arkansas Republican trifecta 2015 R+27.6 R+33.5
    California Democratic trifecta 2011 D+29.2 D+23.8
    Colorado Democratic trifecta 2019 D+13.5 D+10.6
    Connecticut Democratic trifecta 2011 D+20 D+3.2
    Delaware Democratic trifecta 2009 D+18.9 D+20.9
    Florida Republican trifecta 2011 R+3.3 R+0.4
    Georgia Republican trifecta 2005 D+0.2 R+1.4
    Hawaii Democratic trifecta 2011 D+29.4 D+29
    Idaho Republican trifecta 1995 R+30.7 R+21.6
    Illinois Democratic trifecta 2019 D+17 D+15.7
    Indiana Republican trifecta 2011 R+16 R+28.6
    Iowa Republican trifecta 2017 R+8.2 R+2.8
    Kansas Divided government 2019 R+14.6 D+5
    Kentucky Divided government 2019 R+25.9 D+0.4
    Louisiana Divided government 2016 R+18.6 D+2.6
    Maine Democratic trifecta 2019 D+9.1 D+7.7
    Maryland Divided government 2015 D+33.2 R+11.9
    Massachusetts Divided government 2015 D+33.5 R+32.5
    Michigan Divided government 2019 D+2.8 D+9.6
    Minnesota Divided government 2015 D+7.1 D+11.4
    Mississippi Republican trifecta 2012 R+16.5 R+5.1
    Missouri Republican trifecta 2017 R+15.4 R+24.9
    Montana Republican trifecta 2021 R+16.4 R+12.8
    Nebraska Republican trifecta 1999 R+19.1 R+18
    Nevada Democratic trifecta 2019 D+2.4 D+4.1
    New Hampshire Republican trifecta 2021 D+7.3 R+7
    New Jersey Democratic trifecta 2018 D+15.9 D+13.4
    New Mexico Democratic trifecta 2019 D+10.8 D+14.4
    New York Democratic trifecta 2019 D+23.1 D+23.3
    North Carolina Divided government 2017 R+1.3 D+4.5
    North Dakota Republican trifecta 1995 R+33.3 R+40.5
    Ohio Republican trifecta 2011 R+8.1 R+3.7
    Oklahoma Republican trifecta 2011 R+33.1 R+12.1
    Oregon Democratic trifecta 2013 D+16.1 D+6.4
    Pennsylvania Divided government 2015 D+1.2 D+17.1
    Rhode Island Democratic trifecta 2013 D+20.8 D+15.4
    South Carolina Republican trifecta 2003 R+11.7 R+8.1
    South Dakota Republican trifecta 2003 R+26.2 R+3.4
    Tennessee Republican trifecta 2011 R+23.2 R+21
    Texas Republican trifecta 2003 R+5.6 R+13.3
    Utah Republican trifecta 1985 R+20.5 R+33.3
    Vermont Divided government 2017 D+35.1 R+41.1
    Virginia Democratic trifecta 2020 D+10.1 D+8.9
    Washington Democratic trifecta 2017 D+19.2 D+18.9
    West Virginia Republican trifecta 2017 R+38.9 R+33.8
    Wisconsin Divided government 2019 D+0.6 D+1.1
    Wyoming Republican trifecta 2011 R+43.1 R+39.6

    Democratic trifectas after 2020

    Republican trifectas after 2020

    Divided governments after 2020

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. Democrats gained full control of the state Senate after a special election on November 7, 2017.
    2. Gov. Jim Justice switched his registration to Republican on August 4, 2017.