Help us improve in just 2 minutes—share your thoughts in our reader survey.
U.S. House battlegrounds, 2020
← 2018
2022 →
|
November 3, 2020 |
Last updated: January 26, 2021
Elections for all 435 U.S. House seats took place in 2020. Democrats lost seats but maintained their majority, winning 222 seats to Republicans' 213.
Ballotpedia identified 41 of the 435 House races (9.4%) as battlegrounds. Of the 41 seats, 20 had Democratic incumbents, 20 had Republican incumbents, and one had a Libertarian incumbent.
These battleground districts were selected by examining the 2018 winner's margin of victory, the results of the 2016 presidential election in the district, whether the incumbent was seeking re-election, and whether the incumbent was serving his or her first term in Congress. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales were also considered. For more information on our methodology, click here.
Races may also be identified as battleground races for other compelling or meaningful reasons, such as significant levels of satellite spending or influencer endorsements, coinciding with a change in district lines, or their potential impact on intraparty divisions.
At the time of the election, Democrats had a 232-197 advantage over Republicans. There was one Libertarian member, and there were five vacancies. The following are some factors that could influence the outcome of the 2020 House elections:
- The party of an incumbent president tends to perform similarly to that president on the ballot. Since 1920, 15 elections have taken place where an incumbent president sought re-election. Eleven of those elections resulted in the incumbent president winning, with all but Dwight Eisenhower's (R) re-election in 1956 also resulting in the president's party gaining seats in the House. In three of the four elections where the incumbent was defeated, all but George H.W. Bush’s (R) 1992 loss also resulted in the president's party losing seats in the House.
- Regardless of whether the president seeks re-election, a president's party that loses seats during the president's first midterm tends to gain seats in the following election. Between 1918 and 2016, 14 out of 16 presidents saw their party lose seats in the House during their first midterm. In nine of those cases (64%), the president's party went on to gain seats in the following election. Excluding the two presidents who gained seats in their first midterm, the president's party lost an average of 35 seats in the first midterm and gained an average of five seats in the following election.
- As of September 2025, there were more open seats in districts held by Republicans than by Democrats. So far, 26 Republicans, nine Democrats, and one Libertarian did not seek re-election in 2020. Historically, open seats are more likely to flip than those where an incumbent is running for re-election.
In 2018, Ballotpedia identified 82 U.S. House battleground races: 73 Republican seats and nine Democratic seats. Democrats won 43 of the Republican-held seats, and Republicans won three of the Democratic-held seats. Fifty-seven (79 percent) of the battleground races in 2020 were also considered battleground races in 2018. To read more about the 2018 battleground races, click here.
Battleground list
The following map displays the 2020 House battlegrounds shaded by the incumbent's or most recent incumbent's political affiliation. Hover over a state for more information.
Incumbents defeated
This section tracked incumbents defeated in 2020.
Incumbents defeated in the general election
The following table lists incumbents defeated in the 2020 general election for U.S. House.
Incumbents defeated in primary elections
The following table lists incumbents defeated in 2020 House primary elections or conventions.
Incumbents defeated in primaries | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Primary election/convention winner | ||||
Illinois' 3rd | ![]() |
![]() | ||||
Iowa's 4th | ![]() |
![]() | ||||
Virginia's 5th | ![]() |
![]() | ||||
New York's 16th | ![]() |
![]() | ||||
Colorado's 3rd | ![]() |
![]() | ||||
Kansas' 2nd | ![]() |
![]() | ||||
Missouri's 1st | ![]() |
![]() | ||||
Florida's 15th | ![]() |
![]() |
Historical context
In the 2018 midterm elections, 378 U.S. House incumbents ran for re-election. This was the lowest number of U.S. House incumbents seeking re-election since 1992.
Thirty-four incumbents—9 percent—lost their re-election bids. That included two Democrats and 32 Republicans. This was the highest percentage of incumbents defeated since 2012, when 10.2 percent were not re-elected.
The following data for congressional re-election rates from 2000 to 2016 was reported in Vital Statistics, a joint research project of the Brookings Institution and the American Enterprise Institute. Find the original datasets and methodology here. Data for the 2018 election came from Ballotpedia.
Defeated U.S. House incumbents by party, 2000-2020 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Democratic incumbents lost | Republican incumbents lost | Total | |||
2020 | 16 | 5 | 21 | |||
2018 | 2 | 32 | 34 | |||
2016 | 3 | 9 | 12 | |||
2014 | 12 | 6 | 18 | |||
2012 | 10 | 17 | 27 | |||
2010 | 54 | 4 | 58 | |||
2008 | 6 | 17 | 23 | |||
2006 | 0 | 22 | 22 | |||
2004 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
2002 | 12 | 5 | 17 | |||
2000 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
U.S. House incumbents retired, defeated, or reelected, 2000-2020 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Not seeking re-election | Total seeking re-election | Defeated in primaries | Defeated in general election | Total re-elected | Percentage of those seeking re-election |
2020 | 36 | 394 | 8 | 13 | 373 | 94.7 |
2018 | 52 | 378 | 4 | 30 | 345 | 91.2 |
2016 | 41 | 392 | 4 | 8 | 380 | 96.9 |
2014 | 24 | 392 | 5 | 13 | 374 | 95.4 |
2012 | 25 | 391 | 13 | 27 | 351 | 89.8 |
2010 | 32 | 397 | 4 | 54 | 339 | 85.4 |
2008 | 25 | 400 | 4 | 18 | 377 | 94.3 |
2006 | 28 | 403 | 2 | 22 | 379 | 94.0 |
2004 | 29 | 404 | 2 | 7 | 395 | 97.8 |
2002 | 35 | 398 | 8 | 8 | 383 | 96.2 |
2000 | 30 | 403 | 3 | 6 | 394 | 97.8 |
Race ratings
The following table compares the most recent race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. The following table compared U.S. House race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections prior to the November 2020 elections.
Presidential data
The following statistics were compiled using the Daily Kos' presidential results by congressional district data. These trends can be used as an indicator of expected competitive districts in the 2020 elections.[1]
Democrats won House seats in 2018 in 31 districts that Donald Trump (R) carried in 2016.
U.S. House districts won by Democrat in 2018 and Donald Trump in 2016 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2018 winner | 2018 margin | 2016 presidential margin[2] | 2012 presidential margin[2] | ||
Arizona's 1st | ![]() |
D+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 | ||
Georgia's 6th | ![]() |
D+1.0 | Trump+1.5 | Romney+23.3 | ||
Illinois' 14th | ![]() |
D+5.0 | Trump+3.9 | Romney+10 | ||
Illinois' 17th | ![]() |
D+24.2 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17 | ||
Iowa's 1st | ![]() |
D+5.1 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+13.7 | ||
Iowa's 2nd | ![]() |
D+12.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 | ||
Iowa's 3rd | ![]() |
D+2.2 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+4.2 | ||
Maine's 2nd | ![]() |
D+1.3 | Trump+10.3 | Obama+8.6 | ||
Michigan's 8th | ![]() |
D+3.8 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+3.1 | ||
Michigan's 11th | ![]() |
D+6.7 | Trump+4.4 | Romney+5.4 | ||
Minnesota's 2nd | ![]() |
D+5.5 | Trump+1.2 | Obama+0.1 | ||
Minnesota's 7th | ![]() |
D+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 | ||
Nevada's 3rd | ![]() |
D+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 | ||
New Hampshire's 1st | ![]() |
D+8.6 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 | ||
New Jersey's 2nd | ![]() |
D+7.7 | Trump+4.6 | Obama+8.1 | ||
New Jersey's 3rd | ![]() |
D+1.3 | Trump+6.2 | Obama+4.6 | ||
New Jersey's 5th | ![]() |
D+13.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.0 | ||
New Jersey's 11th | ![]() |
D+14.6 | Trump+0.9 | Romney+5.8 | ||
New Mexico's 2nd | ![]() |
D+1.9 | Trump+10.2 | Romney+6.8 | ||
New York's 11th | ![]() |
D+6.5 | Trump+9.8 | Obama+4.3 | ||
New York's 18th | ![]() |
D+10.9 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 | ||
New York's 19th | ![]() |
D+5.2 | Trump+6.8 | Obama+6.2 | ||
New York's 22nd | ![]() |
D+1.8 | Trump+15.5 | Romney+0.4 | ||
Oklahoma's 5th | ![]() |
D+1.4 | Trump+13.4 | Romney+18.4 | ||
Pennsylvania's 8th | ![]() |
D+9.3 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 | ||
Pennsylvania's 17th | ![]() |
D+12.5 | Trump+2.6 | Romney+4.5 | ||
South Carolina's 1st | ![]() |
D+1.4 | Trump+13.1 | Romney+18.1 | ||
Utah's 4th | ![]() |
D+0.3 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+37.0 | ||
Virginia's 2nd | ![]() |
D+2.2 | Trump+3.4 | Romney+2.3 | ||
Virginia's 7th | ![]() |
D+1.9 | Trump+6.5 | Romney+10.5 | ||
Wisconsin's 3rd | ![]() |
D+19.3 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11 |
The table below displays the presidential election results in each of the 435 Congressional districts in 2020. Click [show] to view the full list.[4]
2020 election results by Congressional district, U.S. House and presidential | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2020 U.S. House result | 2020 presidential result | ||
Democratic candidate | Republican candidate | Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
AK-AL | 0 | 54.4 | 43.0 | 53.1 |
AL-01 | 35.5 | 64.4 | 35.3 | 63.7 |
AL-02 | 34.7 | 65.2 | 35.1 | 63.9 |
AL-03 | 32.5 | 67.5 | 33.7 | 65.3 |
AL-04 | 17.7 | 82.2 | 17.8 | 81.2 |
AL-05 | 0 | 95.8 | 35.7 | 62.7 |
AL-06 | 0 | 97.1 | 31.8 | 67.0 |
AL-07 | 97.2 | 0 | 70.8 | 28.5 |
AR-01 | 0 | 100 | 27.9 | 69.1 |
AR-02 | 44.6 | 55.4 | 44.3 | 53.1 |
AR-03 | 31.8 | 64.3 | 35.2 | 61.9 |
AR-04 | 27.5 | 69.7 | 29.6 | 67.7 |
AZ-01 | 51.6 | 48.4 | 50.1 | 48.4 |
AZ-02 | 55.1 | 44.9 | 54.5 | 43.9 |
AZ-03 | 64.6 | 35.4 | 62.8 | 35.7 |
AZ-04 | 30.2 | 69.7 | 30.6 | 68.0 |
AZ-05 | 41.1 | 58.9 | 41.9 | 56.5 |
AZ-06 | 47.8 | 52.2 | 47.3 | 51.4 |
AZ-07 | 76.7 | 23.3 | 73.7 | 24.7 |
AZ-08 | 40.4 | 59.6 | 41.4 | 57.3 |
AZ-09 | 61.6 | 38.4 | 60.8 | 37.3 |
CA-01 | 43 | 57 | 41.1 | 56.4 |
CA-02 | 75.7 | 24.3 | 73.7 | 23.9 |
CA-03 | 54.7 | 45.3 | 54.9 | 42.7 |
CA-04 | 44.1 | 55.9 | 44.0 | 53.7 |
CA-05 | 76.1 | 23.9 | 72.5 | 25.3 |
CA-06 | 73.3 | 26.7 | 70.3 | 27.2 |
CA-07 | 56.6 | 43.4 | 55.7 | 41.9 |
CA-08 | 43.9 | 56.1 | 43.6 | 54.1 |
CA-09 | 57.6 | 42.4 | 57.9 | 39.9 |
CA-10 | 55.2 | 44.8 | 50.3 | 47.4 |
CA-11 | 73 | 27 | 74.3 | 23.6 |
CA-12 | 77.6 | 0 | 86.1 | 11.9 |
CA-13 | 90.4 | 9.6 | 88.9 | 9.0 |
CA-14 | 79.3 | 20.7 | 77.7 | 20.5 |
CA-15 | 70.9 | 29.1 | 71.5 | 26.4 |
CA-16 | 59.4 | 40.6 | 58.8 | 38.9 |
CA-17 | 71.3 | 28.7 | 72.5 | 25.6 |
CA-18 | 63.2 | 0 | 76.4 | 21.3 |
CA-19 | 71.7 | 28.3 | 70.0 | 27.9 |
CA-20 | 76.8 | 23.2 | 72.7 | 25.0 |
CA-21 | 49.6 | 50.4 | 54.4 | 43.5 |
CA-22 | 45.8 | 54.2 | 46.2 | 51.7 |
CA-23 | 37.9 | 62.1 | 40.5 | 57.1 |
CA-24 | 58.7 | 41.3 | 60.7 | 36.9 |
CA-25 | 50 | 50 | 54.0 | 43.9 |
CA-26 | 60.6 | 39.4 | 61.4 | 36.5 |
CA-27 | 69.8 | 30.2 | 67.2 | 30.8 |
CA-28 | 72.7 | 27.3 | 70.9 | 27.2 |
CA-29 | 56.6 | 0 | 74.1 | 23.7 |
CA-30 | 69.5 | 30.5 | 68.7 | 29.4 |
CA-31 | 61.3 | 38.7 | 58.8 | 38.9 |
CA-32 | 66.6 | 33.4 | 65.2 | 32.8 |
CA-33 | 67.6 | 32.4 | 69.0 | 29.0 |
CA-34 | 53 | 0 | 80.8 | 16.9 |
CA-35 | 69.3 | 30.7 | 65.1 | 32.6 |
CA-36 | 60.3 | 39.7 | 55.9 | 42.3 |
CA-37 | 85.9 | 14.1 | 84.3 | 13.8 |
CA-38 | 74.3 | 0 | 65.6 | 32.3 |
CA-39 | 49.4 | 50.6 | 54.1 | 44.0 |
CA-40 | 72.7 | 27.3 | 77.1 | 20.6 |
CA-41 | 64 | 36 | 61.7 | 36.1 |
CA-42 | 42.9 | 57.1 | 45.4 | 52.7 |
CA-43 | 71.7 | 28.3 | 76.9 | 20.9 |
CA-44 | 67.8 | 0 | 78.4 | 19.2 |
CA-45 | 53.5 | 46.5 | 54.6 | 43.3 |
CA-46 | 68.8 | 31.2 | 64.3 | 33.5 |
CA-47 | 63.3 | 36.7 | 62.5 | 35.3 |
CA-48 | 48.9 | 51.1 | 49.7 | 48.3 |
CA-49 | 53.1 | 46.9 | 55.2 | 42.5 |
CA-50 | 46 | 54 | 45.0 | 52.7 |
CA-51 | 68.3 | 31.7 | 66.9 | 30.9 |
CA-52 | 61.6 | 38.4 | 63.4 | 34.2 |
CA-53 | 59.5 | 0 | 67.0 | 30.9 |
CO-01 | 73.6 | 23.5 | 75.6 | 22.1 |
CO-02 | 61.5 | 35.4 | 63.7 | 33.6 |
CO-03 | 45.2 | 51.4 | 46.1 | 51.6 |
CO-04 | 36.6 | 60.1 | 40.8 | 56.6 |
CO-05 | 37.4 | 57.6 | 41.8 | 54.7 |
CO-06 | 57.1 | 40 | 58.2 | 39.3 |
CO-07 | 59.1 | 37.6 | 60.0 | 37.1 |
CT-01 | 63.8 | 35 | 63.3 | 35.3 |
CT-02 | 59.4 | 38.2 | 54.5 | 43.5 |
CT-03 | 58.7 | 39.8 | 59.9 | 38.8 |
CT-04 | 62.2 | 36.3 | 64.2 | 34.5 |
CT-05 | 55.1 | 43.5 | 54.6 | 43.9 |
DE-AL | 57.6 | 40.2 | 58.8 | 39.8 |
FL-01 | 34 | 64.6 | 32.4 | 65.9 |
FL-02 | 0 | 97.9 | 32.0 | 67.0 |
FL-03 | 42.9 | 57.1 | 42.8 | 56.0 |
FL-04 | 38.9 | 61.1 | 38.9 | 59.9 |
FL-05 | 65.1 | 34.9 | 62.7 | 36.2 |
FL-06 | 39.4 | 60.6 | 40.8 | 58.3 |
FL-07 | 55.3 | 43.2 | 54.6 | 44.2 |
FL-08 | 38.6 | 61.4 | 40.6 | 58.3 |
FL-09 | 56 | 44 | 53.0 | 46.1 |
FL-10 | 63.6 | 36.4 | 62.0 | 37.0 |
FL-11 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 33.8 | 65.4 |
FL-12 | 37.1 | 62.9 | 41.0 | 57.9 |
FL-13 | 53 | 47 | 51.5 | 47.4 |
FL-14 | 60.3 | 39.7 | 57.2 | 41.6 |
FL-15 | 44.6 | 55.4 | 45.2 | 53.7 |
FL-16 | 44.5 | 55.5 | 45.5 | 53.6 |
FL-17 | 34.1 | 64.6 | 35.9 | 63.3 |
FL-18 | 41.5 | 56.3 | 45.5 | 53.9 |
FL-19 | 38.7 | 61.3 | 39.6 | 59.7 |
FL-20 | 78.7 | 21.3 | 77.3 | 22.1 |
FL-21 | 59 | 39.1 | 58.2 | 41.2 |
FL-22 | 58.6 | 41.4 | 57.2 | 42.3 |
FL-23 | 58.2 | 41.8 | 58.3 | 41.2 |
FL-24 | 75.6 | 20.4 | 75.4 | 24.0 |
FL-25 | 0 | 100 | 38.2 | 61.2 |
FL-26 | 48.3 | 51.7 | 46.9 | 52.5 |
FL-27 | 48.6 | 51.4 | 51.3 | 48.1 |
GA-01 | 41.7 | 58.3 | 43.1 | 55.5 |
GA-02 | 59.1 | 40.9 | 55.7 | 43.4 |
GA-03 | 35 | 65 | 36.8 | 62.0 |
GA-04 | 80.1 | 19.9 | 78.8 | 20.2 |
GA-05 | 85.1 | 14.9 | 86.2 | 12.7 |
GA-06 | 54.6 | 45.4 | 54.8 | 43.7 |
GA-07 | 51.4 | 48.6 | 52.4 | 46.1 |
GA-08 | 35.5 | 64.5 | 37.0 | 62.0 |
GA-09 | 21.4 | 78.6 | 22.4 | 76.4 |
GA-10 | 37.7 | 62.3 | 39.2 | 59.6 |
GA-11 | 39.6 | 60.4 | 41.5 | 56.9 |
GA-12 | 41.6 | 58.4 | 43.0 | 55.8 |
GA-13 | 77.4 | 22.6 | 75.6 | 23.4 |
GA-14 | 25.3 | 74.7 | 25.3 | 73.4 |
HI-01 | 72 | 28 | 63.8 | 34.5 |
HI-02 | 63 | 30.9 | 63.6 | 34.1 |
IA-01 | 48.6 | 51.2 | 47.4 | 50.8 |
IA-02 | 49.9 | 49.9 | 47.1 | 51.1 |
IA-03 | 48.9 | 47.5 | 49.0 | 49.2 |
IA-04 | 37.8 | 62 | 35.7 | 62.7 |
ID-01 | 28.6 | 67.8 | 30.1 | 67.1 |
ID-02 | 31.7 | 64.1 | 36.6 | 60.1 |
IL-01 | 73.8 | 26.2 | 73.9 | 24.7 |
IL-02 | 78.8 | 21.2 | 77.5 | 21.2 |
IL-03 | 56.4 | 43.6 | 55.5 | 42.9 |
IL-04 | 84.1 | 15.9 | 80.7 | 17.3 |
IL-05 | 70.8 | 26.6 | 72.1 | 26.0 |
IL-06 | 52.8 | 45.4 | 55.3 | 42.6 |
IL-07 | 80.4 | 13.3 | 86.3 | 12.1 |
IL-08 | 73.2 | 0 | 59.2 | 39.0 |
IL-09 | 71 | 29 | 71.0 | 27.4 |
IL-10 | 63.9 | 36.1 | 64.3 | 34.0 |
IL-11 | 63.3 | 36.7 | 61.9 | 36.2 |
IL-12 | 39.6 | 60.4 | 41.9 | 56.1 |
IL-13 | 45.5 | 54.5 | 47.0 | 50.5 |
IL-14 | 50.7 | 49.3 | 50.2 | 47.8 |
IL-15 | 26.6 | 73.4 | 25.9 | 72.2 |
IL-16 | 35.3 | 64.7 | 40.9 | 56.9 |
IL-17 | 52 | 48 | 48.1 | 49.7 |
IL-18 | 29.6 | 70.4 | 36.8 | 61.0 |
IN-01 | 56.6 | 40.4 | 53.6 | 44.8 |
IN-02 | 38.5 | 61.5 | 38.9 | 59.4 |
IN-03 | 32.2 | 67.8 | 34.0 | 63.9 |
IN-04 | 33.4 | 66.6 | 34.0 | 63.8 |
IN-05 | 45.9 | 50 | 47.9 | 50.1 |
IN-06 | 27.8 | 68.7 | 29.1 | 68.8 |
IN-07 | 62.4 | 37.6 | 62.9 | 35.3 |
IN-08 | 29.8 | 66.9 | 33.1 | 65.1 |
IN-09 | 34.8 | 60.9 | 37.2 | 60.8 |
KS-01 | 28.8 | 71.2 | 28.1 | 69.7 |
KS-02 | 40.6 | 55.1 | 41.3 | 56.3 |
KS-03 | 53.6 | 43.6 | 54.3 | 43.7 |
KS-04 | 36.3 | 63.7 | 38.0 | 59.7 |
KY-01 | 25 | 75 | 25.5 | 73.1 |
KY-02 | 26.3 | 71 | 30.6 | 67.6 |
KY-03 | 62.7 | 37.3 | 60.0 | 38.1 |
KY-04 | 32.9 | 67.1 | 33.4 | 64.8 |
KY-05 | 15.8 | 84.2 | 18.6 | 80.2 |
KY-06 | 41 | 57.3 | 44.5 | 53.6 |
LA-01 | 25.3 | 72.2 | 30.1 | 68.0 |
LA-02 | 74.2 | 19.9 | 75.3 | 23.0 |
LA-03 | 29.5 | 67.8 | 30.2 | 68.1 |
LA-04 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 37.0 | 61.5 |
LA-05 | 0 | 100 | 34.1 | 64.5 |
LA-06 | 25.5 | 71 | 34.4 | 63.8 |
MA-01 | 96.5 | 0 | 61.1 | 36.9 |
MA-02 | 65.3 | 34.6 | 61.8 | 36.0 |
MA-03 | 97.7 | 0 | 63.4 | 34.6 |
MA-04 | 60.8 | 38.9 | 64.5 | 33.7 |
MA-05 | 74.3 | 25.6 | 74.5 | 23.9 |
MA-06 | 65.4 | 34.4 | 62.6 | 35.6 |
MA-07 | 86.6 | 0 | 85.3 | 13.3 |
MA-08 | 80.7 | 0 | 66.2 | 32.2 |
MA-09 | 61.3 | 36.3 | 57.9 | 40.3 |
MD-01 | 36.4 | 63.4 | 39.1 | 58.8 |
MD-02 | 67.7 | 32 | 65.8 | 32.4 |
MD-03 | 69.8 | 30 | 68.7 | 29.4 |
MD-04 | 79.6 | 20.2 | 79.1 | 19.2 |
MD-05 | 68.8 | 31 | 68.6 | 29.7 |
MD-06 | 58.8 | 39.2 | 60.6 | 37.5 |
MD-07 | 71.6 | 28 | 78.4 | 20.0 |
MD-08 | 68.2 | 31.6 | 69.3 | 28.9 |
ME-01 | 62.2 | 37.8 | 60.1 | 37.0 |
ME-02 | 53 | 47 | 44.8 | 52.3 |
MI-01 | 36.8 | 61.6 | 40.6 | 57.9 |
MI-02 | 38.2 | 59.2 | 43.2 | 55.0 |
MI-03 | 47 | 53 | 47.4 | 50.6 |
MI-04 | 32.4 | 65 | 37.1 | 61.2 |
MI-05 | 54.5 | 41.8 | 51.4 | 47.1 |
MI-06 | 40.1 | 55.8 | 46.8 | 51.3 |
MI-07 | 41.2 | 58.8 | 41.4 | 56.9 |
MI-08 | 50.9 | 47.3 | 48.8 | 49.6 |
MI-09 | 57.7 | 38.4 | 55.9 | 42.7 |
MI-10 | 33.7 | 66.3 | 34.4 | 64.2 |
MI-11 | 50.2 | 47.8 | 51.6 | 47.1 |
MI-12 | 66.4 | 30.7 | 64.2 | 34.4 |
MI-13 | 78.1 | 18.6 | 78.8 | 20.0 |
MI-14 | 79.3 | 18.3 | 79.5 | 19.5 |
MN-01 | 45.5 | 48.6 | 43.9 | 54.0 |
MN-02 | 48.2 | 45.9 | 52.4 | 45.5 |
MN-03 | 55.6 | 44.3 | 58.7 | 39.4 |
MN-04 | 63.2 | 29 | 67.6 | 30.5 |
MN-05 | 64.3 | 25.8 | 80.3 | 17.7 |
MN-06 | 34.2 | 65.7 | 38.8 | 59.0 |
MN-07 | 39.8 | 53.4 | 34.4 | 63.8 |
MN-08 | 37.6 | 56.8 | 41.7 | 56.3 |
MO-01 | 78.8 | 19 | 80.3 | 18.1 |
MO-02 | 45.5 | 51.9 | 49.2 | 49.2 |
MO-03 | 28.5 | 69.4 | 31.3 | 66.9 |
MO-04 | 29.7 | 67.6 | 31.9 | 66.0 |
MO-05 | 58.8 | 38.6 | 58.4 | 39.6 |
MO-06 | 30.8 | 67.1 | 35.0 | 63.3 |
MO-07 | 26.6 | 68.9 | 28.1 | 70.0 |
MO-08 | 21.4 | 76.9 | 21.4 | 77.3 |
MS-01 | 31.3 | 68.7 | 33.8 | 64.8 |
MS-02 | 66 | 34 | 63.7 | 35.2 |
MS-03 | 35.3 | 64.7 | 38.6 | 60.1 |
MS-04 | 0 | 100 | 30.3 | 68.3 |
MT-AL | 43.6 | 56.4 | 40.6 | 56.9 |
NC-01 | 31.1 | 68.9 | 53.9 | 45.3 |
NC-02 | 42.3 | 54.5 | 64.3 | 34.0 |
NC-03 | 100 | 0 | 37.7 | 60.9 |
NC-04 | 31.8 | 68.2 | 66.6 | 32.2 |
NC-05 | 54.2 | 45.8 | 31.6 | 67.4 |
NC-06 | 63 | 34.8 | 61.6 | 37.2 |
NC-07 | 36.6 | 63.4 | 40.7 | 58.1 |
NC-08 | 67.3 | 32.7 | 46.1 | 52.5 |
NC-09 | 31.1 | 66.9 | 45.5 | 53.4 |
NC-10 | 62.3 | 37.7 | 31.2 | 67.7 |
NC-11 | 39.6 | 60.2 | 43.3 | 55.4 |
NC-12 | 46.7 | 53.3 | 70.1 | 28.5 |
NC-13 | 44.4 | 55.6 | 31.8 | 67.1 |
ND-AL | 27.6 | 69 | 31.9 | 65.5 |
NE-01 | 37.7 | 59.5 | 41.3 | 56.3 |
NE-02 | 46.2 | 50.8 | 52.3 | 45.7 |
NE-03 | 17.7 | 78.5 | 22.4 | 75.6 |
NH-01 | 51.3 | 46.2 | 52.2 | 46.2 |
NH-02 | 53.9 | 43.7 | 53.5 | 44.8 |
NJ-01 | 62.5 | 37.5 | 62.1 | 36.6 |
NJ-02 | 46.2 | 51.9 | 47.9 | 50.8 |
NJ-03 | 53.2 | 45.5 | 49.2 | 49.4 |
NJ-04 | 38.3 | 59.9 | 44.1 | 54.6 |
NJ-05 | 53.2 | 45.6 | 51.9 | 46.7 |
NJ-06 | 61.2 | 38.8 | 57.2 | 41.5 |
NJ-07 | 50.6 | 49.4 | 54.2 | 44.3 |
NJ-08 | 74 | 24.6 | 73.1 | 25.9 |
NJ-09 | 65.8 | 31.9 | 62.2 | 36.8 |
NJ-10 | 83.3 | 13.9 | 82.8 | 16.4 |
NJ-11 | 53.3 | 46.7 | 52.9 | 45.8 |
NJ-12 | 65.6 | 32.6 | 67.3 | 31.4 |
NM-01 | 58.2 | 41.8 | 60.2 | 37.4 |
NM-02 | 46.3 | 53.7 | 43.1 | 54.9 |
NM-03 | 58.7 | 41.3 | 57.7 | 40.1 |
NV-01 | 63.8 | 33.4 | 61.5 | 36.4 |
NV-02 | 40.7 | 56.5 | 43.6 | 53.6 |
NV-03 | 48.8 | 45.8 | 49.2 | 49.0 |
NV-04 | 50.7 | 45.8 | 50.9 | 47.0 |
NY-01 | 44.1 | 55.9 | 47.3 | 51.5 |
NY-02 | 46 | 52.9 | 47.4 | 51.4 |
NY-03 | 55.9 | 43.5 | 54.7 | 44.3 |
NY-04 | 56.1 | 43 | 55.6 | 43.4 |
NY-05 | 99.3 | 0 | 83.3 | 16.2 |
NY-06 | 67.9 | 32 | 61.8 | 37.4 |
NY-07 | 84.8 | 14.4 | 81.8 | 17.3 |
NY-08 | 84.8 | 15.2 | 82.9 | 16.5 |
NY-09 | 83 | 15.9 | 81.4 | 17.8 |
NY-10 | 74.5 | 24.1 | 76.1 | 22.9 |
NY-11 | 46.8 | 53.1 | 44.3 | 54.8 |
NY-12 | 62.1 | 16.4 | 84.1 | 14.8 |
NY-13 | 90.8 | 7.8 | 88.1 | 11.1 |
NY-14 | 71.6 | 27.4 | 73.3 | 25.9 |
NY-15 | 88.7 | 11.1 | 86.4 | 13.0 |
NY-16 | 84 | 0 | 75.3 | 23.8 |
NY-17 | 59.3 | 35.2 | 59.6 | 39.4 |
NY-18 | 55.8 | 43.2 | 51.8 | 46.8 |
NY-19 | 54.5 | 42.9 | 49.8 | 48.3 |
NY-20 | 61.1 | 38.8 | 59.3 | 38.7 |
NY-21 | 41.1 | 58.8 | 43.8 | 54.2 |
NY-22 | 48.8 | 48.8 | 43.2 | 54.7 |
NY-23 | 41.1 | 57.7 | 43.3 | 54.5 |
NY-24 | 43 | 53.1 | 53.4 | 44.4 |
NY-25 | 59.3 | 39.1 | 60.1 | 37.8 |
NY-26 | 69.8 | 28.7 | 62.6 | 35.6 |
NY-27 | 39 | 59.7 | 41.1 | 56.8 |
OH-01 | 44.6 | 51.8 | 47.7 | 50.9 |
OH-02 | 38.9 | 61.1 | 42.9 | 55.6 |
OH-03 | 70.8 | 29.1 | 70.0 | 28.4 |
OH-04 | 29.3 | 67.9 | 31.2 | 67.1 |
OH-05 | 32 | 68 | 36.7 | 61.6 |
OH-06 | 25.6 | 74.4 | 26.5 | 72.2 |
OH-07 | 29.2 | 67.5 | 33.2 | 65.3 |
OH-08 | 31 | 69 | 32.5 | 66.0 |
OH-09 | 63.1 | 36.9 | 58.8 | 39.7 |
OH-10 | 41.6 | 58.4 | 47.0 | 51.4 |
OH-11 | 80.1 | 19.9 | 79.8 | 19.2 |
OH-12 | 51.8 | 55.2 | 46.3 | 52.2 |
OH-13 | 52.5 | 44.9 | 51.0 | 47.6 |
OH-14 | 39.9 | 60.1 | 44.9 | 53.9 |
OH-15 | 36.6 | 63.4 | 42.2 | 56.3 |
OH-16 | 36.8 | 63.2 | 42.2 | 56.5 |
OK-01 | 32.7 | 63.7 | 37.3 | 60.1 |
OK-02 | 22 | 75 | 22.2 | 76.1 |
OK-03 | 21.5 | 78.5 | 23.2 | 74.6 |
OK-04 | 28.8 | 67.8 | 32.0 | 65.6 |
OK-05 | 47.9 | 52.1 | 46.0 | 51.4 |
OR-01 | 64.6 | 35.2 | 63.3 | 34.1 |
OR-02 | 36.9 | 59.9 | 42.1 | 55.6 |
OR-03 | 73 | 23.5 | 74.3 | 23.5 |
OR-04 | 51.5 | 46.2 | 50.7 | 46.7 |
OR-05 | 51.9 | 45.2 | 53.6 | 43.9 |
PA-01 | 43.4 | 56.6 | 52.4 | 46.6 |
PA-02 | 72.5 | 27.5 | 70.1 | 29.1 |
PA-03 | 91 | 9 | 91.3 | 8.1 |
PA-04 | 59.5 | 40.5 | 61.5 | 37.4 |
PA-05 | 64.7 | 35.3 | 65.1 | 34.0 |
PA-06 | 56.1 | 43.9 | 56.9 | 41.9 |
PA-07 | 51.9 | 48.1 | 51.8 | 47.0 |
PA-08 | 51.8 | 48.2 | 47.3 | 51.7 |
PA-09 | 33.7 | 66.3 | 34.1 | 64.5 |
PA-10 | 46.7 | 53.3 | 47.8 | 50.7 |
PA-11 | 36.9 | 63.1 | 38.3 | 60.2 |
PA-12 | 29.2 | 70.8 | 31.2 | 67.3 |
PA-13 | 26.5 | 73.5 | 27.2 | 71.6 |
PA-14 | 35.3 | 64.7 | 35.7 | 63.2 |
PA-15 | 26.5 | 73.5 | 27.5 | 71.2 |
PA-16 | 40.7 | 59.3 | 40.0 | 58.7 |
PA-17 | 51.1 | 48.9 | 50.7 | 48.0 |
PA-18 | 69.2 | 60.8 | 64.5 | 34.4 |
RI-01 | 70.8 | 0 | 63.9 | 34.6 |
RI-02 | 58.2 | 41.5 | 56.0 | 42.5 |
SC-01 | 49.3 | 50.6 | 46.1 | 52.1 |
SC-02 | 42.6 | 55.7 | 43.6 | 54.9 |
SC-03 | 28.7 | 71.2 | 30.5 | 68.1 |
SC-04 | 36.9 | 61.6 | 38.9 | 59.3 |
SC-05 | 39.9 | 60.1 | 41.0 | 57.6 |
SC-06 | 68.2 | 30.8 | 67.0 | 31.8 |
SC-07 | 38.1 | 61.8 | 40.2 | 58.8 |
SD-AL | 0 | 81 | 35.6 | 61.8 |
TN-01 | 22.5 | 74.7 | 22.1 | 76.2 |
TN-02 | 31.1 | 67.6 | 34.5 | 63.6 |
TN-03 | 30.5 | 67.3 | 32.9 | 65.3 |
TN-04 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 30.7 | 67.5 |
TN-05 | 100 | 0 | 60.3 | 36.7 |
TN-06 | 24 | 73.7 | 25.6 | 72.7 |
TN-07 | 27.3 | 69.9 | 31.3 | 66.9 |
TN-08 | 29.5 | 68.5 | 33.2 | 65.4 |
TN-09 | 77.4 | 20.1 | 78.5 | 19.9 |
TX-01 | 27.4 | 72.6 | 27.2 | 71.6 |
TX-02 | 42.8 | 55.6 | 48.6 | 49.9 |
TX-03 | 42.9 | 55.1 | 48.7 | 49.8 |
TX-04 | 22.6 | 75.1 | 24.4 | 74.4 |
TX-05 | 35.9 | 62 | 37.9 | 60.9 |
TX-06 | 44 | 52.8 | 47.8 | 50.8 |
TX-07 | 50.8 | 47.5 | 53.6 | 45.1 |
TX-08 | 25.5 | 72.5 | 28.1 | 70.6 |
TX-09 | 75.5 | 21.6 | 75.7 | 23.3 |
TX-10 | 45.3 | 52.5 | 48.4 | 50.0 |
TX-11 | 18.3 | 79.7 | 19.7 | 79.1 |
TX-12 | 33 | 63.7 | 37.9 | 60.5 |
TX-13 | 18.5 | 79.4 | 19.4 | 79.2 |
TX-14 | 38.4 | 61.6 | 39.6 | 59.0 |
TX-15 | 50.5 | 47.6 | 50.4 | 48.5 |
TX-16 | 64.7 | 35.3 | 66.4 | 32.0 |
TX-17 | 40.9 | 55.9 | 43.6 | 54.6 |
TX-18 | 73.3 | 23.5 | 75.7 | 23.0 |
TX-19 | 22.9 | 74.8 | 26.3 | 72.2 |
TX-20 | 64.7 | 33.1 | 63.7 | 34.7 |
TX-21 | 45.4 | 52 | 47.9 | 50.6 |
TX-22 | 44.6 | 51.5 | 48.9 | 49.8 |
TX-23 | 46.6 | 50.6 | 48.5 | 50.3 |
TX-24 | 47.5 | 48.8 | 51.9 | 46.5 |
TX-25 | 42.1 | 55.9 | 44.4 | 54.0 |
TX-26 | 37.3 | 60.6 | 42.1 | 56.3 |
TX-27 | 34.9 | 63.1 | 37.5 | 61.2 |
TX-28 | 58.3 | 39 | 51.6 | 47.2 |
TX-29 | 71.4 | 27.5 | 65.9 | 32.9 |
TX-30 | 77.5 | 18.4 | 79.8 | 18.9 |
TX-31 | 44.3 | 53.4 | 47.6 | 50.4 |
TX-32 | 51.9 | 45.9 | 54.4 | 44.0 |
TX-33 | 66.8 | 25.2 | 73.0 | 25.6 |
TX-34 | 55.4 | 41.8 | 51.5 | 47.5 |
TX-35 | 65.4 | 29.9 | 67.7 | 30.5 |
TX-36 | 24.3 | 73.6 | 26.9 | 71.9 |
UT-01 | 30.4 | 69.5 | 31.6 | 64.2 |
UT-02 | 36.6 | 59 | 40.2 | 56.1 |
UT-03 | 26.8 | 68.7 | 35.2 | 60.3 |
UT-04 | 46.7 | 47.7 | 43.3 | 52.4 |
VA-01 | 41.7 | 58.1 | 47.0 | 51.4 |
VA-02 | 51.6 | 45.8 | 51.4 | 46.7 |
VA-03 | 68.4 | 31.4 | 67.2 | 31.2 |
VA-04 | 61.6 | 38.2 | 61.8 | 36.8 |
VA-05 | 47.3 | 52.4 | 45.1 | 53.6 |
VA-06 | 35.3 | 64.6 | 38.6 | 59.8 |
VA-07 | 50.8 | 49 | 49.8 | 48.7 |
VA-08 | 75.8 | 24 | 77.6 | 21.1 |
VA-09 | 0 | 94 | 28.4 | 70.4 |
VA-10 | 56.5 | 43.4 | 58.9 | 39.6 |
VA-11 | 71.4 | 28.3 | 70.3 | 28.3 |
VT-AL | 67.3 | 27 | 66.4 | 30.8 |
WA-01 | 58.6 | 41.3 | 59.1 | 38.2 |
WA-02 | 63.1 | 36.7 | 62.1 | 35.1 |
WA-03 | 43.4 | 56.4 | 46.9 | 50.6 |
WA-04 | 33.6 | 66.2 | 39.6 | 57.8 |
WA-05 | 38.5 | 61.3 | 44.0 | 53.0 |
WA-06 | 59.3 | 40.5 | 57.4 | 39.6 |
WA-07 | 83 | 16.8 | 85.7 | 12.3 |
WA-08 | 51.7 | 48.1 | 52.0 | 45.5 |
WA-09 | 74.1 | 25.7 | 73.3 | 24.6 |
WA-10 | 84.9 | 0 | 56.2 | 40.7 |
WI-01 | 40.6 | 59.3 | 44.7 | 53.9 |
WI-02 | 69.7 | 30.3 | 69.4 | 29.2 |
WI-03 | 51.3 | 48.6 | 46.8 | 51.5 |
WI-04 | 74.6 | 22.7 | 76.2 | 22.6 |
WI-05 | 39.8 | 60.1 | 41.7 | 56.8 |
WI-06 | 40.7 | 59.2 | 41.6 | 56.8 |
WI-07 | 39.2 | 60.7 | 39.3 | 59.2 |
WI-08 | 35.8 | 64.2 | 41.3 | 57.2 |
WV-01 | 31 | 69 | 30.3 | 68.0 |
WV-02 | 36.9 | 63.1 | 32.8 | 65.4 |
WV-03 | 28.7 | 71.3 | 25.5 | 73.1 |
WY-AL | 24.6 | 68.6 | 26.7 | 70.4 |
Republicans won House seats in 2018 in three districts that Hillary Clinton (D) carried in 2016:
U.S. House districts won by Republican in 2018 and Hillary Clinton in 2016 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2018 winner | 2018 margin | 2016 presidential margin[2] | 2012 presidential margin[2] | ||
New York's 24th | ![]() |
R+6.3 | Clinton+3.6 | Obama+15.9 | ||
Pennsylvania's 1st | ![]() |
R+2.6 | Clinton+2.0 | Obama+1.6 | ||
Texas' 23rd | ![]() |
R+0.5 | Clinton+3.4 | Romney+2.6 |
There were 20 House districts that Barack Obama (D) won in 2008 and 2012 that were won by Trump in 2016. Of those, 14 were won by Democrats in 2018 and six by Republicans:
There were eight House districts that supported the Republican nominee in 2008 and 2012 (John McCain and Mitt Romney) that were won by Clinton in 2016. All were won by Democrats in 2018:
Targeted races
DCCC targets
This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would target in 2020.[5][6][7][8] Also included are the margins of victory for each seat in the 2018, 2016, and 2014 elections. Results are not included for elections which took place in Pennsylvania before the 2018 round of redistricting or in North Carolina before the 2019 round of redistricting.
Candidates participating in the Red to Blue program receive financial and organizational support. Participation in the program requires that a candidate meet certain fundraising and organizational goals. This chart lists each candidate that the DCCC announced it would support via the Red to Blue program in 2020.[9] Also included are the margins of victory for each district in the 2018, 2016, and 2014 elections. Results are not included for elections which took place before the 2016 redistricting in Florida, the 2018 redistricting in Pennsylvania, or the 2019 redistricting in North Carolina.
NRCC targets
The following table lists 55 Democratic-held seats the NRCC announced, on February 7, 2019, it would target in 2020.[10] Also included are the margins of victory for each district in the 2018, 2016, and 2014 elections. Elections which took place in Pennsylvania before the 2018 redistricting are not included.
Change log
This section lists every change that was made to our battleground list since we published the page in July 2019.
- October 4, 2020: Added two battleground districts to the list: Pennsylvania's 10th and Texas' 25th.
- September 23, 2020: Removed 20 battleground districts from the list: Alaska's At-Large District, Arizona's 1st, California's 39th, California's 48th, Colorado's 3rd, Florida's 15th, Kansas' 3rd, Montana's At-Large District, North Carolina's 8th, Nevada's 3rd, New Hampshire's 1st, New York's 1st, New York's 24th, Pennsylvania's 1st, Pennsylvania's 7th, Pennsylvania's 8th, Texas' 7th, Texas' 10th, Texas' 32nd, Washington's 3rd.
- September 11, 2020: Removed 23 battleground districts from the list: Arizona's 2nd, California's 10th, California's 22nd, California's 45th, California's 50th, California's 53rd, Florida's 27th, Illinois' 6th, Illinois' 14th, Iowa's 4th, Kansas' 2nd, Kentucky's 6th, Michigan's 11th, Minnesota's 2nd, New York's 19th, New York's 27th, North Carolina's 2nd, North Carolina's 9th, Ohio's 12th, Oregon's 4th, Pennsylvania's 10th, Texas' 31st, and Washington's 8th.
- August 13, 2020: Added six battleground districts to the list: Arizona's 6th, Arkansas' 2nd, Colorado's 3rd, Michigan's 3rd, North Carolina's 8th, and Virginia's 5th.
- July 27, 2020: Added one battleground district to the list: Kentucky's 6th.
- July 10, 2020: Added one battleground district to the list: Alaska's At-Large District
- June 5, 2020: Added one battleground district to the list: Oregon's 4th.
- March 23, 2020: Added one battleground district to the list: California's 53rd.
- November 12, 2019: Added one battleground district to the list: New York's 2nd.
- October 11, 2019: Removed two battleground districts from the list: Minnesota's 3rd and Minnesota's 8th.
- August 13, 2019: Added two battleground districts to the list: California's 22nd and Iowa's 4th.
- July 12, 2019: Added 16 battleground districts to the list: Arizona's 1st, California's 21st, California's 50th, Indiana's 5th, Kansas' 2nd, Michigan's 6th, Minnesota's 3rd, Minnesota's 8th, Montana's At-Large, New York's 1st, New York's 27th, North Carolina's 2nd, Ohio's 12th, Pennsylvania's 17th, Texas' 10th, and Washington's 3rd.
- July 10, 2019: Published initial battlegrounds list with 55 districts.[11]
2018 battlegrounds
Ballotpedia identified 82 U.S. House battleground races: 73 Republican seats and nine Democratic seats. Forty-three of the Republican-held battleground seats were won by Democrats and three of the Democratic-held battleground seats were won by Republicans.
The following map identifies those races that were considered battleground elections. Mouse over a district for more detailed information. You can also zoom in for a closer look.
See also
- United States Congress elections, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
- United States House of Representatives
- Battlegrounds
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for the 2016 and 2012 elections," accessed July 12, 2019
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2016, 2012, and 2008," accessed January 8, 2020
- ↑ Van Drew switched his affiliation to Republican in 2019.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," November 19, 2020
- ↑ DCCC, "Democrats are Going on Offense," January 28, 2019
- ↑ Roll Call, "DCCC adds six more Trump districts to its 2020 target list," August 15, 2019
- ↑ Roll Call, "Democrats try to expand House battlefield by targeting six more districts," January 16, 2020
- ↑ Roll Call, "House Democrats add two more districts to their target list," April 2, 2020
- ↑ Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "Red to Blue," accessed October 14, 2020
- ↑ Roll Call, "Republicans name 55 House Democrats as 2020 targets," February 9, 2019
- ↑ The 55 original U.S. House battlegrounds identified were: AZ-02, CA-10, CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48, FL-15, FL-26, FL-27, GA-06, GA-07, IL-06, IL-13, IL-14, IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, KS-03, ME-02, MI-08, MI-11, MN-01, MN-02, MN-07, MO-02, NE-02, NV-03, NH-01, NJ-02, NJ-03, NJ-07, MN-02, NY-11, NY-19, NY-22, NY-24, NC-09, OH-01, OK-05, PA-01, PA-07, PA-08, PA-10, SC-01, TX-07, TX-21, TX-22, TX-23, TX-24, TX-31, TX-32, UT-04, VA-02, VA-07, and WA-08.