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U.S. House battlegrounds, 2022
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November 8, 2022 |
Elections for all 435 U.S. House seats took place in 2022. Ballotpedia identified 33 of the 435 House races (8.5%) as battlegrounds.
These battleground races were selected using the following criteria. For more information on our methodology, click here.
- the 2020 winner's margin of victory,
- the results of the 2020 presidential election in the district,
- whether the incumbent was seeking re-election,
- whether the incumbent was serving his or her first term in Congress, and
- how the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales rated the race.
In addition to the competitiveness data above, races were included if they were particularly compelling or meaningful to the balance of power in governments for other reasons.
In 2020, Ballotpedia identified 41 U.S. House battleground races: 20 Democratic seats, 20 Republican seats, and one Libertarian Party seat. Democrats lost seats but maintained their majority, winning 222 seats to Republicans' 213. To read more about the 2020 battleground races, click here.
Click on the links below to learn more about battleground races of other types:
- U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2022
- Gubernatorial battlegrounds, 2022
- Republican Party battleground primaries, 2022
- Democratic Party battleground primaries, 2022
- Top-two and top-four battleground primaries, 2022
Battleground list
The following map displays the 2022 House battlegrounds shaded by the incumbent's or most recent incumbent's political affiliation. Hover over a district for more information.
There were 33 U.S. House battlegrounds in 2022.
- California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022
- California's 27th Congressional District election, 2022
- Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022
- Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022
- Indiana's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
- Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
- Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
- Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
- Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
- Michigan's 7th Congressional District election, 2022
- Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
- Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
- Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
- New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
- New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
- New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2022
- New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
- New York's 19th Congressional District election, 2022
- New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022
- New York's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
- North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022
- Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022
- Ohio's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
- Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022
- Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022
- Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District election, 2022
- Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District election, 2022
- Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
- Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022
- Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022
- United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2022
- Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022
- Washington's 8th Congressional District election, 2022
Incumbents defeated
The following table lists incumbents defeated in the 2022 general election for U.S. House.[1]
Historical comparison
The following table shows the number of U.S. House incumbents defeated in each election cycle from 2000 to 2022, by party.
Defeated U.S. House incumbents by party, 2000-2022 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Democratic incumbents lost | Republican incumbents lost | Total | |||
2022 | 12 | 13 | 25 | |||
2020 | 16 | 5 | 21 | |||
2018 | 2 | 32 | 34 | |||
2016 | 3 | 9 | 12 | |||
2014 | 12 | 6 | 18 | |||
2012 | 10 | 17 | 27 | |||
2010 | 54 | 4 | 58 | |||
2008 | 6 | 17 | 23 | |||
2006 | 0 | 22 | 22 | |||
2004 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
2002 | 12 | 5 | 17 | |||
2000 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Race ratings
The following table compares the most recent race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. The following table compared U.S. House race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections prior to the November 2022 elections.
Targeted races
DCCC targets
This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would target in 2022.[10][11] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of May 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight.[12][13]
This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022.[14] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight.[15][16]
NRCC targets
The following table lists 55 Democratic-held seats the NRCC announced, on February 7, 2019, it would target in 2020.[17] Also included are the margins of victory for each district in the 2018, 2016, and 2014 elections. Elections which took place in Pennsylvania before the 2018 redistricting are not included.
Patriot Program
The following table displays members included in the NRCC's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle.[18] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight.[19][20]
National Republican Congressional Committee On the Radar candidates, 2022 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | 2022 result | The Cook Political Report partisan lean | FiveThirtyEight partisan lean | ||
California's 22nd | David Valadao | ![]() |
D+6 | D+10 | ||
California's 27th | Mike Garcia | ![]() |
D+4 | D+8 | ||
California's 40th | Young Kim | ![]() |
R+2 | R+4 | ||
California's 45th | Michelle Steel | ![]() |
D+3 | D+5 | ||
Florida's 26th | Mario Diaz-Balart | ![]() |
R+5 | R+14 | ||
Florida's 27th | Maria Elvira Salazar | ![]() |
D+3 | D+1 | ||
Iowa's 1st | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | ![]() |
R+3 | R+4 | ||
Iowa's 2nd | Ashley Hinson | ![]() |
R+4 | R+6 | ||
Nebraska's 2nd | Don Bacon | ![]() |
R+1 | R+3 | ||
New Mexico's 2nd | Yvette Herrell | ![]() |
D+2 | D+4 | ||
New York's 2nd | Andrew Garbarino | ![]() |
R+4 | R+6 | ||
New York's 11th | Nicole Malliotakis | ![]() |
R+6 | R+11 | ||
Ohio's 1st | Steve Chabot | ![]() |
D+2 | D+3 | ||
Pennsylvania's 1st | Brian Fitzpatrick | ![]() |
Even | Even | ||
Texas' 34th | Mayra Flores | ![]() |
D+17 | D+9 |
Young Guns program
Candidates running for office in open or Democratic-held House seats are eligible for the Young Guns program. There are three tiers of the program, with each requiring that candidates meet more rigorous goals in order to qualify. Candidates start in the On the Radar phase before qualifying as a Contender, then as a full-fledged Young Gun.
On the Radar
The following table displays members listed as "On the Radar" in the NRCC's Young Guns program for the 2022 election cycle.[21] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of July 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight.[22][23]
National Republican Congressional Committee On the Radar candidates, 2022 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Candidate | 2022 result | The Cook Political Report partisan lean | FiveThirtyEight partisan lean | ||
Connecticut's 2nd | Mike France | ![]() |
D+2 | D+3 | ||
Illinois' 8th | Chris Dargis | ![]() |
D+12 | D+6 | ||
Maryland's 2nd | Nicolee Ambrose | ![]() |
D+7 | D+11 | ||
Maryland's 3rd | Yuripzy Morgan | ![]() |
D+10 | D+14 | ||
Maryland's 6th | Neil Parrott | ![]() |
D+1 | R+1 | ||
New Jersey's 5th | Frank Pallotta | ![]() |
D+4 | D+7 | ||
New Jersey's 11th | Paul DeGroot | ![]() |
D+5 | D+11 | ||
New York's 20th | Elizabeth Joy | ![]() |
D+14 | D+7 | ||
New York's 25th | La'Ron Singletary | ![]() |
D+7 | D+13 | ||
Pennsylvania's 5th | David Galluch | ![]() |
D+14 | D+28 | ||
Pennsylvania's 12th | Michael Doyle | ![]() |
D+8 | D+15 |
Young Guns
The following table displays candidates who qualified as Young Guns for the 2022 election cycle.[24] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight.[25][26]
Young Guns Vanguard
The following table displays candidates who have qualified for the Young Guns Vanguard program for the 2022 election cycle. The Vanguard program exists to provide support to candidates running in Republican-leaning open seats.[27] Also included is each district's 2022 partisan lean as of June 2022 from The Cook Political Report and FiveThirtyEight.[28][29]
National Republican Congressional Committee Young Guns Program | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Candidate | 2022 result | The Cook Political Report partisan lean | FiveThirtyEight partisan lean | ||
Alabama's 5th | Dale Strong | ![]() |
R+17 | R+32 | ||
Georgia's 6th | Rich McCormick | ![]() |
R+12 | R+24 | ||
Georgia's 10th | Mike Collins | ![]() |
R+15 | R+31 | ||
Indiana's 9th | Erin Houchin | ![]() |
R+16 | R+30 | ||
Missouri's 4th | Mark Alford | ![]() |
R+23 | R+45 | ||
Missouri's 7th | Eric Burlison | ![]() |
R+24 | R+47 | ||
Mississippi's 4th | Mike Ezell | ![]() |
R+22 | R+42 | ||
North Carolina's 11th | Chuck Edwards | ![]() |
R+8 | R+14 | ||
New York's 23rd | Nicholas A. Langworthy | ![]() |
R+12 | R+23 | ||
Ohio's 7th | Max Miller | ![]() |
R+7 | R+14 | ||
Oklahoma's 2nd | Josh Brecheen | ![]() |
R+29 | R+55 | ||
South Carolina's 7th | Russell Fry | ![]() |
R+11 | R+26 | ||
Tennessee's 5th | Andy Ogles | ![]() |
R+9 | R+15 | ||
Texas' 1st | Nathaniel Moran | ![]() |
R+26 | R+50 | ||
Texas' 3rd | Keith Self | ![]() |
R+11 | R+23 | ||
Texas' 8th | Morgan Luttrell | ![]() |
R+16 | R+26 | ||
Wyoming At-large | Harriet Hageman | ![]() |
R+25 | R+50 |
Change log
This section lists every change that was made to our battleground list between the publishing of this page in February 2022 and the end of the 2022 election cycle.
- October 7, 2022: Added AK-AL.
- September 23, 2022: Added AZ-01.
- July 25, 2022: Added CA-13, IN-1, NJ-7, PA-7, and RI-2. Removed CA-45 and TX-34.
- July 1, 2022: Added CA-22, CA-27, CA-45, KS-3, MI-3, MN-2, NH-1, NH-2, NY-3, NY-18, NY-19, NY-22, and TX-34. Removed AZ-2, NE-2, NJ-7, NC-1, PA-7, and TX-15.
- May 31, 2022: Added OR-5, PA-17, and WA-8.
- May 20, 2022: Added NC-1.
- May 9, 2022: Added AZ-2, MI-7, MI-8, NJ-7, NM-2, PA-7, PA-8, TX-28, VA-2, and VA-7.
- April 6, 2022: Added NC-13. Removed NC-2.
- February 2, 2022: Published initial battlegrounds list with 14 districts.[30]
2020 battlegrounds
Ballotpedia identified 41 of the 435 House races (9.4%) as battlegrounds. Of the 41 seats, 20 had Democratic incumbents, 20 had Republican incumbents, and one had a Libertarian incumbent. Republicans flipped 12 battleground districts (11 held by Democrats and one held by a Libertarian) in 2020, while Democrats flipped one Republican-held battleground district.
See also
- Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
- United States Congress elections, 2022
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2022
- United States House of Representatives
- Battlegrounds
Footnotes
- ↑ This does not include former U.S. Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R-Neb.), who resigned before the primary election but whose name remained on the official ballot.
- ↑ Gibbs unofficially withdrew from his primary after announcing his retirement on April 9, 2022. His name still appeared on the primary ballot.
- ↑ Gibbs defeated Meijer in the primary. Scholten defeated Gibbs in the general election.
- ↑ Gibbs' margin of victory over Meijer in the primary.
- ↑ McLeod-Skinner defeated Schrader in the primary. Chavez-DeRemer defeated McLeod-Skinner in the general election.
- ↑ McLeod-Skinner's margin of victory over Schrader in the primary.
- ↑ Taylor ran in the Republican primary on March 1, 2022, and advanced to the primary runoff. He withdrew before the runoff.
- ↑ Joe Kent defeated Herrera Beutler in the primary. Gluesenkamp defeated Kent in the general election.
- ↑ Joe Kent's margin of victory over Herrera Beutler in the primary.
- ↑ DCCC, "DCCC Announces 2021-2022 Districts In Play," April 6, 2021
- ↑ DCCC, "DCCC Announces Changes To 2022 House Battlefield," January 27, 2022
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ The Cook Polticial Report, "Enacted Maps and 2022 Ratings," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ DCCC, "2022 Frontline Members," accessed September 21, 2022
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ The Cook Polticial Report, "Enacted Maps and 2022 Ratings," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ Roll Call, "Republicans name 55 House Democrats as 2020 targets," February 9, 2019
- ↑ Patriot Program, "Home," accessed September 21, 2022
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ The Cook Polticial Report, "Enacted Maps and 2022 Ratings," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ GOP Young Guns 2022, "On the Radar," accessed September 21, 2022
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ The Cook Polticial Report, "Enacted Maps and 2022 Ratings," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ GOP Young Guns, "Young Guns," accessed September 21, 2022
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ The Cook Polticial Report, "Enacted Maps and 2022 Ratings," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ NRCC, "Vanguard," accessed August 21, 2022
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ The Cook Polticial Report, "Enacted Maps and 2022 Ratings," accessed April 21, 2022
- ↑ The 14 original U.S. House battlegrounds identified were: CO-8, IL-17, IA-3, ME-2, NE-2, NV-1, NV-3, NV-4, NC-2, OH-1, OH-9, OH-13, RI-2, and TX-15.