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United States Congress elections, 2014: Difference between revisions
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The vote was 66-27, with 25 of the 27 nay votes being from Republicans. The two Democratic senators to vote against the bill were [[Jack Reed]] (RI) and [[Sheldon Whitehouse]] (RI) <br> | The vote was 66-27, with 25 of the 27 nay votes being from Republicans. The two Democratic senators to vote against the bill were [[Jack Reed]] (RI) and [[Sheldon Whitehouse]] (RI) <br> | ||
The comprehensive bill failed in the [[U.S. House|House]] due largely in part to the votes of eight [[Democratic]] [[U.S. House|House]] members who joined the [[Republican]] majority to vote down the measure.<ref name="dems">[http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2013/07/agribusiness-and-the-farm-bill-wayward-dems-benefit-from-co.html?utm_source=CRP+Mail+List&utm_campaign=b081fb1463-Newsletter_7_19_20137_18_2013&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_9df8578d78-b081fb1463-210768677 ''Open Secrets'', "Agribusiness and the Farm Bill: Wayward Dems Benefit from Contributions," accessed July 19, 2013]</ref> [[U.S. House|Reps.]] [[Collin Peterson]], [[John Barrow]], [[Sanford Bishop]], [[Cheri Bustos]], [[Sean Maloney]], [[Mike McIntyre]], [[Bill Owens]] and [[Tim Walz]] were the eight [[Democratic]] [[U.S. House|members]] who voted to reject the bill.<ref name="dems"/> According to analysis by ''OpenSecrets.org'', many of these [[Democratic]] members received significant political contributions from agricultural organizations that benefit from crop insurance subsidies.<ref name="dems"/> Five of the eight were on the [[United States House of Representatives Committee on Agriculture|House Agriculture Committee]]--[[Collin Peterson|Peterson]], [[Cheri Bustos|Bustos]], [[Sean Maloney|Maloney]], [[Mike McIntyre|McIntyre]] and [[Tim Walz|Walz]].<ref name="dems"/><ref>[http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2013/07/11/house-passes-stripped-down-farm-bill/2510185/ ''USA Today'', "House passes farm bill; strips out food-stamp program," accessed July 15, 2013]</ref> | The comprehensive bill failed in the [[U.S. House|House]] due largely in part to the votes of eight [[Democratic]] [[U.S. House|House]] members who joined the [[Republican]] majority to vote down the measure.<ref name="dems">[http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2013/07/agribusiness-and-the-farm-bill-wayward-dems-benefit-from-co.html?utm_source=CRP+Mail+List&utm_campaign=b081fb1463-Newsletter_7_19_20137_18_2013&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_9df8578d78-b081fb1463-210768677 ''Open Secrets'', "Agribusiness and the Farm Bill: Wayward Dems Benefit from Contributions," accessed July 19, 2013]</ref> [[U.S. House|Reps.]] [[Collin Peterson]], [[John Barrow]], [[Sanford Bishop]], [[Cheri Bustos]], [[Sean Maloney]], [[Mike McIntyre]], [[Bill Owens (New York)|Bill Owens]] and [[Tim Walz]] were the eight [[Democratic]] [[U.S. House|members]] who voted to reject the bill.<ref name="dems"/> According to analysis by ''OpenSecrets.org'', many of these [[Democratic]] members received significant political contributions from agricultural organizations that benefit from crop insurance subsidies.<ref name="dems"/> Five of the eight were on the [[United States House of Representatives Committee on Agriculture|House Agriculture Committee]]--[[Collin Peterson|Peterson]], [[Cheri Bustos|Bustos]], [[Sean Maloney|Maloney]], [[Mike McIntyre|McIntyre]] and [[Tim Walz|Walz]].<ref name="dems"/><ref>[http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2013/07/11/house-passes-stripped-down-farm-bill/2510185/ ''USA Today'', "House passes farm bill; strips out food-stamp program," accessed July 15, 2013]</ref> | ||
<headertabs/> | <headertabs/> |
Revision as of 20:20, 5 December 2024
A total of 471 seats in the U.S. Congress (36 Senate seats, including three special elections, and all 435 House seats) were up for election on November 4, 2014. Additionally, three races, Louisiana's 5th and 6th Districts and the Senate election in Louisiana, were Republican wins in a runoff held on December 6, 2014.
U.S. House | ||
---|---|---|
Dem. | 188 | |
Rep. | 247 | |
Ind. | 0 | |
TOTAL | 435 | |
Click here for more details. |
U.S. Senate | ||
---|---|---|
Dem. | 44 | |
Rep. | 54 | |
Ind. | 2 | |
TOTAL | 100 | |
UNDECIDED | 0 | |
Click here for more details. |
A strong Republican showing occurred. Republicans assumed control of both chambers of the U.S. Congress.
Many believed that the November 4, 2014, general election would be a backlash against the Obama Administration’s Affordable Care Act. According to a study by the Brookings Institution, only 36 percent of 2014 Democratic candidates mentioned support of the Affordable Care Act in their platform.[1]
The GOP went into the election with a 233-199 lead in the House of Representatives. Democrats outnumbered Republicans, 53-45, in the U.S. Senate (with two Independents in the mix).[2][3][4]
Heading into the election, Democrats controlled the U.S. Senate while Republicans were the majority in the U.S. House. For Republicans to take the majority in the Senate, they needed to take six seats held by Democrats and retain control of the 15 seats held by a Republican. That was reached. For Democrats to have taken majority control of the U.S. House, a Democratic pick up of 17 seats was needed. That was not reached. Instead, Democrats lost ground in the House.[5]
There were incorrect predictions that the control of the Senate would not be decided on November 4. With races in Georgia and Louisiana tightening up, it was possible that one or both of those races could have been the deciding seats for the majority. A runoff in Louisiana took place on December 6, however, it did not decide the control of the Senate and Republican Bill Cassidy defeated Sen. Mary Landrieu. Interestingly, a Georgia runoff would have been held on January 6, three days after the 114th Congress is sworn in.[6]
A total of 416 incumbents sought re-election in 2014, and 393, or 94.47 percent, were successful in their re-election bids. Seven incumbent senators (including John Walsh of Montana who was appointed to the Senate in February 2014, but decided against seeking a full-term) and 41 representatives announced they would not seek re-election. Additionally, three senators and 13 representatives left office early.
U.S. Senate
Election results
- See also: United States Senate elections, 2014
Who ended up with majority control of the U.S. Senate?
All eyes were on which party would control the U.S. Senate in 2015. The Democratic-controlled Senate in the 113th Congress had a partisan breakdown of 53-45-2, with the two Independents caucusing with the Democrats. For Republicans to take the majority in the Senate, they needed to take at least six of the 36 seats up for election that were held by Democrats, and retain control of the 15 seats held by Republicans. The section updated the seat count for each party throughout the night and the vote totals in the hotly contested races.
Rep. Bill Cassidy (R) won the Louisiana seat in a runoff election on December 6, 2014.
U.S. Senate | ||
---|---|---|
Dem. | 44 | |
Rep. | 54 | |
Ind. | 2 | |
TOTAL | 100 | |
UNDECIDED | 0 | |
Click here for more details. |
State | Before | After | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Incumbent | Party | Winner | Winner Party | Seat Party Change? | |
Alaska Senate | Mark Begich | ![]() |
Dan Sullivan | ![]() |
Yes |
Arkansas Senate | Mark Pryor | ![]() |
Tom Cotton | ![]() |
Yes |
Colorado Senate | Mark Udall | ![]() |
Cory Gardner | ![]() |
Yes |
Georgia Senate | Saxby Chambliss* | ![]() |
David Perdue | ![]() |
No |
Iowa Senate | Tom Harkin* | ![]() |
Joni Ernst | ![]() |
Yes |
Kansas Senate | Pat Roberts | ![]() |
Pat Roberts | ![]() |
No |
Kentucky Senate | Mitch McConnell | ![]() |
Mitch McConnell | ![]() |
No |
Louisiana Senate | Mary Landrieu | ![]() |
Bill Cassidy | ![]() |
Yes |
Montana Senate | John Walsh* | ![]() |
Steve Daines | ![]() |
Yes |
New Hampshire Senate | Jeanne Shaheen | ![]() |
Jeanne Shaheen | ![]() |
No |
North Carolina Senate | Kay Hagan | ![]() |
Thom Tillis | ![]() |
Yes |
South Dakota Senate | Tim Johnson* | ![]() |
Mike Rounds | ![]() |
Yes |
Virginia Senate | Mark Warner | ![]() |
Mark Warner | ![]() |
No |
West Virginia Senate | Jay Rockefeller* | ![]() |
Shelley Moore Capito | ![]() |
Yes |
"*" indicates that the incumbent retired in 2014.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
97.3% | 795,606 | |
N/A | Write-in | 2.7% | 22,484 | |
Total Votes | 818,090 | |||
Source: Alabama Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
48% | 135,445 | |
Democratic | Mark Begich Incumbent | 45.8% | 129,431 | |
Libertarian | Mark Fish | 3.7% | 10,512 | |
Independent | Ted Gianoutsos | 2% | 5,636 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.5% | 1,376 | |
Total Votes | 282,400 | |||
Source: Alaska Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
56.5% | 478,819 | |
Democratic | Mark Pryor Incumbent | 39.5% | 334,174 | |
Libertarian | Nathan LaFrance | 2% | 17,210 | |
Green | Mark Swaney | 2% | 16,797 | |
Total Votes | 847,000 | |||
Source: Arkansas Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
48.2% | 983,891 | |
Democratic | Mark Udall Incumbent | 46.3% | 944,203 | |
Libertarian | Gaylon Kent | 2.6% | 52,876 | |
Independent | Steve Shogan | 1.4% | 29,472 | |
Independent | Raul Acosta | 1.2% | 24,151 | |
Unity Party of Colorado | Bill Hammons | 0.3% | 6,427 | |
Total Votes | 2,041,020 | |||
Source: Colorado Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
55.8% | 130,655 | |
Republican | Kevin Wade | 42.2% | 98,823 | |
Green | Andrew Groff | 1.9% | 4,560 | |
Total Votes | 234,038 | |||
Source: U.S. House Clerk "2014 Election Statistics" |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
52.89% | 1,358,088 | |
Democratic | Michelle Nunn | 45.21% | 1,160,811 | |
Libertarian | Amanda Swafford | 1.90% | 48,862 | |
Total Votes | 2,567,761 | |||
Source: Georgia Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
65.3% | 285,596 | |
Democratic | Nels Mitchell | 34.7% | 151,574 | |
Total Votes | 437,170 | |||
Source: Idaho Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
53.5% | 1,929,637 | |
Republican | Jim Oberweis | 42.7% | 1,538,522 | |
Libertarian | Sharon Hansen | 3.8% | 135,316 | |
Total Votes | 3,603,475 | |||
Source: Illinois Secretary of State Official Results |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
52.1% | 588,575 | |
Democratic | Bruce Braley | 43.8% | 494,370 | |
Independent | Rick Stewart | 2.4% | 26,815 | |
Libertarian | Douglas Butzier | 0.7% | 8,232 | |
Independent | Ruth Smith | 0.5% | 5,873 | |
Independent | Bob Quast | 0.4% | 4,724 | |
Write-in | Other | 0.1% | 1,111 | |
Total Votes | 1,129,700 | |||
Source: Iowa Secretary of State Official Results |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
53.1% | 460,350 | |
Independent | Greg Orman | 42.5% | 368,372 | |
Libertarian | Randall Batson | 4.3% | 37,469 | |
Total Votes | 866,191 | |||
Source: Kansas Secretary of State Official Results |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
56.2% | 806,787 | |
Democratic | Alison Lundergan Grimes | 40.7% | 584,698 | |
Libertarian | David Patterson | 3.1% | 44,240 | |
Total Votes | 1,435,725 | |||
Source: Kentucky Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
42.1% | 619,402 | |
Democratic | Wayne Ables | 0.8% | 11,323 | |
Democratic | Vallian Senegal | 0.3% | 3,831 | |
Democratic | William Waymire Jr. | 0.3% | 4,673 | |
Republican | ![]() |
41% | 603,084 | |
Republican | Rob Maness | 13.8% | 202,556 | |
Republican | Thomas Clements | 1% | 14,173 | |
Libertarian | Brannon Lee McMorris | 0.9% | 13,034 | |
Total Votes | 1,472,076 | |||
Source: Mary Landrieu and Bill Cassidy headed to a runoff election on December 6, 2014. Louisiana Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
67% | 413,505 | |
Democratic | Shenna Bellows | 30.8% | 190,254 | |
Other | Other | 0% | 269 | |
Blank | None | 2.1% | 12,968 | |
Total Votes | 616,996 | |||
Source: Maine Secretary of State Official Results |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
59% | 1,289,944 | |
Republican | Brian Herr | 36.2% | 791,950 | |
Write-in | Other | 0.1% | 3,078 | |
Blank | None | 4.7% | 101,819 | |
Total Votes | 2,186,791 | |||
Source: Massachusetts Secretary of State Official Results |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
54.6% | 1,704,936 | |
Republican | Terri Lynn Land | 41.3% | 1,290,199 | |
Libertarian | Jim Fulner | 2% | 62,897 | |
U.S. Taxpayers Party | Richard Matkin | 1.2% | 37,529 | |
Green | Chris Wahmhoff | 0.8% | 26,137 | |
Total Votes | 3,121,698 | |||
Source: Michigan Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
53.2% | 1,053,205 | |
Republican | Mike McFadden | 42.9% | 850,227 | |
Libertarian | Heather Johnson | 1.5% | 29,685 | |
Independence | Steve Carlson | 2.4% | 47,530 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 881 | |
Total Votes | 1,981,528 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
59.9% | 378,481 | |
Democratic | Travis Childers | 37.9% | 239,439 | |
Reform | Shawn O'Hara | 2.2% | 13,938 | |
Total Votes | 631,858 | |||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State Official Results |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
57.8% | 213,709 | |
Democratic | Amanda Curtis | 40.1% | 148,184 | |
Libertarian | Roger Roots | 2.1% | 7,933 | |
Total Votes | 369,826 | |||
Source: Montana Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
64.4% | 347,636 | |
Democratic | Dave Domina | 31.5% | 170,127 | |
Independent | Jim Jenkins | 2.9% | 15,868 | |
Independent | Todd Watson | 1.2% | 6,260 | |
Total Votes | 539,891 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
51.5% | 251,184 | |
Republican | Scott Brown | 48.2% | 235,347 | |
N/A | Scatter | 0.3% | 1,628 | |
Total Votes | 488,159 | |||
Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
55.8% | 1,043,866 | |
Republican | Jeff Bell | 42.3% | 791,297 | |
Libertarian | Joe Baratelli | 0.9% | 16,721 | |
Independent | Jeff Boss | 0.2% | 4,513 | |
Independent | Antonio N. Sabas | 0.2% | 3,544 | |
Democratic-Republican | Eugene Lavergne | 0.2% | 3,890 | |
Economic Growth | Hank Schroeder | 0.3% | 5,704 | |
Total Votes | 1,869,535 | |||
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
55.6% | 286,409 | |
Republican | Allen Weh | 44.4% | 229,097 | |
Total Votes | 515,506 | |||
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kay Hagan Incumbent | 47.3% | 1,377,651 | |
Republican | ![]() |
48.8% | 1,423,259 | |
Libertarian | Sean Haugh | 3.7% | 109,100 | |
Write-in | John Rhodes | 0% | 621 | |
Write-in | David Waddell | 0% | 201 | |
Write-in | Barry Gurney | 0% | 142 | |
Write-in | Write-in (miscellaneous) | 0.1% | 4,307 | |
Total Votes | 2,915,281 | |||
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
68% | 558,166 | |
Democratic | Matt Silverstein | 28.5% | 234,307 | |
Independent | Ray Woods | 1.2% | 9,913 | |
Independent | Aaron DeLozier | 0.9% | 7,793 | |
Independent | Joan Farr | 1.3% | 10,554 | |
Total Votes | 820,733 | |||
Source: Oklahoma State Election Board |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
55.7% | 814,537 | |
Republican | Monica Wehby | 36.9% | 538,847 | |
Libertarian | Mike Montchalin | 3.1% | 44,916 | |
Constitution | James Leuenberger | 1.7% | 24,212 | |
Green | Christina Jean Lugo | 2.2% | 32,434 | |
Miscellaneous | Miscellaneous | 0.5% | 6,672 | |
Total Votes | 1,461,618 | |||
Source: Oregon Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
70.6% | 223,675 | |
Republican | Mark Zaccaria | 29.2% | 92,684 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.2% | 539 | |
Total Votes | 316,898 | |||
Source: Rhode Island Board of Elections |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
55.3% | 672,941 | |
Democratic | Brad Hutto | 37.6% | 456,726 | |
Libertarian | Victor Kocher | 2.8% | 33,839 | |
Independent | Thomas Ravenel | 3.9% | 47,588 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.4% | 4,774 | |
Total Votes | 1,215,868 | |||
Source: South Carolina State Election Commission |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
50.4% | 140,741 | |
Democratic | Rick Weiland | 29.5% | 82,456 | |
Independent | Larry Pressler | 17.1% | 47,741 | |
Independent | Gordon Howie | 3% | 8,474 | |
Total Votes | 279,412 | |||
Source: South Dakota Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
61.9% | 850,087 | |
Democratic | Gordon Ball | 31.9% | 437,848 | |
Independent | Ed Gauthier | 0.2% | 2,314 | |
Independent | Bartholomew Phillips | 0.2% | 2,386 | |
Independent | C. Salekin | 0.1% | 787 | |
Independent | Danny Page | 0.6% | 7,713 | |
Independent | Eric Schechter | 0.1% | 1,673 | |
Constitution | Joe Wilmoth | 2.6% | 36,088 | |
Independent | Joshua James | 0.4% | 5,678 | |
Independent | Rick Tyler | 0.4% | 5,759 | |
Tea Party | Tom Emerson, Jr. | 0.8% | 11,157 | |
Green | Martin Pleasant | 0.9% | 12,570 | |
Write-in | Erin Kent Magee | 0% | 5 | |
Total Votes | 1,374,065 | |||
Source: U.S. House Clerk "2014 Election Statistics" |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
61.6% | 2,861,531 | |
Democratic | David Alameel | 34.4% | 1,597,387 | |
Libertarian | Rebecca Paddock | 2.9% | 133,751 | |
Green | Emily Marie Sanchez | 1.2% | 54,701 | |
Write-in | Mohammed Tahiro | 0% | 988 | |
Total Votes | 4,648,358 | |||
Source: U.S. House Clerk "2014 Election Statistics" |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
49.1% | 1,073,667 | |
Republican | Ed Gillespie | 48.3% | 1,055,940 | |
Libertarian | Robert Sarvis | 2.4% | 53,102 | |
N/A | write-in | 0.1% | 1,764 | |
Total Votes | 2,184,473 | |||
Source: Virginia Department of Elections |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
62.1% | 281,820 | |
Democratic | Natalie Tennant | 34.5% | 156,360 | |
Libertarian | John Buckley | 1.6% | 7,409 | |
Constitution | Phil Hudok | 0.6% | 2,566 | |
Mountain | Bob Henry Baber | 1.2% | 5,504 | |
N/A | Write-ins | 0% | 30 | |
Total Votes | 453,689 | |||
Source: U.S. House Clerk "2014 Election Statistics" |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
72.2% | 121,554 | |
Democratic | Charlie Hardy | 17.4% | 29,377 | |
Independent | Curt Gottshall | 7.9% | 13,311 | |
Libertarian | Joe Porambo | 2.2% | 3,677 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.3% | 471 | |
Total Votes | 168,390 | |||
Source: Wyoming Secretary of State |
The 33 Class II U.S. Senate seats were up for election. Of those 33 seats, 20 were held by Democrats and 13 by Republican senators. Additionally, three special elections took place in 2014 to fill vacancies that occurred during the 113th Congress (Hawaii, Oklahoma and South Carolina). All three of these special elections took place on November 4, 2014, for a total of 36 Senate elections.
For Republicans to gain control of the Senate, they needed to pick up at least six seats held by Democrats and maintain control of all Republican seats up for re-election. Unfortunately for Democratic incumbents, seven of their seats up in 2014 were in states carried by Republican Mitt Romney in the 2012 presidential election. Those states were: Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, North Carolina, South Dakota and West Virginia.[7]
Margin of victory
The following table shows the margin of victory for each race winner, which is calculated by examining the percentage difference between the top-two vote getters. If the race was uncontested, the margin of victory is listed as 100%. Some general facts:
- The average margin of victory was 22.6 percent.
- On average, Democrats won closer races than Republicans. Average MOV for Democratic winners was 18.7 percent, while Republicans had an average margin of 24.7 percent.
- The closest race was in Virginia, where incumbent Mark Warner (D) held on to his seat, defeating Ed Gillespie by 0.8 percent of the vote.
- The largest margin of victory was in Alabama, where incumbent Jeff Sessions (R) faced no opponent in the general election. This election marked the first time in Alabama history that the Democratic Party fielded no candidates for the U.S. Senate race.[8]
Margin of Victory in 2014 United States Senate Elections | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
State | Winner | Margin of Victory | Total Vote | Top Opponent |
Alaska | ![]() |
2.2% | 282,400 | Mark Begich |
Alabama | ![]() |
94.5% | 818,090 | Write-in |
Arkansas | ![]() |
17.0% | 847,000 | Mark Pryor |
Colorado | ![]() |
1.9% | 2,041,020 | Mark Udall |
Delaware | ![]() |
13.6% | 234,038 | Kevin Wade |
Georgia | ![]() |
7.7% | 2,567,761 | Michelle Nunn |
Hawaii | ![]() |
42.1% | 353,689 | Cam Cavasso |
Iowa | ![]() |
8.3% | 1,129,700 | Bruce Braley |
Idaho | ![]() |
30.7% | 437,170 | Nels Mitchell |
Illinois | ![]() |
10.9% | 3,603,475 | Jim Oberweis |
Kansas | ![]() |
10.6% | 866,191 | Greg Orman |
Kentucky | ![]() |
15.5% | 1,435,725 | Alison Lundergan Grimes |
Louisiana Runoff Election | ![]() |
11.8% | 1,273,589 | Mary Landrieu |
Massachusetts | ![]() |
22.8% | 2,186,791 | Brian Herr |
Maine | ![]() |
36.2% | 616,996 | Shenna Bellows |
Michigan | ![]() |
13.3% | 3,121,698 | Terri Lynn Land |
Minnesota | ![]() |
10.2% | 1,981,528 | Mike McFadden |
Mississippi | ![]() |
22% | 631,858 | Travis Childers |
Montana | ![]() |
17.7% | 369,826 | Amanda Curtis |
North Carolina | ![]() |
1.5% | 2,915,281 | Kay Hagan |
Nebraska | ![]() |
32.9% | 539,891 | Dave Domina |
New Hampshire | ![]() |
3.2% | 488,159 | Scott Brown |
New Jersey | ![]() |
13.5% | 1,869,535 | Jeff Bell |
New Mexico | ![]() |
11.1% | 515,506 | Allen Weh |
Oklahoma Special Election | ![]() |
38.9% | 820,890 | Constance Johnson |
Oklahoma | ![]() |
39.5% | 820,733 | Matt Silverstein |
Oregon | ![]() |
18.9% | 1,461,618 | Monica Wehby |
Rhode Island | ![]() |
41.3% | 316,898 | Mark Zaccaria |
South Carolina Special Election | ![]() |
24% | 1,238,982 | Joyce Dickerson |
South Carolina | ![]() |
17.8% | 1,215,868 | Brad Hutto |
South Dakota | ![]() |
20.9% | 279,412 | Rick Weiland |
Tennessee | ![]() |
31.7% | 1,301,733 | Gordon Ball |
Texas | ![]() |
27.2% | 4,647,371 | David Alameel |
Virginia | ![]() |
0.8% | 2,184,473 | Ed Gillespie |
West Virginia | ![]() |
27.6% | 451,498 | Natalie Tennant |
Wyoming | ![]() |
54.7% | 168,390 | Charlie Hardy |
Open seats
Seven senators (including John Walsh of Montana who was appointed to the Senate in February 2014, but decided against seeking a full-term) announced that they would not seek re-election in 2014. In addition to the following list, four senators left office early: Max Baucus (D-MT), John Kerry (D-MA), Jim DeMint (R-SC) and Tom Coburn (R-OK). The deaths of Sens. Daniel Inouye (D-HI) and Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ), and the early resignation of Coburn, necessitated three special elections held with the 33 regular elections on November 4, 2014.
Name: | Party: | Office: |
---|---|---|
Carl Levin | ![]() | U.S. Senator Michigan |
Jay Rockefeller | ![]() | U.S. Senate West Virginia |
John Walsh | ![]() | U.S. Senate Montana |
Mike Johanns | ![]() | U.S. Senate Nebraska |
Saxby Chambliss | ![]() | U.S. Senate Georgia |
Tim Johnson | ![]() | U.S. Senate South Dakota |
Tom Harkin | ![]() | U.S. Senator Iowa |
U.S. Senate Partisan Breakdown | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of 2014 Election | After the 2014 Election | |
Democratic Party | 53 | 44 | |
Republican Party | 45 | 54 | |
Independent | 2 | 2 | |
Total | 100 | 100 |
Race ratings
Cook Political Report
Each month the Cook Political Report released race ratings for President, U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors in 2014. There were seven possible designations:[9]
Solid D
|
Tossup |
Lean R
|
Cook Political Report Race Rating -- U.S. Senate | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | Total D | Total R | Total races |
June 27, 2013[10] | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 15 | 35 |
August 2, 2013[11] | 7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 35 |
October 17, 2013[12] | 7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 35 |
December 19, 2013[13] | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 35 |
February 7, 2014[14] | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 36 |
February 27, 2014[15] | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 36 |
March 19, 2014[16] | 8 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 36 |
April 25, 2014[17] | 8 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 36 |
August 15, 2014[18] | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 36 |
September 19, 2014[19] | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 36 |
October 17, 2014[20] | 7 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 36 |
Campaign finance
October 2014
Politico highlighted the following fundraising figures for the third quarter 2014 reports:
Gwen Graham, challenging Rep. Steve Southerland, in Florida's 2nd District raised $820,000 over Southerland's $620,000.
Despite putting in $175,000 of his own funds, Rick Allen still lost to Rep. John Barrow's (D) haul in Georgia's 12th District.
Seth Moulton, running against Richard Tisei (R) for the open seat in Massachusetts' 6th District, outraised Tisei, $600,000 to $333,0000.
Independent Greg Orman came very close to matching the funds raised by his incumbent opponent, Sen. Pat Roberts. Orman raised $1.5 million to Roberts' $1.65 million.[21]
August 2014
According to OpenSecrets.org, below were the races that had the most satellite spending. They included the U.S. Senate races in North Carolina, Kentucky, Mississippi, Georgia and Arkansas.
July 2014
In July 2014, Politico released the highlights from the second quarter 2014 fundraising reports. They included:[22]
Tom Cotton (R-AR) raised $2.28 million, compared to Sen. Mark Pryor's $1.5 million in the Arkansas Senate race.
Martha McSally (R-AZ) raised $100,000 more than Rep. Ron Barber ($653,000 to Barber's $550,000) in Arizona's 2nd District.
Ryan Costello (R-PA) raised $667,000 for Pennsylvania's 6th District.
April 2014
According to an April 2014 Politico report, vulnerable Democrats were being outraised by Republican challengers.[23] The candidates highlighted in the article were:
Mark Pryor (AR) had raised $1.22 million compared to challenger Rep. Tom Cotton's $1.35 million
Mark Begich (AK) had raised $1.05 million compared to the $2 million raised by challenger, Dan Sullivan, during the same period.[23]
August 2013
An August 2013 Politico report reported that the 27 incumbents running for re-election in 2014 had together raised about $125 million by the end of June 2013.[24] The report also found that 2014 may be the most expensive midterm election to date, pointing to the fact that the total amount raised for incumbents seeking re-election was $30 million more than at the same point in 2012 and on par with the amount they had raised in 2010.[24]
The incumbents highlighted in the article were:[24]
Minority Leader Mitch McConnell led in fundraising, having raised more than $15 million for the 2014 cycle
Lindsey Graham (SC) and John Cornyn (TX) raised more than $8 million in the 2014 cycle
Kay Hagan (NC), Mark Pryor (AR) and Mary Landrieu (LA) each raised between $4 million to $7 million in the 2014 cycle
April 2013
According to an April 2013 Politico report, incumbent Democrats in red states raised "millions" in the first three months of 2013.[25] The candidates highlighted in the article were:
Mary Landrieu (LA) had raised $1.2 million and had $3.5 million cash on hand
Mark Pryor (AR) had raised $1.9 million and had $3.4 million cash on hand
Kay Hagan (NC) had raised $1.6 million and had $2.7 million cash on hand
Mark Begich (AK) had raised $948,000 and had $1.5 million cash on hand[25]
DSCC and NRSC
Both the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) and the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) work to elect candidates from their respective parties to the U.S. Senate.
Fundraising numbers
September 2014
The DSCC raised $16 million in September, while the NRSC was on their heels with $15.5. Both organizations had the highest September hauls in the organizations' histories.[26]
July 2014
The DSCC had its strongest second quarter in organization history, raising $21.7 million during the quarter. As of July 2014, the DSCC had raised $70.3 million in the 2014 cycle, while the NRSC had raised $68.6 million in 2014.[27]
April 2014
The DSCC outraised the NRSC, $6.3 million to $6.04 million. In April, the DSCC ended the month with $25 million on hand, while the NRSC had $21.9 million in the bank. Both organizations remained debt-free.[28]
October 2013
The DSCC outraised their GOP counterpart, the NRSC, by one million dollars in October 2013. The DSCC raised $4.8 million compared to the NRSC's $3.8 million. This was the organization's best off-year October in their history.
At that time, the DSCC had raised $14 million more than the NRSC, a total of $43.5 million raised. They reported $11.1 million cash on hand. However, the organization was also carrying $6.2 million in debt. The NRSC had $5 million cash on hand at the end of October 2013.[29]
July 2013 memo
In July 2013, NRSC president, Rob Collins, circulated a memo to top donors outlining the path to a majority in the Senate for the Republican Party. From the memo:
- "Montana now joins West Virginia and South Dakota as the third red-state where Democrats have not only failed to land their top candidates, but to recruit a candidate capable of winning a general election matchup."
Collins reiterated that Republicans needed to win just three seats in states with incumbent Democratic senators.[30]
U.S. House
Did the Democratic Party reduce the Republican U.S. House majority?
All 435 U.S. House of Representatives seats were up for election. Republicans went into the election with a 233-199 majority (with three vacancies). Democrats failed to pick up 19 seats to flip control and instead lost seats. On this page, Ballotpedia tracked the districts identified as battleground districts. Below the battleground chart, we also tracked unexpectedly close races that developed throughout election night.
Note: The tables below were updated in real-time on election night. As races were called, we updated the partisan count totals.
U.S. House | ||
---|---|---|
Dem. | 188 | |
Rep. | 247 | |
Ind. | 0 | |
TOTAL | 435 | |
Click here for more details. |
"*" indicates that the incumbent retired in 2014.
Expected seat changes
These are districts where a change in party was expected due to a very vulnerable incumbent. These races were not rated as battlegrounds because they were likely to flip control.
District | Before | After | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Incumbent | Party | Winner | Winner Party | |
North Carolina's 7th District | Mike McIntyre (Retiring) | ![]() |
David Rouzer | ![]() |
Utah's 4th District | Jim Matheson (Retiring) | ![]() |
Mia Love | ![]() |
West Virginia's 3rd District | Nick Rahall | ![]() |
Evan Jenkins | ![]() |
Incumbents who lost
Partisanship of the losing incumbents:
Democrats hoped to survive a possible referendum on the Obama Administration’s Affordable Care Act and not lose further ground in the Republican-dominated U.S. House of Representatives during the November 4, 2014 general election. All 435 seats of the U.S. House were up for election.
U.S. House Partisan Breakdown | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of 2014 Election | After the 2014 Election | |
Democratic Party | 201 | 188 | |
Republican Party | 234 | 247 | |
Vacancy | 0 | 0 | |
Total | 435 | 435 |
Margin of victory
The following table shows the margin of victory for each race winner, which is calculated by examining the percentage difference between the top-two vote getters. If the race was uncontested, the margin of victory is listed as 100%. Some general facts:
- The average margin of victory was 35.8 percent.
- On average, Republicans won slightly closer races than Republicans. Average MOV for Republican winners was 35 percent, while Democrats had an average margin of 36.9 percent.
- The closest race was in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, where Martha McSally (R) unseated incumbent Ron Barber (D) by 0.1 percent of the vote.
Margin of Victory in 2014 United States House of Representatives Elections | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Winner | Margin of Victory | Total Vote | Top Opponent |
Alabama District 1 | ![]() |
36.4% | 152234 | Burton LeFlore |
Alabama District 2 | ![]() |
34.8% | 167952 | Erick Wright |
Alabama District 3 | ![]() |
32.4% | 156,620 | Jesse Smith |
Alabama District 4 | ![]() |
97.1% | 134752 | Write-in |
Alabama District 5 | ![]() |
49.3% | 154,974 | Jerry Hill |
Alabama District 6 | ![]() |
52.5% | 178449 | Mark Lester |
Alabama District 7 | ![]() |
96.7% | 135,899 | Write-in |
Alaska's At-Large District | ![]() |
10% | 279,741 | Forrest Dunbar |
Arizona District 1 | ![]() |
5.2% | 185114 | Andy Tobin |
Arizona District 2 | ![]() |
0.1% | 219,351 | Ron Barber |
Arizona District 3 | ![]() |
11.5% | 104428 | Gabriela Saucedo Mercer |
Arizona District 4 | ![]() |
44.2% | 175,179 | Mikel Weisser |
Arizona District 5 | ![]() |
39.2% | 179,463 | James Woods |
Arizona District 6 | ![]() |
29.7% | 199,776 | John Williamson |
Arizona District 7 | ![]() |
60.1% | 72,454 | Joe Cobb |
Arizona District 8 | ![]() |
51.6% | 169,776 | Stephen Dolgos |
Arizona District 9 | ![]() |
12.8% | 162062 | Wendy Rogers |
Arkansas District 1 | ![]() |
30.9% | 196256 | Jackie McPherson |
Arkansas District 2 | ![]() |
8.3% | 237330 | Patrick Hays |
Arkansas District 3 | ![]() |
58.8% | 190,935 | Grant Brand |
Arkansas District 4 | ![]() |
11.2% | 206,131 | James Lee Witt |
California District 10 | ![]() |
12.3% | 125,705 | Michael Eggman |
California District 11 | ![]() |
34.5% | 174,662 | Tue Phan-Quang |
California District 12 | ![]() |
66.5% | 192,264 | John Dennis |
California District 13 | ![]() |
77% | 190431 | Dakin Sundeen |
California District 14 | ![]() |
53.4% | 149146 | Robin Chew |
California District 15 | ![]() |
39.6% | 142,906 | Hugh Bussell |
California District 16 | ![]() |
1.5% | 91220 | Johnny Tacherra |
California District 17 | ![]() |
3.5% | 134,408 | Ro Khanna |
California District 18 | ![]() |
35.5% | 196,386 | Richard Fox |
California District 19 | ![]() |
34.4% | 127,788 | Robert Murray |
California District 1 | ![]() |
22.1% | 216,372 | Heidi Hall |
California District 20 | ![]() |
50.4% | 141,044 | Ronald Paul Kabat |
California District 21 | ![]() |
15.7% | 79,377 | Amanda Renteria |
California District 22 | ![]() |
44.1% | 133342 | Suzanna Aguilera-Marrero |
California District 23 | ![]() |
49.7% | 134043 | Raul Garcia |
California District 24 | ![]() |
3.9% | 198794 | Chris Mitchum |
California District 25 | ![]() |
6.7% | 114,072 | Tony Strickland |
California District 26 | ![]() |
2.7% | 169,829 | Jeff Gorell |
California District 27 | ![]() |
18.7% | 127,580 | Jack Orswell |
California District 28 | ![]() |
53% | 120,264 | Steve Stokes |
California District 29 | ![]() |
49.2% | 67,141 | William O'Callaghan Leader |
California District 2 | ![]() |
50% | 217,524 | Dale Mensing |
California District 30 | ![]() |
31.3% | 131,883 | Mark Reed |
California District 31 | ![]() |
3.5% | 99784 | Paul Chabot |
California District 32 | ![]() |
19.3% | 84406 | Art Alas |
California District 33 | ![]() |
18.4% | 183031 | Elan Carr |
California District 34 | ![]() |
45.1% | 61621 | Adrienne Nicole Edwards |
California District 35 | ![]() |
26.9% | 62255 | Christina Gagnier |
California District 36 | ![]() |
8.4% | 134139 | Brian Nestande |
California District 37 | ![]() |
68.6% | 114,838 | Adam King |
California District 38 | ![]() |
18.2% | 98480 | Benjamin Campos |
California District 39 | ![]() |
37.1% | 133,225 | Peter Anderson |
California District 3 | ![]() |
5.4% | 150260 | Dan Logue |
California District 40 | ![]() |
22.4% | 49,379 | David Sanchez |
California District 41 | ![]() |
13.3% | 82,884 | Steve Adams |
California District 42 | ![]() |
31.5% | 113390 | Tim Sheridan |
California District 43 | ![]() |
41.9% | 98202 | John Wood |
California District 44 | ![]() |
73.3% | 68,862 | Adam Shbeita |
California District 45 | ![]() |
30.2% | 162902 | Drew Leavens |
California District 46 | ![]() |
19.4% | 83315 | Adam Nick |
California District 47 | ![]() |
12% | 123,400 | Andy Whallon |
California District 48 | ![]() |
28.2% | 174795 | Sue Savary |
California District 49 | ![]() |
20.3% | 163142 | Dave Peiser |
California District 4 | ![]() |
20.1% | 211,134 | Art Moore |
California District 50 | ![]() |
42.4% | 157,299 | James Kimber |
California District 51 | ![]() |
37.6% | 81,950 | Stephen Meade |
California District 52 | ![]() |
3.2% | 191,572 | Carl DeMaio |
California District 53 | ![]() |
17.7% | 148,044 | Larry Wilske |
California District 5 | ![]() |
51.5% | 171,148 | James Hinton |
California District 6 | ![]() |
45.4% | 133,456 | Joseph McCray, Sr. |
California District 7 | ![]() |
0.8% | 183587 | Doug Ose |
California District 8 | ![]() |
35.3% | 114,536 | Bob Conaway |
California District 9 | ![]() |
4.7% | 121,204 | Tony Amador |
Colorado District 1 | ![]() |
36.8% | 278,491 | Martin Walsh |
Colorado District 2 | ![]() |
13.5% | 345,945 | George Leing |
Colorado District 3 | ![]() |
22.3% | 281141 | Abel Tapia |
Colorado District 4 | ![]() |
35.4% | 286,507 | Vic Meyers |
Colorado District 5 | ![]() |
19.6% | 262,855 | Irv Halter |
Colorado District 6 | ![]() |
8.9% | 276,440 | Andrew Romanoff |
Colorado District 7 | ![]() |
10.1% | 269143 | Don Ytterberg |
Connecticut District 1 | ![]() |
26.3% | 216533 | Matthew Corey |
Connecticut District 2 | ![]() |
26.7% | 225,916 | Lori Hopkins-Cavanagh |
Connecticut District 3 | ![]() |
33.5% | 204645 | James Brown |
Connecticut District 4 | ![]() |
7.4% | 198770 | Dan Debicella |
Connecticut District 5 | ![]() |
6.9% | 203,780 | Mark Greenberg |
Delaware's At-Large District | ![]() |
22.5% | 231617 | Rose Izzo |
Florida District 10 | ![]() |
23.1% | 232574 | Michael Patrick McKenna |
Florida District 11 | ![]() |
33.3% | 272294 | David Koller |
Florida District 12 | ![]() |
100% | 0 | Unopposed |
Florida District 13 | ![]() |
50.5% | 223576 | Lucas Overby |
Florida District 14 | ![]() |
100% | 0 | Unopposed |
Florida District 15 | ![]() |
20.6% | 213,582 | Alan Cohn |
Florida District 16 | ![]() |
23.2% | 274,829 | Henry Lawrence |
Florida District 17 | ![]() |
26.5% | 223,756 | Will Bronson |
Florida District 18 | ![]() |
19.6% | 253,374 | Carl Domino |
Florida District 19 | ![]() |
31.8% | 246,861 | April Freeman |
Florida District 1 | ![]() |
46.8% | 235,343 | James Bryan |
Florida District 20 | ![]() |
63.2% | 157,466 | Jay Bonner |
Florida District 21 | ![]() |
99.3% | 153,970 | W. Michael Trout |
Florida District 22 | ![]() |
16.1% | 216096 | Paul Spain |
Florida District 23 | ![]() |
25.3% | 164,788 | Joe Kaufman |
Florida District 24 | ![]() |
76% | 149,918 | Dufirstson Julio Neree |
Florida District 25 | ![]() |
100% | 0 | Unopposed |
Florida District 26 | ![]() |
2.9% | 161,337 | Joe Garcia |
Florida District 27 | ![]() |
100% | 0 | Unopposed |
Florida District 2 | ![]() |
1.1% | 249780 | Steve Southerland II |
Florida District 3 | ![]() |
32.7% | 228,809 | Marihelen Wheeler |
Florida District 4 | ![]() |
62.6% | 227,253 | Paula Moser-Bartlett |
Florida District 5 | ![]() |
30.9% | 171,577 | Gloreatha Scurry-Smith |
Florida District 6 | ![]() |
25.1% | 265817 | David Cox |
Florida District 7 | ![]() |
31.5% | 227164 | Wesley Neuman |
Florida District 8 | ![]() |
31.7% | 274,513 | Gabriel Rothblatt |
Florida District 9 | ![]() |
10.9% | 173,878 | Carol Platt |
Georgia District 10 | ![]() |
33% | 196480 | Ken Dious |
Georgia District 11 | ![]() |
100% | 161,532 | Unopposed |
Georgia District 12 | ![]() |
9.6% | 166,713 | John Barrow |
Georgia District 13 | ![]() |
100% | 159,445 | Unopposed |
Georgia District 14 | ![]() |
100% | 118,782 | Unopposed |
Georgia District 1 | ![]() |
21.8% | 156512 | Brian Reese |
Georgia District 2 | ![]() |
18.3% | 162936 | Greg Duke |
Georgia District 3 | ![]() |
100% | 156277 | Unopposed |
Georgia District 4 | ![]() |
100% | 161,211 | Unopposed |
Georgia District 5 | ![]() |
100% | 170,326 | Unopposed |
Georgia District 6 | ![]() |
32.1% | 210504 | Robert Montigel |
Georgia District 7 | ![]() |
30.8% | 173,669 | Thomas Wight |
Georgia District 8 | ![]() |
100% | 129,938 | Unopposed |
Georgia District 9 | ![]() |
61.3% | 181047 | David Vogel |
Hawaii District 1 | ![]() |
3.9% | 179,779 | Charles Djou |
Hawaii District 2 | ![]() |
60.1% | 180,312 | Kawika Crowley |
Idaho District 1 | ![]() |
30% | 220857 | Shirley Ringo |
Idaho District 2 | ![]() |
22.7% | 214,293 | Richard Stallings |
Illinois District 10 | ![]() |
2.6% | 187128 | Brad Schneider |
Illinois District 11 | ![]() |
6.9% | 174771 | Darlene Senger |
Illinois District 12 | ![]() |
10.6% | 209,738 | Bill Enyart |
Illinois District 13 | ![]() |
17.3% | 210,272 | Ann Callis |
Illinois District 14 | ![]() |
30.8% | 222230 | Dennis Anderson |
Illinois District 15 | ![]() |
49.8% | 221,926 | Eric Thorsland |
Illinois District 16 | ![]() |
41.2% | 217,198 | Randall Olsen |
Illinois District 17 | ![]() |
10.9% | 199,345 | Bobby Schilling |
Illinois District 18 | ![]() |
49.5% | 247013 | Darrel Miller |
Illinois District 1 | ![]() |
46.2% | 222017 | Jimmy Lee Tillman |
Illinois District 2 | ![]() |
57.1% | 204,266 | Eric Wallace |
Illinois District 3 | ![]() |
29.1% | 180,855 | Sharon Brannigan |
Illinois District 4 | ![]() |
56.3% | 101944 | Hector Concepcion |
Illinois District 5 | ![]() |
32.6% | 184,019 | Vince Kolber |
Illinois District 6 | ![]() |
34.3% | 238,743 | Michael Mason |
Illinois District 7 | ![]() |
70.2% | 182,278 | Robert Bumpers |
Illinois District 8 | ![]() |
11.5% | 151056 | Lawrence Kaifesh |
Illinois District 9 | ![]() |
32.1% | 213450 | Susanne Atanus |
Indiana District 1 | ![]() |
25% | 142,293 | Mark Leyva |
Indiana District 2 | ![]() |
20.7% | 145200 | Joe Bock |
Indiana District 3 | ![]() |
39.1% | 148793 | Justin Kuhnle |
Indiana District 4 | ![]() |
33.7% | 142054 | John Dale |
Indiana District 5 | ![]() |
34.4% | 161,440 | Shawn Denney |
Indiana District 6 | ![]() |
36.5% | 155071 | Susan Hall Heitzman |
Indiana District 7 | ![]() |
13% | 112,261 | Catherine Ping |
Indiana District 8 | ![]() |
24.5% | 171315 | Tom Spangler |
Indiana District 9 | ![]() |
28.5% | 163,387 | Bill Bailey |
Iowa District 1 | ![]() |
2.3% | 289,306 | Pat Murphy |
Iowa District 2 | ![]() |
5.1% | 273329 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks |
Iowa District 3 | ![]() |
10.5% | 282066 | Staci Appel |
Iowa District 4 | ![]() |
23.3% | 275,633 | Jim Mowrer |
Kansas District 1 | ![]() |
35.9% | 204,161 | Jim Sherow |
Kansas District 2 | ![]() |
18.4% | 225,686 | Margie Wakefield |
Kansas District 3 | ![]() |
20% | 224077 | Kelly Kultala |
Kansas District 4 | ![]() |
33.3% | 208,153 | Perry Schuckman |
Kentucky District 1 | ![]() |
46.2% | 236618 | Charles Kendall Hatchett |
Kentucky District 2 | ![]() |
38.4% | 226,834 | Ron Leach |
Kentucky District 3 | ![]() |
27.9% | 247,355 | Michael Macfarlane |
Kentucky District 4 | ![]() |
35.5% | 222,158 | Peter Newberry |
Kentucky District 5 | ![]() |
56.5% | 218,967 | Kenneth Stepp |
Kentucky District 6 | ![]() |
20% | 245694 | Elisabeth Jensen |
Louisiana District 1 | ![]() |
68.8% | 244,004 | Lee Dugas |
Louisiana District 2 | ![]() |
51.6% | 221,570 | Gary Landrieu |
Louisiana District 3 | ![]() |
69.3% | 236,268 | Bryan Barrilleaux |
Louisiana District 4 | ![]() |
46.9% | 207,919 | Randall Lord |
Louisiana District 5 Runoff Election | ![]() |
28.4% | 209,616 | Jamie Mayo |
Louisiana District 6 Runoff Election | ![]() |
24.9% | 222,967 | Edwin Edwards |
Maine District 1 | ![]() |
28.5% | 321,987 | Isaac James Misiuk |
Maine District 2 | ![]() |
5% | 295,009 | Emily Cain |
Maryland District 1 | ![]() |
41% | 250185 | Bill Tilghman |
Maryland District 2 | ![]() |
25.5% | 196,354 | David Banach |
Maryland District 3 | ![]() |
19.3% | 215,623 | Charles Long |
Maryland District 4 | ![]() |
41.9% | 191837 | Nancy Hoyt |
Maryland District 5 | ![]() |
28.3% | 226,040 | Chris Chaffee |
Maryland District 6 | ![]() |
1.5% | 190,536 | Dan Bongino |
Maryland District 7 | ![]() |
42.9% | 206,809 | Corrogan Vaughn |
Maryland District 8 | ![]() |
20.6% | 211,487 | Dave Wallace |
Massachusetts District 1 | ![]() |
72.3% | 227,075 | Other |
Massachusetts District 2 | ![]() |
70.6% | 235813 | Other |
Massachusetts District 3 | ![]() |
24.9% | 230,825 | Ann Wofford |
Massachusetts District 4 | ![]() |
70.6% | 255297 | Other |
Massachusetts District 5 | ![]() |
69.8% | 256,486 | Other |
Massachusetts District 6 | ![]() |
13.5% | 278919 | Richard Tisei |
Massachusetts District 7 | ![]() |
79.4% | 176,077 | Other |
Massachusetts District 8 | ![]() |
75.6% | 261,781 | Other |
Massachusetts District 9 | ![]() |
9.6% | 264,554 | John Chapman |
Michigan District 10 | ![]() |
39.3% | 228,692 | Chuck Stadler |
Michigan District 11 | ![]() |
15.5% | 249,827 | Bobby McKenzie |
Michigan District 12 | ![]() |
33.7% | 206,660 | Terry Bowman |
Michigan District 13 | ![]() |
63.2% | 166947 | Jeff Gorman |
Michigan District 14 | ![]() |
58.1% | 212,438 | Christina Barr |
Michigan District 1 | ![]() |
6.9% | 250,131 | Jerry Cannon |
Michigan District 2 | ![]() |
30.4% | 213072 | Dean Vanderstelt |
Michigan District 3 | ![]() |
18.9% | 217,165 | Bob Goodrich |
Michigan District 4 | ![]() |
17.4% | 219,423 | Jeff Holmes |
Michigan District 5 | ![]() |
35.5% | 222138 | Allen Hardwick |
Michigan District 6 | ![]() |
15.5% | 208976 | Paul Clements |
Michigan District 7 | ![]() |
12.3% | 223,685 | Pam Byrnes |
Michigan District 8 | ![]() |
12.5% | 243125 | Eric Schertzing |
Michigan District 9 | ![]() |
24.3% | 225,757 | George Brikho |
Minnesota District 1 | ![]() |
8.5% | 226,695 | Jim Hagedorn |
Minnesota District 2 | ![]() |
17.2% | 245848 | Mike Obermueller |
Minnesota District 3 | ![]() |
24.4% | 269585 | Sharon Sund |
Minnesota District 4 | ![]() |
28.3% | 241637 | Sharna Wahlgren |
Minnesota District 5 | ![]() |
46.8% | 236010 | Doug Daggett |
Minnesota District 6 | ![]() |
17.9% | 236,846 | Joe Perske |
Minnesota District 7 | ![]() |
8.5% | 240,835 | Torrey Westrom |
Minnesota District 8 | ![]() |
1.4% | 266,083 | Stewart Mills |
Mississippi District 1 | ![]() |
39% | 151,111 | Ron Dickey |
Mississippi District 2 | ![]() |
43.2% | 148,646 | Troy Ray |
Mississippi District 3 | ![]() |
41% | 170946 | Doug Magee |
Mississippi District 4 | ![]() |
45.6% | 155,576 | Matt Moore |
Missouri District 1 | ![]() |
51.4% | 163494 | Daniel Elder |
Missouri District 2 | ![]() |
31.5% | 231117 | Arthur Lieber |
Missouri District 3 | ![]() |
41.2% | 191,620 | Courtney Denton |
Missouri District 4 | ![]() |
41.7% | 176,286 | Nate Irvin |
Missouri District 5 | ![]() |
6.6% | 153,635 | Jacob Turk |
Missouri District 6 | ![]() |
37.1% | 186,970 | Bill Hedge |
Missouri District 7 | ![]() |
34.6% | 163,957 | Jim Evans |
Missouri District 8 | ![]() |
42.3% | 159,224 | Barbara Stocker |
Montana's At-Large District | ![]() |
15% | 367963 | John Lewis |
Nebraska District 1 | ![]() |
37.6% | 179,057 | Dennis Crawford |
Nebraska District 2 | ![]() |
3.3% | 171050 | Lee Terry |
Nebraska District 3 | ![]() |
50.8% | 184964 | Mark Sullivan |
Nevada District 1 | ![]() |
19% | 80,299 | Annette Teijeiro |
Nevada District 2 | ![]() |
37.8% | 186210 | Kristen Spees |
Nevada District 3 | ![]() |
24.6% | 145719 | Erin Bilbray |
Nevada District 4 | ![]() |
2.8% | 130781 | Steven Horsford |
New Hampshire District 1 | ![]() |
3.6% | 242,736 | Carol Shea-Porter |
New Hampshire District 2 | ![]() |
10% | 238,184 | Marilinda Garcia |
New Jersey District 10 | ![]() |
72.8% | 112123 | Yolanda Dentley |
New Jersey District 11 | ![]() |
25.1% | 174932 | Mark Dunec |
New Jersey District 12 | ![]() |
24.4% | 148366 | Alieta Eck |
New Jersey District 1 | ![]() |
18% | 162,492 | Garry Cobb |
New Jersey District 1 Special Election | ![]() |
17.5% | 149938 | Garry Cobb |
New Jersey District 2 | ![]() |
24.2% | 177,148 | Bill Hughes, Jr. |
New Jersey District 3 | ![]() |
9.6% | 186,103 | Aimee Belgard |
New Jersey District 4 | ![]() |
36.8% | 174,849 | Ruben Scolavino |
New Jersey District 5 | ![]() |
12.1% | 188921 | Roy Cho |
New Jersey District 6 | ![]() |
21% | 120457 | Anthony Wilkinson |
New Jersey District 7 | ![]() |
20.5% | 175,997 | Janice Kovach |
New Jersey District 8 | ![]() |
58.3% | 79518 | Jude Anthony Tiscornia |
New Jersey District 9 | ![]() |
38.4% | 120459 | Dierdre Paul |
New Mexico District 1 | ![]() |
17.2% | 180,032 | Mike Frese |
New Mexico District 2 | ![]() |
28.9% | 147777 | Roxanne "Rocky" Lara |
New Mexico District 3 | ![]() |
23.1% | 184,076 | Jefferson Byrd |
New York District 10 | ![]() |
68% | 113,226 | Ross Brady |
New York District 11 | ![]() |
12.3% | 110999 | Domenic Recchia |
New York District 12 | ![]() |
57.8% | 117,420 | Nick Di Iorio |
New York District 13 | ![]() |
63.8% | 91,834 | Daniel Vila Rivera |
New York District 14 | ![]() |
64.7% | 67372 | Elizabeth Perri |
New York District 15 | ![]() |
87.9% | 61,268 | Eduardo Ramirez |
New York District 16 | ![]() |
43.7% | 138,655 | Blank/Void/Scattering |
New York District 17 | ![]() |
12.3% | 181,674 | Chris Day |
New York District 18 | ![]() |
1.8% | 186640 | Nan Hayworth |
New York District 19 | ![]() |
28.1% | 210,351 | Sean Eldridge |
New York District 1 | ![]() |
8.7% | 176719 | Tim Bishop |
New York District 20 | ![]() |
21.7% | 211,965 | Jim Fischer |
New York District 21 | ![]() |
20.5% | 181,558 | Aaron Woolf |
New York District 22 | ![]() |
48.1% | 175372 | Blank/Void/Scattering |
New York District 23 | ![]() |
21.9% | 195,874 | Martha Robertson |
New York District 24 | ![]() |
18.8% | 203,417 | Dan Maffei |
New York District 25 | ![]() |
0.4% | 196516 | Mark Assini |
New York District 26 | ![]() |
34.7% | 173,911 | Kathy Weppner |
New York District 27 | ![]() |
39.9% | 215,147 | Jim O'Donnell |
New York District 2 | ![]() |
36.4% | 146617 | Patricia M. Maher |
New York District 3 | ![]() |
9.2% | 171,163 | Grant Lally |
New York District 4 | ![]() |
5.5% | 175,305 | Bruce Blakeman |
New York District 5 | ![]() |
76.1% | 94400 | Allen Steinhardt |
New York District 6 | ![]() |
43.2% | 77306 | Blank/Void/Scattering |
New York District 7 | ![]() |
74.3% | 68,522 | Jose Luis Fernandez |
New York District 8 | ![]() |
74.2% | 95113 | Alan Bellone |
New York District 9 | ![]() |
71.8% | 101,606 | Daniel Cavanagh |
North Carolina District 10 | ![]() |
22% | 218796 | Tate MacQueen, IV |
North Carolina District 11 | ![]() |
25.8% | 230,024 | Tom Hill |
North Carolina District 12 | ![]() |
50.7% | 172,664 | Vince Coakley |
North Carolina District 12 Special Election | ![]() |
50.9% | 169246 | Vince Coakley |
North Carolina District 13 | ![]() |
14.6% | 268,709 | Brenda Cleary |
North Carolina District 1 | ![]() |
46.8% | 210,323 | Arthur Rich |
North Carolina District 2 | ![]() |
17.7% | 207,607 | Clay Aiken |
North Carolina District 3 | ![]() |
35.6% | 205,597 | Marshall Adame |
North Carolina District 4 | ![]() |
49.5% | 227,362 | Paul Wright |
North Carolina District 5 | ![]() |
22% | 228,252 | Josh Brannon |
North Carolina District 6 | ![]() |
17.3% | 251070 | Laura Fjeld |
North Carolina District 7 | ![]() |
22.2% | 226,504 | Jonathan Barfield, Jr. |
North Carolina District 8 | ![]() |
29.7% | 187422 | Antonio Blue |
North Carolina District 9 | ![]() |
92.5% | 173,668 | Shawn Eckles |
North Dakota's At-Large District | ![]() |
17.1% | 248,670 | George B. Sinner |
Ohio District 10 | ![]() |
33.6% | 200606 | Robert Klepinger |
Ohio District 11 | ![]() |
58.9% | 172566 | Mark Zetzer |
Ohio District 12 | ![]() |
40.4% | 221081 | David Tibbs |
Ohio District 13 | ![]() |
37% | 175,549 | Thomas Pekarek |
Ohio District 14 | ![]() |
30.2% | 214,580 | Michael Wager |
Ohio District 15 | ![]() |
32% | 194621 | Richard Scott Wharton |
Ohio District 16 | ![]() |
27.5% | 207375 | Pete Crossland |
Ohio District 1 | ![]() |
26.4% | 197,383 | Fred Kundrata |
Ohio District 2 | ![]() |
31.9% | 201,111 | Marek Tyszkiewicz |
Ohio District 3 | ![]() |
28.1% | 143,261 | John Adams |
Ohio District 4 | ![]() |
35.3% | 186072 | Janet Garrett |
Ohio District 5 | ![]() |
37.5% | 202300 | Robert Fry |
Ohio District 6 | ![]() |
19.7% | 190,652 | Jennifer Garrison |
Ohio District 7 | ![]() |
100% | 143959 | Unopposed |
Ohio District 8 | ![]() |
39.8% | 188330 | Tom Poetter |
Ohio District 9 | ![]() |
35.6% | 160,715 | Richard May |
Oklahoma District 1 | ![]() |
100% | 0 | Unopposed |
Oklahoma District 2 | ![]() |
45.4% | 158,407 | Earl Everett |
Oklahoma District 3 | ![]() |
57.2% | 169605 | Frankie Robbins |
Oklahoma District 4 | ![]() |
46.1% | 166268 | Bert Smith |
Oklahoma District 5 | ![]() |
23.8% | 159133 | Al McAffrey |
Oregon District 1 | ![]() |
22.8% | 279253 | Jason Yates |
Oregon District 2 | ![]() |
44.7% | 287425 | Aelea Christofferson |
Oregon District 3 | ![]() |
52.7% | 292757 | James Buchal |
Oregon District 4 | ![]() |
21% | 310179 | Art Robinson |
Oregon District 5 | ![]() |
14.4% | 281088 | Tootie Smith |
Pennsylvania District 10 | ![]() |
37.8% | 180322 | Scott Brion |
Pennsylvania District 11 | ![]() |
32.6% | 184,692 | Andy Ostrowski |
Pennsylvania District 12 | ![]() |
18.6% | 215,921 | Erin McClelland |
Pennsylvania District 13 | ![]() |
34.2% | 184150 | Dee Adcock |
Pennsylvania District 14 | ![]() |
100% | 148351 | Unopposed |
Pennsylvania District 15 | ![]() |
100% | 128,285 | Unopposed |
Pennsylvania District 16 | ![]() |
15.4% | 176,235 | Tom Houghton |
Pennsylvania District 17 | ![]() |
13.5% | 165,051 | David Moylan |
Pennsylvania District 18 | ![]() |
100% | 166076 | Unopposed |
Pennsylvania District 1 | ![]() |
65.7% | 158,441 | Megan Rath |
Pennsylvania District 2 | ![]() |
75.4% | 206,538 | Armond James |
Pennsylvania District 3 | ![]() |
21.3% | 187790 | Dan LaVallee |
Pennsylvania District 4 | ![]() |
49.1% | 197340 | Linda Deliah Thompson |
Pennsylvania District 5 | ![]() |
27.2% | 180,857 | Kerith Strano Taylor |
Pennsylvania District 6 | ![]() |
12.6% | 212,544 | Manan Trivedi |
Pennsylvania District 7 | ![]() |
24.1% | 235125 | Mary Ellen Balchunis |
Pennsylvania District 8 | ![]() |
23.8% | 222,498 | Kevin Strouse |
Pennsylvania District 9 | ![]() |
27% | 173,317 | Alanna Hartzok |
Rhode Island District 1 | ![]() |
19.3% | 146353 | Cormick Lynch |
Rhode Island District 2 | ![]() |
24.6% | 169,904 | Rhue Reis |
South Carolina District 1 | ![]() |
86.8% | 127,815 | Write-in |
South Carolina District 2 | ![]() |
27.2% | 194,808 | Phil Black |
South Carolina District 3 | ![]() |
42.4% | 164,009 | Barbara Jo Mullis |
South Carolina District 4 | ![]() |
70.1% | 149049 | Curtis McLaughlin |
South Carolina District 5 | ![]() |
21.3% | 169962 | Tom Adams |
South Carolina District 6 | ![]() |
47% | 173,432 | Anthony Culler |
South Carolina District 7 | ![]() |
20% | 171524 | Gloria Bromell Tinubu |
South Dakota's At-Large District | ![]() |
33.1% | 276,319 | Corinna Robinson |
Tennessee District 1 | ![]() |
79.9% | 139414 | Michael Salyer |
Tennessee District 2 | ![]() |
49.9% | 166707 | Bob Scott |
Tennessee District 3 | ![]() |
27.8% | 156,050 | Mary Headrick |
Tennessee District 4 | ![]() |
23% | 145,357 | Lenda Sherrell |
Tennessee District 5 | ![]() |
26.5% | 153,606 | Bob Ries |
Tennessee District 6 | ![]() |
48.1% | 162,035 | Amos Powers |
Tennessee District 7 | ![]() |
43.2% | 157850 | Dan Cramer |
Tennessee District 8 | ![]() |
46.3% | 172,504 | Wes Bradley |
Tennessee District 9 | ![]() |
51.6% | 116,471 | Charlotte Bergmann |
Texas District 10 | ![]() |
28% | 176460 | Tawana Walter-Cadien |
Texas District 11 | ![]() |
80.5% | 119574 | Ryan Lange |
Texas District 12 | ![]() |
45% | 158730 | Mark Greene |
Texas District 13 | ![]() |
71.5% | 131451 | Mike Minter |
Texas District 14 | ![]() |
25.8% | 145,698 | Donald Brown |
Texas District 15 | ![]() |
10.7% | 90,184 | Eddie Zamora |
Texas District 16 | ![]() |
38.3% | 73,105 | Corey Roen |
Texas District 17 | ![]() |
32.2% | 132865 | Nick Haynes |
Texas District 18 | ![]() |
47% | 106010 | Sean Seibert |
Texas District 19 | ![]() |
58.7% | 115825 | Neal Marchbanks |
Texas District 1 | ![]() |
54.9% | 148,560 | Shirley McKellar |
Texas District 20 | ![]() |
51.3% | 87,964 | Jeffrey Blunt |
Texas District 21 | ![]() |
57.1% | 188,996 | Antonio Diaz |
Texas District 22 | ![]() |
35% | 151566 | Frank Briscoe |
Texas District 23 | ![]() |
2.1% | 115429 | Pete Gallego |
Texas District 24 | ![]() |
32.7% | 144073 | Patrick McGehearty |
Texas District 25 | ![]() |
24% | 177883 | Marco Montoya |
Texas District 26 | ![]() |
65.3% | 141,470 | Mark Boler |
Texas District 27 | ![]() |
29.9% | 131047 | Wesley Reed |
Texas District 28 | ![]() |
68.8% | 76,136 | Will Aikens |
Texas District 29 | ![]() |
79.1% | 46143 | James Stanczak |
Texas District 2 | ![]() |
38.3% | 150026 | Niko Letsos |
Texas District 30 | ![]() |
81.2% | 105,793 | Max Koch, III |
Texas District 31 | ![]() |
32.1% | 143028 | Louie Minor |
Texas District 32 | ![]() |
26.4% | 156096 | Frank Perez |
Texas District 33 | ![]() |
73% | 50,592 | Jason Reeves |
Texas District 34 | ![]() |
20.9% | 79,877 | Larry Smith |
Texas District 35 | ![]() |
29.2% | 96,225 | Susan Narvaiz |
Texas District 36 | ![]() |
53.9% | 133,842 | Michael Cole |
Texas District 3 | ![]() |
64% | 138,280 | Paul Blair |
Texas District 4 | ![]() |
100% | 115,085 | Unopposed |
Texas District 5 | ![]() |
70.7% | 104,262 | Ken Ashby |
Texas District 6 | ![]() |
24.7% | 150,996 | David Cozad |
Texas District 7 | ![]() |
28.7% | 143219 | James Cargas |
Texas District 8 | ![]() |
78.6% | 140013 | Ken Petty |
Texas District 9 | ![]() |
81.6% | 86003 | Johnny Johnson |
Utah District 1 | ![]() |
35.3% | 109387 | Donna McAleer |
Utah District 2 | ![]() |
27.1% | 127517 | Luz Robles |
Utah District 3 | ![]() |
49.7% | 130717 | Brian Wonnacott |
Utah District 4 | ![]() |
3.3% | 128687 | Doug Owens |
Vermont's At-Large District | ![]() |
33.4% | 191504 | Mark Donka |
Virginia District 10 | ![]() |
16.1% | 222910 | John Foust |
Virginia District 11 | ![]() |
16.5% | 187805 | Suzanne Scholte |
Virginia District 1 | ![]() |
28.5% | 209621 | Norm Mosher |
Virginia District 2 | ![]() |
17.6% | 173060 | Suzanne Patrick |
Virginia District 3 | ![]() |
88.9% | 147402 | Write-in |
Virginia District 4 | ![]() |
22.6% | 200,638 | Elliott Fausz |
Virginia District 5 | ![]() |
25% | 204945 | Lawrence Gaughan |
Virginia District 6 | ![]() |
62.2% | 179,708 | Will Hammer |
Virginia District 7 | ![]() |
23.9% | 243351 | Jack Trammell |
Virginia District 7 Special Election | ![]() |
23.9% | 241313 | Jack Trammell |
Virginia District 8 | ![]() |
31.7% | 203,076 | Micah Edmond |
Virginia District 9 | ![]() |
47.9% | 162,815 | William Carr |
Washington District 10 | ![]() |
9.4% | 181492 | Joyce McDonald |
Washington District 1 | ![]() |
10.1% | 225,579 | Pedro Celis |
Washington District 2 | ![]() |
21.1% | 201691 | B.J. Guillot |
Washington District 3 | ![]() |
23.1% | 202814 | Bob Dingethal |
Washington District 4 | ![]() |
1.6% | 153,079 | Clint Didier |
Washington District 5 | ![]() |
21.4% | 223242 | Joseph Pakootas |
Washington District 6 | ![]() |
26% | 224,290 | Marty McClendon |
Washington District 7 | ![]() |
61.9% | 251875 | Craig Keller |
Washington District 8 | ![]() |
26.5% | 198,744 | Jason Ritchie |
Washington District 9 | ![]() |
41.7% | 166794 | Doug Basler |
West Virginia District 1 | ![]() |
27.8% | 143685 | Glen Gainer |
West Virginia, District 2 | ![]() |
3.2% | 153092 | Nick Casey |
West Virginia District 3 | ![]() |
10.7% | 140,401 | Nick Rahall |
Wisconsin District 1 | ![]() |
26.6% | 288,170 | Rob Zerban |
Wisconsin District 2 | ![]() |
36.9% | 328,847 | Peter Theron |
Wisconsin District 3 | ![]() |
13% | 275,161 | Tony Kurtz |
Wisconsin District 4 | ![]() |
43.4% | 254,892 | Dan Sebring |
Wisconsin District 5 | ![]() |
39.1% | 332,826 | Chris Rockwood |
Wisconsin District 6 | ![]() |
15.9% | 299,033 | Mark Harris |
Wisconsin District 7 | ![]() |
19.9% | 286,603 | Kelly Westlund |
Wisconsin District 8 | ![]() |
30.1% | 290,048 | Ron Gruett |
Wyoming's At-Large District | ![]() |
45.6% | 165,100 | Richard Grayson |
Battleground study
- See also: U.S. House battleground districts, 2014
Five criteria
A district must have met one or more of the following criteria:
1. If a district had all six quantifiable predictions/results highlighted (Cook, Fairvote, MOV, 2012 presidential, 2008 presidential, and incumbent years in office) and four were of the most competitive nature, purple, they automatically made the cut.
- Nineteen districts fit in this category.
- Nineteen districts fit in this category.
2. The district was considered competitive if it had all six quantifiable predictions/results highlighted (Cook, Fairvote, MOV, 2012 presidential, 2008 presidential and incumbent years in office) with three of the highlighted factors being most competitive (purple) and two being intermediate competitive (orange). The district must also have had a “special factor” (high outside spending, redistricting) to be added to the most competitive list.
- Two districts fit into this category.
- Two districts fit into this category.
3. Anomalies: This included Republicans or Democrats in a district that otherwise trended heavily toward the other party. The district must also have had some other qualifying factor, such as an MOV of ten percent or less, an incumbent who had served less than ten years or a competitive 2014 candidate. Both Utah's 4th Congressional District and North Carolina's 7th Congressional District were examples of this before Reps. Jim Matheson and Mike McIntyre announced their retirements.
- One district fits into this category.
- One district fits into this category.
4. Presidential differences: A district that may not have had all the categories highlighted, but voted for the other party in the most recent presidential election and the numbers were tight for the incumbent (redistricting was also factored in here).
- One district was considered “Most Competitive” based only on this factor.
- One district was considered “Most Competitive” based only on this factor.
5. Recent effects of redistricting: This was relevant to three districts (IL-12, IL-13 and MN-08). Redistricting in the past three years caused these districts to be extremely tight and had the opportunity for a very close midterm election (the first midterm cycle these new districts will be going through).
- Three districts were pushed into the most competitive list because of this, just missing meeting the other criteria listed above.
- Three districts were pushed into the most competitive list because of this, just missing meeting the other criteria listed above.
The 26 most competitive
Color Key | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Color | Cook Partisan Voting Index | Fairvote (Projected D%) | Margin of Victory (MOV) | 2012 Presidential MOV % % | 2008 Presidential MOV % | Incumbent years in office |
Purple- most competitive | Even; R or D 0-4 | 45.1% - 54.9% | 0-4.9 | 0-4.9 | 0-4.9 | 0 - 4 |
Orange- very competitive | R or D 5-7 | 42.1% - 45.0%; 55% - 57.9% | 5.0-7.9 | 5.0-7.9 | 5.0-7.9 | 5 - 7 |
Green- competitive | R or D 8-10 | 40.0% - 42.0%; 58% - 60% | 8.0-10.00 | 8.0-10.00 | 8.0-10.00 | 8 - 10 |
House winners labeled this color indicate the party of the House winner being different from the party of the presidential winner of the district in 2012 | ||||||
Districts labeled this color indicate the districts that were pushed into most competitive based on heavily redrawn congressional districts |
Most competitive districts for 2014 elections | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Congressional district | Battleground label | Cook PVI | Fairvote (Projected D%) | Margin of Victory (MOV) in 2012 | 2012 Presidential MOV % | 2008 Presidential MOV % | Incumbent years in office | 2012 House winner | Campaign contributions difference | Cost per vote for winner in 2012 | |
Arizona's 1st | Battleground D | R+4 | 48% | 3.6 | -2.5 | -3.2 | 0 | Democratic | 61.38% | $19.13 | |
Arizona's 2nd | Battleground D | R+3 | 50.9% | 0.8 | -1.5 | -0.9 | 0 | Democratic | 65.57% | $18.85 | |
Arizona's 9th | Battleground D | R+1 | 51% | 4.1 | ✓4.5 | ✓3.9 | 0 | Democratic | 64.44% | $17.78 | |
California's 7th | Battleground D | EVEN | 51.4% | 3.4 | ✓4 | ✓5 | 0 | Democratic | 57.34% | $25.72 | |
California's 10th | Battleground R | R+1 | 43.4% | 5.4 | ✓3.6 | ✓3 | 2 | Republican | 61.05% | $25.00 | |
California's 21st | Battleground R | D+2 | 50.9% | 15.5 | ✓11.1 | ✓6 | 0 | Republican | 91.39% | $19.59 | |
California's 36th | Battleground D | R+1 | 51.2% | 5.9 | ✓3.2 | ✓3 | 0 | Democratic | 46.67% | $17.94 | |
Colorado's 6th | Battleground R | D+1 | 45.1% | 2 | ✓5.1 | ✓8.7 | 4 | Republican | 66.81% | $20.99 | |
Florida's 18th | Battleground D | R+3 | 47.7% | 0.6 | -4.1 | ✓3.1 | 0 | Democratic | 19.70% | $28.58 | |
Florida's 26th | Battleground D | R+1 | 53.1% | 10.6 | ✓6.7 | -0.4 | 0 | Democratic | 69.59% | $10.28 | |
Illinois' 12th | Battleground D | EVEN | 50.1% | 8.9 | ✓1.5 | ✓11.1 | 0 | Democratic | 46.64% | $7.52 | |
Illinois' 13th | Battleground R | EVEN | 47.2% | 0.3 | -0.3 | ✓11 | 0 | Republican | 51.38% | $10.22 | |
Michigan's 1st | Battleground R | R+5 | 45.1% | 0.5 | -8.3 | ✓1.3 | 2 | Republican | 59.74% | $13.30 | |
Minnesota's 8th | Battleground D | D+1 | 52.4% | 8.9 | ✓5.5 | ✓8.6 | 0 | Democratic | 34.52% | $6.52 | |
Nevada's 3rd | Battleground R | EVEN | 44.2% | 7.5 | ✓0.8 | ✓8.9 | 2 | Republican | 61.24% | $17.66 | |
New Hampshire's 1st | Battleground D | R+1 | 50.4% | 3.8 | ✓1.6 | ✓6.4 | 0 | Democratic | 47.47% | $10.02 | |
New Jersey's 2nd | Battleground R | D+1 | 40.2% | 17.4 | ✓8.1 | ✓7.7 | 18 | Republican | 96.60% | $9.40 | |
New Jersey's 3rd | Battleground R | R+1 | 44.8% | 8.9 | ✓4.6 | ✓3.4 | 2 | Republican | 66.17% | $11.94 | |
New York's 1st | Battleground D | R+2 | 51.3% | 4.6 | ✓0.5 | ✓3 | 10 | Democratic | 54.54% | $18.81 | |
New York's 11th | Battleground R | R+2 | 46.1% | 5 | ✓4.3 | -3 | 2 | Republican | 70.91% | $21.96 | |
New York's 18th | Battleground D | EVEN | 51.5% | 3.7 | ✓4.3 | ✓5 | 0 | Democratic | 40.94% | $15.69 | |
New York's 21st | Battleground D | EVEN | 51.5% | 1.9 | ✓6.1 | ✓5 | 4 | Democratic | 50.05% | $15.54 | |
New York's 23rd | Battleground R | R+3 | 45.6% | 3.6 | -1.2 | ✓1 | 3 | Republican | 71.76% | $15.31 | |
Texas' 23rd | Battleground D | R+3 | 48.7% | 4.8 | -2.6 | ✓1 | 0 | Democratic | 39.93% | $18.65 | |
Virginia's 2nd | Battleground R | R+2 | 43.4% | 7.7 | ✓1.5 | ✓1.7 | 2 | Republican | 54.38% | $14.42 | |
West Virginia's 3rd | Battleground D | R+14 | 50.4% | 7.1 | -32.2 | -13.4 | 20 | Democratic | 69.55% | $13.26 |
- Cook's PVI is Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index.[31]
- FairVote's %D is FairVote.org's 2014 congressional election projections.[32]
- Both the 2012 and 2008 presidential MOV have either "✓" or "-" before the number. The "✓" indicates the district went in favor of the winner, in both years this was President Obama. The "-" indicates the district favored the Republican who lost in each election, Romney in 2012 and McCain in 2008.
DCCC & NRCC fundraising
April 2014
In the month of April 2014, the NRCC reported raising $4.1 million, falling short of the $7.1 million the DCCC raised. The NRCC ended the month with $32.3 million cash in the bank, while the DCCC had $43.5 on hand.
The DCCC brought in over $20 million more than the NRCC overall during this election cycle.[33]
December 2013
As of December 2, 2013, the NRCC reported raising $52,404,530 and spending $35,697,047, leaving it with $18,242,094 cash on hand.[34] Comparatively, the DCCC reported raising $65,202,181 and spending $41,423,695, leaving it with $25,266,707 cash on hand.[35]
September 2013
The DCCC raised $8.4 million in September compared to the $5.3 million the NRCC raised during the same period. This brought the total raised for 2013 through the third quarter to $58.2 million for the DCCC compared to the NRCC's $42.6 million. As for cash on hand, the DCCC still had an edge: $21.6 million to NRCC's $15.7 million.[36]
August 2013
According to an Open Secrets report on FEC filings released on August 13, 2013, the DCCC had raised $40.8 million to the NRCC's $34.3 million.[37]
July 2013
As of July 2013, the DCCC had outraised the NRCC by $6.5 million.[38]
April 2013
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) gained an early fundraising advantage in the first quarter of 2013. It outraised the National Republican Congressional Committee $22.6 million to $17.5 million. Party strategists attributed the edge to Democrats' advantage in internet fundraising and small-dollar donations. Additionally vulnerable Democratic incumbents lead their endangered Republican counterparts in a majority of races.[39]
Outside race ratings
Cook Political Report
Each month the Cook Political Report released race ratings for U.S. Senate and U.S. House (competitive only) elections. The races detailed below were only those considered competitive. There were six possible designations.
Likely Democratic
|
R Tossup
|
Cook Political Report Race Rating -- 2014 U.S. House Competitive Districts | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month | Likely D | Lean D | D Tossup | R Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Total D | Total R | Total Competitive races | |
August 8, 2013[40] | 14 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 29 | 57 | |
September 5, 2013[41] | 14 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 38 | 29 | 67 | |
October 21, 2013[42] | 14 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 36 | 34 | 70 | |
October 30, 2013[43] | 12 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 37 | 34 | 71 | |
December 18, 2013[44] | 14 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 38 | 34 | 72 | |
January 7, 2014[45] | 14 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 39 | 36 | 75 | |
January 15, 2014[46] | 14 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 39 | 38 | 77 | |
February 13, 2014[47] | 14 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 38 | 38 | 76 | |
March 13, 2014[48] | 15 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 39 | 37 | 76 | |
April 4, 2014[49] | 15 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 39 | 39 | 78 | |
June 26, 2014[50] | 16 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 41 | 36 | 77 | |
August 8, 2014[51] | 15 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 41 | 29 | 70 | |
September 19, 2014[52] | 14 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 68 | |
October 22, 2014[53] | 11 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 26 | 64 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Each month the Crystal Ball released race ratings for U.S. Senate, U.S. House (competitive only) and Governors. There were seven possible designations:[54]
Likely Democratic
|
R Tossup
|
Sabato's Crystal Ball Race Rating -- U.S. House | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month | Likely D | Lean D | D Tossup | R Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Total D | Total R | Total Competitive races |
October 23, 2013[55] | 7 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 62 |
December 17, 2013[56] | 8 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 32 | 34 | 66 |
January 7, 2014[57] | 8 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 32 | 35 | 67 |
March 12, 2014[58] | 10 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 32 | 34 | 66 |
March 31, 2014[59] | 10 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 32 | 36 | 68 |
August 6, 2014[60] | 9 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 62 |
Party targets
DCCC Frontline
The DCCC's Frontline Program was designed to help vulnerable incumbents win re-election. The following table lists the members of the Frontline Program.
DCCC Jumpstart
The DCCC's Jumpstart Program provided early support to candidates during the beginning stages of the 2014 election cycle.[61]
NRCC Patriot
The NRCC's Patriot Program was the counterpart of the DCCC's Frontline Program and was designed to assist vulnerable incumbents in their re-election bids. The following table lists the members of the Patriot Program in 2014.
NRCC targets
The following Democratic incumbents were targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) in 2014.
National Republican Congressional Committee, Targeted incumbents | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Targeted incumbent | November 4 Results | ||
Arizona's 1st District | Ann Kirkpatrick | Ann Kirkpatrick | ||
Arizona's 2nd District | Ron Barber | Martha McSally | ||
Georgia's 12th District | John Barrow | Rick Allen | ||
Minnesota's 7th District | Collin Peterson | Collin Peterson | ||
North Carolina's 7th District | Mike McIntyre | David Rouzer | ||
Utah's 4th District | Jim Matheson | Mia Love | ||
West Virginia's 3rd District | Nick Rahall | Evan Jenkins |
Nick Rahall
In September 2013, the NRCC issued a press release in response to Rahall, one of the organization's main targets in 2014, mistaking an umbrella for a lump of coal during a press conference. The press release stated:
- "But Barack Obama, the EPA, and Nick Rahall aren’t waging a war on umbrellas – they are waging a war on coal. And yesterday, Bloomberg reported a new front opening in that war – the EPA is set to issue a rule that will completely halt the development of new coal-fueled plants by requiring they meet unachievable carbon standards."[62]
Media mentions
Across the country, media and experts published stories that chronicled the incumbents that were in danger of losing their bid for re-election. Some of those incumbents mentioned included:[63]
"The Monkey Cage"
In December 2013, John Sides' column, "The Monkey Cage," a blog published by The Washington Post, released his first predictions for the 2014 elections. Sides and Eric McGhee, a political scientist, developed a forecasting model that uses numerous factors, including: presidential popularity, economic growth and whether it is a presidential or midterm election cycle.
- September 2014:[64]
- Democrats would win 191 seats, for a loss of ten seats.
- December 2013:[65]
- Democrats would win approximately 48 percent of the popular vote for the House.
- Democrats would win 196 seats, for a loss of five seats.
Independent expenditures in 2014
According to OpenSecrets.org, three of the five organizations donating the most in independent expenditures were conservative organizations (as denoted in the chart by the L, for liberal, or C, for conservative, under the "View" column).
Primary elections
Only four U.S. Representatives and no U.S. Senators were defeated in their primaries during the 2014 election cycle. One article from National Journal suggests that, despite the small number of defeats, incumbents have been gradually losing their advantage. The article states, "Fewer and fewer incumbents are running unopposed each election, and the rate of incumbents finishing under 60 or 70 percent in their primaries has more than doubled in recent elections."[66] Studies on the competitiveness of U.S. House primaries further support this conclusion. According to a 2013 Ballotpedia study on contested primaries, in the four congressional elections between 2004 and 2010, an average of only 26.3 percent of incumbents faced primary challengers. By 2012, this percentage had almost doubled, with 51.40 percent of incumbents facing primary challengers.
Incumbents defeated in 2014 primary elections
Ralph Hall
Name: Ralph Hall (R-TX)
Office: U.S. Representative for Texas' 4th Congressional District
Years in office: 1981-present
2014 election: Texas' 4th Congressional District elections, 2014
Defeated by: John Ratcliffe
Ralph Hall was defeated by John Ratcliffe in a runoff primary on May 27, 2014, after failing to secure 50 percent of the vote in the initial Republican primary on March 4. Hall, 91, is the oldest U.S. Representative in history, and one of only two remaining World War II veterans in Congress.[67] Hall had previously run as a Democrat before switching to the Republican Party in 2004.[68] Ratcliffe, Hall's tea party-backed challenger, formerly served as the mayor of Heath, Texas, as a U.S. Attorney and as the Chief of Anti-Terrorism and National Security for the Eastern District of Texas.[69] Although Ratcliffe trailed by 16.6 percent in the Republican primary, he jumped ahead in the runoff, defeating Hall by a 5.6 percent margin of victory.[70] In addition to large personal loans to his campaign, Ratcliffe had support from conservative groups such as Club for Growth and the Senate Conservatives Fund.[71] Hall had promised to make 2014 his last term in office, and he stated regarding his loss, "I’m not hurt about it. I’m not really terribly surprised about it, and I’m not happy about it. I’m going to keep on doing my job and coming home and visiting people that I love."[72]
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
45.4% | 29,848 | ||
![]() |
28.8% | 18,917 | ||
Lou Gigliotti | 16.1% | 10,601 | ||
John Stacy | 4.3% | 2,812 | ||
Brent Lawson | 3.5% | 2,290 | ||
Tony Arterburn | 1.9% | 1,252 | ||
Total Votes | 65,720 | |||
Source: Texas Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
52.8% | 22,271 | ||
Ralph Hall Incumbent | 47.2% | 19,899 | ||
Total Votes | 42,170 | |||
Source: Texas Secretary of State Note: Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available. |
Eric Cantor
Name: Eric Cantor (R-VA)
Office: U.S. Representative for Virginia's 7th Congressional District
Years in office: 2001-2014
2014 election: Virginia's 7th Congressional District elections, 2014
Defeated by: David Brat
Eric Cantor's loss to David Brat in the Republican primary on June 10, 2014, was the biggest and most shocking upset of the 2014 primary season, making Cantor the first-ever sitting House Majority Leader to lose a primary bid.[73] Leading up to the election, Cantor had a significant financial advantage, having spent around $1 million in the weeks prior to the primary. Brat, in contrast, had raised only about $100,000 during his entire primary campaign.[74] Brat, an economics professor at Randolph-Macon College, had never before run for public office, and he did not receive any donations from political action committees (PACs).[75] Though he had a disadvantage in these areas, as well as name recognition, Brat attributed his success to his grassroots efforts and spending large amounts of time knocking on doors and talking with constituents. In an interview with Sean Hannity of Fox News, Brat explained, "The good news is dollars don't vote, people do."[76]
Cantor stepped down from his position as House Majority Leader on July 31, 2014, and resigned from the U.S. House of Representatives on August 18, 2014. Kevin McCarthy of California took over the position of House Majority Leader after Cantor's resignation.[77]
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
55.5% | 36,110 | ||
Eric Cantor Incumbent | 44.5% | 28,898 | ||
Total Votes | 65,008 | |||
Source: Results via Associated Press |
Kerry Bentivolio
Name: Kerry Bentivolio (R-MI)
Office: U.S. Representative for Michigan's 11th Congressional District
Years in office: 2013-present
2014 election: Michigan's 11th Congressional District elections, 2014
Defeated by: Dave Trott
Of the four incumbents who were defeated in primaries in 2014, Kerry Bentivolio lost by the widest margin. Bentivolio lost to Dave Trott in the Republican primary on August 5, 2014, by a margin of 32.6 percent.[78] While it was common in the 2014 Republican primaries to see a tea party-backed challenger taking on the Republican "establishment" incumbent, Michigan's 11th District turned this narrative on its head. Bentivolio's spokesman explained the race from the incumbent's perspective, saying, "This is really a race about the establishment versus the tea party. It just so happens that the incumbent is the member of the tea party who is being targeted by a wealthy foreclosure attorney who simply wants to be a congressman."[79] Bentivolio had received many negative headlines throughout his term. He had often been referred to as an "accidental" congressman, referring to his 2012 election, when he easily won the Republican nomination after incumbent Thaddeus McCotter submitted invalid signatures and chose to resign. Bentivolio was also known for being a reindeer farmer and Santa Claus impersonator.[80]
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Kerry Bentivolio Incumbent | 33.6% | 21,254 | ||
![]() |
66.4% | 42,008 | ||
Total Votes | 63,262 | |||
Source: Michigan Secretary of State |
John Tierney
Name: John Tierney (D-MA)
Office: U.S. Representative for Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District
Years in office: 1997-present
2014 election: Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District elections, 2014
Defeated by: Seth Moulton
John Tierney was the only Democratic congressman to lose his primary election in 2014. On September 9, 2014, Seth Moulton, a former Marine and a veteran of the Iraq War, defeated Tierney by 7.9 percent, making Tierney the fourth and final incumbent to be defeated in the 2014 primary election season.[81] Tierney was a vulnerable incumbent in 2012 and won re-election by a mere 1.1 percent margin of victory against Republican Richard Tisei, who is running again in 2014.[82] In 2011, Tierney's wife was involved in a scandal, when she served time in jail for "aiding and abetting the filing of false tax returns" for her brother, Robert Eremian, who was accused of running an illegal gambling business.[83]
Both Tierney and Moulton ran well-financed campaigns, raising $1.9 million and $1.6 million, respectively.[84] Tierney led in the Democratic primary polls, and had support from influential Democrats, such as Sen. Elizabeth Warren from Massachusetts and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi from California.[85]
The primary elections included:
September 9, 2014
August 26, 2014
August 19, 2014
August 12, 2014
August 9, 2014
August 7, 2014
August 5, 2014
June 24, 2014
June 10, 2014
June 3, 2014
May 20, 2014
May 6, 2014
March 18, 2014
March 4, 2014
Five primaries to watch
Politico published a list of the five primaries to watch in 2014. Of their five predictions, only one of the incumbents (Rep. John Tierney) was defeated.[86]
Mike Simpson; Idaho's 2nd District; Primary date: May 20, 2014
- Results: Simpson defeated Smith by over 23 percentage points.
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
61.6% | 48,632 | ||
Bryan Smith | 38.4% | 30,263 | ||
Total Votes | 78,895 | |||
Source: Idaho Secretary of State |
Bill Shuster; Pennsylvania's 9th District; Primary date: May 20, 2014
- Results: Despite the high profile endorsements, Shuster won by over 15 percentage points.
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
52.8% | 24,106 | ||
Art Halvorson | 34.5% | 15,761 | ||
Travis Schooley | 12.7% | 5,802 | ||
Total Votes | 45,669 | |||
Source: Results via Associated Press |
Mike Honda; California's 17th District; Primary date: June 3, 2014
- Results: The predictions were correct. The race came down to the two Democratic front runners. In California's blanket primary system, both Ro Khanna and Rep. Mike Honda advanced to the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic |
![]() |
48.2% | 43,607 | |
Democratic | ![]() |
28% | 25,384 | |
Republican | Vanila Singh | 17% | 15,359 | |
Republican | Joel Vanlandingham | 6.8% | 6,154 | |
Total Votes | 90,504 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
Scott DesJarlais; Tennessee's 4th District; Primary date: August 7, 2014
- Results: In what truly was a competitive race, DesJarlais won by just over 30 votes.
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
44.9% | 34,793 | ||
Jim Tracy | 44.8% | 34,755 | ||
John Anderson | 5.9% | 4,592 | ||
Steve Lane | 1.9% | 1,483 | ||
David Tate | 1.2% | 938 | ||
Michael Warden | 0.9% | 659 | ||
Oluyomi Faparusi | 0.4% | 284 | ||
Total Votes | 77,504 | |||
Source: Tennessee Secretary of State |
John Tierney; Massachusetts' 6th District; Primary date: September 9, 2014
- Results: Tierney was defeated in the primary by Seth Moulton.
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
50.8% | 36,575 | ||
John Tierney Incumbent | 40.1% | 28,915 | ||
Marisa DeFranco | 6% | 4,293 | ||
John Devine | 2.1% | 1,527 | ||
John Gutta | 1% | 691 | ||
All others | 0% | 36 | ||
Total Votes | 72,037 | |||
Source: Massachusetts Elections Division |
Congressional polling
Congressional Approval Rating | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Total Approve | Total Disapprove | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||
The Economist/YouGov (December 13-15, 2014) | 11 | 72 | +/-4.5 | 1000 | ||
The Economist/YouGov Poll (August 16-18, 2014) | 11 | 71 | +/-4.6 | 1000 | ||
Gallup (June 5-8, 2014) | 16 | 81 | +/-4 | 1027 | ||
The Economist/YouGov (March 29-31, 2014) | 8 | 76 | +/-4.5 | 1000 | ||
The Economist/YouGov (February 22-24, 2014) | 10 | 74 | +/-4.5 | 710 | ||
The Economist/YouGov (January 11-13, 2014) | 8 | 77 | +/-4.3 | 696 | ||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Republicans in Congress
In a September 2014 poll, 72 percent of Americans were unhappy with Republicans in the 113th Congress. This is compared to 61 percent who disapproved of Democrats in Congress.[87]
Constituent approval
During the shutdown, Americans' disapproval rating of their own congressmen reached a new high, with almost as many people stating disapproval of their member (43%) to approval (44%). The Gallup poll concluded:
- "While members of Congress may continue to argue that problems with the image of the body as a whole is not their fault, and that they are doing nothing more than faithfully representing their particular constituents, it is clear that even their own constituents are less positive about the job they are doing than they were in the past."
After October shutdown
A USA TODAY/Princeton Survey Research Poll, taken October 17-21, 2013, came to the following post-shutdown conclusions:
- 54% of Americans blamed both parties, 29% blamed solely Republicans and just 12% placed the blame squarely on the Democrats' shoulders.
- Despite only 4% of Americans' belief that Congress would change for the worse if current members were replaced by all new members, 52% of respondents said it made no difference on whether they would vote for their incumbent in the next election.[88]
Healthcare.gov polling
- See also: Healthcare.gov website rollout
After the numerous problems the Healthcare.gov website dealt with after the initial rollout on October 1, 2013, approval for the Affordable Care Act remained low at the end of 2013. According to a CBS News/New York Times poll in December 2013, more Americans continued to disapprove of the 2010 legislation than approve of it: 50% to 39%, respectively.
"Haters" polling
According to a December 2013 Washington Post-ABC News poll, 72 percent of voters who disapproved of both parties at the federal level said that they would vote for a Republican if the election were held today. Only 14 percent said they would vote for the Democrat.[89]
Issues in 2014
Government shutdown
Government shutdown
- See also United States budget debate, 2013
Beginning in August 2013, House and Senate members began discussing the possibility of a government shutdown over the funding of the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare). On September 20, Republicans passed a spending bill in the House that funds the government until December, but strips funding from Obamacare. When Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) announced that the Senate would hold a procedural vote on Wednesday, September 24, many senators began to announce their positions on voting against a cloture, the motion to end debate on a bill. After Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) gave a marathon speech, the motion for cloture was accepted and Reid was able to strip the Obamacare defunding language contained in the Republican House members' continuing resolution (CR).
Following the successful cloture vote and the Senate subsequently sending a clean continuing resolution back to the House, the two chambers began a high-stakes game of hot potato. By September 30, the House had voted and sent three resolutions to the Senate that all were struck down. The Senate then sent back a clean resolution stripped of any healthcare defunding language. With Obamacare being the issue-at-hand, Congress was unable to agree on whether a resolution would fund the landmark healthcare law.[90]
In the midst of the government shutdown in October 2013, talks began regarding the need to increase the debt ceiling.[91][92] Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) drafted a proposal that would have addressed both the budget shutdown, through the repeal of the medical device tax, and a plan to increase the debt ceiling through January 2014. Collins explained, "I’m hearing from many Democrats that if there were a way to deal somehow with the debt limit as well as part of this plan that that would be helpful. And obviously time is of the essence."[93] Although her plan was ultimately rejected by Senate Democrats, her framework began a bipartisan effort to draft a resolution. Ultimately, Sens. Harry Reid and Mitch McConnell were able to propose a plan on October 16.[94]
A deal was reached late on October 16, just hours before the debt ceiling deadline. The government reopened.
Polling during the shutdown
Congressional approval rating | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Total approve | Total disapprove | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||||
AP-GfK (October 3-7, 2013) | 5% | 83% | +/-3.4 | 1,227 | |||||||||||||||
Gallup (October 3-6, 2013) | 11% | 85% | +/-4 | 1,028 | |||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC (September 27-29, 2013) | 10% | 87% | +/-3.5 | 803 | |||||||||||||||
CBS/New York Times (September 19-23, 2013) | 14% | 80% | +/-3 | 1,014 | |||||||||||||||
The Economist/YouGov (September 21-23, 2013) | 9% | 72% | +/-5.1 | 690 | |||||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 9.8% | 81.4% | +/-3.8 | 952.4 | |||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Approval of own congressmen
During the shutdown, American's disapproval rating of their own congressmen reached new a new high, with almost as many people stating disapproval of their member (43%) to approval (44%). The Gallup poll concluded:
- "While members of Congress may continue to argue that problems with the image of the body as a whole is not their fault, and that they are doing nothing more than faithfully representing their particular constituents, it is clear that even their own constituents are less positive about the job they are doing than they were in the past."
Affordable Care Act
For senators up for re-election in 2014, this was the first election since the passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. This may have been problematic for Democratic senators who voted in favor of the bill in states where it was no longer popular. Among these senators included:
- Mark Begich (AK)
- Mark Pryor (AR)
- Mary Landrieu (LA)
Sen. Lee letter
In July 2013, Lee authored a letter, which was signed by 14 Republican senators, which promised a government shutdown unless the Affordable Care Act was defunded. The senators up for re-election in 2014 who signed the letter were:
- Mike Enzi (WY)
- Jim Inhofe (OK)
- Jim Risch (ID)
- Pat Roberts (KS)
Healthcare.gov rollout
- See also: Healthcare.gov website rollout
The open enrollment period ended on March 31, 2014. The penalty, payable to the federal government, for not being enrolled in a health insurance plan by March 31 was either $95 or 1 percent of income, whichever was greater.[96] The White House stated anyone selecting a plan before the deadline would not be subject to the penalty.[97] In March 2014, however, the administration announced that uninsured people were allowed to enroll in plans into April as long as they had a plan selected on the website by March 31.[98]
The rollout date was met with high demand for the website, both by those seeking insurance and those curious to see how the site worked. Attempts to use the website resulted in errors, including:
- Error messages while creating an account and trying to log in
- Data transfer problems from the exchange to healthcare providers
- Errors in price quotes when not logged in
- Lack of ability to sign up directly through individual insurance providers
In an October 30, 2013, hearing before the House Energy and Commerce Committee, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius stated, "Hold me accountable for the debacle. I’m responsible."[99]
The first official report from the Obama administration was released November 13, 2013, covering October enrollment numbers. The report stated 26,794 users completed enrollment through the Healthcare.gov federal exchange. Another 79,391 users were able to enroll in the 15 state exchanges, bringing the total enrollment to 106,185 in October. Prior to rollout, the administration estimated 500,000 would sign up in the first month.[100][101]
On November 22, 2013, the Obama administration announced an eight-day extension on completing applications for coverage starting January 1, 2014. The deadline to complete the application was moved from December 15 to December 23, 2013. Additionally, the 2014 open enrollment period was pushed back from the original October 15 start date to November 15, 2014, just after midterm elections.[102] On November 25, 2013, the administration announced the Small Business Health Options Program (SHOP) would be delayed by one year. The program was supposed to be rolled out in October 2013 but was delayed until November 2014. The small business program delay did not impact states with state-run exchanges.[103]
On April 10, 2014, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius resigned from her post as a result of the troubled rollout of Obamacare.[104]
Senate Conservative Fund targets
The Senate Conservative Fund targeted Sens. Isakson (R-GA), Graham (R-SC), Alexander (R-TN) and Burr (R-NC) in August 2013 with two weeks of radio ads designed to push Senate Republicans to support Utah's Mike Lee (Utah)'s effort to defund Obamacare.[105]
ISIS
- See also: ISIS insurgency in Iraq and Syria
Members of Congress on both sides of the aisle were in disagreement over the need to pass congressional approval of the administration's air strikes in Iraq as well as any future strikes on ISIS. Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), Carl Levin (D-MI) and Marco Rubio (R-FL) each stated on September 8, 2014, that gaining congressional approval was not necessary for the actions taken by President Barack Obama, with Levin claiming, "I think the president has an abundant amount of authority to conduct operations. It would be good to have Congress on board. I don’t think the War Powers Act is constitutional. If Congress doesn’t like what he’s doing, we can always cut the money off." Members such as Tim Kaine (D-VA), Bill Nelson (D-FL) and Rand Paul (R-KY) disagreed and continued to push for a vote. Paul argued, "It would show a disregard for the Constitution and for the history of our country."[106]
Congressional leadership did not want to take quick action, bringing a vote to the floor, with one Republican aide stating, "We want to wait and see what he’s going to say to the four leaders and what he’s going to say to the nation. How he lays out his strategy will determine how our guys and members of Congress respond."[107] Reid backed up that sentiment, saying, "Tomorrow the president is addressing the nation. That doesn’t happen very often. On Thursday afternoon we’re having a briefing here from the administration on what’s going on in the Middle East. I’m going to wait and get the facts before I jump off into something that you read on the Internet someplace."[108]
Farm bill
- See also: United States Farm Bill 2013
The vote was 66-27, with 25 of the 27 nay votes being from Republicans. The two Democratic senators to vote against the bill were Jack Reed (RI) and Sheldon Whitehouse (RI)
The comprehensive bill failed in the House due largely in part to the votes of eight Democratic House members who joined the Republican majority to vote down the measure.[109] Reps. Collin Peterson, John Barrow, Sanford Bishop, Cheri Bustos, Sean Maloney, Mike McIntyre, Bill Owens and Tim Walz were the eight Democratic members who voted to reject the bill.[109] According to analysis by OpenSecrets.org, many of these Democratic members received significant political contributions from agricultural organizations that benefit from crop insurance subsidies.[109] Five of the eight were on the House Agriculture Committee--Peterson, Bustos, Maloney, McIntyre and Walz.[109][110]
See also
- U.S. House
- U.S. Senate
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2014
- United States Senate elections, 2014
- Misconduct in the 113th Congress (2013-2014)
Footnotes
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Only 36 percent of Democratic candidates have expressed support for Obamacare," September 30, 2014
- ↑ National Journal, "Democrats Fear Obamacare Will Cost Them The Senate," accessed December 20, 2013
- ↑ US NEWS, "Republicans Have Chance to Take Back Senate," accessed December 20, 2013
- ↑ WSJ, "Democrats Face Battles in South to Hold the Senate," accessed December 20, 2013
- ↑ New York Times, "FiveThirtyEight," accessed December 20, 2013
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Senate Update: A January Runoff In Georgia Is Getting More Likely," October 23, 2014
- ↑ New York Times, "Can Republicans Win the Senate in 2014?" accessed December 20, 2013
- ↑ Ballot Access News, "For First Time in History, Democrats Won’t Run Anyone for U.S. Senate in Alabama," February 17, 2014
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Our Accuracy," accessed December 12, 2011 (dead link)
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS," June 27, 2013
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS," August 2, 2013
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS," October 17, 2013
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS," December 19, 2013
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS," February 7, 2014
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2014 SENATE RACE RATINGS," February 27, 2014
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- ↑ The Washington Post, "There is no wave coming in the 2014 election," accessed December 10, 2013
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- ↑ The Washington Times, "Rep. Hall of Texas switches from Democrat to Republican," accessed September 11, 2014
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- ↑ The Hill, "Reid won’t ‘rush’ ISIS vote in Senate," September 9, 2014
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